Student V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

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Student Visa Dashboard Year- to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

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Page 1: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Student Visa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014

OverallFor discussion

Page 2: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Introduction

• The following dashboard is based on Immigration New Zealand (INZ) data on Student visas issued. This data source is the most immediate/instantaneous data available on the international education sector, as there is only a one month lag between student visas approved and INZ publishing the data. Student visa data is a strong indicator of whether students are remaining, leaving  or entering New Zealand to study, which can be used as a predictor for future enrolment trends.

• Student visa trends allow us to analyse two key indicators: 1) retention of students and 2) growth of new students. • We use first time student visas as an indicator of growth as it represents new students and the pipeline of students

entering New Zealand. • Total student visas gives us an overview of all student visas (ie: first time student visas and students re-issuing their

visas). • We can analyse the retention of students by subtracting first time student visas from total student visas.

Page 3: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Caveats and notes

• Student visas vs. visitor visas:– Total student visas (TSV), First time student visas (FSV), and renewed student visas (RSV) only capture students who

enter New Zealand with a student visa. These students are planning to study for more than three months.– Students who undertake a course less than three months are not required to enter on a student visa – these students can

enter on a visitor visa and therefore will not be captured in this dashboard. – This will impact the PTE (including the ELS) sector numbers.

• Student visas vs. enrolments:– There is potential delay of up to three months between students having their visas approved and actual entry into New

Zealand, therefore the figures shown here may not necessarily represent the actual number of students currently in New Zealand.

• Work in progress:– ENZ is currently working on:

• Understanding the true demand of student visas – ie: TSV applications vs. TSVs approved.• Understanding the correlation between ENZ Activity and policy changes on FSV trends • Understanding the impact of RSV on overall trends. Further discussion will be required on the ownership and

responsibility for retaining these students.• Further work is being undertaken to understand a relatively large number of “Not recorded” entries for FSVs at the

provider level • Further analysis is being undertaken on understanding the correlation between student visas and enrolments.

Page 4: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

How to read the dashboard

Overall indicator of the overall performance of the

market

Name of the market/region

The monthly result:• Actual change in visa

numbers • Percentage change

in visas• Directional indicator

The year-to-date result:• Actual change in visa

numbers • Percentage change

in visas• Directional indicator

Shows the year-end sector performance of actual FSVs numbers.

Shows the Monthly sector performance of actual FSVs numbers.

Shows the calendar year results for FSV + RSVs. This also demonstrates the proportional make-up of a market as we progress through the year, while comparing the overall result from previous years.

These graphs show a monthly trend of actual visa numbers from 2011 – 2014.

Key trends or interesting trends to consider

This pie graph represents the sector distribution of FSVs YTD.

Page 5: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Key trends

Year-to-date (YTD) January to May:• There has been a 14% increase (5,541) in the total number of student visas approved year-to-date (2014 calendar year), when

compared to the same period in 2013.

• India continues to grow with a 71% (3,273 TSVs) increase YTD. Indian FSVs have grown by 92% (2,329) YTD.

• There has also been some steady growth coming out of ASEAN up 9% (464 TSVs) and Latin America up 37% (433 TSVs) YTD.

• Growth experienced by Colombia is at record levels, with growth of 116% (175 TSVs) YTD.

• All sectors have experienced positive YTD growth in FSVs. Growth in the university sector has been steady, with a 3.5% (101) increase. The PTE sector is experiencing significant growth, up 76% (2,531 FSVs) YTD.

May:• May is the first negative result since June 2013, which is due to a “decline” in RSVs. The following slide explains this irregular result.

• May saw another strong result for FSVs up 36% (1,095 FSV). This is the strongest May on record, with over 4,100 FSVs being approved. The previous strongest May was in 2002 which had 3,850 FSVs approved.

• The growth in FSVs is driven by the Indian market, up 189% (664 FSVs).

• Colombian FSVs are at record levels up 400% (48). These students are predominantly enrolling in the PTE sector.

• With the exception of the primary school sector, all other sectors have seen strong growth in FSVs in May.

