Thailand Energy Situation Jan -Jun 2015. 2012201320142015* Consumption1,9822,0022,0522,090...

Thailand Energy Situation

Jan -Jun 2015

http://www.eppo.go.th

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Consumption 1,982 2,002 2,052 2,090

Production 1,082 1,078 1,073 1,033

Import (Net) 1,082 1,121 1,171 1,295

Import/Consumption (%) 55 56 57 62

Growth Rate (%)

Consumption 6.9 1.0 2.6 1.2

Production 6.3 -0.4 -0.5 -5.4

Import (Net) 6.1 3.6 4.4 8.0

GDP (%) 7.3 2.8 0.9 2.9

- 2 -

Production, Consumption and Import (Net) of Primary Commercial Energy

Unit: KBD crude oil equivalent

* Jan - Jun


2012 2013 2014 2015*

Total Consumption 1,982 2,002 2,052 2,090

- Oil 710 730 734 775

- Natural Gas 889 909 916 926

- Imported Coal 230 217 261 270

- Domestic Lignite 98 101 97 78

- Hydro/Imported Elec. 55 46 44 41

Total Consumption 6.9 1.0 2.6 1.2

- Oil 5.2 2.8 0.6 3.0

- Natural Gas 9.8 2.3 0.8 2.0

- Imported Coal 12.4 -5.6 20.5 7.2

- Domestic Lignite -12.6 2.5 -3.3 -22.3

- Hydro/Imported Elec. 3.0 -17.6 -3.6 -21.0

- 3 -

Consumption of Primary Commercial Energy Unit: KBD crude oil equivalent

* Jan - Jun

http://www.eppo.go.th- 4 -- 4 -

Final Commercial Energy Consumption

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Total Consumption 1,300 1,317 1,364 1,429

- Oil 704 723 726 770

- Natural Gas 169 174 178 180

- Imported Coal 132 119 155 174

- Domestic Lignite 15 17 13 5

- Electricity 280 284 292 300

Growth Rate (%)

Total Consumption 5.7 1.3 3.6 4.9

- Oil 5.3 2.7 0.5 4.2

- Natural Gas 16.1 2.9 2.5 3.2

- Imported Coal 3.9 -10.0 29.9 21.8

- Domestic Lignite -43.7 10.5 -23.6 -64.4

- Electricity 6.8 1.6 2.8 3.3

GDP (%) 7.3 2.8 0.9 2.9

Elasticity 0.8 0.5 4.0 1.7

Unit: KBD crude oil equivalent

* Jan - Jun


Crude Oil Supply

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Share (%)

2015*

DomesticProduction 149 149 139 143 14

Import 860 868 805 893 86

Total 1,009 1,017 944 1,036 100

Unit: KBD

* Jan - Jun

http://www.eppo.go.th- 6 -

Crude Oil Supply -- by Source 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Benjamas 25,439 20,652 22,663 19,968

Sirikit 28,423 32,889 27,948 28,031

Tantawan 3,748 2,754 1,645 2,059

Unocal (Big Oil Project) 28,281 29,816 24,051 22,078

Jusmin 10,408 10,478 9,796 9,745

Bualaung 7,200 12,317 12,496 12,572

Songkha 19,883 20,322 14,297 11,276

Lanta 6,671 4,331 6,688 6,486

Others 18,924 15,922 19,174 30,339

Total Domestic Prod. 148,977 149,481 138,758 142,554

Import 860,211 868,040 804,912 892,985

Grand Total 1,009,188 1,017,521 943,670 1,035,539

Unit: Barrels/Day

* Jan - Jun


Condensate Production

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Bongkot 20,556 27,359 32,480 28,877 29,397

