Technology Forecasting/ Information...

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Technology Forecasting/ Information Dynamics by Amos Epstein, Dan Zelik, Shilo Anders, Tim Jacoby Presented on 11-3-05.

Transcript of Technology Forecasting/ Information...

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Technology Forecasting/ Information Dynamics

byAmos Epstein, Dan Zelik, Shilo Anders, Tim Jacoby

Presented on 11-3-05.

Page 2: Technology Forecasting/ Information Dynamicscsel.eng.ohio-state.edu/.../Predictive_Analysis/Technology_Forecasti… · Technology Forecasting/ Information Dynamics by Amos Epstein,

Potential barriers to analysis:• Ensuring that the most accurate information is found and utilized. • Ensuring that the most up-to-date information is available for use. • Tracking and explaining multiple thought processes and computer

interactions associated with a search. • Entertaining adequate search strategies • Difficulties associated with manipulating and synthesizing data for

testing hypotheses and report generation. • Lack of feedback mechanism for report validity and assessment. • Maintaining connection back to original source document. • Lack of collaboration (on the trees and not the forest). • Too much information to process difficulties of this). • Getting lost in the search (i.e. focusing). • Credibility of sources

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ScenarioA junior general technology analyst is asked to prepare a brief on close of business tomorrow it is 11:00 am:

What are the current wireless communications capabilities in the European Union? What are the wireless capabilities predicted to be there in five years?

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Combinational Keyword Search

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Visual Search Mapping & Search related expansion

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Naturalistic Document Browsing

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