Stronger Economies Togetheragecon.okstate.edu/files/session2 50316.pdf · Stronger Economies...
Transcript of Stronger Economies Togetheragecon.okstate.edu/files/session2 50316.pdf · Stronger Economies...
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Stronger Economies TogetherSession 2: More Data Exploration & Strategy Identification
Revised Data Snapshot
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Income and poverty
2004 2009 2014
Total Population in Poverty
17.5% 21.7% 23.1%
Minors (Age 0-17) in Poverty
25.8% 31.1% 33.0%
Real MedianHousehold Income* ($ 2014)
$36,953 $35,776 $35,958
Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE)
Questions:
• Is the poverty rate for individuals in the county getting better or worse?
• Is poverty for minors in the county lower or higher than the overall poverty rate for all individuals? Why?
• Has real median income (adjusted for inflation) improved or worsened over the 2004 to 2014 time period? What may be reasons for these changes?
* Note: Regional Median Household income is the population-weighted average of median household income values across the Crossing Borders Region counties.
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Labor force
section 04 Source: LEHD, OTM, U.S. Census Bureau
Questions:• How many people employed in the region actually reside outside the region? How many who live in the
region commute to jobs outside the region? • What are the implications for the region’s economic development efforts?
Population2014Jobs
Proportion
Employed in Region 35,566 100.0%
Employed in Region but Living Outside
13,475 37.9%
Employed and Living in Region
22,091 62.1%
In-Commuters Same Work/Home
13,475 22,091
Journey to WorkOut-Commuters
32,308
Population2014Jobs
Proportion
Region Residents 54,399 100.0%
Employed Outside Region but Living in Region
32,308 59.4%
Employed and Living in Region
22,091 40.6%
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Labor force
section 04 Source: LEHD, OTM, U.S. Census Bureau
Population2014Jobs
Proportion
Employed in Region 4,914 100.0%
Employed in Region but Living Outside
2,326 47.3%
Employed and Living in Region
2,588 52.7%
In-Commuters
Same Work/Home
2,326
2,588
Journey to Work
Out-Commuters
5,324
Population2014 Jobs
Proportion
Region Residents 7,912 100.0%
Employed Outside Region but Living in Region
5,324 67.3%
Employed and Living in Region
2,588 32.7%
Benton, AR 750
Cherokee 628
Tulsa 499
Sequoyah 420
Sebastian, AR 364
Cherokee 425
Sequoyah 300
Washington, AR
190
Benton, AR 137
Tulsa 128
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Labor force
section 04 Source: LEHD, OTM, U.S. Census Bureau
Population2014Jobs
Proportion
Employed in Region 13,018 100.0%
Employed in Region but Living Outside
5,976 45.9%
Employed and Living in Region
7,042 54.1%
In-Commuters
Same Work/Home
5,976
7,042
Journey to Work
Out-Commuters
10,326
Population2014Jobs
Proportion
Region Residents 17,368 100.0%
Employed Outside Region but Living in Region
10,326 59.4%
Employed and Living in Region
7,042 40.6%
Muskogee 2,335
Tulsa 2,254
Mayes 609
Oklahoma 583
Rogers 503
Muskogee 787
Tulsa 680
Adair 628
Wagoner 372
Delaware 325
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Labor force
section 04 Source: LEHD, OTM, U.S. Census Bureau
Population2014Jobs
Proportion
Employed in Region 8,545 100.0%
Employed in Region but Living Outside
3,884 45.5%
Employed and Living in Region
4,661 54.5%
In-Commuters
Same Work/Home
3,884
4,661
Journey to Work
Out-Commuters
9,764
Population2014Jobs
Proportion
Region Residents 14,425 100.0%
Employed Outside Region but Living in Region
9,764 67.7%
Employed and Living in Region
4,661 32.3%
Benton, AR 1,592
Tulsa 1,432
Mayes 889
Ottawa 779
Oklahoma 575
Ottawa 910
Mayes 322
Tulsa 285
Craig 274
Benton, AR 247
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Labor force
section 04 Source: LEHD, OTM, U.S. Census Bureau
Population2014Jobs
Proportion
Employed in Region 9,089 100.0%
Employed in Region but Living Outside
4,473 45.9%
Employed and Living in Region
4,616 54.1%
In-Commuters
Same Work/Home
5,976
7,042
Journey to Work
Out-Commuters
10,326
Population2014Jobs
Proportion
Region Residents 14,694 100.0%
Employed Outside Region but Living in Region
10,078 59.4%
Employed and Living in Region
4,616 40.6%
Sebastian, AR 2,990
Le Flore 875
Tulsa 858
Muskogee 708
Oklahoma 575
Muskogee 422
Adair 420
Le Flore 393
Sebastian, AR 336
Cherokee 311
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Industry and occupation
section 05
Top five occupations in 2014
Questions:
• What are the education and skill requirements for these occupations?
