TEN Ltd Tsakos Energy Navigation -...
Transcript of TEN Ltd Tsakos Energy Navigation -...
TEN Ltd
Tsakos Energy Navigation
March 2012
2
Empire State 1,250′
VLCC 1,100′
300,000dwt
Suezmax 900′
150,000dwt
Aframax 850′
100,000dwt
Panamax 750′
70,000dwt
Handymax 615’
50,000dwt
Handysize 570’
37,000dwt
Crude Product
3 12 8 9 6 8
Aframax 850′
100,000dwt
3
Scale & Diversified Operations
LNG
LNG 750′
85,000dwt
1
3
Corporate Highlights – Value Proposition 18 years of profitable operations Public markets experience: 1993-2005 Oslo Stock Exchange, 2002 New York Stock Exchange Since NYSE listing in 2002: Average ROE 13.6% pa, accumulated Net Income of about $1bn
=> Total Capital Gains at $280 million Total Dividends of $346 million paid since NYSE listing (2Q 2002) – approx. $1/share average dividend per year $9.225/share in total dividends against an IPO price of $7.50/share (in 2002) Growth: 4 ships in 1993 – 50 today
One of the largest transporters of energy in the world
Carried 380m barrels of oil in 2011 – the equivalent of about 38 days of current US imports
50 vessels of 5.4 million dwt (proforma): 23 crude oil carriers + 27 product tankers (incl. one LNG vessel) 48 operating 2 under construction
Modern diversified fleet: 100% double hull vs. 93% of world fleet – 7.0 yrs average age vs. 8.5 of world fleet
$3.2 billion investment in 57 newbuildings since 1997
One of the largest ice-class owners in the world (21 ice-class vessels)
Share price at significant discount to Book Value ($19.96/share)
Dividend yield today at about 9.0% - Consistent dividend payments – Dividend sustainability
Tsakos family, insiders and management control about 40% of the equity
VALUE PROPOSITION
SCALE
HISTORY
Market Cap: $308m
Share price at 01/10/11: $6.71
52-wk High (03/22/11): $11.18
52-wk Low (12/30/11): $4.78
Discount/Analyst NAV: 40-50%
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40
50
Ac
tual
Val
ue
Bas
ed o
n Sh
are
Valu
e…
Hidden value
$23.0m per vsl
Pentathlon/Decathlon Sale Price: $51.5m each Total Capital Gains: $6.0m Free Cash: $101m Total ROI: 56.0%
Parthenon / Marathon Sale Price: $39.0m each Total Capital Gains: $14.2m Free Cash: $19.4m Total ROI: 88.2%
Bas
ed o
n Sh
are
Valu
e…
Hidden value
$17.5m per vsl
Hidden Value of TNP stock vs. Actual Market
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10
15
20
25
30
35
45
In USD mill
Actu
al V
alue
Average ROE since 2002: 13.6%
Consistent dividends
Versatile / flexible employment
Active in Sales & Purchase - More than 100 transactions - Realizing actual value - $280m in capital gains
Attractive comparison to peer group
SUEZMAX AFRAMAX
5
Equity value of TEN as of 12/31/10: $1.0 billion
Market Cap today: $245 million Market values TNP as a 15-vessel company – 35 modern vessels at NO value
Virtual Reality…..Valuation Imbalance
The stock market
ascribes no value to
more than half of
TEN’s fleet… ?
