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Transcript of Svc Wireless Final
Jefferies & Company, Inc.
Wireless Investing – A Wall Street Perspective
SVC Wireless Technology Association June 24, 2006
CONFIDENTIAL DRAFT
The Global Investment Bank Of Choice For Growth Companies
A leading institutional brokerage and investment banking firm – led by one of the most powerful capital markets trading platforms in the industry
The Leading Sales and Trading platform for NASDAQ stocks
#1 High Yield underwriter (under $150 million) Leading emerging growth equity research Most rapidly growing full service investment bank on
Wall Street
Technology Group of Jefferies with over 90 tech bankers
Highly differentiated approach to the market with dedicated sector teams globally focused on full-service relationship banking
Jefferies Broadview is the M&A platform of choice in technology
– Since 1998 Jefferies Broadview has advised on 440 technology transactions globally worth approximately $67.3 billion
Technology Group(Jefferies Broadview)
Jefferies
(1) Wall Street Journal, March 2004.(2) Market Capitalization as of May 10, 2006.(3) Revenue represents FY2005 ending December 31, 2005.
Austin
San Francisco Los Angeles
Dallas Houston
New Orleans
Chicago Nashville
Atlanta Richmond
Boston
Stamford New York Jersey City Washington
London Paris Zurich
Tokyo
Sydney**Melbourne**
Silicon Valley Israel*
Waltham
Hong Kong*
Shanghai
New Delhi
Publicly-held (NYSE:JEF)
The #1 performing stock price of investment banks over the past 10 years(1)
$4.0 billion market capitalization(2)
$1.5 billion in annual revenue(3)
Over 2,000 employees in 27 offices worldwide
50%+ Employee Owned
Cities in red indicate Jefferies Broadview locations, * Affiliates
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
4/22/99 11/22/99 6/22/00 1/22/01 8/22/01 3/22/02 10/22/02 5/22/03 12/22/03 7/22/04 2/22/05 9/22/05 3/20/06
Investment Dealers Digest
2005
Middle Market
Bank of the Year
2005
Middle Market
Bank of the Year
1
Jefferies Delivers The Full Spectrum Of Products And Services To Technology Clients
Investment Banking
Leading banking franchise focused on high growth companies with over 400 Investment Bankers (nearly 100 in technology) in over 20 offices worldwide
Equity Offerings – Completed over 230 IPO and Follow-on offerings, raising over $40B since 2000
M&A – Ranked #1 in technology M&A advisory assignments in 2006YTD, 2005 and 2004(1)
Private Equity - Regular dialogue and relationships with over 250 financial sponsors
Restructuring - Restructured approximately $150 billion in securities and liabilities
Equity
Over 135 account executives cover over 2,200 institutional accounts; make markets in over 4,000 stocks
#2 YTD volume trader of NASDAQ and OTC stocks; #3 trader in 2005(2); handle over 10% of NYSE volume; top 5 trader in nearly 2,000 NASDAQ stocks
Over 100 research analysts covering over 700 companies
Debt
Dedicated high yield team of over 40 experienced senior professionals
Integrated sales, trading, research, capital markets and banking functions
#1 underwriter of mid-cap high yield debt(3); led by team that joined Jefferies Broadview from Drexel Burnham Lambert
Investm
ent B
ankin
g
Equity
Asset ManagementDebt
Cash Managemen
tCapital Partners High Yield
PrivatePlacements
Structured Finance
Trading
Sales
Research
Capital Markets
IndustryCoverageMergers
andAcquisitions
FinancialSponsors
Restructuring
Private ClientServices
Offers A Full Suite Of Investment Banking Products And Services To Serve High Growth Companies Throughout The
Corporate Lifecycle
(1) Source: SDC, 1/1/2005 - 12/31/2005.(2) Source: Autex, 1/1/2005 - 12/31/2005 (2005), 1/1/2006 – 5/19/2006 (YTD). (3) Source: SDC, 1/1/2005 - 12/31/2005.
