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    TOWARDS AN ASEANECONOMIC COMMUNITY:

    PROGRESS and CHALLENGES of

    the ASEAN Integration

    Ever Since the formation of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) in

    August 8, 1967, its member countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore,

    Thailand, Myanmar, Brunei, Cambodia, Laos and Vietnam) have been using the

    opportunities presented by the close-ties fostered within their regional bloc.

    The blocs aim of economic growth has been the rallying point of the formation of

    ASEAN, and now the realization of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) by

    2015, which is less than 1 year from now. This paper is divided into three sections,

    with the first section focusing on the conception of the ASEAN in 1967. It seeks to

    analyze the conditions under the ASEAN was created from and the conditions it

    met as its maturity progresses, until it reached its decision to form the ASEAN

    Economic Community. The second part deals with discussing the ASEAN Economic

    Community Blueprint and Scorecard. This part aims to assess the progress ASEANhas made against what it promised in its blueprint. Lastly, the third section

    provides recommendations on the challenges that ASEAN will face due to

    integration in and post-2015.

    Katrina P. Tarape, Student# 11385421

    DVS541M/ Theories of International Relations

    Dr. Roman Dannug

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    I. INTRODUCTION:

    The Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) was formed in 1967 by its five founding

    members: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. Against a backdrop of a Cold War

    and Post-Cold War period, the founding countries sought regional integration to facilitate greater

    security within the region and amongst its members. The call of regional peace was also adhered to by

    other Southeast Asian states and followed suit in being an ASEAN member, these countries are: Brunei

    Darussalam, Cambodia, Lao Peoples Democratic Republic (Laos), Myanmar, and Vietnam. What started

    as a community of peace-loving organization has now evolved into an association of sovereign states

    projecting economies of scale that could rival that of China and India.

    The first initiative of regional integration was started in 1977 thru the creation of the

    Preferential Trading Arrangement. It was then followed by a specific economic integration thru 1992

    ASEAN Free Trade Area thru trading of goods, supplemented by 1995 ASEAN Framework Agreement on

    Services and the 1998 ASEAN Investment Area (AIA) (Chia, October 2013). Then in October 2003, the

    ASEAN members raise their ambition of economic integration by creating a regional community-

    building thru the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC)which was first envisioned to be realized in 2020,

    but was moved to 2015. The members envisioned an, ASEAN community established compromising

    three pillars of political and security cooperation, economic cooperation, and socio-cultural

    cooperation.1 Furthermore AEC affirms ASEANs mantra of regional cooperation, peace and non-

    interference to the sovereignty of its member countries. Basically, AEC aims to create a single

    community market for the free flow of good, foreign investments, human capital, and services.2

    In

    assessing the future of AEC and its possibility of full-scale implementation by 2015, ASEANs strengths,

    1Declaration of ASEAN Concord II, Bali, October 7, 2003.

    2Chia, S. Y. (October 2013). The ASEAN Economic Community: Progress, Challenges and Prospects.Asian

    evelopment Bank Institute.

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    weaknesses and challenges needs to be considered. The evaluation should be put side-by-side with the

    AEC Blueprint finalized in October 2003. In a nutshell ASEANs strengths, weaknesses and challenges are

    as follows:

    ASEAN Strengths:

    Strategic trading route located within a busy hub of trading in Asia Pacific, with easy access to

    Europe, America, India and China.

    Composed of developing economies with promising upward economic trends such as Malaysia,

    Philippines, Singapore and Indonesia, where the last ASEAN member has recently been accepted

    into the G20 circle of economically advanced countries.

    Wide-range of products and services to offer ranging from the agricultural, manufacturing to

    other labor-intensive services.

    A market of 600 million people characterized by young, middle-class and innovative population.

    Consistent track record of peaceful regional diplomacy amidst settlement of regional disputes,

    most specifically, territorial disagreements.

    ASEAN Weaknesses:

    Indonesia as a possible regional leader might deviate from its ASEAN-centric foreign policy

    trajectory and focus more on its G20 membership.

