Supplemental Material, A longitudinal study of road traffic noise … · 2020. 3. 26. ·...
Transcript of Supplemental Material, A longitudinal study of road traffic noise … · 2020. 3. 26. ·...
Supplemental Material, A longitudinal study of road traffic noise and
body mass index trajectories from birth to 8 years
Kjell Vegard Weyde 1,4*, Norun Hjertager Krog 1, Bente Oftedal 1, Per Magnus 2,4, Richard White 3, Stephen Stansfeld 5, Simon Øverland 6, Gunn Marit Aasvang 1,* 1 Department of Air Pollution and Noise, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway 2 Centre for Fertility and Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway 3 Dpartment of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology and Modelling, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway 4 Institute of Health and Society, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway 5 fCentre for Psychiatry, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Barts and the London School of Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom 6 Division of Mental Health, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Bergen, Norway
Contents eTable 1: Participants at each of the time points ............................................................................ 3
eTable 2: Missing (%) for different covariates at different times. ................................................... 4
eTable 3: Comparison of children who dropped out of MoBa, with children in the study sample,. 5
at the different time points ............................................................................................................. 5
eTable 4: Predicted marginal means of BMI for different noise levels during pregnancy,
pregnancy sample (95% confidence interval). ................................................................................. 6
eTable 5: Predicted marginal means of BMI for different noise levels over time (between-persons
noise), childhood sample (95% confidence interval). ...................................................................... 7
eTable 6: Marginal effects of road traffic noise over time (within-person noise, childhood
sample,, per 1 dB increase in Lden), with 95 % confidence intervals. ............................................... 8
eTable 7: Predicted marginal means of BMI for different pregnancy noise levels over time, with
95 % confidence intervals. ............................................................................................................... 9
eTable 8: Predicted marginal means of BMI for different childhood noise levels over time, with 95
% confidence intervals. Results of sensitivity analyses with rail traffic noise, air pollution and diet.
....................................................................................................................................................... 10
eTable 9: Marginal effects of road traffic noise over time (noise within; childhood sample only,
per 1 dB increase in Lden), with 95 % confidence intervals. Results of sensitivity analyses with rail
traffic noise, air pollution and diet. ............................................................................................... 11
eTable 10: Coefficients from linear regression analyses for road traffic noise, with 95%
confidence intervals ....................................................................................................................... 12
eTable 11: Predicted BMI for different pregnancy noise categories, original sample, complete
cases and imputed ......................................................................................................................... 13
eTable 12: Predicted BMI for different childhood noise categories, original sample, complete
cases and imputed ......................................................................................................................... 14
eFigure 1: Directed Aclyclic Graphs (DAGs), childhood sample ..................................................... 15
eFigure 2: BMI percentiles for girls (left) and boys (right) from birth to age 8 years (96 months).
....................................................................................................................................................... 16
eAppendix 1 ................................................................................................................................... 17
eAppendix 2 ................................................................................................................................... 17
References ..................................................................................................................................... 19
eTable 1: Participants at each of the time points
Time point
Age
Pregnancy sample. Number of participants (% of initial population)
Childhood sample. Number of participants (% of initial population)
Number of childhood
sample participants moved once
Number of childhood
sample participants moved twice
or more
0 Birth 6776 (58.6) - 1 18 months 4350 (37.6) 4909 (42.5) 865 43 2 3 years 3482 (30.1) 2925 (25.3) 1041 127 3 5 years 3636 (31.5) 3037 (26.3) 1376 360 4 7 years 2989 (25.9) 2352 (20.4) 1056 363 5 8 years 1742 (15.1) 1362 (11.8) 521 165
eTable 2: Missing (%) for different covariates at different times. Time
Time varying 0 1 2 3 4 5 Total Time constant
BMI 42 55 54 61 78 48.4 Gender 0 Road traffic noisea 45 64 69 75 84 56 Education 1 Age 0 31 44 49 56 72 42.1 Ethnicity 0.3 Incomeb 4 2 1 8 26 7 Maternal BMI 10 Urbanityc 44 63 68 75 84 56 BMI at birth 4 Pregnancy noise 31 Income, birth 4 Urbanity, birth 14
aLden, at most exposed facade. bGross household income, adjusted according to the consumer price index. cIndicates proximity to city center; center, outskirts, or between.