Asset Management
Private Client Services / Cash Management – advisory, portfolio management and customized financial solutions
Jefferies Capital Partners - more than $685 million in private equity funds under management
2
CHF80,000,000
Co-Manager
Initial Public OfferingJoint Book Runner
$1,803,000,000
SMIC
*
Considerable Asian Investment Banking Experience
Japan
Korea
* Transaction completed by team at previous employer
Greater China
$62,000,000
has been acquired by
$106,000,000
Initial Public OfferingCo-Manager
$80,600,000
Initial Public OfferingCo-Manager
China Finance Online Co. Limited
$165,100,000
has divested its Handset Division to
has divested certain manufacturing assets to
Confidential
formerly the graphics unit of
Confidential
has restructured its Digital Media Business and Merged
its Graphics Business with
Initial Public OfferingSole Book Runner
$92,479,037
*Silicon Motion
Initial Public OfferingLead Book Runner
$71,454,555
*
$30,000,000
has sold certain mobilecomputing assets to
has completed aSeries C Round of
Financing
Pequot CapitalNational SemiconductorPericom Semiconductor
and other investors$37,000,000
has divested itsbroadcasting equipment
subsidiary TV/COMInternational, Inc., to
Confidential Confidential
has been acquired by
HK$ 882,000,000
Och-Ziff Capital Management
速达软件Superdata Software
速达软件Superdata Software
India
has agreed to be acquired by
Financial Advisor to the Seller
$324,000,000
Access Co. Ltd.
Confidential
has been acquired by has been acquired by
$90,000,000
Financial Advisor to the Seller
has been acquired by
Confidential Confidential
has made a minority investment in
Uniccs Co. Ltd.
has sold a minority interest to
Confidential
Confidential
has sold a minority stake to
$450,000,000
has acquired
$38,000,000
has acquired
has been acquired by
Softbank
Kingston Technology Corporation
Confidential
has been acquired by
Softbank
$30,000,000
has made a minorityinvestment in
SunUp DesignSystems, Inc.
Electronics Inc.
Confidential
$34,500,000
Convertible Bond PlacementSole Manager
$28,750,000
Convertible Notes OfferingSole Manager
$32,200,000
Convertible Notes OfferingSole Manager
$38,000,000
Co-Manager
$50,000,000
Co-Manager
$34,500,000
Convertible Bond PlacementSole Manager
$139,800,000
Initial Public Offering (ADS)Co-Manager
has been delisted from the Hong Kong GEM in a
management-led buyout sponsored by
Initial Public OfferingCo-Manager
Initial Public OfferingCo-Manager
Initial Public OfferingCo-Manager
Sole Placement Agent$13,000,000
Ambow Education
has sold a minority stake to
$80,500,000
Convertible Bond PlacementSole Manager
$50,000,000
Convertible Notes OfferingSole Manager
$45,000,000Convertible Notes Offering
Sole Manager
Nahar Industrial Enterprises Ltd.
$33,000,000Convertible Notes Offering
Sole Manager
The Simbhaoli Sugar Mills Limited
$50,000,000
Convertible Notes OfferingSole Manager
$160,813,125
Initial Public OfferingCo-Manager
$30,000,000
Convertible Notes OfferingSole Manager
¥11.3 billion$100,000,000
Convertible Notes OfferingInternational Financial Advisor
$160,000,000
has been acquired by
3
Representative Asian Investment Banking Services
Mergers & Acquisitions Advisory
– Buy-side or sell-side cross border M&A advisory Examples:
Japan: PalmSource/Access, Airborne/Cybird, Zingy/For-Side China: Ross Systems/CDC, Audiovox/UT Starcom Korea: Integrant/ADI
– Private equity/hedge fund sponsored buyouts Example: Superdata Software delisting from HK stock market
Equity, Equity-Linked and Debt Financings
– IPO listings: U.S. NYSE/NASDAQ, London AIM/Euronext, Japan Mothers Examples:
China: China Finance Online (U.S.), Ninetowns (U.S.) Japan: Gung Ho (Japan), Cybird (Japan) India: Patni (India & U.S.)
