Stock Market Volatility and Your Plan. 1 It is important that you understand the ways in which we...
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Transcript of Stock Market Volatility and Your Plan. 1 It is important that you understand the ways in which we...
Stock Market Volatility and Your Plan
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It is important that you understand the ways in which we conduct business and the applicable laws and regulations that govern us. As a firm providing wealth management services to clients in the U.S., we are registered with the
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as an investment adviser and a broker-dealer, offering both investment advisory and brokerage services. Though there are similarities among these services, the investment advisory programs and brokerage accounts we offer are separate and distinct, differ in material ways and are governed by different laws and separate contracts.
It is important that you carefully read the agreements and disclosures that we provide to you about the products or services we offer. While we strive to ensure the nature of our services is clear in the materials we publish, if at any time you seek clarification on the nature of your accounts or the services you receive, please speak with your Financial Advisor.
For more information, please visit our website at www.ubs.com/workingwithus
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Stock Market Volatility and Your PlanStay in for the Long Term When Investing for Retirement
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How Asset Classes Have Performed Historically
Source: Underlying data is from the Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation® (SBBI®) Yearbook, by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex Sinquefield, updated annually.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Hypothetical value of $1 invested at the beginning of 1988. Assumes reinvestment of income and no transaction costs or taxes. This is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any investment. An investment cannot be made directly in an index.
© 2008 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. 3/1/2008
Small stocks in this example are represented by the fifth capitalization quintile of stocks on the NYSE for 1970-1981 and the performance of the Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. (DFA) U.S. Micro Cap Portfolio thereafter. Large stocks are represented by the Standard & Poor’s 500®, which is an unmanaged group of securities and considered to be representative of the stock market in general. Government bonds are represented by the 20-year U.S. government bond, Treasury bills by the 30-day U.S. Treasury bill, and inflation by the Consumer Price Index. Stocks represent ownership in a corporation, while bonds, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and fixed principal value.
Small company stocks are generally more volatile than large company stocks. Government bonds and treasury bills are guaranteed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government as to the timely payment of principal and interest, while corporate bonds are not guaranteed.
1988 – 2007
Small stocks 13.5% Large stocks 11.8% Government bonds 9.3% Treasury bills 4.5% Inflation 3.0%
Compound annual return
1988 1993 1998 2003
1
10
$20
$2.41$1.82
$5.89
$9.33
$12.54
2007
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Keep a Long-Term PerspectiveDon’t Confuse “Low Risk” with “No Risk”Average Annual Returns for Stocks, Bonds and Cash1987-2006
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Source: Morningstar, Inc., March 2007
11.8%
8.6%
3.1%
4.5%
Large Co. Stocks (S&P 500)
U.S. Gov’t. Bonds
T-Bills (Cash)
Inflation (CPI)
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1As of May 12, 20082TV Guide, January 20083U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, November 20074National Automobile Dealers Association, May 20075U.S. Department of Housing & Urban Development, November 20076Trends in College Pricing 2007, The College Board’s Annual Survey of Colleges, 2007-2008
Item 1980Current
First-Class Stamp $0.15$0.421
TV Guide $0.40$2.992
Loaf of Bread $0.52$1.243
Average New Car $7,571$28,4514
Average New Home$64,600$298,5005
College Education$4,806$13,5896
(4-year public annual tuition and room and board)
Keep a Long-Term PerspectiveConsider the Rising Cost of Some Basic Items
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BeginsAge 25
This illustration reflects clients with a $25,000 annual salary making 6% contributions with an 8% rate of return compounded monthly.
This illustration is hypothetical and not intended to represent the performance of any specific investment. Distributions from tax-deferred retirement accounts are subject to income taxes and a possible 10% early distribution penalty.
Jackcontributes$15,000
$250,081
$436,375
StopsAge 35
Jane contributes $60,000
Ending Balanceat Age 65
BeginsAge 25
StopsAge 65
Keep a Long-term PerspectiveConsider the Potential Rewards of Being a Consistent Investor
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Dollar-Cost Averaging Illustration
Average COST paid for shares: $1,200 ÷ 115 shares= $10.43
Average market share PRICE(over the six-month period): $68 ÷ 6 months = $11.33
Monthly SharesAmount Share Purchased
Month Invested Price Each Month
January $200 $10 20.0February $200 $8 25.0March $200 $16 12.5April $200 $10 20.0May $200 $16 12.5June $200 $8 25.0
TOTAL $1,200 $68 115.0
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Keep a Long-term PerspectiveConsider the Number of Years You Have Left Until Retirement
The longer your time horizon, the more risk you should be willing to withstand, giving you:— the ability to ride out the ups and downs of more volatile
investments.
With 10 or more years left until retirement, stock investments still have a place in your retirement portfolio:— think about the retirement years you need to finance, and
— keep your retirement money working hard for you.
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15.918
20.319.520.9
22.4
2000 2025 2050
Male Female
* Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census
Keep a Long-Term PerspectivePeople are Spending More Time in RetirementLife Expectancy after Age 65(Years in Retirement)
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Re-Evaluate Your Asset Allocation Strategy
Consider your:
Risk Tolerance
Investment Goals
Time Horizon
Financial Situation
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Rebalance Your Account PeriodicallyOriginally, your diversified retirement portfolio may have looked something like this . . .
But, today your retirement portfolio may look more like this . . .
Stocks
Bonds
Stable Value
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Powerful Reasons to Continue Investing in Your Retirement Plan
Social Security Uncertainty
The Absence of a Pension Plan
Increased Life Span
Tax-Deferred Growth of Investments and Earnings
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Keep Your Plan on Track
Maintain a Long-Term Perspective
Review Your Asset Allocation Strategy and Rebalance Periodically
Remember the Reasons You Joined Your Plan