Strategy update and full year - Home - NSI...2014/03/20 · 118 28 123 145 73 149 200 164 202 238...
Transcript of Strategy update and full year - Home - NSI...2014/03/20 · 118 28 123 145 73 149 200 164 202 238...
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NSI – Strategy update and full year
results
Roadshow 20 March 2014
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2
Successful equity issue
− €300 million equity raised in a private placement to qualified investors
− New high quality, long term investors added to the shareholders register
Solid balance sheet
− Loan to value (LTV) ratio reduced from 60% to 45%
− Proceeds of equity issue used to reduce debt facilities and to lower
outstanding hedges
Management focus on optimising portfolio and organisation
− Financial capacity to fund capex in portfolio
− Organisation further geared towards a customer centric approach
Balance sheet issues resolved: focus on business
Equity issue: full focus on operations
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3
Office market
− Structural changes in the tenant market
• Declining demand, especially for large space/long leases
• Increasing demand for smaller and more flexible space
− Persistent oversupply and structural vacancy
− First portfolio investments, entry of new market participants
Retail market
− Weak consumer spending and confidence
− Increasing share of internet sales
− Resilience of supermarket-anchored convenience centres
NSI still operates in challenging markets, which are not expected to improve in 2014
Market view: fundamentals still weak, economy slightly
improving
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4
NSI services SMEs, the main driver in the letting market, with:
− Inspiring and affordable space in the Netherlands with a focus on Randstad
− Innovative leasing concepts (flexibility in space and time, additional services)
Pro-active and tenant-focused platform:
− Sales-driven organisation (CRM, business intelligence, incentivised staff)
− Proven track record (improved occupancy in Dutch offices, outperforming the
market for new leases in terms of take-up)
Strong balance sheet and cash flow:
− Capacity to invest in current portfolio
− Improving occupancy in Dutch office portfolio
Portfolio and organisation ready to outperform competition
Profile NSI: Space to perform
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Contents
1 Portfolio strategy
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2 Operational performance
3 Financial
4 Conclusion
5 Appendix
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PORTFOLIO STRATEGY 1
6
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Portfolio strategy: NSI’s approach
c€1,200m portfolio in the Netherlands consisting of 149 office and 42 retail properties
c€600m portfolio in Belgium consisting of 16 office and 17 logistics properties
Portfolio
Asset management
Client focus
Investment
Asset rotation
Split in core, value-add and non-core segments
Customer-centric approach to optimise occupancy
Finance capex to facilitate customers and upgrade portfolio
Dispose of assets where maximum value is reached or that structurally underperform
Maximise total return
Segmentation
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Full portfolio analysed asset-by-asset to set priorities, provide insights and support decision-making
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Well-performing properties Core
Value-add Properties with upside potential
Non-core Underperforming properties
Dutch portfolio: segmentation drives activities
Characteristics
Aim is to add value supported by stable cash flow from core portfolio
Segment
Sell or maintain
Reduce
Invest and sell
Approach
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Office portfolio: extracting value from current
portfolio
Pro-active tenant retention and
optimal property management
Improve tenant mix and WALL
Hold for income, sell when upside
is fully realised
Core
Value-
add
Re-double leasing efforts
Invest to improve
Implement HNK formula or other
relevant concept
Re-develop or transform
Non-core
Minimise all specific property-
related costs
Redevelop or transform
Reduce
Offices
(Nearly) fully let properties
Good location: large cities
Multi-tenant (potential)
High cash flow certainty
(Potential) vacancy
Fair location, or good
location with high vacancy
Potential cash flow certainty
Potential to upgrade,
redevelop, transform
Significant long term
vacancy
Poor location and
accessibility
No use to upgrade,
redevelop or transform
Asset Characteristics Approach
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Occ.* €/sqm* Qualitative
>85% >1,500
<85% >1,000
<65%
* Indicative segmentation criteria
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Dutch office portfolio: overview
