Tallman August 2010 Budget Slide Show

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    www.RepWillTallman.com

    State BudgetFiscal Year 2010-11Review and Analysis

    State RepresentativeWill Tallman193rd Legislative District

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    State Budget Summary

    Final Spending: $27.84 Billion

    State Funds: $24.94 Billion

    ARRA Stimulus Funds: $2.70 Billion

    General Fund Revenue: $27.65 Billion

    Revenue Collections: -$1.18 Billion (Below Estimate)

    More than $2 Billion in revenue transfers were needed to support this spending plan.

    Reserve funds were exhausted in the 2009-10 budget, specifically the Rainy Day Fund.

    Commonwealth Court ruled that up to $716 Million in funds used to finance this budget

    (MCare and Health Care Provider Retention Account) must be repaid from the General Fund.

    Budget

    Notes

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    Rendell Budget Proposal

    Proposed Spending: $29.03 Billion

    State Funds: $26.27 Billion

    ARRA Stimulus Funds: $2.76 Billion

    Spending Increase: $1.29 Billion or 4.6 Percent.

    Budget

    Notes

    The Rendell Budget proposal assumed a revenue shortfall of $525 Million for FY 2009-10.

    The $2.76 Billion in ARRA funds used to support this spending plan includes $850 Million in

    yet-to-be-approved federal Medical Assistance (FMAP) dollars.

    More than $800 Million in new taxes were included in the governors budget proposal for FY

    2010-11. Although they were not originally intended to be spent in this fiscal year, thegovernor added the new taxes to his spending plan when revenues continued to decline.

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    Final Enacted Budget

    Proposed Spending: $28.04 Billion

    State Funds: $25.29 Billion

    ARRA Stimulus Funds: $2.75 Billion

    Spending Increase: $207.2 Million or 0.74 Percent.

    Budget

    Notes

    As the governor proposed, the final budget assumed the state would receive $850 Million inyet-to-be-approved federal Medical Assistance (FMAP) dollars.

    An additional $30 Million was transferred from various special state funds to help balance

    the 2010-11 spending plan.

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    General Fund Spending: $28.04 Billion

    PreK-12 Education,

    $10.02 Billion

    35.7%

    Higher

    Education,

    $1.96 Billion

    7.0%

    Public Welfare,

    $10.44 Billion

    37.2%

    Debt Service,$1.05 Billion

    3.7%

    Corrections,

    $1.87 Billion

    6.7%

    All Other Spending,

    $2.70 Billion

    9.6%

    NOTE: Funding includes $2.75 Billion in federal ARRA dollars.

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    General Fund Revenue: $26.71 Billion

    NOTE: Revenue only reflects state dollars. Federal ARRA funds are not included in this chart.

    Corporate Net

    Income Tax,

    $1.85 Billion,

    6.9%

    Capital Stock

    And Franchise Tax,

    $767 Million, 2.9%

    Sales and Use Tax,

    $8.34 Billion, 31.2%

    Cigarette Tax,

    $1.09 Billion, 4.1%

    Personal Income Tax,

    $10.12 Billion, 37.9%

    Inheritance Tax,

    $771 Million, 2.9%

    Non-Tax Revenue,

    $1.02 Billion, 3.8%All Other Taxes,

    $2.75 Billion, 10.3%

    * Official Estimate

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    House RepublicanBudget Analysis

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    State Budget Analysis

    House Republican Accomplishments

    Defeating the Rendell Tax Increases: Despite the governors call to increase

    taxes by more than $800 Million as part of his budget proposal for FY 2010-

    11, we were successful defeating all tax hikes in this budget.

    Controlling State Spending: While Governor Rendell advocated for a $29

    Billion budget that increased spending by more than $1.2 Billion, we were

    able to cut $1 Billion from his original proposal.

    Meeting the Deadline: Throughout the budget process, we called for

    cooperative action on the states annual spending plan to ensure it was

    approved by June 30. In turn, the legislature was able to meet the

    constitutional deadline and prevent the type of fiscal pain felt by human

    service providers, educational institutions and non-profit organizations as a

    result of last years impasse.