    Existing domestic turmoil in each member-states such as Thailands corruption case against

    President Shinawatra, human insecurity within Laos and Cambodia, terrorism and ethnic

    disputes in Indonesia, Singapores aging population, and Philippines wide developmental gaps.

    Deficiency in assertive stance over settling the claim of South China sea with an intimidating and

    aggressive China.

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    ASEAN Challenges:

    Addressing territorial dispute in South China Sea of ASEAN claimant countries and China.

    Political instability within member countries, such as Myanmar, and civil unrest brought about

    by debilitating consequences of poverty in Cambodia and Laos.

    Asserting regional strength to manage better the political vacuum take advantage by US and

    China.

    Better disaster management/ recovery mechanism since most ASEAN members are vulnerable

    to shocks of natural disasters such as the tsunami incident in Indonesia and Typhoon Haiyan in

    the Philippines.

    Previous agreements, charters and sub-organizations have been established already to support

    the its aim of an effective and functioning regional community, integrated not only based on security,

    but of a deeper and more interdependent economic integration- by 2015 ASEAN wishes to realize this

    plan thru the Economic Community. This paper argues that the success of the AEC relies mostly on the

    member countries willingness to tweak its domestic policies to integrate an entire region in planning

    and managing each owns community. Furthermore, a longer gestation period is necessary for the

    complete implementation of the single market. It would be impossible for ASEAN to eliminate its tariff

    barriers completely by 2015 since its members have varying level of economic growth and performance.

    This paper is divided into three sections, with the first section focusing on the conception of the

    ASEAN in 1967. It seeks to analyze the conditions under the ASEAN was created from and the conditions

    it met as its maturity progresses, until it reached its decision to form the ASEAN Economic Community.

    The second part deals with discussing the ASEAN Economic Community Blueprint and Scorecard. This

    part aims to assess the progress ASEAN has made against what it promised in its blueprint. Lastly, the

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    third section provides recommendations on the challenges that ASEAN will face due to integration in

    and post-2015.

    II. THE ASEAN WAY

    Conceptualization- Infant ASEAN

    ASEAN started with a very modest objective

    which is to, accelerate the economic growth,

    social progress and cultural development in the

    region through joint endeavors in the spirit of

    equality and partnership. Unlike the European

    Union, ASEAN didnt establish structures that

    would function to carry-out economic, cultural

    and securityfunctions, but made it a point to emphasize diplomacy as its foreign policy across all issues,

    even in disputes. Its security threat was almost as challenging as EUS which was wary of a power-

    hungry Soviet and a wounded Germany with a high-probability of engaging into another war, both

    countries cautious of US dominion. Prior and at the time of its conception, political stability as

    threatened within the region as disputes among its members are emerging and tensions are rising.

    Malaysia and Philippines relation were strained due to recognizing which state holds legal claim over

    Sabah. Indonesia just ended its confrontational approach against Singapore and Malaysia. Vietnam

    and Cambodia though were not yet ASEAN members, faced instability due to the aftermath of the

    Vietnam War and the bombing in Phnom Penh. Security wasnt a second-thought but the primary

    engine that served as an impetus, paving the ASEAN way.

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    The ASEAN way, for the lack of a better term, is characterized by peace, mutual cooperation and

    respect. Specifically, the ASEAN ways fundamental principles as stated in the 1976 Treaty of Amity and

    Cooperation in Southeast Asia3are as follows:

    1. Mutual respect for the independence, sovereignty, equality, territorial integrity, and

    national identity of all nations;

    2. The right of every State to lead its national existence free from external interference,

    subversion or coercion;

