TD Securities Wood Products Forum

10
TD Securities Wood Products Forum May 21, 2015

Transcript of TD Securities Wood Products Forum

Page 1: TD Securities Wood Products Forum

TD Securities Wood Products Forum May 21, 2015

Page 2: TD Securities Wood Products Forum

Forward-Looking Statements & Non-IFRS Financial Information

• All financial references are expressed in US$ unless otherwise noted.

• This presentation contains forward-looking statements and estimates.

• Actual company results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information.

• Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.

• Additional information can be found in the Company’s annual information form, annual MD&A, and on Norbord’s website (www.norbord.com) about the material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information, and the material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information.

• During the course of this presentation, certain non-IFRS financial information will be presented. Definitions and reconciliation of terms can be found in the Company’s annual and quarterly MD&A.

2

Notices

Page 3: TD Securities Wood Products Forum

Norbord Snapshot

• Leading manufacturer of wood-based panel products

• Largest global producer of Oriented Strand Board (OSB)

– Installed OSB capacity of 8.0 Bsf-3/8” (1) (2)

– Installed panel capacity (including particleboard & MDF) of 8.9 Bsf-3/8” (1) (2)

– Approximately 2,600 employees at 17 plants across the US, Canada and Europe

• Listed on the TSX (“NBD”)

• Report in US dollars and in accordance with IFRS

• LTM Q1-2015 Pro Forma Sales of $1.5 billion (2)

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Company Overview

North America

Europe

Oriented Strand Board (OSB)

Particleboard

Medium Density Fibreboard (MDF)

Furniture

Europe 20%

Canada 37%

US 43%

8.9 Bsf-3/8” (1)(2)

Panel Capacity by Region

(1) Does not include the 600 MMsf-3/8” Grande Prairie, Alberta Line 2 (“GP2”) expansion project (2) Pro Forma the Ainsworth merger

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Global OSB Industry

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Industry Overview

Industry OSB Capacity (MMsf-3/8”)

0

10

20

30

North America

Europe South America

Asia

Norbord operates in the two significant global OSB producing regions

Source: Company Documents and Other Public Filings

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Kronospan 39%

KronoSwiss 20%

Egger 12%

Sonae 7%

Smartply 5%

Kalavela 4%

Others 2%

Industry Capacity 8 Bsf-3/8”

North American & European OSB Industries

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Industry Overview

Louisiana-Pacific 22%

Georgia-Pacific 19%

Weyer- haeuser

11%

Huber 8%

Tolko 8%

Other 7%

Industry Capacity 28 Bsf-3/8”

North American OSB Industry

25%

Source: Company documents and other public filings – installed industry capacity

European OSB Industry

11%

Norbord is a significant player in both key markets

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US Housing Recovery is Real

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Industry Overview

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015F

US

Ho

usi

ng

Star

ts (

mm

)

US Housing Starts Underlying Demand

Favourable long-term OSB industry fundamentals

US Housing Starts and Underlying Demand

1.5 mm Over-Built

21.4 22.8 24.0 24.8 25.9 26.9 28.0 28.6 29.2 28.4 27.8 27.1 26.9 27.1 28.0 28.3 28.5 28.7

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F

Effective

De

man

d / C

apacity

Cap

acit

y (B

sf-3

/8")

Effective Capacity Mothballed Capacity Effective Demand / Capacity

North American OSB Demand and Capacity

3.7 mm Under-Built

Source: US Census Bureau and Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA); As of April 2015

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Further MIP Ahead Through Identified Merger Synergies

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Business Strategy

Operational Best

Practices Corporate Overhead

Sales & Logistics

Purchasing Savings

Product Specialization

Single Public Company

$45 Million in Annual Merger Synergies (1)

Achievable over 18-24 months

Ainsworth’s Forming Technology

Operational Standardization

Continuous Press Experience

Order File Optimization

(1) Costs to achieve ~50%

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$73

$21 $45

$631

$495

$247

$42

-$60

$0

$107

$45

$188

$287

$90

$139

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 LTM Q1-2015

Synergies

Ainsworth Adjusted EBITDA

Norbord Adjusted EBITDA

Strong Operating Cash Flow Through The Cycle

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Financial Overview

North Central Benchmark OSB Price

$369 $320 $217 $161 $172 $163 $219 $186 $271 $315 $218 $211

US Housing Starts (000s)

1,956 2,068 1,801 1,355 906 554 587 609 781 925 1,003 1,011

Total Adjusted EBITDA (US$ millions)

11-year average: $188 million

(2)

(3)

(1) Pro forma for the Ainsworth merger (2) Includes approximately $45 million of identified annual synergies, achievable over 18 – 24 months (3) Ainsworth EBITDA converted at a period average exchange rate of C$1.13917 / US$

Norbord Sensitivity to North American OSB Price Changes:

+$10/Msf 7/16” = +$58 million(1) Adjusted EBITDA (at full capacity)

Page 9: TD Securities Wood Products Forum

Attractive Investment Opportunity

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Summary

Leverage to unfolding US housing recovery Every +$10 in NA OSB price = +$58 million in Adjusted EBITDA at full capacity

Diversification from European operations and Asian export sales

High quality asset base with low operating costs

Focused customer strategy and strong customer partnerships

Superior margins versus peers

Track record of disciplined capital allocation

Strong financial liquidity and comfortable debt maturities

Page 10: TD Securities Wood Products Forum

Norbord Inc.

Suite 600 One Toronto Street

Toronto, Ontario, M5C 2W4 Canada

Tel: 416-365-0705 Fax: 416-365-3292

www.norbord.com