Technical Analysis - SPC - 080603 - OIR

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  • 8/14/2019 Technical Analysis - SPC - 080603 - OIR

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    MITA No. 028/06/2007

    Please refer to the important disclosures at the back of this document.

    SPC

    S I N G A P O R E Charted Territory

    Ritesh Menon(65) 6531 9807e-mail: [email protected]

    3 June 2008

    More downside ahead

    - SPC has recently corrected from a mid-April peak of S$8.19.

    - We have observed that the price decline was made on the back of rising

    volume, indicating there is more downside ahead.

    - The price move has also broken below the short-term uptrend line as well

    as the 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages, suggesting the currentprice weakness would persist.

    - The continued downtrend of the MACD supports our view of more weakness

    for SPC, however the oversold position of the short-term stochastic indicator

    suggests there could be a minor pause or rebound before the downtrend

    continues.

    - Resistance is set at S$7.50, which was a price consolidation level between

    Oct and Dec 07 and is within a price gap that occurred between 24 and

    25 April.

    - Immediate support is set at S$6.50, a key price consolidation level over

    the last 12 months. 2nd support is set at S$5.20.

    Rating

    NO RATING

    Target Price

    NA

    Last Closing Price (S$):

    6.79

    Last Traded Volume (m):

    3.429

    52 Week Price Range (S$):

    5.19 - 9.05

    Stock:

    Singapore Petroleum Company Ltd

    Stock Code:

    S99

    Bloomberg Code:

    SPC SP

    Data Source: Bloomberg

    Feb M ar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2 008 Feb Mar Apr May Jun

    50 50

    Stochastic Oscillator (28.8462)

    0 0

    Price Oscillator (-0.11974)

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    5.0

    5.5

    6.0

    6.5

    7.0

    7.5

    8.0

    8.5

    9.0

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    5.0

    5.5

    6.0

    6.5

    7.0

    7.5

    8.0

    8.5

    9.0

    2nd SUPPORT S$5.20

    1st SUPPORT S$6.50

    RESISTANCE S$7.50

    50 DMA 100 DMA

    200 DMA

    MOVING AVGs

    SINGAPORE PETROLEUM COMPANY (6.9000, 6.9400, 6.7800, 6.7900, -0.1100), Volume (3,429,000)

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    S I N G A P O R E Charted Territory

    3 June 2008

    For OCBC Investment Research Pte Ltd

    Carmen LeeHead of ResearchPublished by OCBC Investment Research Pte Ltd

    SHAREHOLDING DECLARATION:The analyst/analysts who wrote this report holds NIL shares in the above security.

    RATINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS:OCBC Investment Researchs (OIR) technical comments and recommendations are short-term and tradingoriented. However, OIRs fundamental views and ratings (Buy, Hold, Sell) are medium-term calls within a 12-month investment horizon. OIRs Buy = More than 10% upside from the current price; Hold = Trade within +/-10% from the current price; Sell = More than 10% downside from the current price.

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