    3. Non-interference in the internal affairs of one another;

    4. Settlement of differences or disputes by peaceful manner;

    5. Renunciation of the threat or use of force; and

    6. Effective cooperation among themselves.

    To foster reconciliation among Philippines, Indonesia and Malaysia, heavy emphasis is placed on

    being non-critical and avoiding making any criticisms on a co-ASEANs domestic policies. Second,

    pressure was placed on each member to take note of its own domestic turmoil and make significant

    efforts to subdue any unrest, this includes making sure that economic growth is at a steady upward

    trend. This was difficult for Indonesia since civil unrests were threatening to destabilize the Sukarno

    regime during the 1970s and massive protests during the 1997 financial crisis which hit Indonesia

    severely. However, Philippines faced significant economic growth that would rival Korea and Taiwan

    combined.4 Third, to make sure that non-interference of state affairs was assured, agreements were

    mostly non-binding. Though initial cooperation was secured since approval or non-approval didnt entail

    any strings attached, sustaining cooperation all throughout was difficult since no repercussions or

    disincentives were established to deter any non-compliance. Non-ASEAN members like China that was a

    signatory to the code of conduct in conducting claims over South China Sea wasnt deterred to assert

    and be aggressive in its stance that it legally holds control over the entire sea. Lastly, no structural

    3Retrieved from:http://www.asean.org/asean/about-asean/overview

    4Speech delivered by Sec. Cesar Purisima in the IISS Fullerton Lecture on The Philippines and ASEAN: The Road to

    2015 and Beyond. 7 February 2014.

    http://www.asean.org/asean/about-asean/overviewhttp://www.asean.org/asean/about-asean/overviewhttp://www.asean.org/asean/about-asean/overviewhttp://www.asean.org/asean/about-asean/overview
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    arbiter was in placed to settle disputes, soft power or diplomacy was always the way settlement

    should be. Thru these principles, among all regional and international organizations, ASEAN became

    known as most respectful of a nations sovereignty.

    In line with its modest mindset, structures such as rules and regulations, and sub-

    organizations were still established based on the observance of individuality of its members. This means

    that setting up structures were quite slow since unanimous decision to agreements should be reached,

    though this is not explicitly stated in any of ASEANs charters. Moreover, decisions were made not my

    heads of states but by each members foreign ministers who are collectively called as the ASEAN

    Ministerial Meeting (AMM). Responsibilities of the AMM was formulating policies, reviewing policy

    proposals, monitoring and supervising ASEAN sub-organizations, and organizing ASEAN partnerships

    with other regional/ international organizations and countries. Additional to the AMM, was the Standing

    Committee in-charge of overseeing day-to-day administrative tasks and lower-level policy formulation

    and review.

    Part of ASEANs continuous coordination was thru summits conducted within the country that

    hold the current chairmanship post. Less than a decade lapsed since the foundation of ASEAN, the first

    summit was help in Bali, Indonesia in 1976, with a goal of exp anding ASEANs capability to overcome

    regional and domestic challenges. The first summit birthed the Treaty of Amity and Cooperation in

    Southeast Asia. Its a rather concise treaty that aims to highlight (and legitimize) the use of non-coercive

    measures in settling disputes and conducting relations among ASEAN members. Important principles

    are:

    Principle on AMITY:

    Article 3- In pursuance of the purpose of this Treaty the High Contracting Parties shall

    endeavour to develop and strengthen the traditional, cultural and historical ties of

    friendship, good neighbourliness and cooperation which bind them together and shall

    fulfill in good faith the obligations assumed under this Treaty. In order to promote closer

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    understanding among them, the High Contracting Parties shall encourage and facilitate

    contact and intercourse among their peoples.

    Principle on COOPERATION, specifically, in terms of economic cooperation:

    Article 6- The High Contracting Parties shall collaborate for the acceleration of the

    economic growth in the region in order to strengthen the foundation for a prosperous

    and peaceful community of nations in Southeast Asia. To this end, they shall promote the

    greater utilization of their agriculture and industries, the expansion of their trade and

    the improvement of their economic infrastructure for the mutual benefit of their peoples.

    In this regard, they shall continue to explore all avenues for close and beneficial

    cooperation with other States as well as international and regional ~organisations

    outside the region.