eTable 3: Comparison of children who dropped out of MoBa, with children in the study sample,
at the different time points Variable Time Non-
participants Pregnancy
sample p-value Non-
participants Childhood
sample p-value:
Gender, % male 0 50.3 51.0 .45 1 51.1 49.9 .19 51.1 50.0 .21 2 50.7 50.6 .87 50.8 50.2 .57 3 50.9 50.1 .45 50.8 50.4 .71 4 51.0 49.8 .27 50.8 50.1 .56 5 50.8 50.0 .55 50.8 49.7 .45
Urbanitya, % Center
0
27.5
26.5
.07
Center 1 29.0 24.0 <.001 27.8 18.9 <.001 Center 2 27.7 25.3 .03 15.9 15.1 .11 Center 3 27.4 26.0 .12 12.3 10.5 .28 Center 4 27.6 25.1 .02 7.2 8.4 .37 Center 5 27.7 22.7 <.001 7.0 7.5 .81
Education, % Max high school
0
21.2
16.3
<.001
Max high school 1 20.6 14.6 <.001 21.3 14.3 <.001 Max high school 2 20.8 12.7 <.001 20.4 12.3 <.001 Max high school 3 20.8 12.9 <.001 20.2 13.3 <.001 Max high school 4 20.2 13.2 <.001 19.7 13.3 <.001 Max high school 5 19.4 12.7 <.001 19.2 12.4 <.001
Ethnicityb, % nonwestern 0 15.4 9.8 <.001 1 14.5 8.2 <.001 14.7 8.7 <.001 2 14.3 7.1 <.001 13.4 8.6 <.001 3 14.2 7.8 <.001 13.0 9.9 <.001 4 13.7 7.8 <.001 12.8 10.1 <.001 5 13.1 7.3 <.001 12.7 8.9 <.001
BMI 0 13.8 14.0 <.0001 1 16.7 16.7 .05 16.7 16.7 .50 2 16.1 16.1 .28 16.1 16.1 1.00 3 15.4 15.4 .84 15.4 15.4 .78 4 15.6 15.5 .33 15.6 15.6 .89 5 16.0 15.9 .60 16.0 15.9 .12
Birth BMI 0 1 13.9 14.0 .05 2 13.9 14.0 <.001 3 13.9 14.0 <.001 4 13.9 14.1 <.001 5 13.9 14.1 <.001
Road traffic noise,Lden, dB 0 56.7 56.4 .16 1 56.9 56.0 <.0001 56.4 55.4 <.0001 2 56.6 56.2 .08 54.6 54.8 .34 3 56.6 56.3 .10 54.4 54.1 .30 4 56.7 55.9 <.0001 53.4 53.5 .84 5 56.6 55.7 .0001 54.1 53.3 .04
Incomec 0 738523 793541 <.0001 1 759197 789665 .007 760882 783868 .04 2 773031 819518 .001 775853 819596 .003 3 857241 900098 .001 852379 922698 <.001 4 928825 955106 .08 919357 997773 <.001 5 955503 992816 .04 952134 1022064 <.001
BMI_mother 0 22.8 23.0 .004 1 22.9 23.0 .16 22.9 22.9 .54 2 22.9 22.9 .47 22.9 22.9 .54 3 22.9 22.9 .76 22.9 22.9 .58 4 22.9 22.9 .91 22.9 22.8 .23 5 22.9 23.0 .53 22.9 22.8 .40
aOutskirts: outside the Ring 3 road; Between: between roads Ring 2 and Ring 3; Center: inside Ring 2 road. The covariate indicated how far the children lived from the city center. bDichotomized according to Statistics Norway1. cAdjusted according to consumer price index
eTable 4: Predicted marginal means of BMI for different noise levels during pregnancy, pregnancy
sample (95% confidence interval). Analysis Predicted BMI
Birth
Predicted BMI
18 months
Predicted BMI
3 years
Predicted BMI
5 years
Predicted BMI
7 years
Predicted BMI
8 years
Main modela:
Average noise level
Lden 45 dB 14.05 (14.00,
14.10)
16.88 (16.82, 16.94) 16.14 (16.07, 16.21) 15.41 (15.34, 15.49) 15.45 (15.36, 15.54) 15.83 (15.73, 15.94)
Lden 50 dB 14.02 (13.99,
14.06)
16.89 (16.84, 16.93) 16.14 (16.09, 16.19) 15.43 (15.37, 15.48) 15.48 (15.41, 15.54) 15.87 (15.79, 15.94)
Lden 55 dB 14.00 (13.97,
14.03)
16.89 (16.86, 16.93) 16.14 (16.10, 16.18) 15.44 (15.40, 15.49) 15.50 (15.44, 15.55) 15.90 (15.83, 15.96)
Lden 60 dB 13.97 (13.94,
14.01)
16.90 (16.86, 16.94) 16.14 (16.09, 16.18) 15.46 (15.41, 15.51) 15.52 (15.46, 15.58) 15.93 (15.86, 16.00)
Lden 65 dB 13.95 (13.91,
13.99)
16.91 (16.85, 16.96) 16.14 (16.07, 16.20) 15.47 (15.41, 15.54) 15.55 (15.47, 15.63) 15.96 (15.86, 16.05)
aMain model includes age, gender, household income, urbanity, mother’s education, ethnicity, and mother’s BMI at birth.
eTable 5: Predicted marginal means of BMI for different noise levels over time (between-persons
noise), childhood sample (95% confidence interval).