Label Portfolio NSI In #
Occupancy
rate Financial occupancy
Value In € per sqm
Area In sqm
Passing rent
2013 In €m p.y.
Bookvalue In €m
Value-add
Non-core
Core
Total
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15
39
149
69.6%
17.1%
77.8%
72.1%
1,013
377
1,503
1,104
376,050
54,866
184,451
615,367
35.0
1.0
23.3
59.3
381.1
20.7
277.4
679.2
Offices
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56%
41%
3%
Core Value-add Non-core
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Buyitdirect
Hoofddorp
Case study: Grontmij in Rotterdam and NSI Head Office
in Hoofddorp
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Offices
Grontmij
Rotterdam
1,000 sqm difficult-to-let office
NSI invested €0.4m in lay-out, energy systems and interior
styling
NSI moved in its own head office
Property was re-let to Buyitdirect within 2 years
Grontmij moved from Roozendaal to Rotterdam
NSI’s assisted the relocation, using its large scale
Active (tenant-)management led to success
− A viable leasing offer in the new location was provided
− Grontmij is retained as a tenant
− New tenants for Roozendaal were signed in parallel
− Temporary vacancy minimised
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HNK: concept for new way of working
Het Nieuwe Kantoor (“HNK”) caters the growing need
for full service, space and flexibility, targeting SMEs
HNK offers membership, managed offices, offices and
meeting rooms
HNK results in
− Higher take-up (take-up/supply ratio of 30%)
− Quick re-letting (HNK Utrecht 40% occupied in 2
months)
− Higher effective rents/sqm (HNK Rotterdam:
€238/sqm)*
− Higher return on investment (HNK Rotterdam 2013:
>10% in start-up phase)
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Objective is to transform c10-15% of the portfolio into an HNK office in 2014-2015
Offices
* For managed offices only
Conventional offices
Sto
rag
e
desk d
esk
de
sk
desk
desk Pan
try
Meeting
room
To
ilets
HNK
desk
de
sk
desk
desk desk
Tenant saves space
and 25% of the monthly
costs
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HNK roll-out: where we stand and going forward
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Offices
Current roll-out in 3 locations
− Rotterdam 18,000 sqm
− Hoofddorp 3,500 sqm
− Utrecht 3,000 sqm
NSI intends to strengthen commitment to the
concept, leading to higher incomes
NSI will invest in total c€31.0m in the concept up
to 2016, of which €6.4m has already been
invested, and expects rental income of €6.5m as
of 2016
HNK in operation
HNK transformation in progress
HNK transformation planned for 2014/2015
Rotterdam
Eindhoven
Den Haag Ede
Apeldoorn
Utrecht
Hoofddorp
Amsterdam
Groningen
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
Annual income Cumulative investment
Investment
in €k Income
in €k
6,500
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Retail portfolio: opportunities & challenges on a
property-by-property level
Maintain relationship with tenants
Maintain property quality
Improve WALL and tenant mix
Hold for income, sell when upside
is realised
Grow food formulas to drive traffic
Expand zoning permissions (LSR)
Attract retailers in sub-sectors that
show growth
Redevelop or significantly improve
Attempt to change zoning plans
Transform into other asset class
Divest in case no potential
Retail
(Nearly) fully let properties
Dominant in local retail
hierarchy
Long-term leases
Anchored by (two)
supermarket(s)
(Potential) vacancy
Low WALL, rents not at
market level
Medium-term leases
Potential to upgrade,
redevelop/ transform
Significant long term
(expected) vacancy
Poor location and
accessibility
Little opportunity to upgrade,
redevelop or transform
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Core
Value-
add
Non-core
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Asset Characteristics Approach
