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Taking the Economy’s Measure: Old Favorites, Hidden Gems, and New Products
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Transcript of Taking the Economy’s Measure: Old Favorites, Hidden Gems, and New Products
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Taking the Economy’s Measure: Old Favorites, Hidden Gems,
and New Products
J. Steven Landefeld, DirectorMarch 29th, 2014
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Old Favorites
▪ National Data: GDP Personal income and consumer spending
▪ International Data: Trade in goods and services (trade deficit) International transactions/balance of
payments (current account deficit)▪ Regional Data:
State personal income▪ Industry Data:
Travel and tourism
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Old Favorites: Drilling Down Below the Top Line
▪National: GDP = C+I+G+(X-M) with thousands
of underlying nominal, price and real series Supporting analytic tables, from
contributions to real GDP growth and market-based PCE prices to the Recovery and Affordable Care Acts
GDI, Personal Income, Saving and Investment, Final Sales, and Gross Domestic Purchases: Lots of underlying detail
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Old Favorites: Drilling Down Below the Top Line
International: 194 country detail, MNC’s and
offshoring, U.S. international assets and liabilities, and detailed Foreign Direct Investment data
Regional: Comprehensive and consistent data on
50 states, 381 metro areas, and over 3000 thousand counties.
Industry: Annual input-output and industry
accounts detailing linkages throughout the economy
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New tools
▪ i-tables Custom charts Multiple format downloads (xls, csv,
pdf)▪Custom regional maps
GDP, quarterly SPI, County Personal income
▪BEARFACTS Statistical fact sheet on states,
county and MSAs
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Understanding the March 2013 increase in consumer spending. Let’s
drill down…
From Personal Income & OutlaysPress Release…
*For ease of illustration, only largest contributing services categories and subcategories shown here.
From Table 2.4.6U*
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Digging deeper: Taxes
Total federal taxes as a share of GDP*
Personal income taxes as a share of Personal Income
*Includes personal payroll and income taxes, and corporate taxes
Avg: 17.8%
Avg: 11.9%
Source: BEA NIPA tables 1.1.5, 2.1 and 3.2
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Digging deeper: Government Spending
Source: BEA NIPA tables 1.1.5 and 3.2
* Includes current consumption expenditures, transfer payments to persons and rest of world, grants to state & local governments, interest payments and subsidies.
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Digging deeper: Using the Contributions Table to Measure the Direct Impact of
Recovery Act
Source: BEA NIPA table 1.2
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Digging deeper: Chinese imports
Import share of GDP, 2013Import share of
Gross Domestic Purchases, 2013
$455 billionor 2.7% of GDP
$455 billionor 2.6% of
Gross Domestic Purchases
U.S. GDP $16,797 billion U.S. Gross Domestic Purchases $17, 294 billion
Source: BEA Balance of Payments data & NIPA table 1.4.5
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Digging deeper: Who owns America?
Trillions of dollarsInternational Investment Position, 2012
2% of U.S. Net Worth
Source: BEA International Investment Position Statistics and Integrated Macroeconomic Accounts
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New Products
R&D and Intellectual Property Accrual-based Pensions Quarterly Integrated FRB-BEA Accounts,
International Investment Position Quarterly GDP by Industry Annual Integrated BLS-BEA Industry
Level Production Accounts Distribution of income and spending Real State Personal Income & Prototype
PCE by State Accelerated local area data Economic Sustainability Indicators
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Examples of Newly Available: Inflation Adjusted Personal Income
by RPPsAverage annual growth, 2009-2011
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Prototype Quarterly GDP by Industry
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Prototype Quarterly GDP by Industry
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Prototype Quarterly GDP by Industry