• Do the emerging and star clusters align with the top occupations?
• What type salaries do these occupations typically provide?
Source: EMSI Class of Worker 2015.4 (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors)
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Industry and occupation
section 05
Science, Technology, Engineering & Math
Questions:
• How do STEM jobs compare to the state?
• What has been the trend of STEM jobs over time?
• How important are STEM jobs to the region’s Star and Emerging clusters?
*Note: STEM and STEM-related occupation definitions from BLS (2010)
Source: EMSI Class of Worker 2015.4 (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors)
9.9%869770
-11.4%
Change20142009
Job change in STEM occupations*
CBR, OK
Rest of Oklahoma
67,59261,527
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Industries: Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers Leakages
Regional requirements, 2013
Source: EMSI 2016.1 (QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors)
section 05
$0 $1,000,000,000 $2,000,000,000
Animal Production and AquacultureCorporate, Subsidiary, and Regional Managing Offices
Petroleum RefineriesFederal Government, Military
State Government, Excluding Education and HospitalsPoultry Processing
Elementary and Secondary Schools (Local Government)Lessors of Nonfinancial Intangible Assets (except…
Commercial BankingLessors of Residential Buildings and Dwellings
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except…Offices of Lawyers
Other Animal Food ManufacturingOffices of Real Estate Agents and Brokers
Wholesale Trade Agents and BrokersWired Telecommunications Carriers
Local Government, Excluding Education and HospitalsCrop Production
Computer Systems Design ServicesAdministrative Management and General Management…
Couriers and Express Delivery ServicesTemporary Help Services
Plastics Material and Resin ManufacturingInternet Publishing and Broadcasting and Web Search…
General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance, Truckload
In-Region Out of Region
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Industries: Fort Smith Leakages
Regional requirements, 2013
Source: EMSI 2016.1 (QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors)
section 05
$0 $400,000,000 $800,000,000
Animal Production and AquacultureCorporate, Subsidiary, and Regional Managing Offices
Elementary and Secondary Schools (Local…Petroleum Refineries
Federal Government, MilitaryLocal Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
Poultry ProcessingState Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
Crop ProductionIron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade Agents and BrokersLessors of Residential Buildings and Dwellings
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except…Commercial Banking
Rail transportationPaperboard Mills
General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance, TruckloadOffices of Real Estate Agents and Brokers
Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools…Offices of Lawyers
Lessors of Nonfinancial Intangible Assets (except…Wired Telecommunications Carriers
Temporary Help ServicesEngineering Services
Other Animal Food Manufacturing
In-Region Out of Region
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Industries: Joplin Leakages
Regional requirements, 2013
Source: EMSI 2016.1 (QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors)
section 05
$0 $200,000,000 $400,000,000 $600,000,000
Animal Production and AquaculturePetroleum Refineries
Corporate, Subsidiary, and Regional Managing OfficesElementary and Secondary Schools (Local Government)
Cheese ManufacturingCrop Production
Local Government, Excluding Education and HospitalsWholesale Trade Agents and Brokers
Lessors of Residential Buildings and DwellingsLessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except…
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy ManufacturingWired Telecommunications Carriers
Dry, Condensed, and Evaporated Dairy Product…Commercial Banking
Couriers and Express Delivery ServicesOffices of Real Estate Agents and Brokers