May: The top five TSV increases:• India ↑ 52% (528)• USA ↑ 22% (92)• Philippines ↑ 39% (78)• Nepal ↑ 210% (42)• Colombia ↑ 129% (40) 

May: Declines:• China ↓30% (-643)• South Korea ↓ 48% (-295)• Saudi Arabia ↓ 33% (-102)• Japan ↓ 38% (-101)• Vietnam ↓ 49% (-74)

Sector FSV trends, May• Primary schools ↓ 2% (-2)• Secondary schools ↑ 8% (46)• ITPs ↑ 54% (46)• Universities ↑ 15% (133)• PTEs ↑ 80% (701)

Page 6: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Analysis: Total student visa applications received

• These graphs demonstrate that RSVs and FSVs have two very distinct application processing trends.• Some of the larger providers incentivise students to apply for RSVs earlier. This should create two peaks in RSVs: one in March and one in July. • May 2013 saw a irregular peak. Anecdotal evidence from the sector suggests that this was a result of a backlog caused by a delay in processing of February

and March 2013 onshore visas. The onshore graph shows that the 2012 and 2014 trend is very similar, however 2013 drops in February and March and peaks in May.

• This explains the sudden drop in RSVs that we are currently experiencing, as we are comparing May 2014 to a month that experienced inconsistent activity (May 2013).

• This irregular trend has impacted the onshore China market results the most (as it is largest overall market and therefore irregulars trends are more noticeable).

• July 2014 RSVs will be a key month as it should show another peak. This should even out the drop in RSVs experienced in May.• The offshore applications (FSVs) are trending above previous years.

January February March April May June July August September October November December0

2,0004,0006,0008,000

10,00012,000

Onshore applications (RSVs)

201220132014

Num

ber o

f app

licat

ions

rece

ived

January February March April May June July August September October November December0

1,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,000

Offshore applications (FSVs)

201220132014

Num

ber o

f app

licat

ions

rece

ived

Page 7: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Overall performanceRSV = Renewed student visas (TSV – FSV = RSV)FSV = First time student visasTSV = Total student visas

Month on month performance:

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Full year Jan Feb Mar Apr May YTDYearly proportion of student visas issued

(by month) 6% 13% 21% 8% 7% 6% 13% 9% 5% 4% 4% 4% 100% Yearly % 6% 13% 21% 8% 7% 55%

Result (2013 vs. 2012)

0% -19% -15% 7% 39% -14% 9% 2% -3% 8% 2% 24% 1% Result (2014 vs. 2013) 16% 24% 17% -1% -39% 5%

Yearly proportion of student visas issued

(by month) 13% 10% 9% 6% 9% 10% 7% 7% 6% 6% 8% 9% 100% Yearly % 13% 10% 9% 6% 9% 47%

Result (2013 vs. 2012)

1% -14% -29% 6% 1% 7% 21% -3% 4% 24% 10% 26% 3% Result (2014 vs. 2013) 16% 20% 51% 41% 36% 30%

Yearly proportion of student visas issued

(by month) 9% 12% 16% 7% 8% 8% 11% 8% 5% 5% 6% 6% 100% Yearly % 9% 12% 16% 7% 8% 52%

Result (2013 vs. 2012)

0% -17% -18% 6% 20% -3% 12% 0% 0% 15% 6% 25% 1% Result (2014 vs. 2013) 15% 23% 24% 13% -9% 14%

2014

RSV

FSV

TSV

RSVs

FSVs

2013

TSVs

Page 8: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Overall:

Takeaways:• The 2014 academic year continues to trend positively – with 52% of all students that are intending to study on a

student visa, have had their visas approved. • RSVs for May are down due to irregular visa processing trends. This should even out over the next couple of months

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

Overall: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000 Overall: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000

Overall - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Wānanga

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800

Overall: First time student visas issued by sector, May May-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November Decem ber

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Overall: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universi ties

Wānanga

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000

Overall: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of fi rst time student v isas approved

Schools20%

Uni24%

ITPs11%

PTEs44%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

1,776- -39% 1,095 36% 681- -9% 1,276 5% 4,265 30% 5,541 14%YTD TSVMay RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV

Page 9: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

China:

Takeaways:• China continues to grow at a steady rate.• RSVs declined by 49% in May – which is caused by students renewing their visas earlier than previous years, as

YTD RSVs are still positive.

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

China: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900 China: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000

China - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universi ties

Total

0 50 100 150 200 250

China: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

- 500

1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000

China: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universi ties

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000

China: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of fi rst time student v isas approved

Schools

25%

Uni34%

ITPs15%

PTEs27%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

770- -49% 127 21% 643- -30% 484 5% 754 35% 1,238 11%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 10: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

India:

Takeaways: • India continues to grow significantly, both in RSVs and FSVs• We have experienced a significant, and a constant, “wave” of FSVs since September 2013• Since January 74% of all Indian FSVs intend to enrol in a PTE

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

India: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200 India: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000

India - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universi ties

Total

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

India: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

India: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universi ties

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000

India: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time student v isas approved

Schools2%

Uni6%

ITPs18%

PTEs74%YTD Sector

breakdown of FSVs

136- -21% 664 189% 528 52% 944 45% 2,329 92% 3,273 71%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 11: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

