Surviving The Downturn
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Transcript of Surviving The Downturn
All Contents © 2008 Burton Group. All rights reserved.
Kirk Knoernschild Analyst, SDLC and Containers, Languages, & Frameworks Burton Group www.burtongroup.com [email protected] Blog: http://apsblog.burtongroup.com Blog: http://techdistrict.kirkk.com Twitter: pragkirk
Surviving the Downturn
Surviving the Downturn
Current State
• The job market sucks • Outsourcing trend continues • IT is incompetent and arrogant • Enterprise software development is painful
What do we do?
Surviving the Downturn
Buy AAPL
36%
Surviving the Downturn
Agenda
• 5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now • 5 Things You Need To Do Now • 5 Things You Need To Learn Now • 5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now • The IT Labor Controversy
• The Education System • The H-1B program • The Job Market
Surviving the Downturn
Agenda
• 5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now • 5 Things You Need To Do Now • 5 Things You Need To Learn Now • 5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now • The IT Labor Controversy
• The Education System • The H-1B program • The Job Market
Surviving the Downturn
Puzzler
• Please Translate
1f u c4n r34d th1s u r34lly n33d t0 g37 4 l1f3
If you can read this you really need to get a life
Surviving the Downturn
5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now
• IT Certifications • Java/Java EE • Software Process • Portals • SOA
5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now
1.) IT Certifications
• The Certification Process • Spend $$ on course • Spend $$ on exam • Get a silly piece of paper
• Organizations pay for skill, not knowledge
What happens when the following code is compiled and executed?
for(int i = 1; i < 3; i++) for(int j = 3; j >= 1; j--) assert i!=j : i;
5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now
2.) Java/Java EE
• Zero portability • Bloated programming model • JCP is a mockery • The Rebel frameworks are winning
5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now
3.) Software Process
• Focus on results, not methods • Too much time is spend improving process, not enough
on delivering software
5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now
4.) Portals
• Proprietary & closed • Let’s focus on mashups
5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now
5.) SOA
• We’ve already used all the money • We needed that ESB we still don’t use
• Was once promising • Reduce costs, increase agility, solve global warming
• You cannot buy SOA • It’s not a product, it’s an architectural style
• IT got all giddy with technology • WS-* or REST?
Surviving the Downturn
Agenda
• 5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now • 5 Things You Need To Do Now • 5 Things You Need To Learn Now • 5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now • The IT Labor Controversy
• The Education System • The H-1B program • The Job Market
Puzzler
• Please Translate
There’s no place like 127.0.0.1
There’s no place like home
Surviving the Downturn
5 Things You Need To Do Now
• Continuous Integration • Java as a platform, not a language • Automate processes • Get involved with OSS • RIA
5 Things You Need To Do Now
1.) Continuous Integration
• Build & Test the system as frequently as possible • Feedback, Transparency, Alignment, Risk Mitigation
Continuous Integration
5 Things You Need To Do Now
2.) Java as a Platform, Not a Language
• Alternative languages and technologies can speed development
• Groovy/Grails
Java
API
JVM
5 Things You Need To Do Now
3.) Automate Processes
• We waste time performing mundane tasks • Need to make development more efficient
• Compilation, Database Integration and Migration, Testing, Code Inspection, Deployments, Install Scripts, Notifications, Documentation
GO!
5 Things You Need To Do Now
4.) Get Involved with OSS
• Improve your development skills • Learn better ways of developing software • Connect with peers
5 Things You Need To Do Now
5.) RIA
• Improve the UXP
Primitive UXP
Stateless
Server Processing
No OS Integration
On-Line
Limited
Decentrally Managed
Client Processing
Off-Line
Lacks Portability
Centrally Managed
Ubuitous
Portable
Stateful
OS Integration
Rich UXP
Fat Client Thin Client
RIA
Rich UXP
Surviving the Downturn
Agenda
• 5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now • 5 Things You Need To Do Now • 5 Things You Need To Learn Now • 5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now • The IT Labor Controversy
• The Education System • The H-1B program • The Job Market
Surviving the Downturn
Puzzler
• Please Translate
There are 10 types of people in the world. Name them!
Those who understand binary, and those who don’t!
