Susan Hovorka Gulf Coast Carbon Center Bureau of Economic Geology
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Transcript of Susan Hovorka Gulf Coast Carbon Center Bureau of Economic Geology
Bureau of Economic Geology
100 Years of Scientific Impact
CO2 – Too Much of a Good ThingCO2 – Too Much of a Good ThingUpdate on Gulf Coast Carbon Center Update on Gulf Coast Carbon Center Research on Geologic SequestrationResearch on Geologic Sequestration
Susan HovorkaGulf Coast Carbon Center
Bureau of Economic Geology
101 Years of Scientific Impact
Bureau of Economic Geology
100 Years of Scientific Impact
Gulf Coast Carbon Center (GCCC)
BEG Team Scott Tinker
Sue Hovorka Tip Meckel J. P. NicotIan Duncan
Rebecca SmythRamon Trevino
Katherine Romanak Changbing Yang
Dave Carr Vanessa Nunez
Jiemin LuJong Won Choi
Carey King students and others
LBNLLLNLORNLNETLSNLNew Mexico TechMississippi State UU of MississippiRPSEASECARBSWPUT-PGEUT- CIEEPUT- DoGSUT-LawUT- LBJ schoolBEG- CEEJSG - CEE
Collaborators IA sponsors
GCCC Strategic Plan 2007-GCCC Strategic Plan 2007-20102010
• Goal 1: Educate next carbon management generation
• Goal 2: Develop commercial CO2 site selection criteria
• Goal 3: Define adequate monitoring / verification strategy
• Goal 4: Evaluate potential risk and liability sources
• Goal 5: Evaluate Gulf Coast CO2 EOR economic potential
• Goal 6: Develop Gulf Coast CCS market framework / economic models
• Goal 7: GCCC service and training to partners
www.gulfcoastcarbon.org
CO2 Increasing in the Atmosphere
• CO2 is produced by burning fossil fuels
• CO2 has been building up in the atmosphere during the industrial revolution
• As more people world-wide improve their standard of living, the amount of CO2 released will increase, causing additional build-up in the atmosphere
Keeling Curve Scripts Institute
Pollution in the Atmosphere
Effect Risk Chemical Solution
Global warming
Temperature
Ocean Acidification
CO2
[H2O, CH4 etc]
??
Ozone UV radiation
Health
PFC NOx
SOx
Change industrial practices
Acid rain Ecosystem SOx Stack precipitation
Is the Greenhouse Effect Bad?
This is Montana 80 my ago
This is Montana14,000 years ago
Risks from CO2 build-up in the Atmosphere
Recent increase in average global temperature
• CO2 is one of the greenhouse gases that control how much of the solar energy that hits the Earth is retained as heat.
• Higher atmospheric concentrations of CO2 will force the climate toward warmer average global conditions.
• Increased CO2 is causing the ocean surface waters to become more acidic
How can 0.3% of gas matter?
…Effects of increased CO2 in the atmosphere..
Where Do CO2 Emissions Come from?
Chemistry of Burning
Options to Reduce CO2 in the Atmosphere
• Conservation and energy efficiency• Fuel switching—e.g., natural gas for coal • Alternative energy—e.g., wind, solar, nuclear• Terrestrial sequestration—e.g., rainforest preservation, tree farms,
no-till farming.• Ocean disposal• Mineral sequestration• Geologic sequestration• “Novel concepts”
Which Is Best?To reduce the large volumes of CO2 that are now and will be in the future
released to the atmosphere, multiple options must be brought to maturation.
What is Geologic Sequestration?To reduce CO2 emissionsto air from point sources..
Carbon extractedfrom a coal or otherfossil fuel…
is currently burned and emitted to air
CO2 is captured as concentratedhigh pressure fluid by one of severalmethods..
CO2 is shipped as supercritical fluid via pipeline to a selected, permitted injection site
CO2 injected at pressure intopore space at depths below and isolated (sequestered)from potable water.
CO2 stored in pore space over geologicallysignificant time frames.
Capture Land surface
> 800 m
Underground Sources of Drinking Water
Injection Zone
CO2
Confining system limits CO2 rise
Injection zone Brine displaced
Pore-scale trapping
Characterization shows where and how CO2 will be stored
Bureau of Economic Geology
100 Years of Scientific Impact
Policy questions for which geotechnical data are needed
Bureau of Economic Geology
• Are subsurface volumes are adequate to sequester the volumes needed to impact
atmospheric concentrations?