ASEAN:

Takeaways:• The ASEAN market continues to trend positively for 2014• FSVs continue to grow• Uni sector saw strong growth in May

Schools23%

Uni27%

ITPs8%

PTEs43%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

126- -26% 88 30% 38- -5% 2- 0% 466 28% 464 9%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

ASEAN: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900 ASEAN: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000

ASEAN - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

ASEAN: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

ASEAN: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

ASEAN: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD

2014 2013 2012

Number of fi rst time s tudent v isas approved

Page 12: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Thailand:

Takeaways:• There has been strong growth in FSVs• It is difficult to forecast how this market preform, in-light of the current domestic political environment

and the irregular FSVs trends it has experienced over the past three years

Schools37%

Uni11%ITPs

3%

PTEs49%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Thailand: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180 Thailand: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Thailand: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August Septem ber October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

Thailand: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Thailand: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of fi rst time s tudent v isas approved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500

Thailand - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

6- -8% 19 24% 13 8% 12- -1% 213 45% 201 16%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 13: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Indonesia:

Takeaways: • This market has been tracking relatively flatly, however has taken a dive in May

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

Indonesia: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70 Indonesia: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

Indonesia - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Indonesia: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

- 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

100

Indonesia: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universi ties

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Indonesia: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time s tudent visas approved

Schools15%

Uni48%

ITPs6%

PTEs31%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

12- -33% 6- -22% 18- -29% 12 5% 19- -12% 7- -2%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 14: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Viet Nam:

Takeaways:• This market appears to have started the 2014 academic well, however has taken a dive in May

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Viet Nam: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

20

40

60

80

100

120 Viet Nam: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

Viet Nam - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Viet Nam: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

- 50

100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Viet Nam: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universi ties

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Viet Nam: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time s tudent visas approved

Schools16%

Uni45%

ITPs13%

PTEs26%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

58- -48% 15- -38% 73- -45% 15 2% 5 2% 20 2%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 15: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Malaysia

Takeaways:• This market continues to decline. • The past three months has seen steady growth in FSVs

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Malaysia: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450 Malaysia: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000

Malaysia - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Malaysia: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

- 50

100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Malaysia: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 50 100 150 200 250

Malaysia: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time student v isas approved

Schools17%

Uni63%

ITPs8%

PTEs12%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

49- -58% 11 24% 38- -29% 92- -11% 9- -3% 101- -9%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 16: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

North East Asia (Korea + Japan):

Takeaways:• This region had a strong first quarter, however started to slow in April and has significantly declined

in May - this is due a decline in Korean students

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

NEA: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900 NEA: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000

NEA - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180

NEA: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

- 200 400 600 800

1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000

NEA: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

NEA: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time s tudent visas approved

Schools36%

Uni11%

ITPs6%

PTEs47%

334- -59% 68- -20% 402- -45% 159- -5% 69 4% 90- -2%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

Page 17: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Korea:

Takeaways:• This market started the 2014 academic year strong, however a sharp decline in April and May has

slowed the YTD position. Anecdotal evidence suggests that this may be related to a change in domestic settings for traveling students

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Korea: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600 Korea: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000

Korea - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Korea: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Korea: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

Korea: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time student v isas approved

Schools40%

Uni7%ITPs

4%

PTEs49%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

255- -63% 46- -20% 301- -47% 271- -11% 7 1% 264- -8%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 18: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Japan:

Takeaways:• This market has started the year in a strong position, however there was a sudden dive in May• The PTE and Uni sectors have seen strong growth YTD. • PTEs for May declined.

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Japan: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450 Japan: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500

Japan - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Wānanga

Total

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Japan: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Japan: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Wānanga

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

Japan: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time student v isas approved

Schools31%

Uni15%

ITPs8%

PTEs45%

79- -50% 22- -21% 101- -38% 112 13% 62 8% 174 10%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 19: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

United States of America:

January February March Apri l May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

United States of America: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700 United States of America: First time student visas (FSV)

2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500

United States of America - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

United States of America: First time student visas issued by sector, May

May-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

- 20 40 60 80

100 120 140 160 180 200

United States of America: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

United States of America: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of firs t time s tudent visas approved

Schools4%

Uni91%

ITPs2%

PTEs3%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

4 10% 90 24% 94 23% 4- -1% 39- -3% 43- -3%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Takeaways:• This market had a strong May result and has offset some of the decline seen in the earlier part

of the year

Page 20: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Latin America:

Takeaways:• This market has started the year in a strong position• The university and PTE sectors have seen strong growth