Occ.* €/sqm* Qualitative
>95% >2,000
<95% >1,500
<80%
* Indicative segmentation criteria
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Retail portfolio
Label Portfolio NSI In #
Occupancy
rate Financial occupancy
Value In € per sqm
Area In sqm
Passing rent
2013 In €m p.y.
Bookvalue In €m
Total
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6
16
42
84.3%
83.9%
89.8%
87.2%
1,628
924
2,383
1,752
144,714
42,058
83,681
270,453
17.2
3.5
14.2
34.9
235.6
38.9
199.5
474.0
Retail
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Value-add
Non-core
Core
50%
42%
8%
Core Value-add Non-core
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Targets 2014 - 2016
Office
2013A
3%
41%
56%
70%
2016E
30%
Occupancy
# HNK
72%
3
>80%
20
Value-add
Non-core
Core
Retail
8%
50%
42%
2013A
8%
46%
2016E
46%
Value-add
Non-core
Core
Occupancy 87% >90%
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OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE 2
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Offices: operational highlights
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Improved to 72.1% per year-end 2013 vs 71.3% per year-end 2012
1% decrease in Q4 mainly due to a large single tenant expiry (4,400 sqm), after
4 consecutive quarters of improvement
Effective rental level of new leases over last 12 months: €106/sqm (€112/sqm in
Q4 2013), reflecting market trend, full portfolio: € 144 per sqm
Like-for-like rental growth y-o-y: -4.6%, q4-o-q3: -0.8%
Continued outperformance
• Better take-up/supply ratio than market: 19% vs. 13%, HNK at 30%
• Take-up of 3.5%, market share of 1.2%: 6th consecutive quarter over-
performance
Total take-up: 14,982 sqm in Q4, 35,594 sqm in 2013
HNK represents approx. 10% of NSI’s take up in 2013
Third HNK office opened in Utrecht; 40% let (to date) in two months
6,030 sqm, and €0.9m annualised rent has been sold in 2013
Financial
Occupancy
Rent
Take-up
Other
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Offices: take-up/supply ratio
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NSI has outperformed the market in terms of take-up for 6 consecutive quarters
• Market share of Dutch office market around 1.2%
• Significantly higher portion of new lettings go to NSI offices
1.2%1.2%1.2%1.3%1.3%1.3%
3.5%3.7%
2.7%
3.0%
4.0%
2.6%
Q1 2013 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q4 2013 Q3 2013 Q2 2013
Take up
Market share
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Retail: operational highlights
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Decreased to 87.2% per year-end 2013 vs 92.5% per year-end 2012
• 1.1% due to disposal fully let retail centers
• 1.6% due to terminated contracts home furniture stores
• Reflecting increased challenging retail environment, in particular large scale
Like for like rental growth y-o-y: -6.0%, q-o-q: -4.8%
Effective rent level €152 per sqm
New contracts with strong tenants, including Primark (4,375 sqm) and Big
Bazar (900 sqm) in Zuidplein in Rotterdam
Contract with Ahold regarding all Albert Heijn supermarkets long-term extended
(10,000 sqm)
21,600 sqm, and €2.2m annualised rent has been sold in 2013
Pressure on occupancy expected to continue, especially in large scale retail
Financial
Occupancy
Rent
Take-up
Other
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Belgium: operational highlights
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Decreased to 85.0% per year-end 2013 vs 86.6% per year-end 2012
Improvement in logistics (to 91.3%), offset by a decline in offices (to 81.5%)
Effective rent level of €135 per sqm in the office portfolio; €46 per sqm in
logistics
Improved performance new lettings despite challenging office market;
4,572 sqm take-up versus 3,200 in 2012
New concepts paying off: Re-Flex and Turn-Key Solutions
Strong position in logistics market enhanced; logistics portfolio grew to 42% of
total portfolio, progressing towards target of 50%
Development of Neerland in Neerwijk on track; first phase completed in
December 2013
Extension in Oevel (5,000 sqm) delivered and operational since June
Tenant Peugeot moved into new workplace and showroom in Wilrijk in
December 2013.