Analysis Predicted BMI
18 months
Predicted BMI
3 years
Predicted BMI
5 years
Predicted BMI
7 years
Predicted BMI
8 years
Main modela:
Average noise level
Lden average 45 dB 16.66 (16.60, 16.71) 16.12 (16.04, 16.19) 15.44 (15.36, 15.52) 15.49 (15.40, 15.59) 15.88 (15.77, 15.99)
Lden average 50 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.70) 16.11 (16.06, 16.16) 15.45 (15.39, 15.51) 15.51 (15.45, 15.58) 15.91 (15.83, 15.99)
Lden average 55 dB 16.66 (16.63, 16.70) 16.10 (16.05, 16.14) 15.45 (15.41, 15.50) 15.53 (15.48, 15.59) 15.94 (15.87, 16.01)
Lden average 60 dB 16.67 (16.62, 16.71) 16.09 (16.03, 16.14) 15.46 (15.40, 15.52) 15.56 (15.48, 15.63) 15.97 (15.88, 16.06)
Lden average 65 dB 16.67 (16.61, 16.72) 16.07 (16.00, 16.15) 15.46 (15.38, 15.55) 15.58 (15.47, 15.68) 16.00 (15.88, 16.13)
aMain model includes age, gender, household income, urbanity, mother’s education, ethnicity, and mother’s BMI at birth, child’s BMI at birth.
eTable 6: Marginal effects of road traffic noise over time (within-person noise, childhood sample,, per 1
dB increase in Lden), with 95 % confidence intervals. Analysis Predicted change in BMI
per 1 dB increase in Lden
18months
Predicted change in BMI
per 1 dB increase in Lden
3years
Predicted change in BMI
per 1 dB increase in Lden
5years
Predicted change in BMI
per 1 dB increase in Lden
7years
Predicted change in BMI
per 1 dB increase in Lden
8years
Maina -.0021 (-.0098, .0056) -.0100 (-.0235, .0036) .0084 (-.0062, .0231) .0008 (-.0146, .0163) .0040 (-.0138, .0218)
aMain model includes age, gender, household income, urbanity, mother’s education, ethnicity, and mother’s BMI at birth, child’s BMI at birth.
eTable 7: Predicted marginal means of BMI for different pregnancy noise levels over time, with 95 %
confidence intervals. Pregnancy exposure
Analysis Birth 18 m 3 y 5 y 7 y 8 y
Maina with rail traffic noiseb:
average 50 dB 14.02 (13.99,14.06) 16.89 (16.84,16.93) 16.14 (16.09,16.19) 15.43 (15.37,15.48) 15.47 (15.41,15.54) 15.86 (15.79,15.94) average 55 dB 14.00 (13.97, 14.03) 16.89 (16.86, 16.93) 16.14 (16.10, 16.18) 15.44 (15.40, 15.49) 15.50 (15.44, 15.55) 15.90 (15.83, 15.96) average 60 dB 13.98 (13.94, 14.01) 16.90 (16.86, 16.94) 16.14 (16.09, 16.18) 15.46 (15.41, 15.51) 15.52 (15.46, 15.58) 15.93 (15.86, 16.00) average 65 dB 13.95 (13.91, 13.99) 16.91 (16.86, 16.96) 16.14 (16.08, 16.20) 15.47 (15.41, 15.54) 15.55 (15.47, 15.63) 15.96 (15.87, 16.05) Excl pregn air
pollution:
50 dB 14.02 (13.99, 14.06) 16.88 (16.84, 16.93) 16.14 (16.08, 16.19) 15.43 (15.37, 15.48) 15.48 (15.41, 15.54) 15.87 (15.79, 15.94) 55 dB 14.00 (13.97, 14.03) 16.89 (16.86, 16.93) 16.14 (16.09, 16.18) 15.44 (15.40, 15.49) 15.50 (15.44, 15.55) 15.90 (15.83, 15.96) 60 dB 13.98 (13.94, 14.01) 16.90 (16.86, 16.94) 16.14 (16.09, 16.18) 15.46 (15.41, 15.51) 15.52 (15.46, 15.58) 15.93 (15.86, 16.00) 65 dB 13.95 (13.91, 13.99) 16.91 (16.86, 16.96) 16.14 (16.08, 16.209 15.47 (15.41, 15.54) 15.54 (15.47, 15.63) 15.96 (15.86, 16.05)
Incl pregn NO2: 50 dB 14.02 (13.98, 14.06) 16.88 (16.83, 16.92) 16.13 (16.08, 16.18) 15.42 (15.36, 15.48) 15.47 (15.40, 15.54) 15.86 (15.78, 15.94) 55 dB 14.00 (13.97, 14.03) 16.89 (16.85, 16.93) 16.14 (16.09, 16.18) 15.44 (15.40, 15.49) 15.50 (15.44, 15.55) 15.89 (15.83, 15.96)
