Stock market special report by epic research 10th july 2014

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DAILY REPORT 10 th JULY 2014 YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300 Global markets at a glance Asian equities rose and the dollar dipped on Thursday, after the Federal Reserve indicated that it was not in a rush to end quantitative easing and begin hiking rates. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Ja- pan gained 0.2 percent. Tokyo's Nikkei rose 0.1 percent, despite a sharp drop in machinery orders reported min- utes before the opening bell. Pan-European indexes were broadly flat to slightly higher. The euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 index rose 0.6 percent, recovering some ground after a 3.2 per- cent fall over the previous three sessions. Wall Street Update US stocks finished higher on Wednesday, rebounding from a sharp two-day selloff, after minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting showed policymakers have started to detail how the central bank will end its easy monetary policy. The Fed indicated it will end its bond purchases in October and appeared near agreement on a plan to manage interest rates in the future, according to the minutes. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 78.99 points or 0.47 percent, to 16,985.61. The S&P 500 gained 9.12 points or 0.46 percent, to 1,972.83. The Nasdaq Compos- ite added 27.57 points or 0.63 percent, to 4,419.03. Previous day Roundup Just a day ahead of Budget, investors grew cautious and preferred to book profits taking away a major chunk of gains from the market. The Sensex was down 137.30 points at 25444.81 and the Nifty was down 38.20 points at 7585.00. About 909 shares have advanced, 2069 shares declined, and 87 shares are unchanged. Index stats The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 38.82pts], Capital Goods [down 233.48pts], PSU [down 40.50pts], FMCG [up 55.09pts], Realty [down 31.04pts], Power [down 37.97pts], Auto [down 385.13pts], Health- care [down 169.37 pts], IT [down 124.26Pts], Metals [down 68.73pts], TECK [down 64.59pts], Oil& Gas [up 90.43pts]. World Indices Index Value % Change D J l 16985.61 +0.47 S&P 500 1972.83 +0.46 NASDAQ 4419.03 +0.63 EURO STO 3203.10 +0.59 FTSE 100 6718.04 -0.30 Nikkei 225 15266.02 -0.24 Hong Kong 23228.17 +0.22 Top Gainers Company CMP Change % Chg ONGC 405.00 8.30 2.09 BPCL 582.40 11.05 1.93 IDFC 139.65 2.60 1.90 ITC 341.00 5.20 1.55 TATASTEEL 519.50 5.95 1.16 Top Losers Company CMP Change % Chg JINDALSTEL 297.70 12.20 -3.94 TATAMOTORS 455.10 14.90 -3.17 TATAPOWER 102.90 3.05 -2.88 COALINDIA 367.00 10.40 -2.76 BAJAJ-AUTO 2,169.40 56.90 -2.56 Stocks at 52 Week’s high Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg JUBLINDS 107.05 10.60 -9.01 POLARIS 257.85 12.65 +5.16 SASKEN 311 7.75 -2.43 - - - - Indian Indices Company CMP Change % Chg NIFTY 7585.00 -38.20 -0.50 SENSEX 25444.81 -137.30 -0.54 Stocks at 52 Week’s Low Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg

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Transcript of Stock market special report by epic research 10th july 2014

Page 1: Stock market special report by epic research 10th july 2014

DAILY REPORT

10th JULY 2014

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

Global markets at a glance

Asian equities rose and the dollar dipped on Thursday,

after the Federal Reserve indicated that it was not in a

rush to end quantitative easing and begin hiking rates.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Ja-

pan gained 0.2 percent. Tokyo's Nikkei rose 0.1 percent,

despite a sharp drop in machinery orders reported min-

utes before the opening bell.

Pan-European indexes were broadly flat to slightly

higher. The euro zone's blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 index

rose 0.6 percent, recovering some ground after a 3.2 per-

cent fall over the previous three sessions.

Wall Street Update

US stocks finished higher on Wednesday, rebounding

from a sharp two-day selloff, after minutes from the last

Federal Reserve meeting showed policymakers have

started to detail how the central bank will end its easy

monetary policy. The Fed indicated it will end its bond

purchases in October and appeared near agreement on a

plan to manage interest rates in the future, according to

the minutes.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 78.99 points or

0.47 percent, to 16,985.61. The S&P 500 gained 9.12

points or 0.46 percent, to 1,972.83. The Nasdaq Compos-

ite added 27.57 points or 0.63 percent, to 4,419.03.

Previous day Roundup

Just a day ahead of Budget, investors grew cautious and

preferred to book profits taking away a major chunk of

gains from the market. The Sensex was down 137.30

points at 25444.81 and the Nifty was down 38.20 points

at 7585.00. About 909 shares have advanced, 2069

shares declined, and 87 shares are unchanged.