Financial
Occupancy
Rent
Take-up
Other
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FINANCIAL 3
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Financial highlights
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x€1,000 FY 2013 FY2012 Q4 2013 Q3 2013
Gross rental income 144,564 160,545 35,160 35,792
Service costs not
recharged to tenants -4,723 - 4,754 -1,375 -984
Operating costs -18,050 - 18,457 -4,884 -4,384
Net rental income 121,791 137,334 28,901 30,424
Administrative costs -6,458 - 6,469 -1,910 -1,461
Financing costs -57,565 - 55,846 -13,812 -15,569
Direct investment result
before tax 57,768 75,019 13,179 13,394
Corporate income tax -121 -327 -29 -26
Direct result att. to
minorities -11,375 - 11,287 -2,954 -2,763
Direct investment result 46,272 63,405 10,196 10,605
Indirect investment
result -180,347 - 166,522 -55,791 -55,835
Total result -134,075 - 103,117 -45,595 -45,230
GRI down due to asset disposals (€9.0m),
vacancy and lower reversionary rent levels
Service costs stable y-o-y, but up q-o-q
due to settlement and fragmented vacancy
Operating costs down y-o-y due to
disposals, but up q-o-q, mainly due to
higher letting costs and bad debt
provisions
Administrative costs stable y-o-y, up q-o-q
due to crisis tax and severance payments
Financing costs down strongly in Q4
following the debt and derivative
redemption after equity issue in November
Indirect result reflects continued downward
revaluations: €192.3m for FY 2013 and
€53.0m for Q4 2013, slightly compensated
by upward revaluation of swaps: €25.7m
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Equity issue: proceeds used to repay debt and lower
hedges
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1.Placing and underwriting
fees, expenses and
applicable taxes
2.Structural decrease of term
loans and RCFs
3.Unwinding of swaps with
aggregate nominal value of
€347m
4.Reduce debt on RCFs and
WC facilities for future
flexibility
1 2 3 4
Overview of use of proceeds of equity issue (in €m)
11.1
149.5
18.4
288.9
300.0
Reduced
RCF/WC
121.0
Unwinding
of swaps
Structural
debt reduction
Net proceeds Transaction
costs
Gross proceeds
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Balance sheet highlights
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x€1,000 FY 2013 Q3 2013 FY2012
Real estate investments 1,808,768 1,863,908 2,106,091
Total shareholders equity 932,915 686,639 789,788
Shareholders equity of
NSI 801,159 557,899 666,850
Debt to credit institutions
(excl. derivatives) 821,854 1,110,237 1,226,432
Average cost of debt (%) 4.8 5.3 4.8
Net loan to value (%) 45.4 59.6 58.2
Average debt maturity
(years) 2.2 2.6 2.3
Fixed interest debt (%) 85.0 95.3 88.5
Interest coverage ratio 2.1 2.1 2.5
NAV (€/share) 5.59 8.18 9.78
EPRA NAV (€/share) 5.85 9.03 10.95
Value real estate portfolio down by
€297.3m mainly due to revaluations
(€192.3 million) sales (€123.7 million) and
investments (€18.2 million)
Net proceeds of equity issue (€288.9
million) used to reduce long-term debt,
unwind derivatives and increase flexibility
LtV significantly decreased, aim to
maintain below 50%
Net debt level reduced by 33% to c€822m
Improved balance sheet resulted in more
favourable financing terms to lower
average costs of funds
Outstanding shares increased by 75.0m
from 68.2m ultimo 2012 to 143.2m shares
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Maturity schedules
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59
220
118 117
40
25
96
106
31
45
5
2017
147
2016
225
2015
315
2018 a.b. 2014
85
NL (€554m) BE (€262m)
Debt maturity calendar
50
92 90
114
6020
40
2018 a.b.