60 dB 13.98 (13.95, 14.01) 16.90 (16.86, 16.94) 16.14 (16.09, 16.19) 15.46 (15.41, 15.51) 15.53 (15.47, 15.59) 15.93 (15.86, 16.00) 65 dB 13.96 (13.91, 14.00) 16.92 (16.86, 16.97) 16.14 (16.08, 16.21) 15.48 (15.41, 15.55) 15.55 (15.47, 15.64) 15.96 (15.87, 16.06)
Incl pregn NOX 50 dB 14.02 (13.98, 14.06) 16.88 (16.84, 16.93) 16.13 (16.08, 16.19) 15.42 (15.37, 15.48) 15.47 (15.41, 15.54) 15.86 (15.78, 15.94) 55 dB 14.00 (13.97, 14.03) 16.89 (16.86, 16.93) 16.14 (16.09, 16.18) 15.44 (15.40, 15.49) 15.50 (15.44, 15.55) 15.90 (15.83, 15.96) 60 dB 13.98 (13.95, 14.01) 16.90 (16.86, 16.94) 16.14 (16.09, 16.18) 15.46 (15.41, 15.51) 15.53 (15.46, 15.59) 15.93 (15.86, 16.00) 65 dB 13.96 (13.91, 14.00) 16.91 (16.86, 16.97) 16.14 (16.08, 16.20) 15.48 (15.41, 15.54) 15.55 (15.47, 15.63) 15.96 (15.87, 16.06)
Incl preg PM2.5 50 dB 14.02 (13.99, 14.06) 16.88 (16.84, 16.93) 16.13 (16.08, 16.19) 15.42 (15.37, 15.48) 15.48 (15.41, 15.54) 15.86 (15.79, 15.94) 55 dB 14.00 (13.97, 14.03) 16.89 (16.86, 16.93) 16.14 (16.09, 16.18) 15.44 (15.40, 15.49) 15.50 (15.45, 15.55) 15.90 (15.83, 15.96) 60 dB 13.98 (13.94, 14.01) 16.90 (16.86, 16.94) 16.14 (16.09, 16.18) 15.46 (15.41, 15.51) 15.52 (15.46, 15.58) 15.93 (15.86, 16.00) 65 dB 13.95 (13.91, 14.00) 16.91 (16.86, 16.96) 16.14 (16.08, 16.20) 15.48 (15.41, 15.54) 15.55 (15.47, 15.63) 15.96 (15.86, 16.05)
aMain model includes age, gender, household income, urbanity, mother’s education, ethnicity, and mother’s BMI at birth. bLden
eTable 8: Predicted marginal means of BMI for different childhood noise levels over time, with 95 %
confidence intervals. Results of sensitivity analyses with rail traffic noise, air pollution and diet. Childhood Exposure
Analysis 18 m 3 y 5 y 7 y 8 y
Maina with rail traffic noiseb:
average 50 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.70) 16.11 (16.06, 16.16) 15.45 (15.39, 15.51) 15.52 (15.45, 15.58) 15.91 (15.83, 15.99) average 55 dB 16.66 (16.63, 16.70) 16.10 (16.05, 16.14) 15.45 (15.41, 15.50) 15.53 (15.48, 15.59) 15.94 (15.87, 16.01) average 60 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.70) 16.08 (16.03, 16.14) 15.46 (15.40, 15.52) 15.55 (15.48, 15.63) 15.97 (15.88, 16.06) average 65 dB 16.66 (16.61, 16.72) 16.07 (15.99, 16.15) 15.46 (15.37, 15.55) 15.57 (15.47, 15.68) 16.00 (15.87, 16.13) Excl pregn air
pollution:
50 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.70) 16.11 (16.06, 16.17) 15.45 (15.39, 15.50) 15.54 (15.47, 15.61) 15.93 (15.85, 16.01) 55 dB 16.66 (16.63, 16.70) 16.10 (16.06, 16.15) 15.45 (15.40, 15.50) 15.55 (15.49, 15.61) 15.96 (15.89, 16.03) 60 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.70) 16.09 (16.03, 16.15) 15.46 (15.40, 15.52) 15.56 (15.48, 15.64) 15.99 (15.90, 16.08) 65 dB 16.66 (16.60, 16.72) 16.08 (16.00, 16.16) 15.47 (15.38, 15.56) 15.57 (15.46, 15.68) 16.02 (15.89, 16.15)
Incl pregn NO2: 50 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.71) 16.11 (16.06, 16.17) 15.45 (15.39, 15.50) 15.54 (15.47, 15.61) 15.93 (15.84, 16.01) 55 dB 16.66 (16.63, 16.70) 16.10 (16.06, 16.15) 15.45 (15.40, 15.50) 15.55 (15.49, 15.61) 15.96 (15.89, 16.03)
60 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.70) 16.09 (16.03, 16.15) 15.46 (15.40, 15.52) 15.56 (15.48, 15.64) 15.99 (15.90, 16.09)