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Latin America: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600 Latin America: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500

Latin America - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Latin America: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October N ovember December

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Latin America: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

Latin America: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time student v isas approved

Schools41%

Uni9%

ITPs2%

PTEs48%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

21- -25% 94 99% 73 41% 62 21% 371 42% 433 37%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 21: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Brazil:

Takeaways:• This market is trending positively, despite less secondary school scholarship students arriving in

January, when compared to 2013• The university and PTE sectors have seen strong growth

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

Brazil: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

- 50

100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Brazil: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800

Brazil - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Brazil: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Brazil: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Brazil: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time student v isas approved

Schools52%

Uni8%

ITPs2%

PTEs38%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

- 0% 27 66% 27 39% 16 14% 52 9% 68 10%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 22: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Chile:

Takeaways:• This market has had a very strong start to 2014 - This is predominantly driven by the

Chilean Penguins

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Chile: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160 Chile: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 100 200 300 400 500 600

Chile - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 5 10 15 20 25

Chile: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

5

10

15

20

25

Chile: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Chile: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of fi rst time student v isas approved

Schools55%

Uni4%

ITPs2%

PTEs39%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

8- -57% 18 90% 10 29% 5- -11% 164 208% 159 129%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 23: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Colombia:

Takeaways:• This market has had a strong start to 2014• There has been significant growth experienced in the PTE and university sectors

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Colombia: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

70 Colombia: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 100 200 300 400 500 600

Colombia - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universi ties

Total

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Colombia: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Colombia: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

Colombia: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time s tudent v isas approved

Schools4%

Uni10%

ITPs1%

PTEs84%YTD Sector

breakdown of FSVs

8- -42% 48 400% 40 129% 24 39% 151 168% 175 116%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 24: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Middle East:

Takeaways:• This market has had a good start to the year, however has taken a significant dive in May• While there has been growth across most sectors, there has been significant growth in the ITP sector

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Middle East: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160 Middle East: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000

Middle East - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Univers ities

Total

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Middle East: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Middle East: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

Middle East: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time student v isas approved

Schools10%

Uni39%

ITPs14%

PTEs37%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

101- -34% 47- -37% 148- -35% 12- -1% 63 19% 51 3%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 25: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Saudi Arabia:

Takeaways:• This market has started the year off strong, however has taken a significant dive in May.

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Saudi Arabia: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

20

40

60

80

100

120 Saudi Arabia: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500

Saudi Arabia - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Saudi Arabia: First time student visas issued by sector, May May-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March Apri l May June July August September October November Decem ber

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

Saudi Arabia: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universi ties

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180

Saudi Arabia: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time student v isas approved

Schools7%

Uni25%

ITPs19%

PTEs50%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

83- -36% 23- -26% 106- -33% 16- -1% 41 18% 25 2%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 26: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Europe:

Takeaways:• This market has been in steady decline, however a strong April and May has slowed the overall

decline – which was driven by the secondary school and PTE sectors.

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Europe: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200 Europe: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000

Europe - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

Total

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Europe: First time student visas issued by sector, May May-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

- 50

100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Europe: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Universities

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900

Europe: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time student v isas approved

Schools41%

Uni30%

ITPs8%

PTEs20%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

91- -42% 116 21% 25 3% 93- -8% 56 3% 37- -1%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV

Page 27: Student  V isa Dashboard Year-to-date May 2014 Overall For discussion

Germany:

Schools72%

Uni16%

ITPs10%

PTEs1%

YTD Sector breakdown of FSVs

Takeaways:• This market has been in steady decline, however a strong April and May has slowed the overall

decline – which was driven by the secondary school sector

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Univers ities

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Germany: First time student visas issued by sector, YTD2014 2013 2012

Number of first time student v isas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Germany: Total student visas (TSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f TS

Vs

appr

oved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700 Germany: First time student visas (FSV) 2011 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f FS

Vs

appr

oved

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

- 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000

Germany - Cumulative total for RSV vs. FSV 2009 - 2014

Total RSV Total FSV

(not recorded)

ITPs

Secondary schools

Primary schools

Intermediate

PTEs

Univers ities

Total

0 50 100 150 200 250 300

Germany: First time student visas issued by sector, MayMay-14 May-13 May-12

Number of first time student visas approved

January February March April May June July August September October November December

- 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Germany: Renewed student visas (RSV) 2012 - 2014

2011 2012 20132014

Num

ber o

f R

SV

s ap

prov

ed

20- -45% 60 29% 40 16% 21- -11% 29 5% 8 1%May RSV May FSV May TSV YTD RSV YTD FSV YTD TSV