– Convertible financings Examples:
India: HEG (Euro), GHCL (Euro), Bilcare (Euro)
– High yield and bank debt financing
Jefferies provides Asian clients with the same broad range of investment banking services offered to U.S. and European clients
4
Mobile Media Industry Overview
5
Robust Subscriber Fundamentals Continue To Drive The Wireless Market Forward…
(1) Source: IDC December 2004(2) Source: Morgan Stanley(3) Source: Yankee Group 2005(4) CAGR referes to total wireless data revenue growth.
508
560
606645
676
$400
$450
$500
$550
$600
$650
$700
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
CAGR=7.4%
Worldwide Service Revenue (USD Billions)(1)
Global Wireless Subscribers (In Billions)(1)
1.651.86
2.032.19 2.31
1.001.201.401.601.802.002.202.40
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Data Revenue as a Percentage of North American Wireless Carrier Revenue(3),(4)
Average Minutes of Use (MOU)(2)
199 204209 214
219
175
200
225
250
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
CAGR=8.8%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
CAGR=51.2
%
6.38.6
11.4
14.0
16.5
CAGR=2.4%
6
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
$40,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
$9,194
$14,563
$20,922
$27,801
$33,331$37,690
…And Investments Are Plowing Into The Mobile Entertainment Market, A Multi-Billion Dollar Opportunity!!
Global mobile entertainment revenues ($ million)
CAGR 32.6%
04 - '09 CAGR
Games 3,140 5,596 9,042 12,837 15,882 18,497 42.6%
Music 3,576 4,974 6,304 7,739 8,700 9,318 21.1%
Sports/Infotainment 2,477 3,992 5,575 7,225 8,748 9,875 31.9%
Total 9,194 14,563 20,922 27,801 33,331 37,690 32.6%
Source: Juniper Research Limited, "Mobile Entertainment Content Series," 2nd Edition, February 2005
Growth Drivers:
Pricing decreases for devices with mobile media capabilities will accelerate mass-market growth.
Carriers seek to provide innovative content in order to reverse declining ARPU trends.
Next-generation networks will gain predominance in the near future.
Carriers will continue to develop mobile payment plans such as “mobile wallets” and “virtual lockers”.
7
Globally, All Key Players Are Actively Addressing The Multimedia Content Space And Convergence Has Begun…
Entertainment and Media
Key Strategies: Leverage content portfolio into mobile space Drive licensing relationships between developers
and publishers towards providing rich, interactive mobile media
Infrastructure
Key Strategies: Create enabling end-to-end solutions Allow carriers to use multimedia apps for differentiation Push multimedia applications to drive high-end
devices/advanced network solutions
Mobile Carriers
Key Strategies: Leverage multimedia applications to drive
ARPU and data usage rates Maintain customer relationship
Interactive Media
Key Strategies: Aggregate/leverage content into mobile channel Partner to deliver email, messaging, ring tones, games, etc.
8
…But In China, the Wireless Value-Added Service Market Has Already Converged And Is Growing Rapidly…
Rapid Growth From Virtually Zero to $1BN+ in Under 4 Years– Currently accounts for approx. 50% of China Internet revenue – 300MM+ SMS messages in 2005– WVAS expected to be $1.6 billion market in 2007(1)
Wired/Wireless Chinese Internet Has Demonstrated Crossover
Chinese WVAS Market Is Tremendously Competitive
– Over 4 pure-play NASDAQ listed WVAS and 2,000 SPs(2)
Chinese Internet Market Landscape
China WVAS Market(1)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2004 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E
Sal
es (
US
$)
(1) Source: Jefferies and Street estimates. Does not include carrier revenue. (2) Source: China Mobile, April 2005
Wireless Media Wired Media
Wireless Value Added Service Providers
eCommerce Companies
Online Ad Companies
Online Game Providers
China Wireless MarketOverview
Wireless subscribers outnumber wired subscribers
400MM+ mobile users (#1 globally) but only 30% penetration
100MM+ Internet users (#2 globally) but less than 10% penetration
CAGR: 19%
Wireless Operators
9
…But Risks of Disintermediation and Operator Dependence Weigh Heavily on the Business Models of Typical WVAS CPs And SPs…
Risk 1a: DisintermediationFaced primarily by SPs who risk being squeezed out of the equation by both CPs and mobile operators
Risk 1b: Too Far from End-UserAs goal for CPs should be to capture more of the value chain by getting closer to their customers, middlemen risk being cut out as CPs develop ways to go direct to the end-user
Risk 2: Operator DependenceFaced by CPs and SPs alike in that mobile operators currently possess significant control over how content and applications are marketed, distributed, and paid for
Generic / Shared Content
Channels
CP 2
World Wide Web
Consumers
Risk 1a: Disintermediation
Risk 2: Operator Dependence
Risk 1b: Too Far from End-User
SP 1
CP n
CP 1
SP 2
400MM+ mobile; 100MM+ desktop
e.g., Mobile Operators, Desktop,
IPTV, Cable, etc.