Surviving the Downturn
5 Things You Need To Learn Now
• OSGi • Learn a Functional language • Learn a Dynamic Language • Learn a fit client technology • Understand Domain Specific Languages
5 Things You Need To Learn now
1.) OSGi
• Dynamic module system for Java • Versioning, Dynamic Provisioning, Modularity
5 Things You Need To Learn now
2.) Learn a Functional Language
• Eases concurrent programming through immutable state
Imag
e Sou
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5 Things You Need To Learn now
3.) Learn a Dynamic Language
• Type checking deferred to runtime, but there is still a type system
Java “4” + 2 results in “42”
Ruby “4” + 2 results in TypeError
Imag
e Sou
rce:
“The
Futu
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Pro
gram
ming
Lang
uage
s”, A
nder
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5 Things You Need To Learn now
4.) Learn a Fit Client Technology
• AIR, Silverlight, Java FX
Client/Server Processing
On/Off-Line
Fit Client
Primitive UXP
Stateless
Server Processing
No OS Integration
On-Line
Limited
Decentrally Managed
Client Processing
Off-Line
Lacks Portability
Centrally Managed
Ubuitous
Portable
Stateful
OS Integration
Rich UXP
Fat Client Thin Client
RIA
Rich UXP
5 Things You Need To Learn now
5.) Understand Domain Specific Languages
• Mini-languages aimed at solving a specific type of problem
• Popular DSLs today • Make, Ant, SQL
$:.unshift File.join(File.dirname(__FILE__), "app")
require 'rake/testtask'
task :default => [:coverage]
require 'rcov/rcovtask' Rcov::RcovTask.new(:coverage) do |t| t.test_files = FileList['test/AllTests.rb'] t.rcov_opts << "-I ./app" + File::PATH_SEPARATOR + "./test" t.output_dir = "coverageout" end
Surviving the Downturn
Agenda
• 5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now • 5 Things You Need To Do Now • 5 Things You Need To Learn Now • 5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now • The IT Labor Controversy
• The Education System • The H-1B program • The Job Market
Puzzler
• Please Translate
PEBKAC
Problem Exists Between Keyboard And Chair
5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now
• Microsoft • Eclipse Foundation • Mobile Development • The Cloud
• SaaS, PaaS, XaaS
• Mozilla Labs
5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now
1.) Microsoft
• Azure, Oslo, Rosario • Cloud Strategy, DSL, and Tool Suites
• Evolution of CLR & DLR
5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now
2.) Eclipse Foundation
• From an IDE to an Ecosystem • e4, EMF
• Equinox OSGi runtime • IDE with alternative language support
• Ex. Scala
• Cola • Code collaboration and sharing
• Ganymede • BIRT
• BI and Reporting Tools
5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now
3.) Mobile Development
• Smartphones • iPhone captures 2/3 of mobile browsing
• Fragmented market • MIDP, CLDC, CDC, OS X, Android, Symbian, BlackBerry
• Device as a virtual gateway to enterprise applications • Applications run on a central server
• Resident applications reside on the device • Require an RMA Platform
• Applications execute within resident run-time • Applications themselves are non-resident
5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now
4.) The Cloud
• Shared Infrastructure • Better hardware utilization (more applications, users and transactions
per machine)
• Automation and dynamic re-configuration • Facilitates self-service, provisioning, and flexible workload
assignment
• Elastic scalability • Facilitates capacity and demand planning
• Pay as you go • Platform components procured and billed on subscription or usage
basis
• App Engine, Amazon, Azure, Force.com
5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now
5.) Mozilla Labs
• Project Bespin • Web-Based framework for code editing and collaboration
• Prism • WebApps on the Desktop
Surviving the Downturn
Agenda
• 5 Things You Shouldn’t Care About Now • 5 Things You Need To Do Now • 5 Things You Need To Learn Now • 5 Markets You Should Be Watching Now • The IT Labor Controversy
• The Education System • The H-1B program • The Job Market
Surviving the Downturn
Puzzler
• Please Translate
Mathematician tells his colleague his wife just had a baby.
“Is it a boy or a girl?”, asks the colleague.
“Yes”, replied the mathematician.
The IT Labor Controversy
The IT Labor Controversy
IT Labor Shortage – Education
• Increased enrollment by 20% between 2000 and 2005. • Number of CS undergrad majors declared increased
10% in 2007. • Number of degrees awarded in 2006 exceeded the
number in 2001. • Number of degrees awarded since 2000 have exceeded
that of the most awarded prior to 2000.
The IT Labor Controversy
IT Labor Shortage – Industry
• Projected 38% increase in software developers through 2016.
• Annual job creation of 120,000 with 300,000 degrees conferred each year.
• H-1B Visa Holders are paid between 12,500 and 20,000 less than American workers.
• “The Fake Ads” Controversy
There’s also a shortage of $2/6 pack micro brews
Surviving the Downturn
Thank you! Kirk Knoernschild Analyst, SDLC and Containers, Languages, & Frameworks Burton Group www.burtongroup.com [email protected] Blog: http://apsblog.burtongroup.com Blog: http://techdistrict.kirkk.com Twitter: pragkirk