65 dB 16.66 (16.60, 16.72) 16.08 (16.00, 16.16) 15.47 (15.38, 15.56) 15.57 (15.46, 15.68) 16.02 (15.89, 16.15) Incl pregn NOX
50 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.70) 16.11 (16.06, 16.17) 15.45 (15.39, 15.50) 15.54 (15.47, 15.61) 15.93 (15.84, 16.01) 55 dB 16.66 (16.63, 16.70) 16.10 (16.06, 16.15) 15.45 (15.40, 15.50) 15.55 (15.49, 15.61) 15.96 (15.89, 16.03) 60 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.71) 16.09 (16.03, 16.15) 15.46 (15.40, 15.52) 15.56 (15.48, 15.64) 15.99 (15.90, 16.08) 65 dB 16.66 (16.60, 16.72) 16.08 (16.00, 16.16) 15.47 (15.38, 15.56) 15.57 (15.46, 15.68) 16.02 (15.89, 16.15)
Incl preg PM2.5 50 dB 16.67 (16.63, 16.71) 16.12 (16.06, 16.17) 15.45 (15.39, 15.51) 15.54 (15.47, 15.61) 15.93 (15.85, 16.01) 55 dB 16.66 (16.63, 16.70) 16.10 (16.06, 16.15) 15.45 (15.40, 15.50) 15.55 (15.49, 15.61) 15.96 (15.89, 16.03) 60 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.70) 16.09 (16.03, 16.14) 15.46 (15.40, 15.52) 15.56 (15.48, 15.64) 15.99 (15.89, 16.08) 65 dB 16.66 (16.60, 16.72) 16.07 (15.99, 16.15) 15.46 (15.37, 15.55) 15.57 (15.46, 15.68) 16.02 (15.89, 16.15)
Without child air pollution
50 dB 16.67 (16.63, 16.71) 16.12 (16.06, 16.17) 15.48 (15.41, 15.54) 15.52 (15.43, 15.60) 15.98 (15.85, 16.11) 55 dB 16.67 (16.63, 16.70) 16.10 (16.06, 16.15) 15.47 (15.41, 15.52) 15.55 (15.47, 15.63) 16.01 (15.90, 16.12) 60 dB 16.67 (16.62, 16.71) 16.09 (16.03, 16.14) 15.46 (15.39, 15.53) 15.58 (15.48, 15.68) 16.04 (15.89, 16.18) 65 dB 16.66 (16.61, 16.72) 16.07 (15.99, 16.15) 15.45 (15.35, 15.55) 15.62 (15.48, 15.75) 16.06 (15.86, 16.27)
Incl childh NO2 50 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.70) 16.11 (16.06, 16.17) 15.47 (15.41, 15.54) 15.52 (15.43, 15.60) 15.98 (15.85, 16.11) 55 dB 16.67 (16.63, 16.70) 16.10 (16.06, 16.15) 15.47 (15.41, 15.53) 15.55 (15.48, 15.63) 16.01 (15.90, 16.12) 60 dB 16.67 (16.63, 16.71) 16.09 (16.03, 16.15) 15.47 (15.39, 15.54) 15.59 (15.49, 15.69) 16.04 (15.89, 16.19) 65 dB 16.67 (16.61, 16.73) 16.08 (16.00, 16.16) 15.46 (15.36, 15.56) 15.62 (15.49, 15.76) 16.07 (15.87, 16.28)
Incl childh NOX 50 dB 16.66 (16.62, 16.70) 16.11 (16.06, 16.17) 15.47 (15.41, 15.54) 15.51 (15.43, 15.60) 15.98 (15.85, 16.10) 55 dB 16.67 (16.63, 16.70) 16.10 (16.06, 16.15) 15.47 (15.41, 15.53) 15.55 (15.48, 15.63) 16.01 (15.90, 16.12) 60 dB 16.67 (16.63, 16.71) 16.09 (16.04, 16.15) 15.47 (15.40, 15.54) 15.59 (15.49, 15.69) 16.05 (15.90, 16.19) 65 dB 16.68 (16.63, 16.74) 16.08 (16.00, 16.16) 15.47 (15.37, 15.57) 15.63 (15.49, 15.77) 16.08 (15.87, 16.29)
Incl child PM2.5 50 dB 16.67 (16.63, 16.71) 16.12 (16.06, 16.17) 15.48 (15.41, 15.54) 15.52 (15.43, 15.60) 15.98 (15.85, 16.11) 55 dB 16.67 (16.63, 16.70) 16.10 (16.06, 16.15) 15.47 (15.41, 15.52) 15.55 (15.47, 15.63) 16.01 (15.89, 16.12) 60 dB 16.67 (16.62, 16.71) 16.09 (16.03, 16.14) 15.46 (15.39, 15.53) 15.58 (15.48, 15.68) 16.04 (15.89, 16.18)
65 dB 16.67 (16.61, 16.73) 16.07 (15.99, 16.15) 15.45 (15.35, 15.55) 15.62 (15.48, 15.75) 16.06 (15.86, 16.27) Without diet at
3 y