e.g., SINA, Namco, Gamevil…and hundreds of thousands of companies
e.g., KongZhong, Tom Online,
Linktone, Hurray!...and 2,000
other SPs!
10
…As Evidenced By Recent Mobile Operator Moves
Chinese Operators Aren’t Ignorant!
– Won’t make the same mistakes of their U.S. / European counterparts
– Likely to capture as much of the value chain as possible
Market Will Continue To See Volatile Operator Policy Changes
– China Mobile recently imposed policy changes in 2006 Double confirmation for SMS, IVR, WAP before payment No subscriptions and charging for message move to fixed month fees No renewal of provincial licenses regarding Instant Messaging
(Tencent, Netease, Sina, Tom)
Chinese WVAS Providers Have Substantial Disintermediation Risk
– Dependent on operators for distribution and CPs for content
3G Will Reshuffle The Deck
– Represents opportunity for Chinese to create hybrid voice/data companies similar to Asian counterparts (e.g., SK Telecom - Korea, NTT Docomo - Japan)
11
Strategic Observations
Market is Huge…But Supremely Competitive
– Dynamics will likely be repeated in other sectors of China Internet
– No free lunch!
Industry Growth Potential Relies More on Up-Sell
– Highways are built and now is time to monetize traffic
Disintermediation Will Occur Rapidly
– 3G upgrade will reshuffle the deck
– Public company pressures on operators and competitive forces will likely drive consolidation faster than in the U.S.
Where Is the Smart Money Going?
– Operators
– Out-of-Network Distribution Channels (e.g., TV, Kiosks, Slim Devices)
– Proprietary Content
– Large Scale Distribution Platforms With Proprietary Content
12
Mobile Media Investment Overview
13
Venture Investment In Chinese Companies Remains Hot
Total VC Investment In Chinese Companies Since 2002 (US$millions)
Source: Zero2IPO
Key Trends
- Technology continues to attract the most investment
- Increase in average deal size
- Money continues to flow into China but demand for quality investment opportunities not being met
2005 was a record year in terms of VC money raised with over $4 billion raised to invest in China. 2006 is on pace to be another big year with $904 million raised in Q1 2006.
$418
$992
$1,269$1,173
$334
226
170
253228
42
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
2002 2003 2004 2005 Q1 2006
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Total Invested Deal Count
14
Foreign IPOs Outside of Mainland China Continue To Be Exit Of Choice For Chinese Companies
Source: Thomson Financial, CapitalIQ; as of June 16, 2006. Dual listed companies listed by primary exchange. Other exchanges includes London AIM, Mothers, Kuala Lumpur, SG SESDAQ and TSXVenture.
Total Number Of Chinese IPOs By ExchangeTotal Amount Raised Through Chinese IPOs
By Exchange
Hong Kong
New York
Nasdaq
Singapore
Shenzhen
Shanghai
HK GEM
OtherAvg. IPO Amt. Since 2000
$262
$1,896
$98
$21
$56
$79
$19
$31
(US$Millions)
$0
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006YTD
0
50
100
150
200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006YTD
15
But Recent End Of Yearlong Ban On Share Sales Marks Potential Return Of Domestic China IPO Activity
Shanghai Stock Exchange IPO Volume 2004-2006YTD
Shenzhen Stock Exchange IPO Volume 2004-2006YTD
Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchange Relative Performance
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
Q1 '04 Q2 '04 Q3 '04 Q4 '04 Q1 '05 Q2 '05 Q3 '05 Q4 '05 Q1 '06 Q2 '06
IPO
Am
ou
nt
Rai
sed
($m
illi
on
s)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
IPO
Co
un
tAmount Raised Count
Source: Thomson Financial, CapitalIQ; as of June 16, 2006
China CAMC Engineering’s $55mn IPO, the first since the moratorium was lifted in May, was 576x and 100x oversubscribed for the retail (80%) and institutional (20%) portions, respectively. Shares begin trading on June 19.
