DEMOCRATS

Texas Senate District 18

By

Huey Fischer

“our job is not to win arguments, but to win elections”~Boyd Richie, State Chair

We have the capacity to WIN in TWENTY-TEN!We can only win by strong organization and

mobilization of voters.We need to reach out to those

moderates, alienated Republicans, and disinterested voters.

What is our focus?

Huey Fischer

SD-18 has 249 Delegates to the State Convention.

Delegates to the State Convention

County Number allotted by the TDP

Aransas 7

Austin 8

Bastrop 32

Caldwell 14

Calhoun 8

Colorado 7

DeWitt 4

Fayette 10

Fort Bend 63

Goliad 4

Gonzales 5

Jackson 5

Lavaca 6

Matagorda 12

Refugio 3

Victoria 26

Waller 12

Washington 10

Wharton 13 Huey Fischer

How do we compare at the State Convention?

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Series1

In 2006, only two counties were won by Chris Bell. He beat Perry in Goliad County by two votes. He beat Perry in Wharton County by 118 votes.

Since it was a 4-way race, the two conservative candidates still held majorities.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ In 2008, the majority in each county voted for John McCain in SD-

18.There are 407,549 people who voted in the 2008 presidential

election in SD-18.That is 5.045% of all 2008 presidential election voters in Texas.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ In 2010, 38,670 people voted in the Democratic Primary in SD-18.

How does SD-18 vote?

Huey Fischer

SD-18 Election History 2006 Governor 2008

Presidential

# of Democrats(2008 Gen.

Obama)

# of Democrats(2010 Primary)

Aransas R-44.9% R-68.4% 3,006 446

Austin R-36.5% R-75.0% 2,821 546

Bastrop R-30.5% R-53.3% 11,687 2,866

Caldwell R-32.3% R-52.4% 5,403 2,432

Calhoun R-32.5% R-59.7% 2,729 2,084

Colorado R-32.1% R-69.4% 2,508 531

DeWitt R-35.5% R-73.8% 1,716 413

Fayette R-32.0% R-70.8% 3,014 1,104

Fort Bend R-40.5% R-50.9% 98,386 14,650

Goliad D-27.5% R-62.9% 1,329 582

Gonzales R-35.7% R-64.8% 2,167 903

Jackson R-31.5% R-73.6% 1,301 636

Lavaca R-37.1% R-76.5% 1,869 1,277

Matagorda R-33.6% R-63.3% 4,440 2,665

Refugio R-35.9% R-56.9% 1,382 967

Victoria R-41.4% R-66.4% 9,832 3,763

Waller R-29.5% R-53.3% 7,153 958

Washington R-41.1% R-70.8% 4,034 685

Wharton D-27.3% R-65.4% 4,937 1,162

Here is the formula for Huey’s Magic Numbers.The Magic Number is the # needed to win in each

county.

How many votes do we need in 2010?

# of Voters,2006

Gubernatorial Race

# of Voters,2008 Presidential

Race

Dividedby 4

+

Plus 1 The Magic Number for 2010

Huey Fischer

County Magic Number

Aransas 4,146

Austin 4,922

Bastrop 10,756

Caldwell 4,858

Calhoun 2,824

Colorado 3,493

DeWitt 2,678

Fayette 4,627

Fort Bend 75,314

Goliad 1,512

Gonzales 2,620

Jackson 2,106

Lavaca 3,312

Matagorda 7,019

Refugio 1,308

Victoria 12,172

Waller 5,903

Washington 5,947

Wharton 5,798

What are our magic numbers?

Huey Fischer

Each Precinct Chair should organize a block walk in Late October.Block walking is the most-effective method of winning votes!

If you knock on a Democratic door, ask if they will need any assistance (ride, reminders, etc) on election day.

If you knock on a Republican door, be respectful! If they are adamantly for Perry, don’t get into a heated debate… It is probably too late. Talk up other Democrats down the ballot. Tell them to give “Democrats a shot” by not voting straight –ticket. If you sound rational and like a neighbor, they can and will be convinced.

If you knock on an Undecided/Apathetic door, then make a classic pitch. Let them know who is running (Have lists of our candidates to hand out.) and explain why they are instrumental to making Texas better.

Block Walking

If there is a parade to be in your community, then get Democrats involved.Hand out candy or water.

Have little Democratic notes attached to each.Invite all SD-18 Democrats, especially

candidates!The more, the merrier. We want to show that

Democrats are a viable force in the area.March with signs.

None that insult Republicans, we do not want to alienate folks.

Have clever, or at least cheesy, slogans…“Only Olney Can” “There’s a VOID without LLOYD” “Bill

White- Big Brains, not Big Hair”

Parades

Facebook is a great resource for coordinating a successful campaign.

Communicate with other Democrats to organize effective campaign strategies and events.

Help remind folks around the state to vote by posting on their “wall.”

If you are on Facebook and you haven’t already, please join the “Texas SD-18 Democrats” group.Stay up-to-date on SD-18 activities, discussions,

photos, etc.

Facebookwww.facebook.com

Texas Legislative Council (SD-18 Map) http://www.senate.state.tx.us/Icons/Dist_Maps/Dist18_Map.p

df

Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division1992 - Current ELECTION HISTORY http://

elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist.exe

QUESTIONS? COMMENTS? Email me at HueyFischer@gmail.com

Sources