General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance, TruckloadOther Animal Food Manufacturing
Lessors of Nonfinancial Intangible Assets (except…Offices of LawyersRail transportation
Fluid Milk ManufacturingTemporary Help Services
General Warehousing and StoragePlastics Material and Resin Manufacturing
In-Region Out of Region
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Industries: Tulsa Leakages
Regional requirements, 2013
Source: EMSI 2016.1 (QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors)
section 05
$0 $1,000,000,000 $2,000,000,000
Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas ExtractionCorporate, Subsidiary, and Regional Managing Offices
Petroleum RefineriesElementary and Secondary Schools (Local Government)
Federal Government, MilitaryIron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
Local Government, Excluding Education and HospitalsState Government, Excluding Education and Hospitals
Lessors of Residential Buildings and DwellingsCommercial Banking
Lessors of Nonresidential Buildings (except…Wired Telecommunications Carriers
Offices of LawyersOffices of Real Estate Agents and Brokers
Wholesale Trade Agents and BrokersInsurance Agencies and Brokerages
Temporary Help ServicesLessors of Nonfinancial Intangible Assets (except…
Engineering ServicesAnimal Production and Aquaculture
Direct Property and Casualty Insurance CarriersComputer Systems Design Services
Other Activities Related to Real EstateHospitals (Local Government)
Machine Shops
In-Region Out of Region
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Cluster Data
LIST OF CLUSTERS• Advanced Materials
• Agribusiness, Food Processing & Technology
• Apparel & Textiles
• Arts, Entertainment, Recreation & Visitor Industries
• Biomedical/Biotechnical (Life Sciences)
• Business & Financial Services
• Chemicals
• Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing
• Defense & Security
• Education & Knowledge Creation
• Electrical Equip, Appliance & Component Manufacturing
• Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing
• Energy (Fossil & Renewable)
• Forest & Wood Products
• Glass & Ceramics
• Information Technology & Telecommunications
• Machinery Manufacturing
• Manufacturing Super‐cluster
• Mining
• Primary Metal Manufacturing
• Printing & Publishing
• Transportation & Logistics
• Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
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How to interpret cluster data resultsThe graph’s four quadrants tell a different story for each cluster.
Modified from: http://www.charlestonregionaldata.com/bubble-chart-explanation/
EmergingBottom right(weak but advancing)
StarsTop right (strong and advancing)
MatureTop left
(strong but declining)
TransformingBottom left (weak and declining)
Contains clusters that are moreconcentrated in the region and are
growing. These clusters are strengths that help a community
stand out from the competition.Small, high-growth clusters
can be expected to becomemore dominant over time.
Contains clusters that are moreconcentrated in the region but
are declining (negative growth).These clusters typically fall
into the lower quadrant as job losses cause a decline
in concentration.
Contains clusters that are under-represented in the
region but are growing, oftenquickly. If growth trends
continue, these clusters willeventually move into the top right
quadrant. Clusters in this quadrantare considered emerging strengths
for the region.
Contains clusters that are under-represented in the region (low concentration)
and are also losing jobs. Clusters in this region may
indicate a gap in the workforcepipeline if local industries anticipatea future need. In general, clusters in this
quadrant show a lack of competitiveness.
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Industry cluster analysis
NOTE: The first number after each cluster represents its location quotient while the second number represents the number of total jobs (full and part time jobs by place of work) in that cluster in the region in 2014. The clusters are sorted in decreasing order by location quotient.