50 dB 16.68 (16.63, 16.72) 16.12 (16.06, 16.18) 15.46 (15.40, 15.53) 15.51 (15.44, 15.59) 15.91 (15.82, 16.00) 55 dB 16.68 (16.64, 16.72) 16.11 (16.06, 16.16) 15.48 (15.42, 15.53) 15.52 (15.45, 15.59) 15.92 (15.84, 16.00) 60 dB 16.68 (16.64, 16.73) 16.10 (16.04, 16.16) 15.49 (15.42, 15.56) 15.52 (15.44, 15.61) 15.93 (15.83, 16.04) 65 dB 16.69 (16.62, 16.75) 16.08 (16.00, 16.17) 15.50 (15.40, 15.60) 15.53 (15.41, 15.65) 15.94 (15.79, 16.09)
Incl diet at 3 y 50 dB 16.68 (16.63, 16.72) 16.12 (16.06, 16.18) 15.47 (15.40, 15.53) 15.52 (15.44, 15.59) 15.91 (15.82, 16.00) 55 dB 16.68 (16.64, 16.72) 16.11 (16.06, 16.16) 15.48 (15.42, 15.53) 15.52 (15.45, 15.59) 15.92 (15.84, 16.00) 60 dB 16.68 (16.64, 16.73) 16.10 (16.04, 16.16) 15.49 (15.42, 15.56) 15.52 (15.44, 15.61) 15.93 (15.83, 16.04) 65 dB 16.69 (16.62, 16.75) 16.08 (16.00, 16.17) 15.50 (15.40, 15.60) 15.53 (15.41, 15.65) 15.94 (15.79, 16.09)
aMain model includes age, gender, household income, urbanity, mother’s education, ethnicity, and mother’s BMI at birth, child’s BMI at birth. bLden
eTable 9: Marginal effects of road traffic noise over time (noise within; childhood sample only, per 1 dB
increase in Lden), with 95 % confidence intervals. Results of sensitivity analyses with rail traffic noise, air
pollution and diet. Analysis N 18 m 3 y 5 y 7 y 8 y
Maina 6403 (14585) -.0021 (-.0098, .0056) -.0100 (-.0235, .0036) .0084 (-.0062, .0231) .0008 (-.0146, .0163) .0040 (-.0138, .0218) Including rail traffic noiseb 6403 (14585) -.0019 (-.0096, .0059) -.0083 (-.0217, .0052) .0084 (-.0061, .0229) -.0001 (-.0155, .0152) .0036 (-.0140, .0212)
Excl pregn air poll 6225 (14275) -.0034 (-.0112, .0044) -.0095 (-.0234, .0044) .0102 (-.0047, .0252) .0019 (-.0141, .0180) .0031 (-.0149, .0212) Including pregnancy NO2 6225 (14275) -.0034 (-.0113, .0045) -.0095 (-.0234, .0044) .0103 (-.0047, .0253) .0020 (-.0141, .0180) .0032 (-.0148, .0212) Including pregnancy NOX 6225 (14275) -.0033 (-.0112, .0045) -.0095 (-.0234, .0044) .0102 (-.0048, .0252) .0019 (-.0141, .0180) .0031 (-.0149, .0212) Including pregnancyPM2.5 6225 (14275) -.0039 (-.0118, .0040) -.0095 (-.0234, .0044) .0108 (-.0041, .0258) .0024 (-.0136, .0185) .0035 (-.0145, .0216)
Excl childhood air poll 6180 (11861) -.0020 (-.0099, .0059) -.0094 (-.0232, .0044) .0106 (-.0080, .0291) -.0071 (-.0300, .0157) -.0015 (-.0343, .0314) Including childhood NO2 6180 (11861) -.0024 (-.0103, .0056) -.0096 (-.0233, .0042) .0098 (-.0087, .0284) -.0082 (-.0312, .0147) -.0024 (-.0353, .0305) Including childhood NOX 6180 (11861) -.0028 (-.0108, .0051) -.0094 (-.0232, .0043) .0094 (-.0092, .0279) -.0088 (-.0318, .0141) -.0030 (-.0359, .0299)
Including childhood PM2.5 6180 (11861) -.0019 (-.0098, .0060) -.0094 (-.0231, .0044) .0108 (-.0077, .0293) -.0066 (-.0295, .0164) -.0011 (-.0340, .0318) Excluding dietc at age 3 y 4555 (11498) .0007 (-.0079, .0093) -.0081 (-.0219, .0057) .0114 (-.0045, .0272) -.0007 (-.0173, .0159) .0036 (-.0162, .0235) Including diet at age 3 y 4555 (11498) .0009 (-.0077, .0095) -.0097 (-.0236, .0043) .0115 (-.0045, .0275) .0004 (-.0163, .0171) .0045 (-.0156, .0247)
aMain model includes age, gender, household income, urbanity, mother’s education, ethnicity, and mother’s BMI at birth, child’s BMI at birth. bLden
cBased on the New Nordic Diet 2, and contained information on intake of fruits, potatoes, rice, pasta, vegetables, bread, fish, milk, juice, water, sweetened beverages and sweet and salty snacks.
