Sustaining the Globcolour/Medspiration legacy into the next decade

http://www.ghrsst-pp.org

Sustaining the Globcolour/Medspiration legacy into

the next decade

Craig DonlonGHRSST-PP International Project

Office


L2P and L4 SST data products

NOPP/USAAustralia Japan

Regional Data Assembly Centres (RDAC)

NAVO NCDCESA/EU

Met Office RSS PO.DAAC EUMETSAT OSPD

The GHRSST-PP Regional/Global Task Sharing Framework (R/GTS)

Us

er

Acc

es

s a

nd

Fe

edb

ack

Long Term Stewardship and Re-analysis Facility (LTSRF)

PerpetualArchive

SST CDRproduction

PerpetualArchive

Dataingest

Dataaccess

Delayed mode L4 SST CDR products

Global Data Analysis Centre (GDAC)

RollingArchive

DataIngest

DataAccess

DataTools

UserServices

MMRSystem

GMES/EuropeanGDAC Mirror


The role of Medspiration…• The Medspiration service is essential for GHRSST-PP• Medspiration was determined by the international GHRSST-PP ST

as a federated user community – led the way to what is now a successful international project.– In turn, led to the definition of the Sentinel SST component.

• Medspiration has already developed and runs an operational service for SST but for how long?

• Products at GDAC and LTSRF and many user driven applications all over the world

• GHRSST-PP Science Team requests ESA to maintain the continuity of Medspiration L2P services through to Sentinel III

• GHRSST-PP Science Team requests ESA to maintain and develop the MDB, HR-DDS and EU-GDAC functionality together with the European Commission under the FP7 MCS

• GHRSST-PP Science Team requests ESA to consider ways to improve SSES for EU sensors

• GHRSST-PP Science Team requests ESA to support the EU component of a GHRSST-PP re-analysis effort


L2P and L4 SST data products

NOPP/USAAustralia Japan

Regional Data Assembly Centres (RDAC)

NAVO NCDCESA/EU

Met Office RSS PO.DAAC EUMETSAT OSPD

The GHRSST-PP Regional/Global Task Sharing Framework (R/GTS)

Us

er

Acc

es

s a

nd

Fe

edb

ack

Long Term Stewardship and Re-analysis Facility (LTSRF)

PerpetualArchive

SST CDRproduction

PerpetualArchive

Dataingest

Dataaccess

Delayed mode L4 SST CDR products

Global Data Analysis Centre (GDAC)

RollingArchive

DataIngest

DataAccess

DataTools

UserServices

MMRSystem

GMES/EuropeanGDAC Mirror


Sustainability: GHRSST-PP -> GHRSST

• Move from GHRSST-PP to GHRSST

– Phase-I: An International project tasked to develop and implement a distributed system to deliver integrated high resolution SST and Sea Ice (SI) data products in a sustainable manner(Complete)

– -> Medspiration– Phase-II: Develop a sustained R/GTS system for SST&SI

and Manage the ongoing evaluation and evolution of the system (Underway)

– -> MCS/Sentinel-III– Phase-III: Deliver SST & SI Climate Data Records (CDR)

in support of WCRP, GOOS and GCOS climate objectives (just started)

– -> DUE 2008 €1Million


European 2003 summer temperatures: normal by 2040s, cool by 2060s

observationsHadCM3 Medium-High (SRES A2)

2040s

2060s

Tem

per

atu

re a

no

mal

y (w

rt 1

961-

90)

°C

2003

2006 July mean 2006 CET 3.7C above 1961-90 reference

2006?

x

[30-50N, 10W-40E] (i.e. Mediterranean Basin & Southern-Central Europe) land air temperatures for summer (JJA)


Ranked July Surface temperature anomalies

The main plot shows the fifty warmest Julys. The inset shows the whole series. The size of the coloured bars indicates the 95% confidence interval. It is therefore virtually certain that over this region, July 2006 was the warmest July in the record.

July land surface air temperature anomalies in rank order for Europe region 10°W-30°E, 35°N-75°N.


UK plant behaviour at odds with the time of year. Some plants have flowered for a second time in the mild weather this year.

Kew Gardens own climate studies show that winters have become later over the past 30 years…


To improve seasonal to decadal monitoring and forecasting of weather and climate impacts using high-resolution integrated earth observation data sets.


Impact of better seasonal prediction

Climate dynamics and extreme eventsTropical cyclone Catarina off Southern Brazil, 26 March 2004. The first hurricane recorded in the South Atlantic.

Correlates with Hadley Centre climate model predictions for 2070-2100 of tropical storm genesis area relative to 1960-90


Impact of high resolution SST on climate modelling

• Impact of coupled high-res ocean models

• High res ocean agrees best with Observatiuons

• Earth Simulator (M Roberts, Hadley Centre)


End user community• Aviation• Roads and railways• Hospitals• Energy• Leisure• Commercial Marine• Independent Media• Retail• Insurance• Construction


MedpiringColourTACGDAC• Overwhelming international request to

maintain and sustain the Medspiration service

• International R&D + Operational users are now depending on Medspiration

• Need to transition into the MCS sensibly

• Need to consolidate HR-DDS activities with GlobColour (Chl-a, K490, aerosol, HR-DDS, combined single Format…)

• GDAC & LTSRF are open systems and should be used by GlobColour (at least as a template)

• When you need SST – use GHRSST-PP!• When we need colour we use

GlobColour!


KenJFP


You will be the people doing it…


International GHRSST-PP Project Office

Met Office, Fitzroy Road

Exeter, EX1 3PBUnited Kingdom

Web: http://www.ghrsst-pp.orgE-mail: [email protected]


Options…• L2P production in the EU• MDB• HR-DDS• Error stats and SSES• Rolling Store & dissemination service• User Application Services (Helpdesk, feedback)• L4 global analysis• L4 regional analysis• Delayed mode (3-5 day delay update data)• Reanalysis project (20+ year data set – out of

scope?)• Build on existing capability and focus on real time

exchange in an mutually beneficial philosophy of operational backup as in NWP


MCS SST GDAC (TAC)

Sustaining the Globcolour/Medspiration legacy into the next decade

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