Erawan 10,531 9,025 5,863 6,756 5,610

Pailin 18,048 11,861 11,234 10,525 8,538

Funan & Jakrawan 5,508 7,842 7,671 6,850 5,772

Arthit 15,811 10,548 9,230 9,403 8,673

Others 13,682 23,004 24,681 31,919 41,118

Total 84,136 89,639 91,159 94,330 99,108

Unit: Barrels/Day

* Jan - Jun


RefineryRefining Capacity(BBL/D)

Crude Oil Intake*(BBL/D)

Utilization Rate(%)

Thai Oil 275,000 305,269 111

Bangchak 120,000 112,111 93

ESSO 177,000 142,600 81

IRPC 215,000 193,937 90

PTTAR 280,000 197,011 70

SPRC 165,000 180,456 109

RPC 17,000 - -

FANG 2,500 655 26

Total 1,251,500 1,132,040 90

Refinery Utilization Rate 2014

* Jan - Jun


BB

L/D

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

TOC BCP ESSO IRPC PTTGC SPRC RPC FANG

Capacity Intake

Refinery Utilization Rate 2015 *

* Jan - Jun


Energy Type 2013 2014

Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%)

Share(%)

2014 2015 2014 2015* 2015*

GASOLINE 9,853.3 9,886.5 4,807.8 5,338.1 0.3 11.0 17

Regular 4,786.7 4,843.1 2,371.4 2,585.0 1.1 9.0 8

Premium 5,066.6 5,043.3 2,436.4 2,753.1 -0.4 12.9 9

- Gasohol 4,135.5 4,430.4 2,108.9 2,433.7 7.1 15.3 8

- ULG 95 931.1 612.9 327.5 319.5 -34.1 -2.4 1

KEROSENE 694.9 1,098.0 480.6 688.5 58.0 43.2 2

DIESEL 25,524.9 24,068.1 11,736.4 13,464.4 -5.7 14.7 43

JET PETROLEUM 6,680.1 6,638.5 3,267.3 3,551.0 -0.6 8.6 11

FUEL OIL 5,939.6 5,667.4 2,693.5 2,830.1 -4.5 5.0 9

LPG 10,087.1 10,196.7 4,996.4 5,113.0 1.0 2.3 17

TOTAL 58,779.8 57,555.0 27,981.9 30,985.2 -2.0 10.7 100

Petroleum Product ProductionUnit: Million Litres

* Jan - Jun


** Including Propane and Butane

Unit: Million Litres

Petroleum Product Consumption

* Jan - Jun



Share(%)

2014 2015 2014 2015* 2015*

GASOLINE 8,194.9 8,506.1 4,090.1 4,663.0 3.7 14.0 18

Regular 3,445.8 3,594.8 1,726.5 1,979.0 4.3 14.6 8

Premium 4,749.1 4,911.3 2,363.6 2,684.0 3.4 13.5 10

- Gasohol 4,132.9 4,413.1 2,107.7 2,433.2 6.7 15.4 9

- ULG 95 616.2 498.2 255.9 250.8 -19.1 -1.9 1

KEROSENE 11.0 10.8 5.5 5.5 -1.9 0.0 0.02

DIESEL 20,907.4 21,083.9 10,825.7 11,116.4 0.8 2.6 42

JET PETROLEUM 5,562.4 5,513.1 2,802.4 3,020.1 -0.8 7.7 12

FUEL OIL 2,175.1 2,092.8 1,110.3 1,029.3 -3.7 -7.2 4

LPG ** 13,934.7 13,917.0 6,896.6 6,343.8 -0.1 -8.0 24

TOTAL 50,785.5 51,123.5 25,730.6 26,178.2 0.6 1.7 100

* Jan - Jun


Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-Dec

2012 267

276

279

260

278

280

271

283

284

285 292 278

278

2013 290 310 309 291 314 310 307 317 310 309 314 303 307

2014 304 326 327 302 318 317 319 319 320 316 318 313 317

2015 304 319 329 299 316 312 313*

∆ (%) from previous

year0.0 -2.1 0.6 -1.0 -0.6 -1.6 -0.8*

∆(%) from previous month

-2.9 4.9 3.1 -9.1 5.7 -1.3

- 12 -

NGV ConsumptionUnit: MMSCFD

* Jan - Jun


Energy Type 2013 2014Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%) Share(%)