134
2017
150
2016
92
2015
50
2014
40
NL (€347m) BE (€120m)
Swap maturity calendar
2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 2.8% 3.1%
Interest on swaps
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Financing targets
Increase the number of funding sources
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Funding diversification
2014-2016 Target
Debt maturity
Refinancing risk
Loan to value
Extend and maintain average debt maturity to over 3 years
No more than 25% of loans maturing in any single year
Maintain LTV below 50%, peak-to-trough between 40-50%
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Dividend: proposal and policy going forward
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Current policy Proposed new policy
LTV-dependent pay-out ratio allowing
capital retention to strengthen balance sheet
Pay-out of direct result
− 85%-100% in cash , if LTV < 55%
− 50% in cash, if 55% < LTV < 60%
− 50% in shares, if LTV > 60%
Quarterly distribution
Balance sheet strengthened by equity issue,
no more need for LTV-dependent pay-out
Proposed pay-out of direct result
− At least 75% in cash, allowing financing of
capex
Bi-annual distribution
x€1,000 Q4 2013 Q3 2013 FY 2013 FY 2012
Direct result 10,196 10,605 46,272 63,405
# Shares outstanding – Period end 143,201,841 68,201,841 143,201,841 68,201,841
# Shares outstanding – Period average 98,364,884 68,201,841 75,804,581 64,288,818
Direct result / share – Period end 0.07 0.16 0.32 0.93
Direct result / share – Period average 0.10 0.16 0.61 0.99
Dividend per share – Period end 0.09 - 0.28 0.86
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CONCLUSION 4
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Conclusion
Balance sheet issues resolved
LTV significantly lowered to 45%
Cost of debt lowered to 4.8%
NSI still operates in challenging markets
Rents not expected to improve in 2014, limited NRI decline foreseen in 2014
NSI outperforming markets: 2013 average take-up 19% (HNK 30%) vs 15%
Markets expected to improve from 2015-2016 onwards
Focus on maximising total returns
Add value by strong letting platform and selective investments in the portfolio
Supported by stable cash flow from core portfolio
Reduce non-core assets
Targets for 2016 defined
Improvements in portfolio quality and occupancy
Solid financials: funding diversification, debt maturity, refinancing and LTV
NSI fully focused on operations
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Q&A
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APPENDIX 5
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238
237
233
204
202
188
170
167
143
194
22
109
79
11
123
228
210
229
Vacancy development Dutch portfolio
33
Occupancy Dutch Office Portfolio improved year
end 2013 (72.1%) vs 2012 (71.3%)
Expiration calendar shows challenges ahead in
the office portfolio for 2014
Decreased occupancy in retail portfolio from
92.5% per 2012 to 87.2% per 2013, due to the
disposal of fully-let assets and increasingly
challenging retail environment, in particular in
large-scale retail
282727
2829
30
28
27
15
14131313
1213
10
888
655555455
4
5
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Q4
12
Q3
12
Q2
12
Q1
12
Q3
13
Q4
13
Q2
13
Q1
13
Q4
11
Q3
11
Q2
11
Q1
11
17
23
Q4
10
Q3
10
Q2
10
Q1
10
Retail
Offices
Financial vacancy in %
118
28
123
145
73
149
200
164
202
238
237
233
204
202
188
170
167
143
194
22
109
79
11
123
228
210
229
Rent development Dutch portfolio
34
Effective rents (adjusted for incentives) have
shown a slight decline over 2013 compared to
2012 for both retail and offices
New office leases are coming in at lower levels,
in line with market development
Alternative leasing strategies (e.g. HNK) aim at
higher income per sqm
144146145146
148148146
150
157
153154
183
189186187186
188186185
183
178
100
125
150
175
200