Percent Growth in Specialization Level o
f Sp
ecialization
Mature Clusters
Agribusiness, Food Prod., & Tech (3.88; 6913)
Star Clusters
Electrical Equip, App. & Comp. Mfg. (3.36; 442)
Mining (1.3; 236)
Glass & Ceramics (1.11; 108)
Forest & Wood Products (1.09; 949)
Emerging Clusters
Fabricated Metal Product Mfg. (0.9; 435)Biomedical/Biotech (0.82; 3776)Business & Financial Services (0.51; 3857)Printing & Publishing (0.38; 383)Apparel And Textiles (0.35; 156)Advanced Materials (0.29; 507)Edu. & Knowledge Creation (0.29; 399)Primary Metal Mfg. (0.23; 30)
Transforming Clusters
Energy (Fossil And Renewable) (0.87; 2840)Arts, Ent., Rec, & Visitor Industries (0.61; 1487)Transportation & Logistics (0.58; 1082)Manufacturing Supercluster (0.57; 1148)Machinery Mfg. (0.51; 194)Defense & Security (0.39; 984)Chemicals (0.38; 273)IT & Telecommunication (0.35; 821)Transportation Equipment Mfg. (0.08; 39)Computer & Electronic Product Mfg. (0.02; 7)
section 05
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Industry Clusters: Crossing Borders Leakages
Regional requirements, 2013
Source: EMSI 2015.4 (QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors); Industry cluster definitions by PCRD
section 05
Note: ** shows Star clusters
Approaches for Strengthening Clusters
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C.A.R.E. Model
Source: Barta, et al (2010) CARE Model
Foundationof Economic Growth
Creation Attraction Retention Expansion
Foundationof Economic Growth
Starting from a Solid Foundation
• Workforce development
• Healthcare• Public policy
• Physical infrastructure• Sufficient housing• Adequate transportation systems• Broadband access• Water & energy
Creation Attraction Retention Expansion
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Attraction
C.A.R.E.
• Are there individuals in the region interested in starting a new business?
• Are there entrepreneurship training programs in place to build capacity?
• Are there channels for accessing capital?
Foundationof Economic Growth
Creation Retention Expansion
Attraction
C.A.R.E
• Are there specific types of firms the region could attract to fill the leakage gap?
• What strategies are in place to target these specific industries?
• What do these industries need to be lured to the region?
Foundationof Economic Growth
Creation Retention Expansion
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Retention
C.A.R.E.
• What firms are currently contributing to the cluster?
• Are these firms facing any common threats to survival in the region?
• Do these firms need any particular programs, resources, policies in order to continue operation in the region?
Foundationof Economic Growth
Creation Attraction Expansion
Retention
C.A.R.E.
• Could existing businesses expand to fulfill the needs of the cluster?
• What incentives or resources are needed to help these businesses expand?
Foundationof Economic Growth
Creation Attraction Expansion
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C.A.R.E.: Healthcare Example
FOUNDATIONImproved access to high speed Internet through a co‐op.
CREATE:Entrepreneur
starts a transportation service for patients.
ATTRACT:Hospital attracts
a part‐time endocrinologist to fill a void.
RETENTION:Marketing firm hired to develop
marketing strategies to attract more patients
EXPANSION:Part‐time
cardiologist and diagnostics lab expanded to full
time
Decision-Making Sweet SpotPublically Acceptable
Financially
Viable
Scientifically Compatible
Technically Feasible
Environmentally Responsible
Politically/ Legally
Aligned
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Prioritizing Opportunities
Action PlanStart Drafting the Plan:
• and summarize the Civic Engagement Forum process and results.
• Summarize key strengths and challenges based on the data
• Describe the selected clusters:• Why were these clusters selected for further exploration?
• What are the strengths and challenges associated with the selected clusters?
• Which suggested opportunities are associated with each selected cluster?
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Action Plan
• Invite Industry Representatives to next meeting (or interview)
•Additional modules?
•Other items?