MVNOs and mobile resellers - Commercial and regulatory issues
Technological Change in the Mist - Internet of Business · Regulatory Line Fit •Medium/High...
Transcript of Technological Change in the Mist - Internet of Business · Regulatory Line Fit •Medium/High...
Technological Change in the MistInnovation Directions in the Confusing IoT Platform
Landscape
Saverio RomeoPrincipal Analyst – Beecham Research
IoT Build – 16th November 2016
The Three Waves of M2MAfter-Market Applications
Regulatory
Line Fit
• Medium/High Volume
• Embedded networking
• Low cost per unit
• Increasingly requires international coverage
• Fit with international MNOs and MVNOs
• Medium/High Volume during install
• Embedded networking
• Low cost per unit
• Favours tendering process
• Good fit for MNOs
• eCall a crossover (see note below)
• Low/Medium volume per application
• Add-on networking: retrofit
• Medium/High cost per unit
• Often requires high level of support
• Good fit for MVNOs/resellers Vending
Toll Collect
Meter Reading
eCall
OnStar/
Telematics
Handheld
Tracking
Pumps
Vineyard
Monitoring
Car Wash
Source: Beecham Research
Note: eCall in EU is now a unique crossover of Regulatory
with Line Fit characteristics
Research Approach
DATA
[+] Focusing on Sector needs - securely
[-] Not Enabling Wide Interactions
Service Enablement Services (SES)
1. Examples:
a. Remote enable/disable of devices in the field
b. Managed update of remote devices with application software
c. Storage and processing of remote device data
d. Integration with enterprise systems
2. Why focus on SES?
a. No longer appropriate to sell network airtime on its own without connectivity management (SES service): now a standard offering
b. Without SES, M2M products/services take longer and cost more to get to market
c. SES represents a new revenue opportunity
d. SES likely to become a key differentiator in M2M market
Embedded
Mobile Device
Network
Connectivity
Service
Enablement
Services
Value Added
Services
M2M Service Enablement Services (SES)
Authorisation/ AccessControl
Enterprise System Integration
Location-basedServices
Subscription Services
Identity Management
Technical Support
Connectivity Management (Lifecycle Provisioning)
Portal Service Data WarehousingContent
ManagementData
ManagementData Analysis &
Presentation
Device ManagementApplication
Development ToolsDisaster Recovery Digital Vault
Message Management
Billing Management
Device Data Security Emergency SupportApplication
ManagementPolicy
Management
SES1 – 2009-2010 around 50 services offeredfrom 25 platforms in the market place
SES2 – 2011-2012 more than services offered for a bit more than 50 platforms
Source: Beecham Research
Strong In-house SES Activities
Source: Beecham Research, SES2
During the period of SES1 and SES2 research, there were strong in-houseactivities. But, even then, scalability appeared to be an issue for those projects
IoT Applications
INTERACTION
UNDERSTANDING
CONTROL
INSIGHT
& more
DATADATA
DATA
From the single application (business purpose)
towards a context with several applications and
several datasets
Multi Connectivity Agnostic
Long Range Connections - 2020
Cellular – 65%
LPWA – 25%
Fixed – 9%
Satellite – 1%
Note: The entire set of short-range options are not here considered. Beecham Research is assessing the short-range connections.
Cellular Connections – 2015
Note: At the end of 2015, there were 262 million cellular (2G,3G,4G) connections globally
Source: Beecham Research
Source: Beecham Research
Middleware
for the
Internet of
Things or IoT
Platforms
DATADATA
DATA
The Objectives of IoT Platforms
• An IoT Platform is an intelligent layer that connect the things to the network and abstract applications from the things in order to enable the development of services.
• We want all this because we want to achieve at least three main objectives:
• flexibility (being able to deploy things in different contexts),
• usability (being able to make the user experience easy),
• and productivity (enabling service creation in order to improve efficiency, but also enabling new service development)
A Macro View of an IoT Platform
• As solutions become more complex and mission critical, platforms to support them also need to evolve.
• Need to extend managed environment to the edge.
• Becoming more challenging for enterprise users to ‘grow their own’. Expect more to want to outsource to ‘best-fit’ partner.
• Increasing importance of data management, API management and security.
• Billing is another cross-layer
segment to consider.
Rich Research and Standardisation Environment
Rich and Fragmented IoT PlatfromLandscape
IoT Platforms Different Approaches for Different Contexts
Vertical-CentricDesigning a platform for specific verticals (smart city platforms, industrial internet platforms, smart home platforms, smart health platforms)
Data Analytics-CentricData management services are the core elements. Here, there are companies with strong distributed networking background or analytics background.
Application Development- Centric
The mission is around enabling application development and application monitoring on any type of devices.
Edge Device - Centric The focus is enabling intelligence at the edge.
IoT Developers Focus Facilitating open source IoT development and open source hardware developers (SBC and microcontrollers)
Evolving M2M Platforms towards the
IoT
M2M Platform providers moving towards the IoT enriching their offer (typically device and connectivity centric) towards data management services and application development
Key Elements of IoT Platforms
• Data and connectivity management. Device discovery, authentication, management, and control;
• Context-awareness. Collecting, managing and using contextual information (event processing for example);
• Scalability. Being able to enlarge the deployment of devices, agnostically from the type of devices (importance of drivers and APIs);
• Data analytics and visualisation tools. Being able to analyse different data sources (big versus low data, real-time versus batches, high velocity of data production versus low velocity);
• Interoperability. Being flexible enough to engage with other software solutions and exogenous data sources (IT data for example);
• Security. Ensuring the security, the privacy and the integrity of the data gathered.