2014 2015 2014 2015* 2015*

GASOLINE 262.2 884.3 598.0 488.7 237.2 -18.2 24

DIESEL 196.7 348.1 291.4 117.5 76.9 -59.6 6

JET PETROLEUM 16.2 4.2 2.5 1.9 -74.3 -26.4 0.1

FUEL OIL 268.4 370.8 203.5 104.6 38.1 -48.5 5

LPG** 3,651.2 3,887.4 1,915.2 1,334.6 6.4 -30.3 65

TOTAL 4,394.7 5,494.7 3,010.6 2,047.1 25.0 -32.0 100

Import of Petroleum ProductsUnit: Million Litres

** Including Propane and Butane

* Jan - Jun


Export of Petroleum ProductsUnit: Million Litres

* Jan - Jun


Jan - Jun Growth Rate (%) Share(%)

2014 2015 2014 2015* 2015*

GASOLINE 1,634.4 1,339.7 698.0 618.6 -18.0 -11.3 11 Regular 1,369.5 1,205.7 611.9 563.7 -11.9 -7.8 10 Premium 95 264.9 134.0 86.2 54.8 -49.4 -36.3 1

KEROSENE 4,874.3 4,316.9 1,580.8 2,561.9 -11.4 62.0 45

DIESEL 19.2 29.8 4.2 7.9 55.1 87.2 0.1

JET PETROLEUM 1,536.6 1,296.6 344.7 756.8 -15.6 119.5 13

FUEL OIL 3,774.3 3,835.9 1,648.7 1,731.3 1.6 5.0 30

LPG 11.2 18.5 13.9 23.6 65.2 69.1 0.4

TOTAL 11,850.0 10,837.4 4,290.3 5,699.9 -8.5 32.8 100


Supply and Demand of LPG, Propane and Butane

2012 2013 2014 2015*Growth Rate

(%)Share(%)

2014 2015* 2015*

TOTAL SUPPLY 7,416 7,419 7,605 3,482 2.5 -6.7 100.0

- PRODUCTION 5,686 5,447 5,506 2,761 1.1 2.3 79.3

- IMPORT 1,730 1,972 2,099 721 6.5 -30.3 20.7

TOTAL DEMAND (CONSUMPTION+EXPORT) 7,396 7,531 7,525 3,438 -0.1 -7.9

- CONSUMPTION 7,386 7,525 7,515 3,426 -0.1 -8.0 100.0

Household 3,047 2,409 2,188 1,035 -9.2 -6.0 30.2

Industry 614 602 577 294 -4.2 4.6 8.6

Automobile 1,061 1,775 1,974 891 11.2 -7.7 26.0 Petrochemical Industry 1,285 1,327 1,546 476 16.5 -43.1 13.9

Own Use 1,380 1,412 1,231 729 -12.9 35.4 21.3

- Feed Stock 1,270 1,314 1,129 657 -14.1 34.4 19.2

- Energy 110 98 102 72 3.4 45.5 2.1

- EXPORT 10 6 10 13 65.2 69.2

BALANCE (SUPPLY-DEMAND) 20 -112 80 43

Unit: 1,000 Tons

* Jan - Jun


Crude Oil Import by Source

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Growth Rate(%) Share

(%)