Index stats

The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial

indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up

38.82pts], Capital Goods [down 233.48pts], PSU [down

40.50pts], FMCG [up 55.09pts], Realty [down 31.04pts],

Power [down 37.97pts], Auto [down 385.13pts], Health-

care [down 169.37 pts], IT [down 124.26Pts], Metals

[down 68.73pts], TECK [down 64.59pts], Oil& Gas [up

90.43pts].

World Indices

Index Value % Change

D J l 16985.61 +0.47

S&P 500 1972.83 +0.46

NASDAQ 4419.03 +0.63

EURO STO 3203.10 +0.59

FTSE 100 6718.04 -0.30

Nikkei 225 15266.02 -0.24

Hong Kong 23228.17 +0.22

Top Gainers

Company CMP Change % Chg

ONGC 405.00 8.30 2.09

BPCL 582.40 11.05 1.93

IDFC 139.65 2.60 1.90

ITC 341.00 5.20 1.55

TATASTEEL 519.50 5.95 1.16

Top Losers

Company CMP Change % Chg

JINDALSTEL 297.70 12.20 -3.94

TATAMOTORS 455.10 14.90 -3.17

TATAPOWER 102.90 3.05 -2.88

COALINDIA 367.00 10.40 -2.76

BAJAJ-AUTO 2,169.40 56.90 -2.56

Stocks at 52 Week’s high

Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg

JUBLINDS 107.05 10.60 -9.01

POLARIS 257.85 12.65 +5.16

SASKEN 311 7.75 -2.43

- -

- -

Indian Indices

Company CMP Change % Chg

NIFTY 7585.00 -38.20 -0.50

SENSEX 25444.81 -137.30 -0.54

Stocks at 52 Week’s Low

Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg

Page 2: Stock market special report by epic research 10th july 2014

DAILY REPORT

10th JULY 2014

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]

1. SYNDICATE BANK [FUTURE]

SYNDICATE BANK FUTURE is looking weak on charts, We advise selling around 154-155 levels with strict stop loss 159 for the targets of 150-145.

2. APOLLO TYRE [FUTURE]

APOLLO TYRE FUTURE is looking weak on charts. We advise selling around 188-190 levels with strict stop loss 195 for the targets of 185-181.

3. COX & KINGS [CASH]

COX & KINGS weak on daily chart. We advise selling around 239 level with strict stop loss 243 for the targets of 235-231

EQUITY CASH & FUTURE

ECONOMIC SURVEY UPDATES:

The Economic Survey yesterday pegged economic

growth at 5.4-5.9% for 2014-15, after it crawled at sub-

5% levels in the previous two financial years. It asked

the government to go for fiscal consolidation, rein in

inflation, ease procedures and simplify tax policies to revive the investment climate.

The priority of the govt will be the revival of business

sentiments. Aggregate demand registered a growth of 5% in 2013-14 vis-à-vis 4.7% in 2012-13 primarily due to

improvement in net exports. The decline in the rate of

gross fixed capital formation in 2013-14 reflects sub-

dued business sentiments.

Implementation of Central GST could be first step to-

wards GST.

Need To Permit Commercial Coal Mining By Private Cos.

Need To Optimise Procurement Cost Of Power.

Stressed Sectors are Infra, Iron & Steel, Textiles, Avia-

tion and Mining.

Pricing Of Subsidised Fertilisers Skewed Nutrient Usage

Rollout Of Nutrient Fert Subsidy Flawed Without Urea.

Sustaining Improved BoP To Be Challenge In Medium-

term.

Arbitrary Cane Price Fixing By States Hitting Sugar Mills.

Current Account Deficit May Be Limited To 2.1% Of GDP.

Seeing Signs Of Revival In Aviation Sector.

CAD May Be Limited To About $45Bn.

Revision To 7-8% Growth Can Occur Only Post Next Fis-

cal.

Long-term debt accounts for 78.2% of total external

debt.

The downside risks to the economy arising from a poor

monsoon, the external environment and the poor in-vestment climate.

A slowdown is also noticed in services, in particular the

internal trade, transport, and storage sectors.

A record food grains production of 264.4 mn tonne is

estimated in 2013-14.

Horticulture production is estimated at 265 million

tonne in 2012-13 and for the first time has exceeded the

production of food grains and oilseeds.

MACRO NEWS

Union Budget 2014-2015 will be presented today at

11:00 am.

Domestic passenger car sales increased 14.76% to

1,60,232 units in June vs. 1,39,624 units in year-ago.