eTable 10: Coefficients from linear regression analyses for road traffic noise, with 95% confidence
intervals Analysisa N Beta coefficient, road
traffic noise
Without dietb 2062 .0037 (-.0053, .0126)
Incl diet 2062 .0038 (-.0051, .0128)
Without physical activityc 2317 .0081 (-.0005, .0167)
Incl physical activity 2317 .0079 (-.0007, .0165)
aAll analyses are with both covariates and outcomes at age 7 years. bBased on the New Nordic Diet 2, and contained information on intake of fruits, potatoes, rice, pasta, vegetables, bread, fish, milk, juice, water, sweetened
beverages and sweet and salty snacks. cHours a week the child was physically active/doing sports (football, handball, skiing, etc.) when not in school, with six alternatives: less than one hour, 1-2
hours, 3-4 hours, 5-7 hours 8-10 hours, or more than 11 hours
eTable 11: Predicted BMI for different pregnancy noise categories, original sample, complete cases and
imputed <55 dB 55-60 dB >=60 dB
Time Original, mean (SD), obs
Complete, mean (SD), obs=366
Imputeda, mean (SD), obs=2759
Original, mean (SD), obs
Complete, mean (SD), obs=227
Imputeda, mean (SD), obs=1960
Original, mean (SD), obs
Complete, mean (SD), obs=222
Imputeda, mean (SD), obs=2316
0 14.04 (.19) obs=2671
14.07 (.19) 14.04 (.20) 13.99 (.19) obs=1888
14.01 (.18) 13.99 (.19) 13.94 (.19) obs=2217
13.96 (.18) 13.94 (.19)
1 16.74 (.31) obs=1784
16.73 (.33) 16.73 (.31) 16.75 (.30) obs=1221
16.74 (.32) 16.74 (.31) 16.75 (.30) obs=1345
16.78 (.33) 16.75 (.30)
2 16.11 (.22) obs=1408
16.06 (.23) 16.10 (.22) 16.09 (.22) obs=977
16.04 (.22) 16.09 (.22) 16.08 (.21) obs=1097
16.04 (.22) 16.07 (.22)
3 15.42 (.20) obs=1446
15.42 (.19) 15.42 (.20) 15.43 (.19) obs=1022
15.45 (.19) 15.45 (.20) 15.45 (.18) obs=1168
15.49 (.19) 15.46 (.19)
4 15.51 (.19) obs=1238
15.52 (.18) 15.52 (.20) 15.54 (.19) obs=853
15.54 (.18) 15.55 (.19) 15.57 (.18) obs=898
15.55 (.18) 15.58 (.19)
5 15.92 (.19) obs=748
15.94 (.18) 15.92 (.20) 15.97 (.18) obs=481
15.96 (.19) 15.98 (.19) 16.01 (.18) obs=513
15.97 (.18) 16.04 (.19)
All models include age, gender, household income, urbanity, mother’s education, ethnicity, and mother’s BMI at birth. aBased on 50 imputed datasets.
eTable 12: Predicted BMI for different childhood noise categories, original sample, complete cases and
imputed <55 dB 55-60 dB >=60 dB
Time Original, mean (SD), obs
Complete, mean (SD), obs=311
Imputeda, mean (SD), obs=3926
Original, mean (SD), obs
Complete, mean (SD), obs=115
Imputeda, mean (SD), obs=2607
Original, mean (SD), obs
Complete, mean (SD), obs=68
Imputeda, mean (SD), obs=2467
1 16.73 (.34) 2377
16.68 (.43) 16.74 (.40) 16.72 (.35) 1371
16.72 (.47) 16.72 (.39) 16.72 (.35) 1161
16.79 (.50) 16.72 (.41)
2 16.11 (.36) 1463
16.09 (.39) 16.11 (.36) 16.09 (.36) 841
16.00 (.42) 16.07 (.35) 16.04 (.35) 621
15.97 (.45) 16.04 (.37)
3 15.43 (.31) 1555
15.35 (.35) 15.45 (.35) 15.41 (.34) 872
15.41 (.38) 15.44 (.33) 15.45 (.33) 610
15.48 (.39) 15.45 (.35)
4 15.55 (.34) 1283
15.46 (.34) 15.56 (.35) 15.55 (.33) 647
15.50 (.36) 15.56 (.33) 15.59 (.34) 422
15.55 (.37) 15.57 (.35)
5 15.97 (.31) 777
15.87 (.36) 16.00 (.34) 16.00 (.36) 349
15.95 (.37) 16.02 (.33) 16.03 (.32) 236
16.02 (.40) 16.04 (.34)
All models include age, gender, household income, urbanity, mother’s education, ethnicity, and mother’s BMI at birth, child’s BMI at birth. aBased on 50 imputed datasets.
