Stora Enso Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results 2011
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Transcript of Stora Enso Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results 2011
Financial Results Full Year and Q4 2011
8 February 2012
CEO Jouko Karvinen and CFO Markus Rauramo
Full year 2011 operational EBIT improved by 9%
Operational EBIT EUR 867 million
Operational ROCE 10.0%
Strong cash flow EUR 1 034 million
Dividend increased to EUR 0.3
8 February 2012 2Financial results Q4 2011
Full year 2011
Solid year and satisfactory quarter
8 February 2012 3Financial results Q4 2011
Operational EBIT comprises the operating profit excluding NRI and fair valuations of the segments and Stora Enso’s share of the operating
profit excluding NRI and fair valuations of its equity accounted investments (EAI). Fair valuations include equity incentive schemes, synthetic
options net of realised and open hedges, CO2 emission rights and valuations of biological assets related to forest assets in EAI.
7,5 %
7,6 %
7,7 %
7,8 %
7,9 %
8,0 %
750
800
850
900
2010 2011
EU
R m
illio
n
Operational EBIT*
Operational EBIT margin %
2,0 %
3,0 %
4,0 %
5,0 %
6,0 %
7,0 %
8,0 %
9,0 %
10,0 %
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
10Q1 10Q2 10Q3 10Q4 11Q1 11Q2 11Q3 11Q4
EU
R m
illio
n
Operational EBIT*
Operational EBIT margin %, 4 Q avg
Curtailments increased to reduce inventories % of capacity
8 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011 4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411
% o
f ca
pa
city
Paper and Board Wood Products
Flexibility improvements continueFixed cost/sales
8 February 2012 5Financial results Q4 2011
0,24
0,26
0,28
0,30
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011
Fix
ed
Co
st/S
ale
s
Productivity continued to increase55% per person since 2005
8 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011 6
Continuing operations
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Sa
les/e
mplo
yee
Full year solid – rethinking continuesOperational EBIT by segments
EUR million IV/2011 2011 IV/2010 2010Change%
IV11/IV10
Change%
2011/2010
Consumer Board 28 272 52 277 -46.8 -1.7
% of sales 4.8 10.9 8.5 12.0 -43.5 -9.2
Industrial Packaging 14 73 22 66 -37.7 11.0
% of sales 5.3 7.3 9.1 6.9 -41.8 5.8
Newsprint and Book
Paper 29 116 -3 -11 n/m n/m
% of sales 8.4 8.8 -0.8 -0.9 n/m n/m
Magazine Paper 18 128 20 91 -9.2 40.9
% of sales 3.3 6.1 3.6 4.4 -8.3 38.6
Fine Paper 25 192 68 259 -62.4 -26.1
% of sales 4.8 8.9 12.7 12.2 -62.2 -27.0
Wood Products 6 63 10 71 -41.2 -11.4
% of sales 1.6 3.8 2.5 4.5 -36.0 -15.6
78 February 2012
Operational EBIT comprises the operating profit excluding NRI and fair valuations of the segments and Stora Enso’s share of the operating profit
excluding NRI and fair valuations of its equity accounted investments (EAI). Fair valuations include equity incentive schemes, synthetic options
net of realised and open hedges, CO2 emission rights and valuations of biological assets related to forest assets in EAI.