• Is storage security adequate to avoid inducing hazards and to benefit atmospheric
concentrations? How do we know?
• How does CO2 Enhanced Oil Recovery fit carbon emissions reduction?
Bureau of Economic Geology
100 Years of Scientific Impact
Power PlantsPure CO2 sourcesOil and Gas (USGS)Coal (USGS)Brine Aquifer> 1000m
Compiled 2000 from USGS data
Subsurface volumes near CO2 sources
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DOE NATCARB Atlas
US current annual CO2 emissions 7 billion metric tonsEstimated US storage volume 3,600 billion metric tons
Saline aquifer
http://www.netl.doe.gov/technologies/carbon_seq/refshelf/atlas/
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100 Years of Scientific Impact
Assessing Adequacy of Subsurface Storage Volumes
• CO2 non-ideal gas: at depths >800 m dense phase 0.6g/cc and compressibility decreases
• Subsurface pore volumeV= A x H x phi
• Efficiency of volume occupied– Residual water– Sweep efficiency– Pressure limits– Water displacement
• Economic and risk factors– Resources –water - & gas– Unacceptable risks– Other “no-go” areas– Cost
Experiment Hypothesis
• CO2 can be injected safely with no risk to health, safety or the ecosystem
• We will be able to measure the distribution of CO2 in the subsurface
• We will be able to model the distribution of CO2 in the subsurface using computer simulation
• Public an industry confidence will increase
Experimental tests Theoretical Approaches Through CommercializationT
heo
ryan
d l
abF
ield
ex
per
imen
tsH
ypo
thes
is
test
ed
Commercial Deployment by Southern Co.
CO2 retained in-zone- document no leakage to air-no damage to water
CO2 saturation correctly predicted by flow
modeling
Pressure (flow plus deformation)
correctly predicted by model
Above-zone acoustic monitoring (CASSM) & pressure monitoring
Contingency planParsimonious public
assurance monitoringTo
wa
rd
com
mer
cia-
liza
tio
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Surface monitoring: instrument verificationGroundwater programCO2 variation over time
Subsurface perturbation predicted
Sensitivity of tools; saturated-vadose
modeling of flux and tracers
CO2 saturation measured through time – acoustic
impedance + conductivityTomography and change
through time
Tilt, microcosmic, pressure mapping
3- D time lapse surface/ VSP seismic
Acoustic response to pressure change over
time
Dissolution and saturation measured via tracer breakthrough and chromatography
Lab-based core response to EM and acoustic under various saturations, tracer
behavior
Advanced simulation of reservoir pressure field
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100 Years of Scientific Impact
GCCC Field Tests for Monitoring and Verification Technologies - DOE-NETL and Industry Hosts
CranfieldSECARB Phase II&III
Denbury
Frio Test Texas American Resources
SACROCSouthwestPartnershipKinderMorganNM Tech –U Utah
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Adequacy of Storage Security -Perceived Risks
Speculation about risks from geologic sequestration of CO2 has been dominated by concerns such as:
• Escape leading to asphyxiation
• Escape leading to toxicity of drinking water
• Induced earthquakes
Bureau of Economic Geology
100 Years of Scientific Impact
Perceived risk: CO2 escape leading to asphyxiation
“CO2 releases are deadly for communities:”
“….If the gases leak out they are deadly to all living creatures since CO2 is lighter than air, and displaces air. When the gases are released they stay close to the ground, displace oxygen, and suffocate everything in its path. Two events in the relative recent history of CO2 emissions from natural sources underscore the community health hazard created if CO2 were to escape from sequestration:
The largest recent disaster caused by a large CO2 release from a lake occurred in 1986, in Cameroon, central Africa. A volcanic crater-lake known as Nyos belched bubbles of CO2 into the still night air and the gas settled around the lake's shore, where it killed 1800 people and countless thousands of animals.
The 15 August 1984 gas release at Lake Monoun that killed 37 people (Sigurdsson and others, 1987) was attributed to a rapid overturn of lake water with CO2 that had been at the bottom coming to the surface, triggered by an earthquake and landslide. The emission of around 1 cubic kilometer of CO2 devastated a local village and killed animals for miles.