The domestic markets in China have been on a rebound in 2006 but have given back some gains recently due to profit taking and concerns over liquidity as new IPOs flood the market
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Jan-04 Mar-04 May-04 Jul-04 Sep-04 Nov-04 Jan-05 Mar-05 May-05 Jul-05 Sep-05 Nov-05 Jan-06 Mar-06 May-06
Re
lativ
e In
de
x
Dow Jones Shanghai Index Dow Jones Shenzhen Index
Median IPO Proceeds Since 2004: $43mn
Median IPO Proceeds Since 2004: $27mn
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
Q1 '04 Q2 '04 Q3 '04 Q4 '04 Q1 '05 Q2 '05 Q3 '05 Q4 '05 Q1 '06 Q2 '06
IPO
Am
ou
nt
Rai
sed
($m
illi
on
s)
0
5
10
15
20
25
IPO
Co
un
t
Amount Raised Count
16
Nasdaq Continues To Be The Listing Venue Of Choice For Technology Companies But Record Is Mixed
Source: Thomson Financial, CapitalIQ; as of June 16, 2006
Chinese Technology Nasdaq IPOs Since 2004
(US$Millions)
Aftermarket perf.
Name Ticker
Pricing
date
Shrs
offered
(mm)
Offer
price
Amt
offered
($mm)
% sec
shrs
% of post-
deal mkt
cap
% chng
price
file/offer
% chng
shares
file/offer
Price vs.
filing
range T+1 T+7 T+30 current
China GrenTech Corp. Ltd. GRRF 03/29/06 6.3 18.00 112.5 20.0% 25.0% 20.0% 0.0% Above 5.6% (6.1%) (12.9%) (35.9%)Actions Semiconductor Co., Ltd. ACTS 11/29/05 9.0 8.00 72.0 33.3% 10.5% (23.8%) (30.8%) Below 0.0% 0.1% (4.5%) 36.3%Vimicro International Corp. VIMC 11/14/05 8.7 10.00 87.0 22.3% 23.7% (16.7%) 0.0% Below (16.4%) (9.8%) (9.2%) 40.1%China Medical Technologies Inc. CMED 08/09/05 6.4 15.00 96.0 0.0% 24.2% 0.0% 28.0% Within 8.0% 36.7% 31.2% 50.0%Baidu.com, Inc. BIDU 08/04/05 4.0 27.00 108.0 27.3% 11.7% 35.0% 8.1% Above 353.9% 244.4% 203.7% 206.3%Focus Media Holding Ltd. FMCN 07/12/05 10.1 17.00 171.7 30.7% 27.2% 13.3% 0.0% Above 18.8% 8.8% 28.8% 257.5%China Techfaith Wireless Communication Technology Ltd. CNTF 05/05/05 8.7 16.25 141.4 0.0% 16.5% 1.6% 0.0% Within (5.7%) (1.9%) 2.1% (15.7%)Hurray! Holding Co. Ltd. HRAY 02/03/05 6.9 10.25 70.5 3.7% 31.4% (3.3%) 0.0% Within 0.0% (7.3%) (20.4%) (43.2%)The9 Ltd. NCTY 12/14/04 5.9 17.00 100.3 8.5% 25.3% 21.4% (5.6%) Above 23.5% 25.9% 5.3% 40.7%Ninetowns Digital World Trade Holdings Ltd. NINE 12/02/04 9.6 11.00 105.6 33.3% 27.9% 0.0% 0.0% Within 3.6% 3.3% (15.4%) (54.7%)eLong Inc. LONG 10/27/04 4.6 13.50 62.1 21.3% 32.2% 8.0% 0.0% Within 6.7% 56.3% 50.4% 5.0%China Finance Online Co. Ltd. JRJC 10/14/04 6.2 13.00 80.6 19.4% 31.2% 18.2% 0.0% Above (10.0%) (17.3%) (12.3%) (58.5%)51job Inc. JOBS 09/28/04 5.3 14.00 73.5 0.0% 19.6% 16.7% 0.0% Above 51.1% 90.0% 143.6% 55.0%Kongzhong Corp. KONG 07/08/04 10.0 10.00 100.0 20.0% 29.2% (9.1%) 0.0% Within 1.0% (12.5%) (43.0%) 0.1%Shanda Interactive Entertainment Ltd. SNDA 05/12/04 13.9 11.00 152.4 30.4% 19.8% 0.0% 0.0% Within 8.8% 30.0% 51.5% 19.4%TOM Online Inc. TOMO 03/10/04 12.5 15.55 194.4 0.0% 25.7% 0.2% 0.0% Within (16.2%) (18.3%) (23.0%) 22.2%Linktone Ltd. LTON 03/03/04 6.1 14.00 86.0 16.1% 24.5% 27.3% 1.3% Above 24.4% (14.2%) (23.6%) (57.7%)