Financial results Q4 2011
Plan to increase competitiveness in Coated
Magazine
• Restructuring at Corbehem, Veitsiluoto and Kabel
Mills
• Cost efficiency and productivity improvements
– Reduction of costs by EUR 48 million /a
– Full impact Q3 2013 onwards
– Q1 cash provision about EUR 5 million
– Q1 fixed asset write-down
about EUR 1 million
• Investments EUR 18 million to quality,
productivity and energy savings
• Planned employee reduction 110 people
• Actions completed by end 2012
8 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011 8
Swedish maintenance streamlining plan
• To increase further efficiency and flexibility by
restructuring and changing processes
• Impacting Renewable Packaging and
Printing and Reading
• Reduction of costs by EUR 21 million /a
– Starting gradually from late 2012 onwards
• Cash provisions for Q1
– Renewable packaging EUR 6 million
– Printing and reading EUR 4 million
• Planned employee reduction 130 people
8 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011 9
Maintenance costs down in Finnish millsDecrease in unplanned shutdowns by 27% since 2008
Basic Maintenance Cost Unplanned shutdowns
8 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011 10
Index = 2007 Index = 2007
50 %
60 %
70 %
80 %
90 %
100 %
110 %
120 %
130 %
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
IND
EX
50 %
60 %
70 %
80 %
90 %
100 %
110 %
120 %
130 %
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
IND
EX
Summary financials Q4 2011 and Full year 2011
EUR million IV/2011 2011 IV/2010 2010Change%
IV11/IV10
Change%
2011/2010
Sales 2 682 10 965 2 685 10 297 -0.1 % 6.5 %
Operational EBITDA 243 1 308 289 1 217 -15.9 % 7.5 %
Operational EBIT 145 867 177 797 -18.2 % 8.7 %
Profit before tax. excl. NRI 141 639 162 705 -12.7 % -9.4 %
Profit before tax 110 421 364 885 -69.7 % -52.5 %
EPS excl. NRI (EUR) 0.10 0.63 0.19 0.79 -47.4 % -20.3 %
Operational ROCE 6.7 10.0 8.4 9.7 -20.2 % 3.1 %
Cash flow from operations 302 1 034 265 992 14.3 % 4.3 %
Cash flow after investing activities 115 625 126 592 -8.3 % 5.6 %
Debt/equity 0.47 0.47 0.39 0.39 20.5 % 20.5 %
118 February 2012
NRI = Non-recurring items. These are exceptional transactions that are not related to normal business operations. The most common non-
recurring items are capital gains, additional write-downs or reversals of write-downs, provisions for planned restructuring and penalties. Non-
recurring items are normally specified individually if they exceed one cent per share.
Financial results Q4 2011
Increased dividend
• Dividend proposal increased to
EUR 0.30
• EPS excluding NRI EUR 0.63
8 February 2012 12Financial results Q4 2011
0,00
0,20
0,40
0,60
0,80
1,00
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
EU
R
EPS, excl NRI (EUR)
Dividend and distribution (EUR)
Over 80% of investments to high-return growth EUR million
8 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011 13
951
254
447
92
197
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Cash flow generated by operations
Cash outflow
EU
R m
illio
n
Dividend
Investments to other
Investments to high-return growth
Net financial items and net income tax paid
Guidance
• Q1 2012 sales and
operational EBIT
approximately in line with Q4
2011
• Combined improvement of
Business Area results offset by
lower results in forest
companies (EAI)
8 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011 14
Renewable EcosystemsCapital Markets Day, Langerbrugge Mill, Belgium
8 February 2012 15
Thursday 22 March 2012
Financial results Q4 2011
Recap
• Strong operational cash flow
• Full year improved
• Increased dividend
• Strategic investments proceeding
• Q4 showed rethink must continue
8 February 2012 16Financial results Q4 2011
8 February 2012 17Financial results Q4 2011
Net Financial Items
EUR million IV/2011 III/2011 IV/2010Change %
Q411/Q410
Change %
Q411/Q311
Net interest expense -35.1 -35.9 -25.6 -37.1 2.2
Foreign exchange gains and losses -3.0 -11.4 1.8 -266.7 73.7
Other financial items. of which -21.1 -146.1 2.1 n/m 85.6
PIK notes 2.0 2.1 1.6
Fair valuation of interest rate derivates* -4.4 -16.4 4.4
Fair valuation of long-term debt -0.4 -1.1 0.1
NewPage lease provision - -128.2 -
Arktos writeoff -10.2 - -
Other items -8.1 -2.5 -4.0
Total net financial items -59.2 -193.4 -21.7 -172.8 69.4
18
*Not hedge accounted interest rate derivatives.