2014 2015* 2015*

Middle East37,460 37,572 31,002 16,813 -17.5 8.1 65

Far East4,022 4,370 4,517 4,787 3.4 145.8 19

Others8,575 8,431 11,192 4,098 32.7 -27.0 16

Total 50,056 50,374 46,710 25,698 -7.3 11.2 100

Unit: Million Litres

* Jan - Jun


Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 2014 2015* 2013 2014 2015*

QUANTITY (KBD) 860 868 805 893 0.9 -7.2 11.2

VALUE (Billion Baht) 1,119 1,072 980 315 -4.2 -8.6 -39.7

PRICE(US$/Barrel) 113.94 109.69 102.25 58.88 -3.7 -6.8 -46.6

- 17 -

Crude Oil Import Increased by 11.2%

* Jan - Jun


0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Jan-

04

Jul-0

4

Jan-

05

Jul-0

5

Jan-

06

Jul-0

6

Jan-

07

Jul-0

7

Jan-

08

Jul-0

8

Jan-

09

Jul-0

9

Jan-

10

Jul-1

0

Jan-

11

Jul-1

1

Jan-

12

Jul-1

2

Jan-

13

Jul-1

3

Jan-

14

Bah

t/M

.BTU

Fuel Oil*

Natural Gas*

Import Coal**

Comparison of Energy Prices

* Average retail prices** Average import price of Thailand (CIF)


Natural Gas Supply

2012 2013 2014 2015*Share(%)

2014

DomesticProduction 3,996 4,044 4,073 3,895 76

Import 950 1,013 1,025 1,258 24

Total 4,946 5,057 5,098 5,153 100

Unit: MMSCFD

* Jan - Jun


MMSCFD

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Total Domestic Product 3,996 4,044 4,073 3,895

- Bongkot 869 1,008 975 1,004

- Erawan 255 197 219 203

- Pailin 361 363 314 271

- Arthit 268 252 246 230

- JDA 748 735 761 687

- Others 1,495 1,489 1,558 1,500

Total Import 950 1,013 1,025 1,258

- Import (Myanmar) 820 822 843 928

- Import (LNG) 130 191 182 330

Grand Total 4,946 5,057 5,098 5,153

- 20 -

Natural Gas Supply by Source

* Jan - Jun


2012 2013 2014 2015*

MAE-MOH (EGAT) 16,590 17,072 17,140 7,448

OTHERS 1,476 1,039 842 346

Total Domestic Prod. 18,066 18,111 17,982 7,794

Imported Coal 18,404 17,328 20,881 10,806

Grand Total 36,470 35,439 38,861 18,600

- 21 -

Lignite/Coal Production

Unit: 1,000 Tons

* Jan - Jun


Lignite/Coal Consumption by Sector

Sector 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Power Gen. 9,005.8 9,048.2 9,521.2 4,185.2

Industry 7,400.8 6,797.5 8,375.7 4,439.2

Total 16,406.6 15,845.7 17,897.0 8,624.4

Consumption ShareSector 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Power Gen. 54.9 57.1 53.2 48.5

Industry 45.1 42.9 46.8 51.5

Total 100 100 100 100

Unit: Ktoe

Unit: %

* Jan - Jun


43%

39%

10%8%

IPP

EGAT

Import/ExchangeSPP

(2,405MW)(3,817 MW)

(15,482 MW)

(13,166 MW)

Total 36,171 MW

Power Generation – Installed Capacity as of June 2015


Power Generation by Fuel Type

Year Natural Gas

Coal & Lignite Oil Hydro Import

Renewable

EnergyTotal

2012 119,368 34,583 1,363 8,431 10,527 2,701 176,973

2013 119,218 35,352 1,418 5,412 12,572 3,427 177,398

2014 120,314 37,572 1,643 5,164 12,260 3,993 180,945

2015* 64,501 16,628 453 2,112 6,437 2,304 92,434

Growth Rate (%)

2012 10.3 9.1 2.4 6.3 -2.3 15.9 9.0

2013 -0.1 2.2 4.0 -35.8 19.4 26.9 0.2

2014 0.9 6.3 15.9 -4.6 -2.5 16.5 2.0

2015* 10.6 -13.4 -53.5 -37.0 3.0 6.0 2.4

Unit: GWh

* Jan - Jun


Peak Demand and Load Factor

YEAR PEAK DEMAND LOAD FACTOR RESERVE JunGIN

(MW) (%) (%)