* Real market values
as of 3/15/12 Stock market values
as of 3/15/12
LNG $200m $80m
Suezmax $48m $19m
Aframax $37m $15m
Product $30m $12m
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11
23
12
*All based on Clarkson's 5 year vessels
$0.25 $0.25$0.35
$0.50$0.63
$0.83$0.90
$0.30
$0.15 $0.15
$0.10
$0.25
$0.48
$0.55
$0.75
$0.90$0.85
$0.30
$0.15 $0.15
$0.15$0.15
0.150.15
$0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
$1.6
$1.8
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Continuous Dividend Payments
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On June 4th, 2010 the Board of Directors declared a change in TEN’s dividend policy from semi-annual to quarterly payments
Since initiation of dividend payments and including the recently announced quarterly payment, TEN has distributed a total of $9.225 per share to its shareholders (IPO price, split adjusted: $7.50)
The basis of dividends will continue to target a payout ratio of 25% to 50% of net income subject to maintaining an appropriate level of liquidity as a function of a prudent and strong financial position
Semi-annual distributions
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Fleet Operation & Growth
13.6% average ROE pa since 2002 NYSE listing
A deadweight CAGR of 25% since inception (1993)
Competitive operating expenses per vessel per day compared to peer group
Efficient expense maintenance – achieved significant reductions
Net income of $3.9m in 2002 (NYSE listing) – record net income $203m in 2008
=> Accumulated Net Income since NYSE listing close to $1 billion
8 0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Dwt (
in m
ill)
October 1993
4 vessels
0.2m dwt
March 2002
26 vessels
2.3m dwt
Timely Fleet Expansion
Dec. 2011
50 vessels
5.0m dwt
(1) 51% ownership
Modern & Diversified Fleet
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CLEAN / PRODUCT TANKERS
Dwt Built Hull Ice ClassAFRAMAX - LR
1 Proteas 117,055 2006 DH 1A2 Promitheas 117,055 2006 DH 1A3 Propontis 117,055 2006 DH 1A
PANAMAX1 World Harmony 74,200 2009 DH2 Chantal 74,329 2009 DH3 Selini 74,296 2009 DH4 Salamina 74,251 2009 DH5 Selecao 74,296 2008 DH6 Socrates 74,327 2008 DH7 Maya (1) 68,439 2003 DH8 Inca (1) 68,439 2003 DH9 Andes 68,439 2003 DH
HANDYMAX - MR1 Ariadne 53,021 2005 DH 1A2 Artemis 53,039 2005 DH 1A3 Afrodite 53,082 2005 DH 1A4 Apollon 53,149 2005 DH 1A5 Aris 53,107 2005 DH 1A6 Ajax 53,095 2005 DH 1A
HANDYSIZE - MR1 Andromeda 37,061 2007 DH 1A2 Aegeas 37,061 2007 DH 1A3 Byzantion 37,275 2007 DH 1B4 Bosporos 37,275 2007 DH 1B5 Amphitrite 37,061 2006 DH 1A6 Arion 37,061 2006 DH 1A7 Didimon 37,432 2005 DH8 Delphi 37,432 2004 DH
LNG1 Neo Energy 85,602 2007 DH
CRUDE TANKERS
Dwt Built Hull Ice ClassVLCC
1 Millennium 301,171 1998 DH2 La Madrina 299,700 1994 DH3 La Prudencia 298,900 1993 DH
SUEZMAX1 DP2 Shuttle 157,000 2013 DH2 DP2 Shuttle 157,000 2013 DH3 Spyros K 158,000 2011 DH4 Dimitris P 158,000 2011 DH5 Arctic 163,216 2007 DH 1A6 Antarctic 163,216 2007 DH 1A7 Archangel 163,216 2006 DH 1A8 Alaska 163,250 2006 DH 1A9 Eurochampion 2004 164,608 2005 DH 1C
10 Euronike 164,565 2005 DH 1C11 Triathlon 164,445 2002 DH12 Silia T 164,286 2002 DH
AFRAMAX1 Uraga Princess 105,344 2010 DH2 Sapporo Princess 105,354 2010 DH3 Asahi Princess 105,372 2009 DH4 Ise Princess 105,361 2009 DH5 Maria Princess 105,346 2008 DH6 Nippon Princess 105,392 2008 DH7 Izumo Princess 105,374 2007 DH8 Sakura Princess 105,365 2007 DH
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1. Petrobras 15.5% 2. BP Shipping 8.9% 3. Exxon 8.6% 4. Flopec 8.5% 5. HMM 7.8% 6. Stena 4.5% 7. Vitol 4.3% 8. Dorado 3.2% 9. Neste Oil 2.8%
Blue-Chip Clientele – Repeat Business
TOP CLIENTS (2010) - IN TERMS OF REVENUES
Februa
ry-12
March-1
2