Environmental Justice objection to CA AB 705 Letter* to Assembly member Hancock, April, 2008(emphasis mine)
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Risk Myth Explained: escape will not lead to asphyxiation
• CO2 is a well known confined space risk – CO2 is 1/3 denser than air (N2 and O2) therefore will effectively displace air from a tank, mine, cave, or crater.
• Air and CO2 are miscible with no viscosity contrast, so CO2 rapidly disperses in an open setting, on a slope, with breeze or circulation.
Frio Brine Pilot
• Injection of CO2 into brine-bearing sandstone
• Seals numerous thick shales, small fault block
• Depth 5000 ft
Injection interval
Oil production
Injection Simulation
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Documenting permanence of residual trapping CO2 Saturation Observed with Cross-well Seismic
Tomography vs. Modeled
Tom Daley and Christine Doughty LBNL
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Saturation logging observation well to measurechanges in CO2 saturation – match to model
Shinichi Sakurai, Jeff Kane, Christine Doughty
LithologyV/V0 1
5010
5020
5030
5040
5050
5000
DEPTHFEET
RST gas sat.V/V1 0
Model gas sat.V/V1 0
RST gas sat.V/V1 0
V/V1 0
RST gas sat.V/V1 0
V/V1 0
RST gas sat.V/V1 0
V/V1 0
RST gas sat.V/V1 0
V/V1 0
RST gas sat.V/V1 0
Log porosityV/V0.4 0
Model porosityV/V0.4 0
Model permmD10000 1
Day 4 Day 10 Day 29 Day 69 Day 142 Day 474Model gas sat. Model gas sat. Model gas sat. Model gas sat.
What does injection underground look like?
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Topography or wind will cause CO2 to spread and mix
Oldenburg and Unger, 2004, Vadose Zone Journal 3:848-857
No danger
Cool CO2 pooling on the ground in the still night air but at low concentrations Frio brine pilot, Houston, TX –No Danger
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Perceived Risk: escape leading to toxicity of drinking water
• “Carbon Sequestration….– Will require transformation of CO2 gas to CO2 liquid
which is acidic
– CO2 liquid’s acid nature is corrosive to the underground environment, contaminating the ground and would eventually leach to the surface.
– When CO2 leaches up to the surface, it will contaminate underground fresh drinking water aquifers, lakes, rivers, and the ocean”
Excerpts from “Carbon Sequestration Public Health and Environmental Dangers”Researched by Coalition For a Safe Environment Emphasis added`
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Risk Myth Explained: CO2 dissolved in aquifers has little ability to damage
water qualityCO2 dissolves in water = dissolution trapping
CO2(g) + H2O ↔ H2CO3(aq) H2CO3(aq) ↔ HCO3(aq)– + H+
HCO3(aq)– ↔ CO3(aq)-– + H+(aq) Acid= tang in carbonated water
Acid is buffered by rocksincrease Ca, Mg, Fe, Na, Si, CO3, SO4, etc. in solution
What could the etc. be?Mn, As, Pb, Sr, Ni, Zn, Ag, U, Ni, Cd……
So would leaked CO2 be a risk to drinking water?
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Carbonated water…
Otherwise known as sparkling water. Has variable mineral content but is potable
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0.01
0.10
1.00
10.00
100.00
1000.00
10000.00
100000.00
1000000.00
20-Mar 22-Mar 24-Mar 26-Mar 28-Mar 30-Mar 1-Apr 3-Apr 5-Apr 7-Apr 9-Apr 11-Apr 13-Apr 15-Apr 17-Apr
pp
b
Al
B
Ba
Ca
K
Mg
Si
Sr
Mn
Na
Rb
Cs
Fe
Li
Mo
Ni
Se
U
V
Results of adding CO2 to aquifer system
• Add CO2 to typical aquifer rocks + fresh water – increase in dissolved minerals – proportional to constituents already in water.
• No damage to fresh water from 37 years of CO2 EOR at SACROC
Normal water Add CO2
GCCC staff Rebecca Smyth, KatherineJiemin Lu, Changbing Yang
Is CO2 dangerous?