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    State Budget Analysis

    House Republican Concerns

    Federal Revenues: The budget was balanced at the governors demand on the

    assumption the state would receive $850 Million in new federal Medical

    Assistance funds. Congress recently approved funding, but the state will onlyreceive about $600 Million. Coupled with other federal Medical Assistance

    funding adjustments, the budget now yields a $280 Million shortfall.

    Spending: Despite continued calls for fiscal restraint and our success in

    cutting $1 Billion from the governors proposal, this $28 Billion budget did notgo far enough in controlling state spending.

    Structural Deficit: With the looming loss of more than $2 Billion in existing

    stimulus funds and the potential $716 Million funding hole that will exist if

    the governors appeal of the Commonwealth Court ruling on MCare is lost,

    the state is facing at least a $3 Billion structural deficit in FY 2011-12.

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    Rendell-ProposedBudget Adjustments

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    Rendell Budget Cuts August 2010

    Accounting for Less-Than-Anticipated Federal Funds

    Original FMAP Funding Assumption: $850 Million

    Approved FMAP Funding: $600 Million

    Total Budget Shortfall: -$280 Million

    Budget

    Notes

    To offset the $280 Million budget funding hole that now exists, the governor has proposed

    the following plan: $212 Million in Budget Cuts

    1.9% Across-the-Board Reduction.

    $50 Million Reduction in the Basic Education Subsidys Approved Increase.

    Assumes the enactment of a severance tax to generate $70 Million.

    (Includes -$30 Million in other federal MA funding adjustments)

    House GOP: Throughout the budget negotiations, House Republicans advocated for a contingency plan for the assumedfederal funds in the event they were not approved or approved at a lesser amount. The governor rebuffed this plan.

    (Approximately)

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    Summary of Expenditures

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    PreK-12 Education (As Enacted)

    Funding: $10.02 Billion

    State Funds: $9.36 Billion

    ARRA Stimulus Funds: $654.7 Million (All to Basic Education)

    BudgetNotes

    The states Basic Education Subsidy was approved to provide Pennsylvanias 500 school

    districts with $5.78 Billion a $250 Million increase over 2009-10.

    Special Education funding will remain at the 2009-10 levels of $1.03 Billion.

    Many education programs saw funding reduced in this budget. Accountability Block Grants,

    Pre-K Counts, Services to Non-Public Schools and Public Libraries are among those that saw

    funding reduced.

    STIMULUS IMPACT: The loss of stimulus funds in 2011-12 will result in a minimum $654 Million funding hole in the statesBasic Education Subsidy.

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    PreK-12 Education (August 2010 Update)

    Rendell Budget Adjustments

    Education funding will be reduced by $69 Million.

    The Basic Education Subsidy accounts for $50 Million of the

    total reduced funding.

    Budget

    Notes

    The new Basic Education Subsidy after the governors recent move will total $5.72 Billion.

    This still represents a $200 Million increase over 2009-10.

    While there was a reduction in the approved-subsidy increase for 2010-11, the federal

    government recently approved another $380 Million to support Pennsylvania schools.

    Altogether, Pennsylvania schools are now slated to received $580 Million in new funding from

    the state and federal government.

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    Higher Education (As Enacted)

    Funding: $1.96 Billion

    State Funds: $1.87 Billion

    ARRA Stimulus Funds: $90.9 Million

    BudgetNotes

    All Higher Education Funding for the states colleges and universities remained level funded

    with the 2009-10 budget.

    The Pennsylvania Higher Education Assistance Agency (PHEAA) received $438.7 Million a

    $16.4 Million reduction from 2009-10.

    STIMULUS IMPACT: All higher education institutions will see a funding hole equal to the amount currently received in thisbudget come 2011-12. PHEAA will not be affected, as the agency receives no ARRA funds in this budget.