• Innovation enabler. Creating ecosystem of users and developers through application enablement suites.
Smart City as System of SystemsSmart City Platforms
• Some examples to watch: Living PlanIT, Toshiba Community Platform, IBM, Plat.One, Prismtech
Smart HomeSmart Home Platforms
• Some examples to watch: Marvel, Qivinoc, Smart Things, Greenwave Systems
Industrial InternetIndustrial Internet Platforms
• Some big names to watch: GE Predix, Siemens + SAP, Bosch, Telit DeviceWise, PTC• Some small companies to watch: Solair, Carriots, Prismtech, Wi-Next
Security and Data Management – Two Key Issues of Development for IoT Platforms
Source: Beecham Research Survey. Same questions in two different surveys 2014-2015
Key Areas of Development for IoTPlatforms
Security
IoT Solutions bring security complexity
IoT Solutions bring interface proliferation
Future IoT applications must break silos (Multi Sector solutions)
Increases in Internal interfacesand associated vulnerabilities
VARYING SECURITY vs THREAT LEVELS
VARYING SECURITY vs ECONOMICS
Variations between Service Sectors OR sooner, SUB SECTORS
IoT Edge Devices Growth
• 5.5bn IoT connected devices by 2020 – Beecham Research forecast• Does not include phones and general purpose devices• Faster growth than M2M to date for solutions that need installation• The Challenge: provide better security with fast growth
Key Areas of Development for IoT Platform
Data Management Services
• The low data and big data IoT will require increasing complex data management services.
• Advanced data analytics will increase become a strategic element of IoT platforms.• Data orchestration (machine-generated data and IT data) is increasingly important.• Not all big data IoT, but also low data IoT.• Increasing importance of edge analytics thought AI• Need of skills.
Searching for Business Models for IoT Platforms
• Currently, there are different business models such as: • A la carte’• Pricing Matrix• Pay Per Device• Pay Per Payload• Pay Per Traffic Exchanged• Commoditazion of certain services• SLA on security and data management services• Consultancy models• Combination of the above
But, the feasibility of any of those has to be proved yet.
Go-To-Market Strategies Key Vertical Covered
Manufacturing is of high interest for many IoT platform vendors. The focus on telcos/MNOs is limited to Cumulocity (High Interest), Plat.One (High Interest), PTC, PubNub, Davra Networks
Go-to-Market Strategies
Indirect Channels
System Integrator
Developer Community
Distributor
Device Vendor
MNO/Telcos
Solution Provider
• Solution providers and system integrators appear to be the most common go-to-market partnerships.
• Large developer community is highly desirable.
• The common approach is a mix of all of those – an ecosystem approach. Desirable, but difficult to manage.
The Developer as a Go-to-Market Enabler
Indirect Channels
Developer Community
In-house Champion
Licencing models and professional services
Subscription models
Developer/s spread the knowledge on the IoTplatform in their company
Commercial agreements between IoTplatforms and company
Building the Developer Community
Community Building Approaches
Instigating the making community (Raspberry PI, Arduino, others)
through tools (such as IoT Builder Tools)
Proposing OpenAPIs and tools for using the APIs
Gathering Developers in Physical Events
Developing Innovation Labs linked to the Organisation
Expanding through Partnerships and Acquisitions
Expanding Platforms through Acquisitions. CISCO and Jasper Wireless, Hitachi andPenthao (Lumada), Amazon and 2lemetry, PTC and ThingWorx and Axeda, Microsoftand Solair.
Expanding Platforms through Partnerships. To expand the set of services. This isparticularly used in the case of data management services (Glassbeam andThingWorx) and application development services (CISCO and Cumulocity)
Sector Expansion through Partnerships and Acquisitions. Partnering with sectorspecialised organisations is becoming critical, particularly for complex contexts suchas industrial plants (Siemens and SAP Hana, Prismtech and AdLink) and smart city(IBM Watson and Living PlanIT).
Funding Expansion through Relocation. There are several IoT platforms relocatingor opening a second office in California in order to move away from the start-upmode. The reason of that is primarily funding. Examples are: Greenwave Systems,Plat.One, Kii, and Wi-Next.
Some Emerging TrendsIoT Edge Analytics. The sophistication of analytics tools requires an increasingspecialisation and skills. There are a number of IoT analytics companies (forexample, Splunk, Glassbeam) working or aiming to working closely with IoTplatform companies.
Fluid Computing. The debate on where the intelligence should be located betweenthe edge and the cloud thrills the IoT community. There are strong cloud-orientedapproaches and more edge-oriented approached through IoT gateway models. Theidea of Fluid Computing is that both can be in place and the user does not need topreoccupy about it. The platform become fluid because its context awarenessenables it to decide if the intelligence should reside at the edge or at cloud level.
Cognitive Computing. The idea is to introduce cloud computing in the edge devicesin order to enable them to understand contexts and take actions.
Social Objects. Social networking-like capabilities to the objects in the Internet ofThings. Developing platforms that enable “friendship” and “friendly interactions”among objects.
What’s the Opportunity?
• It is not inevitable that everything will be connected
• Everyone weighs up the risks and costs versus the benefits
• If the IoT market is going to develop, then adequate security is a key enabler
• Need to Get Real about the numbers
• 20 Billion connected devices in 2020 and trillions of dollars by 2025 is not realistic
• Would require growth rates of well over 100% per annum for all parts of the market
• Cannot be implemented that fast, even if it was all purchased
• Many of these concepts will take a while to take off
• Building for low billions of connected devices – quite enough for now