Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science &...

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Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4 February 1998

Transcript of Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science &...

Page 1: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Superconductivity:Power in the Fast Lane

Paul M. GrantEPRI Lead, Tech Forecast

Strategic Science & TechnologyIEEE Power Engineering Winter

Meeting4 February 1998

Page 2: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Fathers of Electricity

DiscoverersDiscoverers

PractitionersPractitioners

Page 3: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Fathers of Cryogenics

Dewar Kammerlingh-Onnes

CH4 112 KO 90N2 77Ne 27H2 20He 4.2

Page 4: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

(((

Models of Electrical ConductivityThe First Idea:R

T

Just Goesto Zero!

(((

(((

(((

• •e-e-

Page 5: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Models of Electrical ConductivityThe Most Popular:R

T

Freezes Out!e-

Page 6: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Models of Electrical ConductivityReality:R

T

Limited byImpurities!

•e-

Page 7: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Thus the mercury at 4.2 K has entered a new state, which, owing to its particular electrical properties, can be called the state of superconductivity

H. Kamerlingh-Onnes (1911)

A Big Surprise!

Page 8: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Physics of Superconductivity

+ +

+ +•e-

•e-

Electrons Pair Off!

)/1exp( 14.1 DCT

BCS Equation

(Niobium) K 5.9

,28.0

,K 275

C

D

T

Page 9: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

TC vs. Year: The Past

0

5

10

15

20

25

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980Year

Te

mp

era

ture

(K

)

Hg

Pb

NbN V3Si

Nb3Sn

Nb3Ge

Cubic Metals

Page 10: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Superconductivity:What’s It Good For?

MRI Surgical UnitGeneral Electric

TevatronFermi National Laboratory

Page 11: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Superconductivity:High-Tc Surprise!

Bednorz and MuellerIBM Zuerich, 1986

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 0

50

100

150

200

Tem

perature, T

C (K

)

Year

Low-TC

High-T

C

164 K

Page 12: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

1987:“The Prize!”

Page 13: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Type II Superconductivity

IrreversibilityLine

Meissner

Mixed

Normal

Mag

net

ic F

ield

Temperature

-M

HHC2HC1

1/4

TC

HC1

HC2

Page 14: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

H

J

FLorentz Defects (pin sites)

LorentzForce

Abrikosov Vortex Lattice

Vortices

Page 15: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

BSCCO OPIT/Ag Process

ASC Wire Forming Process

Oxide Powder Mechanically Alloyed Precursor

A. Extrusion

B. Wire DrawC. Rolling

1. PowderPreparation

Billet Packing& Sealing

Deformation& Processing

Oxidation -Heat Treat

2.

3.

4.

Wire is the electrical commodity

Page 16: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

BSCCO OPIT/Ag TapeGeneration I Wire

Page 17: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Power Applications:Wire for Cables

Page 18: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Y-123 Bi-2223

Layered CuO Perovskites

Page 19: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

• Biaxially Oriented Y-123

• Out of Japan, LANL, ORNL

• EPRI/ASC Alliance to Commercialize

Coated HTSC ConductorsGeneration II Wire

Page 20: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

“The SokPlot”

1000 100 10 1 0.11

10

100

1000

10000

Y-123 IBAD

EURUS

Bi-2223

77K, 0T

Siemens

Target

Bi-2223

77K, 0T

NKT Target

"Sokolowski Plot" of HTSC Wire Performance and Cost

NbTi

4.2K, 2T

Bi-2212

4.2K, 0T

IGC

Nb3Sn

4.2K, 12-15 T

Bi-2223

77K, 0T

IGC

$1,000

$100$10 $1 /kAm

Op

era

tin

g C

urr

en

t, Ic

(A

)

Cost ($/m)

Page 21: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Wire C/P Market Entry Thresholds

Time

C/P

($/

kA

×m

)

Substation Elimination

SMES/FCL/Transformers

70% New UG Cables

Page 22: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Electricity & SC:Weakest Scenario

• Fuel Types & Location– Gas, Renewables Dominate - No More Nukes– Distributed Generation Grows

• Geopolitics– Regional Instability– Economic Gap between Nations Continues

• Environment– Carbon Sequestration Successful– Risk Abatement Deferred

Page 23: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Electricity & SC:Strongest Scenario

• Fuel Types & Location– Nukes, Hydro, Non-Transportables Dominate– Centralized Generation Grows

• Geopolitics– Regional Stability Achieved– Economic Gap between Nations Shrinks

• Environment– Risk Abatement Implemented – Global Climate Change Proven/Perceived

Page 24: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Global Electrification:A Superconductivity Solution

Page 25: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

The SuperconductingElectricity Pipe!

I

-V

Ground

Structural Support

SuperconductingElectricityPipeline

ThermalInsulation

ElectricalInsulation

Superconductor(-V)

Superconductor(+V)

+VI

LiquidNitrogen

• Total Cryo System

• Power: 5 GW dc

• Cost: < Gas, HVDC > 500 Miles

Page 26: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

Gas/HVDC Comparison

Marginal Cost of Electricity (Mid Value Fuel Costs)

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

2.00

2.20

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500

Miles

c/kW

h

LVDC ($5.5/kA-m @ 65K)

LVDC ($10/kA-m @ 77K)

HVDC

gas pipeline

Page 27: Superconductivity: Power in the Fast Lane Paul M. Grant EPRI Lead, Tech Forecast Strategic Science & Technology IEEE Power Engineering Winter Meeting 4.

Powering ProgressEPRI

P.M. GrantIEEE PE Mtg

Superconductivity4 February 1998

EdisonMaybe he was right after all!

TeslaInventor,

Polyphase ac System

Electricity DeliveryIs Its Future dc?