2005 20,538 74.9 33.5

2006 21,064 76.9 29.4

2007 22,586 74.3 32.0

2008 22,568 74.8 40.1

2009 22,045 75.0 36.1

2010 24,010 75.9 31.9

2011 23,900 75.6 38.8

2012 26,121 75.2 27.6

2013 26,598 74.1 29.9

2014 26,942 75.7 32.9

2015* 27,346 76.3 30.1

* Jan - Jun


Electricity ConsumptionUnit: GWh

2012 2013 2014 2015*Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 2014 2015*

MEA 48,244 47,984 48,236 24,556 9.2 -0.5 0.5 2.7

PEA 111,718

114,619

118,637 60,594 8.5 2.6 3.5 3.7

EGAT’s Direct Customers

1,817 1,738 1,747 923 6.0 -4.4 0.5 4.3

Total 161,779

164,341

168,620 86,072 8.7 1.6 2.6 3.4

* Jan - Jun


Sector 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Growth rate (%)2015*Share (%)2012 2013 2014

2015*

Residential 36,447 37,657 38,993 20,292 11.1 3.3 3.5 4.5 23.6

Small General Service 17,013 18,374 18,807 9,679 10.1 8.0 2.4 4.1 11.2

Business 27,088 30,413 31,362 16,247 14.5 12.3 3.1 5.6 18.9

Industrial 72,336 72,536 73,782 37,015 6.5 0.3 1.7 2.1 43.0

Government and Non-Profit Org.

3,799 149 152 85 -22.3 -96.1 2.0 13.8 0.1

Agriculture 377 354 414 206 27.1 -6.2 17.2 -23.6 0.2

Free of Charge 2,191 2,379 2,517 1,344 1.1 8.6 5.8 10.7 1.6

Other 2,527 2,479 2,592 1,203 52.7 -1.9 4.6 -7.3 1.4

Total 161,779 164,341 168,62

0 86,072 8.7 1.6 2.6 3.4 100.0- 27 -

Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by Sector) Unit: GWh

* Jan - Jun


Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by TSIC)

Unit: GWh

Type 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 2014 2015*

1. Food 9,721 9,69710,281 5,010 8.5 -0.2 6.0 1.4

2. Iron and steel 6,954 7,065 7,252 3,469 4.9 1.6 2.7 -2.2

3. Textiles 6,038 6,040 6,036 2,909 -2.3 0.0 -0.1 -2.2

4. Electronic 6,325 6,547 6,960 3,470 -5.9 3.5 6.3 2.5

5. Plastics 4,458 4,531 4,539 2,307 7.1 1.6 0.2 2.0

6. Automotive 4,042 4,028 5,125 2,688 6.8 -0.3 -1.8 7.6

7. Cement 4,950 5,220 4,137 2,217 27.2 5.4 2.7 5.9

8. Chemicals 2,155 2,117 2,098 1,060 -1.7 -1.7 -0.9 2.5

9. Rubber and rubber products 3,012 3,086 3,059 1,533 8.4 2.4 -0.8 1.6

10. Manufacture of ice 2,697 2,651 2,705 1,439 11.5 -1.7 2.1 5.2

* Jan - Jun


Unit: GWh

Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by Commercial Cluster)