8 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011
Softwood pulp prices Stora Enso’s market pulp is softwood
Source: FOEX
198 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011
450
550
650
750
850
950
1 05007Q
1
07Q
2
07Q
3
07Q
4
08Q
1
08Q
2
08Q
3
08Q
4
09Q
1
09Q
2
09Q
3
09Q
4
10Q
1
10Q
2
10Q
3
10Q
4
11Q
1
11Q
2
11Q
3
11Q
4
US
D/to
nn
e
Bleached softwood kraft
pulp
Bleached hardwood kraft
pulp
Pulp wood and saw log prices decreased from Q3 2011Wood prices in Finland
Source: METLA
208 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
06Q
1
06Q
2
06Q
3
06Q
4
07Q
1
07Q
2
07Q
3
07Q
4
08Q
1
08Q
2
08Q
3
08Q
4
09Q
1
09Q
2
09Q
3
09Q
4
10Q
1
10Q
2
10Q
3
10Q
4
11Q
1
11Q
2
11Q
3
11Q
4
EU
R/m
3 Pulpwood, Pine
Sawlogs, Pine
Wood prices in Sweden
21
Pulpwood includes pine. spruce and birch.
Sawlogs include pine and spruce.
Source: SDC. Skogsstyrelsen
8 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
06Q
1
06Q
2
06Q
3
06Q
4
07Q
1
07Q
2
07Q
3
07Q
4
08Q
1
08Q
2
08Q
3
08Q
4
09Q
1
09Q
2
09Q
3
09Q
4
10Q
1
10Q
2
10Q
3
10Q
4
11Q
1
11Q
2
11Q
3
11Q
4
SE
K/m
3 Pulpwood
Sawlogs
RCP prices
0
40
80
120
160
200
07Q
1
07Q
2
07Q
3
07Q
4
08Q
1
08Q
2
08Q
3
08Q
4
09Q
1
09Q
2
09Q
3
09Q
4
10Q
1
10Q
2
10Q
3
10Q
4
11Q
1
11Q
2
11Q
3
11Q
4
EU
R/t
on
ne Mixed
OCC
De-inking
German RCP price development. free delivered
Source: Verband Deutscher Papierfabriken/Stora Enso
228 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011
Debt/equity2009 – Q4 2011
Total operations
238 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011
0,51
0,39 0,380,41
0,450,47
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
0,6
0,7
0,8
2009 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011
Transaction risk and hedgesas at 31 December 2011
24
Operational EBIT: Currency strengthening of + 10% EUR million
USD 120
SEK -87
GBP 60
EUR million USD GBP SEK
Estimated annual net operating cash flow exposure 1 200 600 -870
Transaction hedges as at 31 December 2011 -540 -270 380
Hedging percentage as at 31 December 2011 for the next 12 months 45% 45% 44%
The sensitivity is based on estimated next 12 months net operating cash flow. The
calculation does not take into account currency hedges. and assumes no changes occur
other than a single currency exchange rate movement. Weakening would have the
opposite impact.
Additional USD and GBP hedges for 13-16 months increase the hedging percentages by
7% and 4% respectively.
8 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019-2035 2036
Maturity profile 31 December 2011
8 February 2012 25
EUR 750m 5.125 2014
SEK 500m 3.5 2015
SEK 1.4 bn S+3.7 2015
SEK 2.4 bn 5.75 2015
EUR 390m E+4.21 2016
USD 507m 6.404 2016
USD 300m 7.25 2036
Revolving Credit Facility € 700 million matures in January 2015 and is fully undrawn
€m Commercial paperOther loans / liabilitiesBonds
Financial results Q4 2011
It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts. including. without
limitation those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth
and profitability; and statements preceded by “believes”. “expects”. “anticipates”. “foresees”. or similar
expressions. are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are based on current plans. estimates and
projections. they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from
those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include. but are not limited to: (1)
operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of
efficiencies therein. continued success of product development. acceptance of new products or services
by the Group’s targeted customers. success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements.
changes in business strategy or development plans or targets. changes in the degree of protection
created by the Group’s patents and other intellectual property rights. the availability of capital on
acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions. such as strength of product demand. intensity of competition.
prevailing and future global market prices for the Group’s products and the pricing pressures thereto.
price fluctuations in raw materials. financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the
Group. the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3)
general economic conditions. such as rates of economic growth in the Group’s principal geographic
markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates.
268 February 2012Financial results Q4 2011