April-1
2
May-12
June
-12
July-
12
Augus
t-12
Septem
ber-1
2
Octobe
r-12
Novem
ber-1
2
Decem
ber-1
2
Janu
ary-13
March-1
3
March-1
3
May-13
May-13
July-
13
July-
13
Augus
t-13
Septem
ber-1
3
Octobe
r-13
Novem
ber-1
3
Decem
ber-1
3
Andromeda (HSZ)Byzantion (HSZ)Bosporos (HSZ)
Sakura Princess (AFR)Sapporo Princess (AFR)
Izumo Princess (AFR)Asahi Princess (AFR)Uraga Princess (AFR)
Propontis (AFR)Promitheas (AFR)
Ise Princess (AFR)La Madrina (VLCC)
La Prudencia (VLCC)Salamina (PNX)
Selini (PNX)Ajax (HMX)Aris (HMX)
Amphitrite (HSZ)Arion (HSZ)Arctic (SZX)Maya (PNX)
Antarctic (SZX)Ariadne (HMX)
Eurochampion (SZX)Apollon (HMX)Afrodite (HMX)Proteas (AFR)
World Harmony (PNX)Inca (PNX)
Chantal (PNX)Andes (PNX)
Triathlon (SZX)Euronike (SZX)Spyros K (SZX)Dimitris P (SZX)
Nippon Princess (AFR)Maria Princess (AFR)
Millennium (VLCC)Aegeas (HSZ)Delphi (HSZ)
Didimon (HSZ)Socrates (PNX)Selecao (PNX)
Alaska (SZX)Archangel (SZX)
Artemis (HMX)Silia T (SZX)
Neo Energy (LNG)DP2 (Shuttle)DP2 (Shuttle) UNDER CONSTRUCTION
TIME CHARTER
TIME CHARTER W/PROFIT SHARE
POOL
SPOT
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Earnings Visibility (as of Mar. 2012 – variable rates subject to market)
Var
iabl
e ra
tes
Sec
ured
Em
ploy
men
t
64%
Fixed
As of March. 15, 2012 29 vessels with time charter employment only (profit-share vessels at min. rates) have secured:
773 months forward coverage - $537m in minimum gross revenues
Total Fixed Fleet Average Employment: 2.2 years
Minimum Revenues (Expected)
$144m
Minimum Revenues (Expected)
$175m
50%
Fixed
Remaining 2012 (end Q1) 2013 (1)
Based on employable dates and includes vessels time charter, pools – subject to change based on new deliveries and potential changes in TEN’s chartering policy
Secured Revenues (TC, TC w/PS, Pool)
$319m
(1) Includes delivery and employment of two DP2 Shuttle tankers currently under construction. The first from Feb 2013 and the second from April 2013
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S&P Activity - Integral Part of Operations
Sale & Purchase activity integral to operations – Close to 100
transactions - realizing actual value
Since 2003 TEN has generated capital gains from its sale &
purchase activity close to $280 million
$29 million average per year in capital gains since NYSE listing in 2002
Unprecedented fleet growth
Maintain fleet modernity
Sale & Purchase activity integral to operations
On average approximately 27% of net income in capital gains
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$85m
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$90,000
$100,000
1992
-01
1992
-10
1993
-07
1994
-04
1995
-01
1995
-10
1996
-07
1997
-04
1998
-01
1998
-10
1999
-07
2000
-04
2001
-01
2001
-10
2002
-07
2003
-04
2004
-01
2004
-10
2005
-07
2006
-04
2007
-01
2007
-10
2008
-07
2009
-04
2010
-01
2010
-10
$35m $95m
$125m
9/11
Asian Crisis
Gulf War
Iraq War
1 ye
ar T
/C ra
te (V
LCC
)
$20m
Strategic Growth in Challenging Times
Tapping the Equity markets…with view in growing the company World Crisis
Taking advantage of tanker lows….
4 Vessels 12 Vessels
26 Vessels
40 Vessels
50 Vessels
50 Vessels
$85m
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Financial Highlights
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Strong Profitability
In US$ million except per share and vessel data. Numbers reflect 2:1 Stock Split effected on November 15, 2007
(1) TCE = Revenues less voyage expenses (bunkers, port expenses, canal dues) (2) EBITDA = Net Income + Interest and Finance Cost + Depreciation + Amortization. 2011 EBITDA adds back impairment charges
$179
2.2%
39.6
$0.50
$19.7
$19.8
$322
$408
46.1
2010
$104
-8.8%
46.1
$(1.94)
$5.0
$(89.5)
$381
$395
47.8
2011
$176
3.2%
37.2
$0.77
$5.1
$28.7
$368