Type 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 2014 2015*

1. Department Store 4,491 4,595 4,743 2,409 8.0 2.3 3.2 2.9

2. Hotel 3,671 3,814 3,797 1,999 9.9 3.9 -0.3 4.9

3. Apartment & Guest House 3,291 3,494 3,687 1,992 12.9 6.2 5.5 10.0

4. Retail sale 2,969 3,141 3,317 1,743 14.4 5.8 5.6 6.5

5. Real Estate Service 2,789 2,866 2,881 1,452 11.2 2.8 0.5 2.0

6. Hospital 2,222 2,337 2,388 1,229 9.7 5.2 2.2 4.2

7. Wholesale 2,242 2,277 2,411 1,264 18.1 1.6 5.9 7.7

8. Construction 980 1,036 1,338 659 3.2 5.6 0.5 -0.1

9. Financial Institute 950 935 688 375 7.0 -1.6 7.6 13.9

10. Restaurant & Night Club 869 884 893 464 10.1 1.8 0.9 4.8

* Jan - Jun


Value of Energy Import

Unit: Million Baht

ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014


2014 2015 2012 2013 2014 2015*

CRUDE OIL 1,119,338 1,072,221

979,704

523,754

315,543 14.5 95.8 -8.6 -39.8

PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 124,171 139,021

202,265

111,739

54,060 29.2 12.0 45.5 -51.6

NATURAL GAS 116,325 111,911 117,172

49,093

57,774 24.4 -3.8 4.7 17.7

COAL 46,702 39,714

47,947

24,937

22,472 10.3 -15.0 20.7 -9.9

ELECTRICITY 15,440 18,546

18,919

9,691

9,642 11.4 20.1 2.0 -0.5

LNG 24,023 34,827

33,304

22,449

22,149 50.2 45.0 -4.4 -1.3

TOTAL 1,445,999 1,416,239 1,399,311

741,664

481,640 16.7 -2.1 -1.2 -35.1

* Jan - Jun


Value of Energy Export

ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014


2014 2015 2013 2014 2015*

CRUDE OIL 51,531 29,115 8,653 8,011 0 -43.5 -70.3 -100.0

PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 344,384 342,208 301,425 144,135 102,897 -0.6 -11.9 -28.6

ELECTRICITY 5,223 4,424 5,116 3,540 3,927 -15.3 15.6 10.9

TOTAL 401,138 375,747 315,194 155,685 106,824 -6.3 -16.1 -31.4

Unit: Million Baht

* Jan - Jun


Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption

ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014


2014 2015 2013 2014 2015*

PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 1,312,2071,326,937 1,336,615 686,597 599,970 1.1 0.7 -12.6

ELECTRICITY 562,655 621,328 662,474 324,237 332,091 10.4 6.6 2.4

NATURAL GAS 122,509 121,005 123,964 60,108 56,239 -1.2 2.4 -6.4

LIGNITE/COAL 31,607 26,096 33,483 15,723 16,870 -17.4 28.3 7.3

RENEWABLE ** 118,276 125,962 123,100 64,132 71,761 6.5 -2.3 11.9

TOTAL 2,147,2532,221,328 2,279,6361,150,7961,076,930 3.4 2.6 -6.4

** Estimate

Unit: Million Baht

* Jan - Jun


ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014


2014 2015 2013 2014 2015*

GASOLINE 298,487 304,451 314,369 159,271 130,884 2.0 3.3 -17.8

Regular 91 210,016 121,836 130,975 66,197 54,782 -42.0 7.5 -17.2

Premium 88,471 182,615 183,394 93,074 76,102 106.4 0.4 -18.2

KEROSENE 484 390 380 196 173 -19.4 -2.5 -12.1

DIESEL 625,687 624,676 625,076 324,127 288,968 -0.2 0.1 -10.8

J.P. 183,075 197,243 194,279 99,373 94,242 7.7 -1.5 -5.2

FUEL OIL 60,821 50,682 47,284 25,279 20,206 -16.7 -6.7 -20.1

LPG 143,653 149,495 155,227 78,351 65,499 4.1 3.8 -16.4

TOTAL 1,312,207 1,326,937 1,336,615 686,597 599,970 1.1 0.7 -12.6

Unit: Million Baht

Expenditure on Petroleum Product Consumption

* Jan - Jun

Thailand Energy Situation Jan -Jun 2015. 2012201320142015* Consumption1,9822,0022,0522,090...

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