    PSU: $333.9 Million Temple: $172.7 Million SSHE: $503.4 Million

    Pitt: $168 Million Lincoln: $13.8 Million Community Colleges: $282.1 MillionIncludes $46.4 Million in Community College Capital funding

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    Higher Education (August 2010 Update)

    Budget

    Notes

    Rendell Budget Adjustments

    PHEAA Funding Reduction: -$8.3 Million

    Approved Funding: $438.7 Million

    Rendell-Adjusted Funding (August 2010): $430.4 Million

    Combined with the $16.4 Million in funding that was cut from PHEAA as part of the 2010-11

    enacted budget, the new cuts the governor has proposed will total a $24.8 Million reduction in

    funding from the prior year.

    Nearly $7.4 Million of the newly proposed cuts to PHEAA will come from the Student Grant

    appropriation, which is PHEAAs largest budget line item.

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    Public Welfare (As Enacted)

    Funding: $10.44 Billion

    State Funds: $8.61 Billion

    ARRA Stimulus Funds (FMAP): $1.83 Billion

    BudgetNotes

    The $1.83 Billion in ARRA funds included $850 Million in anticipated FMAP money that was

    assumed in the governors budget proposal.

    Medical Assistance accounts for approximately half of all Public Welfare funding and receivesthe largest portion of ARRA funds coming to the state.

    Since the Rendell Administration took office in 2003, more than 600,000 people have been

    added to the states welfare population through the Medical Assistance program.

    STIMULUS IMPACT: The loss of stimulus funds will leave a budget hole in the Department of Public Welfare for 2011-12.Reevaluation and changes to DPWs budget and administrative operations must be made to help offset the loss in funds.

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    Public Welfare (August 2010 Update)

    Rendell Budget Adjustments

    Rendell-Funding Adjustments in State Dollars: -$57.9 Million

    This proposed reduction would be among the funds needed

    to offset the receipt of less-than-anticipated FMAP funds.

    Budget

    Notes

    While the Rendell Administration assumed the state would received $850 Million in new

    federal FMAP funds in the 2010-11, the state will receive approximately $600 Million.

    Altogether, about $1.6 Billion in federal ARRA funds are being used to balance DPW

    expenditures in the 2010-11 state budget. None of these funds will be available next year.

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    Corrections (As Enacted)

    Funding: $1.87 Billion

    State Funds: $1.69 Billion

    ARRA Stimulus Funds: $180.3 Million

    BudgetNotes

    Corrections has remained one of the fastest growing expenditures in the state budget over

    the last decade.

    Inmate population growth has been a driving factor behind the growth in the correctionsbudget. To date, the states 27 prisons house more than 51,000 inmates 17 Percent over

    capacity.

    Overcrowding has forced the state to send 2,100 inmates to be housed out of state.

    STIMULUS IMPACT: The loss of stimulus funds in 2011-12 will cut $180 Million from the Corrections budget, taking thedepartment back to 2007 funding levels.

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    Corrections (August 2010 Update)

    Rendell Budget Adjustments

    Corrections funding will be reduced by $32.2 Million.

    Approved Funding: $1.87 Billion

    Rendell-Adjusted Funding (August 2010): $1.84 Billion

    Budget

    Notes

    The funding reductions proposed by the governor would cut $26.2 Million from the state

    correctional institutions operating expenses, and it would cut another $4.6 Million from the

    Inmate Medical Care Appropriation.

    Each of these appropriations will still see an increase over what was provided in fiscal year

    2009-10.

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    Debt Service (As Enacted)

    Funding: $1.05 Billion

    State Funds: $1.05 Billion

    ARRA Stimulus Funds: NONE

    BudgetNotes

    Debt Service must be paid annually from the General Fund budget before any other

    expenditures can be financed. General Fund debt service payments are divided among two

    line items: General Obligation Debt Service (Treasury) and a Transfer to the Commonwealth

    Financing Authority (DCED).

    As a result of drastic increases in borrowing under the Rendell Administration, annual debt

    service has increased by nearly $400 Million since 2003.

    The states total debt outstanding to be paid from the General Fund currently stands at more

    than $11 Billion about a $5.7 Billion increase under Governor Rendell.

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    All Other Spending (As Enacted)

    Funding: $2.70 Billion

    Includes funding for the following:

    Budget

    Notes

    Nearly every agency saw overall funding reduced in this budget. The 2010-11 budget marked

    the second consecutive year in which significant cuts were made to agencies and their

    respective programs.