    Principle on SETTLEMENT OF TERRITORIAL DISPUTES:

    Article 13- The High Contracting Parties shall have the determination and good faith to

    prevent disputes from arising. In case disputes on matters directly affecting them shouldarise, especially disputes likely to disturb regional peace and harmony, they shall refrain

    from the threat or use of force and shall at all times settle such disputes among

    themselves through friendly negotiations.

    Aside from this treaty, two other mechanisms were also put in place; these are the Declaration of

    ASEAN Concord (DAC) and ASEAN Secretariat. The former stipulates the meeting of heads of

    governments as the highest body of ASEAN, while the latter deals with the daily administrative tasks of

    handling the ASEAN as a regional organization. Following the first summit, successive meetings were

    convened to establish other ASEAN ministers for human development concerns such as labour, health,

    education, information, energy, science and technology and the environment. Furthermore, the ASEAN

    Economic Ministers Meeting (AEMM) was given the supreme authority to decide on economic-related

    plans for the region. The AEMMs independence was prioritized to deter political and social pressures to

    influence the decision of the ministers, making sure that economic plans for the ASEAN considers and

    integrates the corporate identity of each state, minus its political and social bias.

    Part of AEMMs initiative for greater economic integration was the creation of the Preferential

    Tariff Agreement, and agreement on ASEAN Industrial Projects, which involves the private sectors as the

    regions partners. Second milestone for AEM was the creation of the ASEAN Free Trade Area in the

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    summit held in Singapore in 1992. AFTA reinforces the member states initiative to cooperatewith one

    another in trade, to discover potential markets and to maximize the regions growing economies of

    scale. It also outlines liberalization on trade policies, with preferential treatment towards ASEAN

    members to expand investments and production in trade and other opportunities. The summits were a

    reflection of ASEANs recognition of the need for greater cooperation since challenges faced by ASEAN

    are becoming more diverse in nature and in difficulty of finding a solution. Regional institutions were

    put in place every summit, with conscious effort to make sure that these institutions wont undermine

    the member states sovereignty of deciding for their own. Due to this, it can be assumed that ASEAN

    member states were not ready, if not, not willing, to accede to a supranational power and pattern an

    entirety of their domestic and foreign policies based on the agreements made on every summit. The

    reluctance of the ASEAN states to surrender a portion of their national identity to a regional entity

    slowed down ASEANs progress since binding agreements and institutions cant be put in place due to

    fear of encroachment of states sovereignty. Furthermore, ASEANs progress was heavily compared to

    EU, who at that time were making significant progress in integrating with one another, while ASEAN

    was still loosely connected with one another- where connections are usually reconnected every

    summit.

    ASEAN Institutionalization- Weathering the Financial Crisis

    What started out as a localized financial and currency problems of Thailand in June 1997

    became a massive virus that infected the entire of Asia, with negative shocks felt in Europe and America.

    The region was devastated mostly Indonesia where the financial crisis has led to the countrys worst

    political and social unrest. ASEAN, post-crisis had to revisit its foundation and provide a mechanism that

    would allow them to have lesser dependence on extra-regional organizations, such as the International

    Monetary Fund (IMF), through cuts and conditions drove Indonesias economy and political state further

    back. Aside from the financial crisis, ASEAN was also shaken by rapid globalization that left majority of

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    its members left behind. Its economies of scale were being overshadowed by Chinas rise to power in

    terms of trading. Post-Asian crisis was ablaze with serious threats to the economy of ASEAN which

    brought them back to the drawing table and make ASEAN competitive once again. In the years of 1997,

    1998 and 2002, ASEAN made significant agreements that would lead to the creation of a regional

    community, with member states heavily integrated with one another.