Bharti Airtel divests telecom tower assets.

SEBI slaps Rs 1cr fine on Apollo Tyres for non-

compliance.

Page 3: Stock market special report by epic research 10th july 2014

DAILY REPORT

10th JULY 2014

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

FUTURE & OPTION

MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION

Symbol Op-

tion

Type

Strike

Price

LTP Traded

Volume

(Contracts

)

Open

Interest

NIFTY PE 7,600 77.5 1,10,310 25,33,350

NIFTY PE 7,500 52.65 84,976 46,34,600

BANKNIFTY PE 7,700 110 80,167 20,21,300

BANKNIFTY PE 15,000 280.45 9,539 3,92,900

MCDOWELL-N PE 2,400 56 1,334 1,60,375

INFY PE 3,200 77.7 1,292 1,93,500

IDFC PE 130 2.05 1,267 18,04,000

RELIANCE PE 1,000 18.4 1,189 5,97,500

MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION

Symbol Op-

tion

Type

Strike

Price

LTP Traded

Volume

(Contracts)

Open

Interest

NIFTY CE 8,000 69.4 1,79,193 78,76,800

NIFTY CE 7,900 103.55 99,389 34,00,200

BANKNIFTY CE 8,100 44.7 97,222 25,16,150

BANKNIFTY CE 16,000 255 11,873 5,17,500

IDFC CE 140 6.65 5,113 30,44,000

IDFC CE 150 3.35 4,009 24,70,000

RELIANCE CE 1,040 28.9 2,890 8,72,500

MCDOWELL-N CE 2,500 50.6 2,792 4,31,250

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS

BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY SELL

No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores No. of

Contracts Amount in

Crores NET AMOUNT

INDEX FUTURES 56472 2150.12 73924 2812.75 306806 11626.43 -662.64

INDEX OPTIONS 409230 15585.37 434802 16641.05 1521532 57646.09 -1055.68

STOCK FUTURES 105661 4018.97 94079 3561.92 1543165 55318.31 457.05

STOCK OPTIONS 71232 2807.66 70761 2780.48 104882 3840.37 27.18

TOTAL 1234.09

INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2

NIFTY 7,694.03 7,639.52 7,595.58 7,541.07 7,497.13

BANK NIFTY 15,216.90 15,074.00 14,950.55 14,807.65 14,684.20

STOCKS IN NEWS

M&M is recalling around 23,000 units of a select vari-ant of its popular sports utility vehicle Scorpio to rec-tify faulty pressure regulating valves.

IndusInd Bank met street expectations with net profit in Q1 of year 2014-15 rising 25.7% yoy to Rs 421cr supported by stable asset quality & higher other in-come. Net interest income increased by 17.7% on yearly basis to Rs 800 cr and other income 22.5% to Rs 576.4cr in quarter gone by.

JSW Steel to import 6-mt iron ore in FY15.

NIFTY FUTURE

Nifty Future closed downside in the last trading session. We advise selling around 7570 levels with strict stop loss of 7620 for the targets of 7520-7470

Page 4: Stock market special report by epic research 10th july 2014

DAILY REPORT

10th JULY 2014

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COMMODITY MCX

RECOMMENDATIONS

SILVER

TRADING STRATEGY:

BUY SILVER SEP ABOVE 45100 TGTS 45300,45600 SL 44800

SELL SILVER SEP BELOW 44700 TGTS 44500,44200 SL 45000

GOLD

TRADING STRATEGY:

BUY GOLD AUG ABOVE 27650 TGTS 27730,27830 SL 27550

SELL GOLD AUG BELOW 27500 TGTS 26420,26320 SL 27600

COMMODITY ROUNDUP

Gold imports surged in June to a 12-month high, at an esti-

mate of 52 tonnes. This follows the Reserve Bank of India’s

relaxation in May of import norms, when premium and star

trading houses were allowed to import under the ‘80:20’

rule. Meanwhile, it also appears traders have been destock-

ing gold ahead of Thursday’s Union Budget, in which they

expect a tariff cut. On Wednesday, they were said to have

sold at a discount to the market price, which brought down

premiums for physical delivery to $3 an ounce. RBI has also

allowed gold importing banks to lease it to jewellers.

Sources said the lease rates quoted are 4-4.25 per cent.