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Perceived Risk: Injection causing earthquakes
• In the first Superman movie, supervillain Lex Luthor plans to trigger a massive, California-detaching earthquake by detonating a couple of nuclear weapons in the San Andreas Fault.
• Crazy Lex! That scheme never would have worked, geologists will tell you. But, if he'd been serious about creating an earthquake, there are ways he could have actually done it. He would just have to inject some liquid (as some carbon-sequestration schemes propose) deep into the Earth's crust, or bore a few hundred thousand tons of coal out of a mountain.
• "In the past, people never thought that human activity could have such a big impact, but it can," said Christian Klose, a geohazards researcher at Columbia's Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory.
• It turns out, actually, that the human production of earthquakes is hardly supervillain-worthy. It's downright commonplace: Klose estimates that 25 percent of Britain's recorded seismic events were caused by people.
• Most of these human-caused quakes are tiny, registering less than four on geologist's seismic scales. These window-rattlers don't occur along natural faults, and wouldn't have happened without human activity -- like mining tons of coal or potash. They occur when a mine's roof collapses, for example, as in the Crandall Canyon collapse in Utah that killed a half-dozen miners last year.
http://blog.wired.com/wiredscience/2008/06/top-5-ways-that.htmlEmphasis added
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Update on Results of SECARB Test of Monitoring Large Volume Injection at Cranfield
Natchez Mississippi
Mississippi River
3,000 m depthGas cap, oil ring, downdip water legShut in since 1965Strong water driveReturned to near initial pressure
Illustration by Tip Meckel
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DAS MonitoringInjectorCFU 31F1
Obs CFU 31 F2
Obs CFU 31 F3
Above-zone
monitoringF1 F2 F3
Injection Zone
Above Zone Monitoring
10,500 feet BSL
Closely spaced well array to examine flow in complex reservoir
68m
112 m
Petrel model Tip Meckel
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Start injection at DAS Dec 1, 2009 175 kg/min step up to 520 kg/min
Bot
tom
hol
e pr
essu
re
Elapsed time
Dec 1
400
bar
340
psi
Injector BHP
Observation well BHP
It’s all about pressure
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Risk Myth Explained: Limiting injection pressure to avoid earthquakes
• Injection is used to cause “frac jobs” -- for reservoir stimulation. The pressure requirements are calculated, testable, and well documented.
• MASIP = Maximum Allowable Surface Injection Pressure is a main regulation of current EPA underground injection control program.
• Risk of accidental earthquake can be avoided by regulations in place. Pressure (psi)0 1,000
Dep
th (
ft)
0
10,000
Lithostatic gradient
Hydrostatic gradient
Maximum pressure increase
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Substantive Risk- Damage to fresh water resulting from brine water
leakage
Injection well
Plume of injected CO2
Footprint of area over CO2
1
Footprint of area of elevated pressure
2
Damage to fresh water by salinization by water expelled during injection.
Managed in Underground Injection Control by assuring that well are plugged in area of review
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ConclusionsConclusions
• Subsurface volumes are adequate to sequester the volumes needed to impact atmospheric concentrations
• Using available technology, adequate storage security can be assured to avoid inducing hazards and to benefit atmospheric concentrations
CO2 Sequestration Capacity in Miscible Oil Reservoirs along the Gulf Coast
Bureau of Economic Geology
Mark Holtz 2005NATCARB Atlas 2007
Estimated annual regional point source CO2 emissions
Stacked Storage in Gulf Coast
Near-term and long-term sources andNear and long-term sinks linked regionally in a pipeline network
Enhanced oil productionto offset development cost and speed implementation
Very large volumestorage in stacked brineformations beneathreservoir footprints
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DAS
A B
3D Denbury - interpretation Tip Meckel BEG
Characterization of the Reservoir T
usc
alo
osa
Fm
Tuscaloosa D-E reservoir
Oil-water contactBased on log annotation and recent side-walls
Tuscaloosa confining system
Phase II
More Information
• http://www.epa.gov/globalwarming/
• http://ww2010.atmos.uiuc.edu
• http://www.ieagreen.org.uk
• http://www.ieagreen.org.uk/ghgs.htm
www.beg.utexas.edu/co2
Bureau of Economic Geology
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Geologic Sequestrationof Carbon – Put it back
Carbon extractedfrom coal or otherfossil fuel…
Returned into the earthwhere it came from