    The 1997 Summit in Malaysia conceptualize the ASEAN Vision 2020. The main vision of ASEAN

    thru their Vision 2020 is an outward-looking ASEAN playing a pivotal role in the international fora, and

    advancing ASEAN's common interests. We envision ASEAN having an intensified relationship with its

    Dialogue Partners and other regional organisations based on equal partnership and mutual respect. It

    sees ASEAN as a Zone of Peace, Freedom and Neutrality, which harnesses its human and natural

    resources as main contributors for the regions prosperity and development. Success in terms of this is

    the narrowing of development gaps among the ASEAN members, which is apparent, especially when

    one looks at Indonesia and Singapore against Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam and the Philippines.

    The Hanoi Plan of Action during the Sixth ASEAN Summit in 1998 its the first in a series of steps

    designed to realize the ASEAN Vision 2020: an ASEAN as a concert of Southeast Asian Nations, outward

    looking, living in peace, stability and prosperity, bonded together in partnership in dynamic development

    and in a community of caring societies. Its a 6-year plan with accompanying review and monitoring in

    between implementation. The provisions within the plan of actions were designed to: 1. Strengthen

    macroeconomic and financial cooperation; 2. Enhance greater economic cooperation; 3. Promote

    Science and Technology Development and Develop Information Technology Infrastructure; 4. Promote

    Social Development and address the social impact of the financial and economic crisis; 5. Promote

    human resource development; 6. Protect the environment and promote sustainable development; 7.

    Strengthen regional peace and stability; 8. Enhance ASEANs role as an effective force for peace, justice

    and moderation in the Asia-Pacific and in the world; 9. Promote ASEAN awareness and its stand in the

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    international community; and, 10. Improve ASEANs structures and mechanisms. Ever since its

    conception, the Hanoi Plan of Action is the most detailed and assertive ASEAN agreement that

    showcased the regions desire to innovate from its sovereignty-respecting stance, to a more

    internationally-competitive regional power.

    The 2003 Declaration of ASEAN Concord II or Bali Concord II, served as the seed for the creation

    of the ASEAN Economic Community by 2020 (later amended to 2015). It declares the interdependence

    of the ASEAN economies which would ensure collective prosperity and development for the region. The

    integration would establish a highly-competitive ASEAN region which allows free flow of goods and

    services to realize the reduction of poverty and its dimensions by 2015. Achievement of this need to rely

    on heavy liberalization measures that needs the entire ASEAN states full cooperation. Specific sectors, as

    well as policies need to be enhanced, which would involve, human resources development and capacity

    building; recognition of educational qualifications; closer consultation on macroeconomic and financial

    policies; trade financing measures; enhanced infrastructure and communications connectivity;

    development of electronic transactions through e-ASEAN; integrating industries across the region to

    promote regional sourcing; and enhancing private sector involvement.

    The AEC is among the three communities that ASEAN wishes to adopt by 2015. The other two

    communities are the ASEAN Security Communitywhich reinforces the regions dilemma of security and

    stability thru peaceful means of dispute settlement, the ASEAN Socio-cultural Community which is

    concerned with raising the standard of living of the disadvantaged ASEAN member as well as the ASEAN

    individuals. However, among this three the most challenging and received far more attention is the

    implementation of the AEC. Critics argue that theres little time left for each ASEAN members to prepare

    its economy to integrate with one another. There is a disproportionate incentive for ASEAN which

    means that members which are already experiencing a higher level of trade openness and optimistic

    economic growth would less likely feel the need to integrate with the lesser performing ASEAN states.

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    III. ASEAN Integration

    ASEAN Economic Community Blueprint

    Full implementation of the AEC was initially proposed to happen by 2020 however, ASEAN

    leaders declared that the plans to integrate be accelerated to 2015. The out-ward-looking attitude

    ASEAN wants to project entails an AEC plan that pictures: 1. a single market and production base; 2. a

    highly competitive economic region; 3. a region of equitable economic development; and, 4. a region

    fully-integrated into the global community. The figure below shows a conceptual framework of the AEC

    blueprints with its corresponding

    indicators:5

    1. Single Market and Production

    Base

    Areas of implementation

    for the single market involves 7

    factors, which are: free flow of

    goods, free flow of services, free

    flow of investment, free flow of

    capital, free flow of skilled labour,

    priority integration sectors, and

    food, agriculture and forestry.