    Of those noted above, only DCED received an increase over the prior years budget. The

    Judicial Branch was level funded.

    Agriculture

    DEP DCNR

    DCED

    State Police

    Labor and Industry Health

    Row Offices

    State House and Senate

    Governors Office Executive Offices

    Judicial Branch

    Partial List of Departments classified as All Other Spending

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    All Other Spending (August 2010 Update)

    Rendell Budget Adjustments

    Implemented a 1.9 Percent across-the-board cut to agencies

    classified under All Other Spending.

    Approved Spending: $2.7 Billion

    Rendell-Adjusted Funding (August 2010): $2.6 Billion

    Budget

    Notes

    Since the state began to yield year-end deficits beginning in 2008-09, the departments and

    agencies classified under the All Other Spending category represent those that have exhibited

    the greatest reductions in funding.

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    Budget-Related Issues

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    Capital Budget

    As part of an agreement between Senate Republicans, House

    Democrats and Governor Rendell, two Capital Budget bills were

    approved along with the General Fund Budget:

    Budget

    Notes

    House Bill 2289: Authorizes the state to issue up to $1.59 Billion in general

    obligation bonds to pay for capital projects during the 2010-11 fiscal year. Italso itemizes $335.9 Million in projects to be funded at the governors

    discretion. (Includes projects honoring Senator Arlen Specter and the late-

    Congressman John Murtha).

    House Bill 2290: Increases the cap on the amount of debt that may beoutstanding at any one time for Redevelopment Assistance Capital Projects

    (RCAP) by $600 Million. This creates a new limit of $4.05 Billion for RCAP

    projects.

    If all $600 Million in debt is issued under House Bill 2290, it will costtaxpayers $963 Million to repay over 20 years.

    House GOP: These measures were widely opposed by House Republicans.

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    Capital Budget RCAP

    Budget

    Notes Since taking office in 2003, Governor Rendell has increased the states RCAPdebt cap by $2.6 Billion, adding to the states growing debt service costs.

    $1,000,000,000

    $1,500,000,000

    $2,000,000,000

    $2,500,000,000

    $3,000,000,000

    $3,500,000,000

    $4,000,000,000

    2003 Act 49 of 2003 Act 67 of 2004 Act 87 of 2005 Act 48 of 2008 Act 48 of 2010Pre-Rendell

    179% Increase in RCAP Debt Allowance

    Under the Rendell Administration

    $4.05 Billion

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    Marcellus Shale Natural Gas Extraction

    As another budget-related agreement, the majority parties in the

    House and Senate agreed to consider legislation in the fall that

    would deal with raising additional revenue from the extraction of

    natural gas.

    Budget

    Notes

    SB 1042 (Fiscal Code)

    It is the intent of the House Majority Leadership and Senate Majority

    Leadership to pass legislation that raises revenue from the extraction of

    Marcellus Shale natural gas by October 1, 2010, with an effective date for

    implementation no later than January 1, 2011.

    Regarding the aforementioned agreement, it is important to note that any future revenue

    generated from Marcellus Shale legislation would supplement existing revenue, as the funds

    are not needed to balance the 2010-11 state budget.

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    Independent Fiscal Office

    Another non-budget-related provision added to the agreement

    dealt with the creation of an Independent Fiscal Office.

    Budget

    Notes

    SB 1042 (Fiscal Code)

    It is the intent of the House Majority Leadership and Senate MajorityLeadership to pass legislation establishing a new independent agency to be

    known as the Independent Fiscal Office no later than October 1, 2010, with

    an effective date for implementation no later than January 1, 2011.

    A similar proposal is found in Senate Bill 1, which calls for a fiscal office to fulfill the

    following responsibilities relative to the state budget:

    Prepare Revenue Estimates

    Analyze Executive Budget Proposal

    Monitor State Taxes

    Develop Performance Measures

    Provide a Baseline Budget

    Assess the States Fiscal Standing

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    PennsylvaniasFinancial Outlook

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    Budget

    Notes

    Loss of Stimulus Funds

    The loss of ARRA stimulus funds will cut more than $2.5 Billion from the

    revenues available to balance the state budget in 2011-12.

