Supplementing Alaskan Healthcare Transformation

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Transcript of Supplementing Alaskan Healthcare Transformation

  • 1. Selectively Supplementing Alaskas Health Care TransformationA Working Discussion Using Transforming Health Care in Alaska 2009 Report/2010-2014 Strategic Plan as a Baseline
    May 12, 2011
    Working Draft

2. Most Americans Have No Conception of the Structural
Barriers to Alaskan Health Care
Limited Road Network Supplemented by Aircraft and Boats
Impede Routine and Timely Health Care Delivery
Population concentrations in a handful of locations, but
Real Health Care Needs in Rural Locales
Limited Broadband Access in the State, Although Initiative
Underway as Part of Federal Stimulus Package by Rural Utilities
Service Department of Agriculture
Hospitals and Clinics Tend to be Concentrated and Are
Functionally Overlapping
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3. Reality:A Shortage of Health Care Workers and Rapidly
Rising Health Care Costs
Percent
While Most Healthcare Positions Are
Concentrated in Urban Areas, Sizeable
Demand forCare in Rural Alaska
Primary Care Includes Nurse Practitioners and Others
Besides Physicians, But Estimates Are that Primary Care
Physicians Must Increase by > 50% in Next 5 Years
Source:2010-2014 Strategic Plan
Source:Derived from 2010-2014 Strategic Plan
Percentage Annual Increase
Dollars (Billions)
>6B
1.6B
3
Source:Derived from 2010-2014 Strategic Plan
Source:Derived from 2010-2014 Strategic Plan
4. Reality:The Government Cannot Bear the Health Care
Costs Implied by Long Term Demographics
19%
64%
17%
Government includes state, local, Federal
Alaskas Population Likely Will Continue to Grow
Source:Derived from 2010-2014 Strategic Plan
20%
18%
82%
80%
2009
2034
Assuming Middle Estimate for Population
Growth, the Total Alaskan Population Will
Increase by 23% by 2034 With the Native
Alaskan Population Growing at a Faster Rate (37%)
Than the Rest of the Population (20%)
Projected Increase in Aging Alaskan Population
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Source:Elisabeth Mercer, Population Projections,
2010-2034:Alaska by age, sex, and race, Alaska Economic Trends
December, 2010
Source:Derived from Elisabeth Mercer, Population Projections,
2010-2034:Alaska by age, sex, and race, Alaska Economic Trends
December, 2010
5. Sustainability will hinge on Increasing Return on
Investment, Curbing Increases in Health Care Costs &
Creating a New Public Private Partnership Model
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Based on Findings and Recommendations
of 2010 2014 Strategic Plan
Needs of Native Alaskans and Rest of Population Have Commonalities and Differences
6. Reality: Cannot Rely on Sustained or Increased
Federal Funding in Current Fiscal Environment
Need Champion(s) and Outreach Plan to Alaskans and Federal Government
6
What Needs to be Done Now:Lay the Foundation for Adaptive Change
7. Open Discussion
William D. Bajusz, Ph.D., ITIL
Vice President, Business Development
Goldbelt Wolf, LLC
703-505-1505
[email protected]
Profile:www.LinkedIn.com/in/WilliamBajusz
Cindi Bookout
Director, Family Programs
Goldbelt Glacier Health Services, LLC
703-582-9989
[email protected]
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8. Focused PH Expertise
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9. Integrating Technology & PH Expertise
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