Tacloban geohazard assessment report [11.28.13]

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Geohazard Assessment of Leyte Province DOST - Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazards

Transcript of Tacloban geohazard assessment report [11.28.13]

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Geohazard Assessment of Leyte ProvinceDOST - Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazards

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BACKGROUND• Supertyphoon Yolanda (international name Haiyan)

• Tacloban City, Leyte

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Yolanda’s typhoon path moving west north west

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Location Map of Leyte Province. Leyte is highlighted in red. Tacloban is highlighted in blue, while Eastern Visayas (Region VIII) is in yellow.

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Tacloban Demographic Data

Image of Tacloban and its surrounding municipalities

2012 Census of Population and Housing (CPH, 2013a)

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Materials Used in Building the Occupied Housing Units in Tacloban

Outer Walls

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Materials Used in Building the Occupied Housing Units in Tacloban

Roofing

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Soil Map for Leyte Province

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STORM SURGE SIMULATIONThe JMA Storm Surge Model is a numerical model developed by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) to simulate and predict storm surges mainly caused by tropical cyclones.

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Storm trackMaximum wind speed, Central atmospheric pressure, Bathymetry.

Parameters for Storm Surge Modeling

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JMA Storm Surge Model of Yolanda

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Highest predicted storm surges for November 8, 2013 1:00 pm.

http://blog.noah.dost.gov.ph

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NOAA Comet Program Difference between a storm surge and storm tide.

NOAA Comet Program difference between a surge on a steep seafloor and gently-sloping seafloor.

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Storm tide height for San Juanico Strait, Tacloban City

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Storm Surge Hazard for North of Leyte (READY PROJECT)Source: http://www.geoportal.gov.ph/ (5:01 PM – 09-25-13)

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Rain-Induced Landslide Hazard Map for North of Leyte (source: MGB)Source: http://www.geoportal.gov.ph/ (5:25 PM – 09-25-13)

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SHALLOW LANDSLIDE SUSCEPTIBILITYSIMULATION

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Shallow Landslide Susceptibility Map for North of Leyte

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STRUCTURALLY-CONTROLLED LANSLIDE SIMULATIONColtop3D – simulates a 3D model of the DEM showing the dip and dip direction of its different discontinuity sets.Matterocking - computes and estimates the locations where rock instabilities can occur based on the identified discontinuity sets that allow sliding

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Potential Rockslide Zones of Tacloban City, Leyte

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ALLUVIAL FAN AND DEBRIS FLOW SIMULATION

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• Based from the apex of the alluvial

fan in the municipality of Kananga,

Leyte, a total of 13 barangays are at

a risk of debris flows.

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Landslide Inventory Map for Leyte

Province

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AbuyogAlangalang

AlbueraBontoc

DagamiHindang

HinunanganKanangaLibagon

LiloanMahaplag

MalitbogMatalom

MeridaOrmoc City

Padre BurgosSilagoSogod

St. BernardTacloban

Tomas Oppus

0 5 10 15 20 25

Number of Landslides per Municipality

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Abuyog

Albuera

Dagami

Hinunangan

Libagon

Mahaplag

Matalom

Ormoc City

Silago

St. Bernard

Tomas Oppus

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

% Area Affected

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Inventory of Landslides in Leyte

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Landslide Statistics Map for Leyte

Province

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SHALLOW LANDSLIDE SUSCEPTIBILITYSIMULATION

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Shallow Landslide Susceptibility Map for North of Leyte

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STRUCTURALLY-CONTROLLED LANSLIDE SIMULATIONColtop3D – simulates a 3D model of the DEM showing the dip and dip direction of its different discontinuity sets.Matterocking - computes and estimates the locations where rock instabilities can occur based on the identified discontinuity sets that allow sliding

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Potential Rockslide Zones of Tacloban City, Leyte

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Portion of Leyte and Southern Leyte Potential Rockslide Zones

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Saint Bernard, Hinunangan, Libangon and Liloan Potential Rockslide Zones

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Guinsaugon Area Potential Rockslide Zones and Rock Mass Propagation Extent