Mean 7.9 $14.15 106.7 16.8% 23.9% 6.4% 0.1% 26.9% 24.0% 20.7% 27.5%Median 6.9 $14.00 100.0 20.0% 25.0% 1.6% 0.0% 5.6% 0.1% (4.5%) 19.4%
Key Observations:• YTD06 and FY05 issuances (8) approximately same as FY04 (9)• Although only 6 IPOs trading below IPO price, aftermarket performance tends to be binary• IPO Sectors: Software/Internet (11), Media (1), Semis (2), Telecom Equipment (1), Med Devices (1), EMS (1)• Absent Sectors: Financial Technology, Healthcare/Bio Technology, Education, etc.
17
The IPO Market For Wireless Enhanced Services Is Currently Being Led By Content & Applications(1,2)
Recent technology IPO’s have had the following median financial metrics:- Revenue of $79 million- Revenue growth of 44%- EBIT Margin of 16%- 5 quarters of profitability
(1) Financial Data as of 6/16/2006.(2) Jamdat went public in 2004 but was acquired by EA in December 2005.
Raised
$100.0m
Date:
07/08/04
EMC:
$347m
Profitable Quarters before IPO:
5
Quarterly
$11.9mmRevenue
before IPO:
%Change
0.1%Since IPO:
TEV / TTM Rev
2.6x
TEV / TTM EBITDA
7.9x
TEV / 2006E Rev
2.0x
TEV / 2006E EBITDA
7.8x
Raised
$70.5m
Date:
02/04/05
EMC:
$130m
Profitable Quarters before IPO:
>5
Quarterly
$14.0mmRevenue
before IPO:
%Change
-43.2%Since IPO:
TEV / TTM Rev
0.8x
TEV / TTM EBITDA
3.6x
TEV / 2006E Rev
0.7x
TEV / 2006E EBITDA
4.1x
Date:
12/08/05
EMC:
$228m
Profitable Quarters before IPO:
>3
Quarterly
$25.6mmRevenue
before IPO:
%Change
-4.3%Since IPO:
TEV / TTM Rev
1.3x
TEV / TTM EBITDA
6.8x
TEV / 2006E Rev
1.1x
TEV / 2006E EBITDA
5.3x
Raised
$72.0m
Date:
02/09/05
EMC:
$1,024m
Profitable Quarters before IPO:
4
Quarterly
$88.3mmRevenue
before IPO:
%Change
-5.9%Since IPO:
TEV / TTM Rev
4.0x
TEV / TTM EBITDA
10.0x
TEV / 2006E Rev
4.0x
TEV / 2006E EBITDA
9.8x
Raised
$281.9m
Asian WVAS operators trade at discount to global comps due to lack of control
18
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06
Ind
exed
Pri
ce
U.S. Mobile Media(1) Asian Mobile Media(2) European Mobile Media(3) NASDAQ
Indices Have Retreated From Gains Posted Earlier In The Year With Asian Mobile Media Companies Suffering The Greatest Decrease
In the Public Markets, US-Listed Mobile Media Companies Have Underperformed Over The Past Few Months
Change (%)
-21.1%
+1.9%
+22.3%
-5.8%
Indices Performance Comparison June 17, 2005 – June 16, 2006
(1) U.S. Mobile Media Index: VeriSign, NeuStar, Syniverse Holdings, WiderThan, InfoSpace, Kongzhong, TOM Online, Linktone, Hurray! Holding(2) Asian Mobile Media Index: Faith, Index, For-side.com, Cybird, Access Company, Aplix Corporation(3) European Mobile Media Index: Buongiorno Vitaminic, Monstermob Group, Index Multimedia, Opera Software, Bango
19
While Overall M&A Activity Has Been Declining, Technology M&A Has Been On the Rise
Technology M&A Transactions Involving Chinese Targets With Deal Value >$20mn Since 2000