Gold prices rose 0.40 per cent to Rs 27,630 per 10 grams in

futures trade yesterday as speculators created fresh posi-

tions, tracking a firm global trend. At the MCX, gold for de-

livery in August moved up by Rs 111, or 0.40 per cent to Rs

27,630 per ten gram in business turnover of 1,641 lots. Oc-

tober gold gained Rs 78, or 0.28 per cent to Rs 27,660 per

10 grams in 45 lots. The rise in gold futures was mainly in

line with a firming trend in overseas markets as a decline in

equities and the dollar spurred demand for an alternative

investment. Meanwhile, gold added 0.4 per cent to

$1,324.15 an ounce in Singapore.

Copper prices moved down by 0.23 per cent to Rs 439.60

per kg in futures trade yesterday as speculators reduced

positions amid subdued demand in the spot market. At the

MCX, copper for delivery in November shed Re 1, or 0.23

per cent, to Rs 439.60 per kg in a business turnover of 10

lots. August copper traded lower by 75 paise, or 0.17 per

cent, to Rs 433.70 per kg in 795 lots. The fall in copper

prices at futures trade was due to offloading of positions by

speculators on a weak trend at spot market. Meanwhile,

copper for delivery in three months was little changed at

$7,130 a metric tonne at the LME.

Lead prices weakened by 0.30 per cent to Rs 131.30 per kg

in futures trading yesterday as speculators trimmed posi-

tions on lower demand from battery makers in spot mar-

kets. At MCX, lead for delivery in July declined by 40 paise,

or 0.30 per cent, to Rs 131.30 per kg in a business turnover

of 562 lots. August lead traded lower by the same margin to

Rs 132.55 per kg in 13 lots. Subdued demand from battery-

makers in the spot market helped lead prices to trade lower

at futures trade.

Page 5: Stock market special report by epic research 10th july 2014

DAILY REPORT

10th JULY 2014

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

RECOMMENDATIONS

DHANIYA

BUY DHANIYA AUG ABOVE 11670 TGTS 11700,11750 SL

11620

SELL DHANIYA AUG BELOW 11510 TGTS 11480,11430 SL

11560

GUARSEED

BUY GUARSEED AUG ABOVE 5790 TGTS 5820,5870 SL 5740

SELL GUARSEED AUG BELOW 5680 TGTS 5650,5600 SL 5730

NCDEX

NCDEX INDICES

Index Value % Change

Castor Seed 4180 -0.43

Chana 2678 +0.87

Coriander 11007 -1.06

Cotton Seed Oilcake 1699 -0.53

Guarseed 5540 -0.45

Jeera 11225 +0.22

Mustard seed 3483 -0.46

Soy Bean 3768 -2.41

Sugar M Grade 2982 -0.40

Turmeric 6174 -2.96

NCDEX ROUNDUP

Mustardseed prices declined by Rs 43 to Rs 3,708 per quin-

tal in futures trade today on the back of lower physical mar-

ket sentiments. Increased selling by traders were guided by

weak spot market sentiments where prices remained under

pressure due to increased supply amid slackness in demand

from oil mills and other vanaspati units. At NCDEX platform,

mustard-seed prices for November delivery dipped by Rs

43, or 1.15 per cent, to Rs 3,708 per quintal, with an open

interest of 200 lots. The July contract moved down by Rs 19,

or 0.54 per cent, to Rs 3,480 per quintal, with an open inter-

est of 31,320 lots. Prices for August declined by similar mar-

gins of Rs 19, or 0.53 per cent, to Rs 3,534 per quintal, clock-

ing an open interest of 93,670 lots.

Barley prices dropped by Rs 16 to Rs 1,347 per quintal in

future trading owing to increased selling by traders in line

with weak spot markets on low demand. Persistent selling

by traders, triggered by increased supplies from producing

regions against slackned demand in physical markets,

mainly led the fall in barley prices in futures trade. At

NCDEX counter, barley prices for July delivery declined by Rs

16, or 1.17 per cent to Rs 1,347 per quintal, with an open

interest of 5,370 lots. August barley followed suit, losing Rs

14, or 1.01 per cent to Rs 1,371 per quintal, in an open in-

terest of 8,800 lots.

Page 6: Stock market special report by epic research 10th july 2014

DAILY REPORT

10th JULY 2014

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

GBP/INR

SELL GBP/INR BELOW 102.44 TGTS 102.29, 102.14 SL 102.64.

BUY GBP/INR ABOVE 102.84 TGTS 102.99, 103.14 SL 102.64.

JPY/INR

SELL JPY/INR BELOW 58.87 TGTS 58.72, 58.57 SL 59.07.