    The ASEAN Trade in Goods

    Agreement (ATIGA) has been

    established to cope up with the

    5ASEAN Community Progress Monitoring System 2012. Association of Southeast Asian Nation 2013. Retrieved from

    http://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSI

    ON%20-%20061013.pdf

    http://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdf
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    changing business environment by providing a synergy of tradable goods and services. Coverage of the

    ATIGA document includes business services, professional services, construction, distribution, education,

    environmental services, healthcare, maritime services, telecommunication and tourism. Internal

    committees as well as outsource support have been formed to study on liberalization mechanisms that

    benefit and/or harm both public and private sectors in the liberalization of trades of goods and services.

    2. Highly Competitive Economic Region

    This focuses in providing safety nets as well as enabling mechanisms to protect the industries

    and various sectors that would engage in free flow of trades and services. It includes: competition policy,

    consumer protection, strengthening Intellectual Property Rights, and Infrastructure Development. ASEAN

    wants to make sure that not only competition laws are established domestically; such laws need to be

    synced so as to avoid overlapping of authority. Individuals are also prot ected by establishing regional

    consumer protection laws to make sure that steady demand of ASEAN trades and services will not be

    hampered due to unfair practices by corporations wanting to take advantage of the liberalized policies.

    3. Equitable Economic Development

    ASEAN adheres that there are varying levels of economic performance for each of its members,

    which is why part of the blueprint of ASEAN is to assure that states as well as individuals development

    gaps are narrowed, and ultimately eliminated. This can be done through promotion of Small and

    medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Through SMEs, lesser-equipped individuals can have a source of

    income for their own development. It establishes a curriculum for entrepreneurship to be utilized by

    ASEAN countries, regardless of their economic path.

    4. Global Economy Integration

    As part of its outward-looking mindset, ASEAN has tapped countries and regional blocs for

    partnerships, establishing free trade agreements to gain foothold in trading. Countries that have been

    sought are Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, China and India. Economic integration with these countries

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    will start on trading in goods, since preferential export partners will always be co-ASEAN members. It is

    therefore a challenge for ASEAN countries to innovate their products so as to make sure that it can

    really stand a chance with non-ASEAN competitors who have equipped themselves already with

    technology-based innovations to make their supply of goods more attractive.

    ASEAN Scorecard

    According to ASEANs

    scorecard published in

    2011, it has already

    made considerable

    achievements on all 4

    plans of integration.

    Though equipping

    ASEAN to be a highly-

    competitive region, as

    well as establishing a

    single market still

    needs some work to be

    done to cope up, a

    100% completion for Equitable Economic Development and Global Integration has been achieved

    already.6

    Though its not explicit whether AEC had made the ASEAN countries economy grow positively,

    but substantial statistics have suggest that the region has been making progress lately. By year 2011,

    ASEANspurchasing power has doubled already from $ 2882 in 2000, to $ 5581. This can be seen more

    6ASEAN Economic Community Scorecard. Retrieved from: www.aseansec.org/wp-

    -

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    precisely in Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand, amidst each

    countries on-going domestic turmoil.7

    Figure 1: Progress Report based ON GDP

    In terms of growth in trade in goods and services has doubledas well,from US$ 260.9 billion in 2004, to

    US$ 598.2 billion in 2011. Industries that have benefitted the most from this upsurge of trade are the

    Computer, Communications and Information services. This upward trend of ASEAN collectively is very

    evident even during the 2007 US Financial crisis. In addition, credit rating companies, whether regional

    local or foreign have given positive, if not increased credit rating for ASEAN countries, which would

    enable them to raise their chances of getting higher monetary assistance to fund heavy-investment

    sectors such as manufacturing to aid the regions competitiveness. Moreover, Foreign Direct Investment

    has increased due to a positive forecast of ASEAN with a fourfold increase from US$ 21.81 billion in 2000

    to US$ 114.08 billion in 2011.8

    7Statistics to Track Progress: ASEAN Integration inched up to 2015. Retrieved from:

    http://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERS

    ION%20-%20061013.pdf8Ibid.

