Sustainable Mobility - Global Imperativemarket forces take over and both energy and automotive...
Transcript of Sustainable Mobility - Global Imperativemarket forces take over and both energy and automotive...
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Sustainable Mobility
A Global Imperative
Sustainable Mobility
A Global Imperative
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Why Fuel CellsWhy Fuel Cells
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Hydrogen Addresses the Societal Drivers
HydrogenHydrogen
Petroleum Dependence Balance of Payments
Threat of Global Climate Change (CO2)
Local Air Quality
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Wells to Wheels Analysis –Wells to Wheels Analysis – Key AssumptionsKey Assumptions
¶ Systems approach ¶ Assessment of energy consumption
and emissions ¶ Vehicle emissions targets
– Gasoline and diesel meet Tier 2 Bin 5 – Hydrogen fuel cell meets Tier 2 Bin 0 (ZEV)
¶ Hydrogen fuel cell vehicle – Compressed hydrogen stored onboard at 5000 psi – Hydrogen reformed from natural gas at central plant – Electricity to compress H2 from current U.S. mix:
– 54% coal, 15% natural gas, 18% nuclear, 13% other
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WWeellll ttoo WhWheeeellss EEnergynergy ConsumptionConsumption
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
WTW
Ene
rgy
Con
sum
ptio
n, B
TU/m
ile Tank to Wheel Well to Tank
NH HEV NH HEV NH HEVNH=non-hybrid HEV=hybrid electric vehicle Gasoline Diesel Hydrogen FC
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vehicle
Well to Wheels G-H-G EmissionsWell to Wheels G-H-G Emissions
0
100
200
300
400
500
600 W
TW G
reen
hous
e G
ases
, g C
O2/
mile Tank to Wheel
Well to Tank
NH HEV NH HEV NH HEV Gasoline Diesel Hydrogen
NH=non-hybrid Fuel CellHEV=hybrid electric
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Well to Wheels PetroleumWell to Wheels Petroleum
0
2000
4000
6000
8000 W
TW P
etro
leum
Con
sum
ptio
n, B
TU/m
ile
Tank to Wheel Well to Tank
ConsumptionConsumption
NH HEV NH HEV NH HEV Gasoline Diesel Hydrogen FC
NH=non-hybrid HEV=hybrid electric vehicle
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Estimation of Well-to-Tank Criteria Pollutants
••Data for relevant facilities extracted fromData for relevant facilities extracted from EPA’s 1999 National Emissions InventoryEPA’s 1999 National Emissions Inventory
••Total emissions divided by throughput toTotal emissions divided by throughput to develop emissions factorsdevelop emissions factors
••Distribution curve fit through existingDistribution curve fit through existing datadata
••Distribution adjusted to account forDistribution adjusted to account for improved future technology and newimproved future technology and new source controlssource controls
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Well to Wheels VOCWell to Wheels VOC EmissionsEmissions 0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0 NH HEV NH HEV NH HEV Gasoline Diesel Hydrogen FC
Tank to Wheel Well to Tank
Preliminary Data -Final Results Subject to Revision
NH=non-hybrid HEV=hybrid electric vehicle
WTW
VO
C E
mis
sion
s, g
/mile
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Well to Wheels SOxWell to Wheels SOx EEmissionsmissions
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
WTW
SO
x Em
issi
ons,
g/m
ile Tank to Wheel
Well to Tank
Preliminary Data -Final Results Subject to Revision
NH HEV NH HEV NH HEV
NH=non-hybrid Gasoline Diesel Hydrogen FC HEV=hybrid electric vehicle
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Well to Wheels CO EmissionsWell to Wheels CO EmissionsW
TW C
O E
mis
sion
s, g
/mile
10
8
6
4
2
0
Tank to Wheel Well to Tank
Preliminary Data -Final Results Subject to Revision
NH HEV NH HEV NH HEV
NH=non-hybrid Gasoline Diesel Hydrogen FC HEV=hybrid electric vehicle
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Well to Wheels NOx EmissionsWell to Wheels NOx Emissions
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
WTW
NO
x Em
issi
ons,
g/m
ile
Tank to Wheel Well to Tank
NH HEV NH HEV NH HEV
Preliminary Data -Final Results Subject to Revision
Gasoline Diesel Hydrogen FCNH=non-hybrid HEV=hybrid electric vehicle
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Well to Wheels ParticulateWell to Wheels Particulate EmissionsEmissions
0.00
0.04
0.08
0.12
0.16
WTW
PM
10 E
mis
sion
s, g
/mile Tank to Wheel
Well to Tank
Preliminary Data -Final Results Subject to Revision
NH HEV NH HEV NH HEV
NH=non-hybrid Gasoline Diesel Hydrogen FC HEV=hybrid electric vehicle
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Making Fuel Cell Vehicles a RealityMaking Fuel Cell Vehicles a Reality
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Green
Fuel cell vehicles on track to become competitive in the market
Fuel cell vehicles on track to become competitive in the market
High confidence to achieve technology and costs goals to reach volume commercialization
Green
Green
Green
Vehicle Sub-system
Fuel cell stack
Power module sub-systems
Hydrogen storage • LH2
• CGH2
Traction
Vehicle integration
Status to Reach Development
YellowGreen
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Key Commercialization Challenges
• Cost
• Hydrogen Storage
• Fueling Infrastructure
•Codes and Standards
•Supplier Development
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Cost Reduction C
ost o
f fue
l cel
lpr
opul
sion
sys
tem
Today
Automotive target
Technology path
$50/kW
Focus on:
• Simplified fuel cell propulsion system architecture
• Lower cost materials
• Lower cost component designs
Significant cost reduction at volume
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What Should Hydrogen CostWhat Should Hydrogen Cost
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
Fuel
Pric
e (U
S$)
Today’s gasoline price: approx. US$ 2.00 / gal.
Note:
• 1 Gallon gasoline = 1 Kg H2 fuel on energy-equivalent basis
• H2 / Fuel Cell vehicle is 2X more efficient versus today’s ICE vehicles
• Assumes H2 vehicle fuel is initially untaxed
H2 fuel target price of US $4 / kg
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Bonfire Test Crash Tests
Assessment after Drop Test
Vibration Test Permeation Test
CH2 tank testing (EIHP testing/validation)
Safety of GM Fuel Cell Vehicles
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To start the transition to hydrogen, how much fueling infrastructure is needed?
Fuel
cel
l veh
icle
s / h
ydro
gen
sale
s
Once at the “tipping point”, market forces take over and both energy and automotive
sectors can achieve risk-adjusted returns in excess of
their hurdle rates
Along the path towards a hydrogen economy, the key is to reach the
“Tipping Point”
Time
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“4 levers to pull” now to accelerate the time to reach the Inflection Point
fuel
cel
l veh
icle
s an
d hy
drog
en s
ales
Codes and standards
Advanced H2 storage
Financial support
Early customers
time
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Our VisionOur Vision
•Fuel cells are the long-term power source •Hydrogen is the long-term fuel •Fuel cell vehicles price competitive by around 2010 •Stationary fuel cells pave the way for fuel cell vehicles •Infrastructure means appliances, not just pipelines.
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