Q1
2013
172
Q4
2012
Q3
2012
Q2
2012
Q1
2012
2011 2010 2009 Q2
2013
Q3
2013
Q4
2013
Retail (excl large scale retail)
Office
Average effective rent/sqm in NL
118
28
123
145
73
149
200
164
202
238
237
233
204
202
188
170
167
143
194
22
109
79
11
123
228
210
229
Lease expirations Dutch Portfolio
35
Total lease expirations coming up for 2014
encompass c€14m in rental income, or 14% of
the total portfolio
Lease expirations for 2014 and 2015 are most
notable in offices, where 38% is set to expire in
this period
Most prominent contracts expiring in 2014
include
• Office
− Prorail (9,200 sqm)
− RGD Goes (5,300 sqm)
− ROC Amsterdam (5,000 sqm)
• Retail
− Chesterfield (3,500 sqm)
− C&A Heerlen (1,850 sqm)
GRI in €m
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2018<
28%
23%
2018
14%
10%
2017
18%
14%
2016
11%
15%
2015
22%
21%
2014
7%
17%
20% 26%
12% 12% 12% 17%
Retail
Offices
Industrial
Spread 2014 expiries in contract size offices
20% < 1,000 sqm
50% 1,000-5,000 sqm
30% >5,000 sqm
118
28
123
145
73
149
200
164
202
238
237
233
204
202
188
170
167
143
194
22
109
79
11
123
228
210
229
Property values Dutch portfolio
36
Total negative revaluation since 2009 is €401m,
of which €324m in the office portfolio
Revaluations are primarily driven by vacancy
and pressure on market rents
In Q4 2013, €54.3m of negative revaluation was
incurred
Revaluation in €m
-132
-37
-29-33
-102
-31
-21
-38
-31
-50
-17-16-12
-5
-16
-1-1
-8
-140
-130
-120
-110
-100
-90
-80
-70
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
FY
2013
Q4
2013
Q3
2013
Q2
2013
Q1
2013
2012 2011 2010 2009
Offices Retail
Office
Retail
Total
Cu
mu
lati
ve
-38 -59 -91 -193 -226 -256 -293 -324
-8 -9 -10 -26 -31 -43 -59 -76
-46 -68 -100 -219 -258 -299 -352 -401
In % 11% 17% 25% 55% 64% 75% 88% 100%
118
28
123
145
73
149
200
164
202
238
237
233
204
202
188
170
167
143
194
22
109
79
11
123
228
210
229
Acquisition and disposal overview
37
Divesting non-core assets and assets of which
the value potential under NSI’s management
has been optimised is part of NSI’s strategy to
create value in its portfolio
In 2013 NSI completed its exit from the Swiss
market
Other asset sales in 2013 included 5 office
buildings, 5 retail properties and 2 industrial
properties in the Dutch portfolio, and an semi-
industrial property and a land plot in Belgium
Revaluation in €m
3
3024
72
11
275
124
101
511
67
38
275
200
225
250
125
100
75
50
25
175
150
2012 2010 2009 2008 2013 2011
Disposed
Acquired
Acquired
Cumulative numbers (€m)
275 286 358 382 412 415
Disposed 38 105 116 121 222 346
Portfolio Philips
Pensioenfonds and
Swiss assets
Excluding
acquisition VNOI
(€971m)
118
28
123
145
73
149
200
164
202
238
237
233
204
202
188
170
167
143
194
22
109
79
11
123
228
210
229
Operating costs
38
x€1,000 FY 2013 FY2012 Q4 2013 Q3 2013
Municipal taxes 3,935 4,600 982 1,109
Insurance premiums 730 764 171 179
Maintenance costs 3,801 3,927 905 1,031
Contribution to owner’s associations 548 476 183 161
Property management 5,060 4,816 1,231 1,253
Letting costs 2,557 2,167 919 507
Other expenses 1,419 1,707 493 144
Total operating costs 18,050 18,457 4,884 4,384
118
28
123
145
73
149
200
164
202
238
237
233
204
202
188
170
167
143
194
22
109
79
11
123
228
210
229
Debt structure
All Dutch loans are bank term loans,
working capital facilities and RCFs were
repaid following the equity issue
Belgian loans are bank term loans, a
retail bond and RCFs
The Belgian €75m retail bond matures in
2015
Average interest is expected to come
down in 2014 after recapitalisation
39
x€1,000,000 NL BE Total
Fixed-rate debt 170.3 75.0 245.3
Floating-rate debt 383.8 187.2 571.0
Total long-term 554.0 262.2 816.2
Working capital 0 21.2 21.2
Total debt 554.0 283.4 837.4
Hedged 346.6 120.0 486.6
% Fixed 93.3% 68.8% 85.0%
Maturity 2.3 1.9 2.2
Average interest rate 5.2% 4.0% 4.8%