    http://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdf
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    Figure 2: Foreign Direct Investment Flow

    Besides progress measured thru income growth, in terms of improved living conditions, though some

    states still belong to the Bottom Billion group and are stuck along and below the poverty line, the

    population of these individuals has declined from 45% to 16% in Cambodia Laos, Myanmar and

    Vietnam.9

    Figure 3: ASEAN Poverty Incidence

    9Statistics to Track Progress: ASEAN Integration inched up to 2015. Retrieved from:

    http://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERS

    ION%20-%20061013.pdf

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    Lastly, the same countries of Cambodia Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam had made substantial progress in

    terms achieving improvement in Human Development, closing developmental gaps with much more

    developed ASEAN members from 25% gap to 23%.10

    Figure 4 Progress on Human Development

    IV. CHALLENGES TO 2015 ASEAN ECONOMIC COMMUNITY 2015

    ASEAN has weathered from its early birth pains up to the ASIAN financial and economic crisis,

    yet there are still issues which the regional bloc needs to address which, if neglected, would run counter

    to its regional-community building in 2015. With less than a year left, ASEAN has to sort out the

    technicalities of the liberalization of trade policies, settle regional leadership, establish unity among

    ASEAN members with diverse political backgrounds, and project an assertive stance over regional and

    international disputes.

    10Statistics to Track Progress: ASEAN Integration inched up to 2015. Retrieved from:

    http://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERS

    ION%20-%20061013.pdf

    http://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdfhttp://www.asean.org/images/2013/resources/statistics/statistical_publication/ACPMS%202012%20PDF%20VERSION%20-%20061013.pdf
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    At the onset of ASEANs conceptualization of the Political, Social and Economic Community,

    ASEAN has already considered the competing policies, legal and political structures of each member

    states that will hinder the realization of the integrated community. In terms of a liberalized trade policy,

    ASEAN members though are not vocal about it, remains reluctant with the benefits they could get from

    integrating with co-ASEAN countries. This isnt just in terms with the level of economic performance that

    each country has, but with the nature of the economy itself. For countries that are already open to

    trade, theres no problem anymore with trading with fellow open-trade economies since they have

    the same policies in place in terms of trade barriers; however, for closed or semi-closed markets, they

    need to revise their trading policies to keep up with their fellow ASEAN countries. Technical working

    groups should be placed more in these countries since they will be the most vulnerable in terms of

    experiencing external shocks from a liberalized market.

    Besides an environment that is conducive for free trade, quality and variety in trading has to be

    secured as well. More or less, ASEAN countries have the same land terrain and environment conditions

    that yield similar crops. Intense competition will persist among ASEAN countries in terms of attracting

    export-partners to buy their supplies. Countries that will fail to innovate and come up with other goods

    for trade incurs sacrifices to compete. Deflated price would of course attract buyers; however with

    deflated price one must ask whether the quality of the product is still the same. Customs policies need

    to be set-up to make sure that none of these will happen. Improper trading among ASEAN countries

    might lead to tensions, severing each others ties.

    ASEAN has already entered into agreements of peace and cooperation with China over the

    South China Sea, however it still remains unimaginable that ASEAN could stand up to an obviously larger

    China. Even if we have US and Japan to aid us, a formal or even a cold war is unthinkable since it will

    counter ASEANs principle of utilizing soft power amidst settling territorial dispute. It is valid to ask

    though if a regional organization such as ASEAN could exist and be significant without engaging in direct

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    conflict with a state, or another regional organization. Will ASEANs absence of a NATO-like army be

    the regions deterrent why it cant be aggressive in pushing for what its members wants?

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