All M&A Transactions Involving Chinese Targets With Deal Value >$20mn Since 2000
$85,487
$16,769 $19,374 $18,191 $15,135 $10,026$3,075
7578
60
75 95
73
16
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006YTD
Dea
l Val
ue ($
mill
ions
)
0
20
40
60
80
100
Deal C
ount
Deal Value Deal Count
$2,790
$1,355
$946
$360
$948$708
$398
2
1210
95
1016
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006YTD
Dea
l Val
ue ($
mill
ions
)
0
5
10
15
20
Deal C
ount
Deal Value Deal Count
Source: Thomson Financial; as of June 16, 2006. Includes completed deals with announced consideration and involving the acquisition of >50% ownership.
Over 40% of these transactions were cross-border deals
Over 50% of these transactions were cross-border deals
(US$Millions)
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Followed By A Number Of High Profile Mobile Media Content / Applications M&A Transactions
Acquired by
Value: $317m
P/R: 2.1x
P/EBIT: 20.5x
Currency: Cash
Acquired byAcquired by
Value: $671m
P/R: 10.2x
P/EBIT: 67.3x
Currency: Cash/Stock
Value: $129m
P/R: Conf.
P/EBIT: Conf.
Currency: Cash/Stock
Acquired by
Value: $250m
P/R: Conf.
P/EBIT: Conf.
Currency: Cash
Chinese WVAS Sector Is Ripe for M&A and Consolidation
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Summary: Predictions For 2006 And 2007
Venture Investment Will Be Highly Targeted
– Proprietary content, large scale SPs, hybrid wireless/wireless
Chinese Wireless Sector Will See Substantial Consolidation
– Operator moves, 3G all likely to spur consolidation over the next 12 months
Chinese Wireless Companies Increasingly Looking To List Outside U.S.
– U.S. appetite for Chinese WVAS IPOs correlated with TOMO, KONG, HRAY
– London, Singapore and Tokyo represent real alternatives with less stringent listing requirements…particularly wireless IPOs
– Hong Kong, in particular, will continue to attract Chinese IPOs given proximity to Mainland, lax disclosure, performance of Tencent
– Growing number of Chinese technology companies below the US$300MM valuation range will choose to either list in London/Hong Kong or grow to larger scale before listing in U.S.
M&A Will Increasingly Be Deemed a Viable Exit Strategy
– Uncertain, volatile capital markets environment
– Will IPO valuations reflect China “premium” or “emerging market discount”?
– Realization that being public is only the “beginning”
– China is top strategic priority for many international firms
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Contact Information
David A. Liu 刘大伟Managing DirectorUS Tel: 650-573-4803China Tel: 86-1371-823-9325Email: [email protected]
Wei Z. Hopeman 张晨为Vice President & Chief RepresentativeUS Tel: 650-573-4883China Tel: 86-1391-830-6556Email: [email protected]
Randy C. Wang 王鸿宇Shanghai RepresentativeChina Tel: 86-1368-198-5889Email: [email protected]
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