    General Fund Revenue

    $26.71 Billion

    ARRA Stimulus Funds

    Basic Education: $655 Million

    Higher Education: $91 Million

    Corrections: $180 Million

    *Public Welfare: $1.6 Billion

    Total: $2.5 Billion

    * ARRA funds for DPW are based on

    estimates and are subject to change.

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    Budget

    Notes

    General Fund Revenue Collections

    Even if state tax revenues realize a 3 Percent growth in 2010-11, the state willbegin the 2011-12 Fiscal Year with a tax revenue base less than that of 2006-07.

    $14.000

    $16.000

    $18.000

    $20.000

    $22.000

    $24.000

    $26.000

    $28.000

    2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11*

    BillionsGF Tax Revenue

    GF Non-Tax Revenue

    Estimate

    2009-10: Included $2.1 Billionin Fund Transfers

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    Pension Spike and Future Costs

    The states two pension systems (SERS and PSERS) are facing a

    multi-billion dollar unfunded liability.

    Budget

    Notes

    The Effect of the RecessionThe recession prompted major losses in the states pension systems

    investments. PSERS alone yielded a 26.9 Percent loss in assets during 2008-09as a result of the economic decline. With about 77 Percent of the states

    pension funds coming from investments, the recession has been a significant

    factor in the states pension funding concerns.

    In June, House Republicans were successful in adding key pension reforms to House Bill

    2497. The reforms would help the state and school districts better control future pensioncosts. The bill is now before the state Senate.

    Employer Contribution Rates for 2010-11PSERS: 5.64 Percent (2009-10 Rate was 4.78 Percent)

    SERS: 5 Percent (2009-10 Rate was 4.0 Percent)

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    House RepublicanEfforts and Solutions

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    House Republican Efforts and Solutions

    Revenue Solutions / Cost-Savings Options

    Budget

    Notes

    Privatize the states liquor stores.

    Better management of the states vehicle fleet.

    Process other states SSI Payments.

    Expanding purchasing power P-Cards.

    Correct tax refund errors. Merge PennDOT and the PA Turnpike Commission.

    Over the last several months, House Republicans have unveiled a list of

    proposals that could account for billions of dollars in combined new revenue

    and cost-savings all without increasing taxes. These proposals include but

    are not limited to the following:

    2010-11 Budget

    The House GOP plans relating to P-Cards and tax refund errors were used in the 2010-11

    budget as an alternative to new taxes. Greater use of these would lead to greater savings.

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    House Republican Efforts and Solutions

    Eliminating Documented Waste, Fraud and Abuse

    Budget

    Notes

    Auditor General Jack Wagner has issued multiple audits citing rampant

    waste, fraud and abuse in the Department of Public Welfare that was first

    brought to light by House Republicans.

    An audit of DPWs Medical Assistance program cited a 14 Percent error rate

    in determining MA eligibility among 12,000 applications in 2009 (53 counties).

    The Auditor General has cited a possible savings of approximately $320

    Million by reforming DPWs administration of this program.

    Given the massive increase in the states Medical Assistance population under Governor

    Rendell 660,000-plus have been added for an increase of 44 Percent it is necessary to

    question the departments operations given the Auditor Generals findings.

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    House Republican Efforts and Solutions

    Guidelines for the Future

    In order to prepare for the future and help rebuild Pennsylvanias struggling

    economy, House Republicans believe we must follow the following plans:

    Control Spending: For years, the Rendell Administration has increasedspending at a faster rate than state revenues could grow. We need to ensure

    future budgets spend only what we can afford.

    Foster Job Growth: Pennsylvania ranks among the most non-business-friendly

    states in the nation. In recent years, taxing businesses and job creators has

    been the Rendell Administrations solution to revenue concerns. We mustreverse this trend and create a more business friendly and regulatory climate.

    Increase Efficiencies: The state needs to reevaluate programs and services to

    eliminate those that are no longer needed, consolidate those that are

    duplicative and enhance those that have already proven to be successful.