BUY JPY/INR ABOVE 59.17 TGTS 59.32, 59.47 SL 58.97

CURRENCY ROUNDUP

The Indian rupee ended largely steady on Wednesday as

strong dollar sales on hopes of a fiscally prudent budget were offset as shares retreated from record highs to fall for a second consecutive session. Hopes about the budget were reinforced after the government issued an economic survey report calling the fiscal situation worse than it appears and hinted at tough measures to shore up public finances and reduce inflation.

A fiscally prudent government and medium- to long-term measures to bring in foreign direct investment into the country were likely to be big positives for markets. Finance Minister Arun Jaitley will present the new government's first full budget at 0530 GMT on Thursday.

The partially convertible rupee ended at 59.75/76 per dollar compared with 59.78/79 on Tuesday, after trading in a range of 59.67-59.9350. Dollar sales from foreign banks, which traders attributed in part to expectations of a positive budget, offset a second consecutive losing session in shares amid concerns markets may have risen too strongly after hitting record highs on Tuesday. In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the one-month contract was at 59.99, while the three-month was at 60.58.

The dollar traded largely lower as investors opted to go long on stocks after the Federal Reserve confirmed market ex-pectations for monetary stimulus programs to end this year, likely in October. In U.S. trading on Wednesday, EUR/USD was up 0.25% at 1.3645.

The Federal Reserve said in the minutes of its monetary pol-icy meeting earlier that it should end its monthly bond-buying program by the end of this year, likely in October, which sent investors chasing stocks on sentiments that the economy is recovering. The Fed is currently buying $35 bil-lion in Treasury and mortgage debt a month to spur recov-ery, a monetary policy tool known as quantitative easing that aims to stimulate the economy by suppressing long-term interest rates.

CURRENCY

RBI Reference Rate

Currency Rate Currency Rate

Rupee- $ 59.7260 Yen-100 58.7900

Euro 81.3800 GBP 102.3584

Page 7: Stock market special report by epic research 10th july 2014

DAILY REPORT

10th JULY 2014

YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300

CALL REPORT

PERFORMANCE UPDATES

Date Commodity/ Currency

Pairs Contract Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark

09/07/14 MCX GOLD AUG. BUY 27650 27730-27830 27550 SL TRIGGERED

09/07/14 MCX GOLD AUG. SELL 27350 27280-27180 27450 NOT EXECUTED

09/07/14 MCX SILVER SEP. BUY 45200 45400-45700 44900 NOT EXECUTED

09/07/14 MCX SILVER SEP. SELL 44550 44350-44050 44850 NOT EXECUTED

09/07/14 NCDEX GUARSEED JULY BUY 5630 5660-5710 5580 SL TRIGGERED

09/07/14 NCDEX GUARSEED JULY SELL 5515 5485-5435 5555 BOOKED PROFIT

09/07/14 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY BUY 11160 11190-11240 11110 BOOKED PROFIT

09/07/14 NCDEX DHANIYA JULY SELL 10985 10955-10905 11035 BOOKED PROFIT

09/07/14 EUR/INR JULY BUY 81.83 81.98-82.13 81.63 SL TRIGGERED

09/07/14 EUR/INR JULY SELL 81.43 81.28-81.13 81.63 NOT EXECUTED

09/07/14 USD/INR JULY SELL 59.89 59.74-59.59 60.09 NOT EXECUTED

09/07/14 USD/INR JULY BUY 60.19 60.34-60.49 59.99 NOT EXECUTED

Date Scrip

CASH/

FUTURE/

OPTION

Strategy Entry Level Target Stop Loss Remark

09/07/14 NIFTY FUTURE SELL 7600 7550-7500 7650 CALL OPEN

09/07/14 VOLTAS FUTURE SELL 200 192-188 208 BOOKED PROFIT

09/07/14 JUST DIAL FUTURE BUY 1560 1590-1620 1530 CALL OPEN

09/07/14 FRL CASH SELL 125.5 123-120.5 128 BOOKED PROFIT

Page 8: Stock market special report by epic research 10th july 2014

DAILY REPORT

10th JULY 2014

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NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

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Disclaimer

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL CONSENSUS FORECAST PREVIOUS

MONDAY, JULY 07

NONE SCHEDULED

TUESDAY, JULY 08

7:30 AM NFIB SMALL BUSINESS INDEX JUNE -- 96.6

10 AM JOB OPENINGS MAY -- 4.5 MLN

3 PM CONSUMER CREDIT MAY -- $27 BLN

WEDNESDAY, JULY 09

2 PM FOMC MINUTES

THURSDAY, JULY 10

8:30 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS 7/5 N/A 315,000

10 AM WHOLESALE INVENTORIES MAY -- 1.1%

FRIDAY, JULY 11

2 PM FEDERAL BUDGET JUNE -- -$117 BLN