$445
46.6
2009
38.038.238.139.638.2W/Av. Shares Out. diluted
$377
23.7%
$5.33
$35
$202.9
$540
$623
44.1
2008
$345
24.8%
$4.79
$69
$183.2
$429
$501
41.7
2007
$303$215$198EBITDA (2)
32.3%31.1%45.5%ROE
$5.15$4.09$3.76EPS, diluted (split adjusted)
$63$45$21Capital Gains
$196.4$161.8$143.3Net Income
$359$260$276TCE Revenues, net (1)
$428$296$318Total Revenues
33.826.127.3Av. Number of Vessels
200620052004Expressed in million US dollars
$179
2.2%
39.6
$0.50
$19.7
$19.8
$322
$408
46.1
2010
$104
-8.8%
46.1
$(1.94)
$5.0
$(89.5)
$381
$395
47.8
2011
$176
3.2%
37.2
$0.77
$5.1
$28.7
$368
$445
46.6
2009
38.038.238.139.638.2W/Av. Shares Out. diluted
$377
23.7%
$5.33
$35
$202.9
$540
$623
44.1
2008
$345
24.8%
$4.79
$69
$183.2
$429
$501
41.7
2007
$303$215$198EBITDA (2)
32.3%31.1%45.5%ROE
$5.15$4.09$3.76EPS, diluted (split adjusted)
$63$45$21Capital Gains
$196.4$161.8$143.3Net Income
$359$260$276TCE Revenues, net (1)
$428$296$318Total Revenues
33.826.127.3Av. Number of Vessels
200620052004Expressed in million US dollars
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Strong Balance Sheet
56%
$1,562
$1,013
$1,429
$223
$134
$2,702
$2,235
$82
$367
$277
2010
56%
$1,515
$922
$1,327
$271
$188
$2,538
$2,302
$38
$288
$176
2011
57%
$1,503
$914
$1,330
$264
$173
$2,550
$2,009
$49
$472
$296
2009
57%
$1,514
$915
$1,423
$190
$92
$2,602
$2,155
$54
$371
$312
2008
59%
$1,390
$858
$1,346
$132
$44
$2,363
$1,900
$170
$276
$181
2007
$1,134$434Total Debt
20062005Expressed in million US dollars
$755$607Total Stockholders’ equity
56%32%Net Debt/Cap
$1,111$382Long term debt, net of current portion
$101$92Total Current Liabilities
$23$51Current portion of long term debt
$1,970$1,090Total Assets
$1,458$711Vessels’ net book value
$261$150Advances for vessels under construction
$223$192Total Current Assets (incl. cash)
$175$146Cash & Cash equivalents
56%
$1,562
$1,013
$1,429
$223
$134
$2,702
$2,235
$82
$367
$277
2010
56%
$1,515
$922
$1,327
$271
$188
$2,538
$2,302
$38
$288
$176
2011
57%
$1,503
$914
$1,330
$264
$173
$2,550
$2,009
$49
$472
$296
2009
57%
$1,514
$915
$1,423
$190
$92
$2,602
$2,155
$54
$371
$312
2008
59%
$1,390
$858
$1,346
$132
$44
$2,363
$1,900
$170
$276
$181
2007
$1,134$434Total Debt
20062005Expressed in million US dollars
$755$607Total Stockholders’ equity
56%32%Net Debt/Cap
$1,111$382Long term debt, net of current portion
$101$92Total Current Liabilities
$23$51Current portion of long term debt
$1,970$1,090Total Assets
$1,458$711Vessels’ net book value
$261$150Advances for vessels under construction
$223$192Total Current Assets (incl. cash)
$175$146Cash & Cash equivalents
Total returns to investors who subscribed to the IPO in March 2002 and reinvested their dividends have been 4.5% p.a. compounded. The Bloomberg Tanker Index (TNP, TK, FRO, NAT, OSG, GMR) returns were -0.5% while for the S&P Index stood at 3.7%
Market Outperform
18
19
Attractive stock valuation
Modern & diversified tanker fleet
No Greek country risk
Earnings visibility
Strong balance sheet
Easy to analyze
Track record - Profitable throughout market cycles
Growth potential
LNG Exposure
Dividend payments
Public markets experience
Ice-class capabilities
Management largest shareholder
Why is TNP Different…
20 Tsakos Energy Navigation, Ltd – 367 Syngrou Av. , Athens 175 64, Greece Tel: +30210 940 7710, Fax: +30210 940 7716 email: [email protected]
TEN Ltd
Company Contact: Paul Durham, Chief Financial Officer [email protected] George Saroglou, Chief Operating Officer [email protected] Harrys Kosmatos, Corporate Development Officer [email protected]
12 years
11 years 4 years
15 years (x 2)
Recent Chartering Activity
Above charters are expected to generate over $800 million in total gross revenues over respective employments….