eFigure 1: Directed Aclyclic Graphs (DAGs), childhood sample
B M I p e rc e n t ile s , g ir ls
A g e in m o n th s
BM
I (k
g/m
2)
0 18 36 60 84 96
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
B M I p e rc e n t ile s , b o y s
A g e in m o n th s
BM
I (k
g/m
2)
5th
25 th
50 th
75 th
95 th
0 18 36 60 84 96
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
eFigure 2: BMI percentiles for girls (left) and boys (right) from birth to age 8 years (96 months).
eAppendix 1
Linear mixed models
For the childhood model, an intra-class correlation for the null model (containing BMI and random
intercept) of .44, in addition to a confidence interval for the random intercept variance not including
zero (CI=[.96, 1.09]), warranted use of the mixed model. The covariates from the final model were
used in a linear regression analysis with a leverage versus squared residuals plot to identify potential
outliers. No outliers were detected. To address the assumption of normally distributed residuals,
histograms were made for level 1 residuals, random intercept and random slope. Scatterplots with
smoothed curves were used to examine whether the covariates were linearly related to the
outcome. The assumption of independent residuals was checked by plotting of the residuals from
each time point against each other in a scatterplot and by obtaining a correlation matrix of the
residuals. The homoscedasticity of variance assumption was evaluated through visual inspection of
scatterplots with standardized residuals against age and against fitted values of the outcome
variable. Several approaches were tried to reduce the heteroscedasticity: inclusion of interaction
terms, allowing for different variances at each time points, log-transforming the BMI variable, or
doing some other transformation, such as square root. The best solution seemed to be keeping the
BMI variable in its original form, still, however, leaving some heteroscedasticity in the model. By
investigating residual plots and comparing Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian
information criterion (BIC), we found that heteroscedasticity was a bigger problem than correlation
within the residuals and thus prioritized that in our model. For a description of diagnostics employed.
eAppendix 2
Multiple imputation
In longitudinal analysis, assessing reasons for missing is important. Data should be missing at
random, which means that the probability of being missing is not allowed to depend on the
responses we would have observed if the data had not been missing, but it is allowed to depend on
covariates or responses at previous occasions 3. Since the average BMI values in the present study
are similar for study samples and non-participants at most time points, there is no reason to believe
that missing depended on the children’s BMI levels.
Assuming information was missing at random, 50 imputed datasets were created, and then analyzed
with Stata’s mi commands. Chained equations were used to perform the multivariate imputation 4. In
the pregnancy sample, BMI and age were imputed. In the childhood sample, BMI, road traffic noise,
age, income, and urbanity were imputed. The variables used in the imputation equations were the
same as in the main models. The analyses with imputed data in the pregnancy sample included
42210 observations from 7035 children. The analyses with imputed data in the childhood sample
included 50305 observations from 10061 children. Wald tests were used to assess significance of
interaction terms. Additional analyses based on original data from children with no missing data
(pregnancy sample: n=815, obs.=4890; childhood sample: n=494, obs.=2560) were also done to
assess the adequacy of the results obtained with imputed data. Average predicted BMI values for
different noise categories (<50 dB, 50-55 dB, 55-60 dB, 60-65 dB, >65 dB) were then obtained and
compared for the models based on the three different data sets (original, complete cases, imputed).
In addition, the adequacy of the imputed data was assessed through plots of the distributions of the
variables in the observed, imputed and completed samples. Bivariate scatterplots with overlaid
lowess fit for observed and imputed raw values and predicted values were created for each imputed
data set.
For both observed and imputed values, scatterplots of predicted values and covariates with overlaid
lowess curves, and Kernel density plots for the different covariates, were created. These plots
indicated that the imputed data were reasonable.
References 1. Høydal E. Innvandrerbegreper i statistikken: Vestlig og ikke-vestlig – ord som ble for store og
gikk ut på dato. Samfunnsspeilet 2008(4):66-69. 2. Hillesund ER, Bere E, Haugen M, Overby NC. Development of a New Nordic Diet score and its
association with gestational weight gain and fetal growth - a study performed in the Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort Study (MoBa). Public Health Nutr 2014;17(9):1909-18.
3. Rabe-Hesketh S, Skrondal A. Multilevel and Longitudinal Modeling Using Stata. Texas: Stata Press, 2012.
4. Azur MJ, Stuart EA, Frangakis C, Leaf PJ. Multiple imputation by chained equations: what is it and how does it work? Int J Methods Psychiatr Res 2011;20(1):40-9.