22
1,847
412
915
444586
12
24
914
186
42
87
124121
110
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
Handies Panamax Aframax Suezmax VLCC
Double Hull Single Hull NB Orderbook
Net fleet increase in the next four years at about 5.0% pa
169 single-hull vessels (263 vessels over 20 years of age) in a total fleet of 4,204 Single-hull vessels not scrapped could be converted to FPSO units or operate in coastal regions
Scrapping backlog – Past healthy freight market dissuaded owners from scrapping older vessels
Source: Clarkson Research Studies, Oil & Tanker Trades Outlook – February 2012 For vessels over 30,000dwt
Num
ber o
f Shi
ps
World Fleet Breakdown (By Vessel Type)
11%
10%
10%
28%
21%
About 4.0% of the fleet Single Hull
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Handysize Panamax Aframax Suezmax VLCC
VLCC 61 45 14 1
Suezmax 65 48 11
Aframax 55 23 9
Panamax 22 18 2
Handysize 99 72 13 2
2012 (Feb) 2013 2014 2015
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Num
ber o
f Shi
ps
Source: Clarkson Research Studies, Oil & Tanker Trades Outlook - February 2012
121
124
87
42
186
Total NBs
560
14
9
24
12
110
Total S/Hs
169
Newbuilding Orderbook (Delivery Schedule)
54% of Orderbook
37% of Orderbook
9% of Orderbook
0.5% of Orderbook
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Handy Panamax Aframax Suezmax VLCC
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 (Exp)
Newbuilding Orderbook on a Downward Trend
Num
ber o
f Shi
ps
Source: Clarkson Research Studies, Oil & Tanker Trades Outlook - February 2012
In Feb. 2012 the Orderbook stood at 13% of the fleet
At November 2011 it stood at 15%
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Demand – Positive Long-Term Outlook
GLOBAL OIL DEMAND
Year Demand YoY Change % Change
2006 85.3 mbpd +1.1 mbpd +1.3%
2007 87.0 mbpd +1.7 mbpd +2.0%
2008 86.4 mbpd -0.6 mbpd -0.7%
2009 85.1 mbpd -1.3 mbpd -1.5%
2010 88.3 mbpd +3.2 mbpd +3.7%
2011 89.2 mbpd +0.2 mbpd +0.9%
2012 (est) 89.9 mbpd +0.8 mbpd +0.9%
Source: International Energy Agency, Oil Market Report, Feb. 2012
Demand (today) – Positive Long-Term Outlook
Tremendous potential of China and India with a combined population of 2.5 billion in a world of 6.5 billion. Their per capita oil consumption is at extremely low levels and have already embarked on an aggressive industrialization program
If China reaches the same levels of consumption per capita as Thailand, Chinese oil demand (based on existing population) would rise to 18 mbpd, an increase of 10 mbpd from current levels
IEA expects demand for oil to continue its recovery in 2012 => 89.9 mbpd +0.8 mbpd over 2011 or 0.9% increase
OPEC crude supply (at 31.4 mbpd at the highest level since 2008
Crude oil storage due to oil contango although narrow at present (in VLCCs, Suezmaxes and Aframaxes) could be a swing factor
IMF revised world GDP growth in 2011, 2012 and 2013, 3.8%, 3.3% and 3.9% respectively
BARRELS OF OIL PER CAPITA PER ANNUM(Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2010)
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12 11
52 1
0
5
10
15
20
25
2010United States Japan EUThailand China (incl. HK) India
26
$12,714
$25,473
$47,250
$9,388
$17,890
$35,500
$26,670
$15,873
$10,134
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
1980-89 1990-99 2000-2009
VLCC Suezmax Aframax
Structural changes and improved ship designs have led to higher base rates over the last three decades
Flight to quality has raised the floor for double hull tankers
TEN’s modern double-hull fleet on the forefront of reaping the rewards
Source: Clarkson Research Studies
Historical Healthy Operating Environment
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$48.0m (2002)
GERMAN K/G
Sold: $55.0m (2003)
Repurchased: $47.5m (2008)
TC Back
Market
Net profit:
$24 m
XYZ SHIPPING CO.
Sold: $51.5m (2009/10)
Total ROI: 56%
Decathlon / Pentathlon Case Study
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are not based on historical fact, including without limitation, statements containing the words “expects,” “anticipates,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,”
“estimates” and similar expressions. Because these forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, there are important factors that could cause actual results, events or developments to differ
materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Such factors include those risks described from time to time in Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd’s (TEN) filings with the Securities and Exchange
Commission, including, without limitation, the risks described in TEN’s most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These factors should be considered carefully and you are
cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. All information is current as of the date of this presentation, and TEN undertakes no duty to update this information.