Manpower Requirements Prediction and Allocation for Unscheduled ...
Stirling Management Centre 11 th September 2014 Unscheduled Care National Event Learning Workshop.
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Transcript of Stirling Management Centre 11 th September 2014 Unscheduled Care National Event Learning Workshop.
Stirling Management Centre11th September 2014
Unscheduled Care National Event
Learning Workshop
Festive Key Messages
• 2 x 4 day festive periods (25-28 Dec / 1-4 Jan)• Respiratory & circulatory care • Planned activity & capacity, including social care capacity• Staff rotas over festive periods • Senior clinical decision making capacity – Discharge• Escalation / surge plans (Staffing)• Seasonal flu – staff (50% min) / public vaccination• Business continuity• Staff / public communication plans
Priorities – Now & Winter
1. Emergency (Medical & Surgical) & elective capacity planning & management
2. Whole hospital realignment/re-booting strategy
DOWNSTREAM
SITE/SECTOR CAPACITY/FLOWBASIC BUILDING BLOCKS
Number of self and 999 attendances
Number of G.P. referrals. Clarify who makes and receives the calls?
ED
Assessment Unit(s) &
What purpose?
RECEIVING
Or what other
design/flow?
Rehab
Home
Other Flows
Discharge Lounge
Boarding
Number of Direct
Admission planned/
unplanned
Number of Cubicles
Separate and dedicated minors
flow Yes/No
Open24/7 ?
Number of Staff per 100 attendances by grade
Number of Beds
Number of Beds/Cubicles
Discharge/Transfer Average numbers per day/annual to each destination
Number of Staff per 100 attendances, by grade
Number of Beds
Hospital at Home
Integration Plan
LDP
Delayed Discharg
e
3. Engage & empower local clinical & non-clinical teams
4. Professional & managerial leadership around:a. Pre-noon and weekend discharge ratesb. Ward transfer processes
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0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 230
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2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Transfers in (from ED/AAU) Direct admissions to 'downstream' ward Direct discharges from hospital Transfers out (to ED/AAU)
X: hourly 'downstream' ward admission and discharge profile, 7 Jan to 28 Jul 2013Avg hourly non-ED, non-AAU ward spell* admissions and discharges (excl. all hospital spells that did not involve stays in ED or AAU), n, by hour of daySource: local ED/admitted patient administrative extracts, taken Jul 2013; note: *all non-ED, non-AAU wards treated as a single clinical area to generate 'downstream' ward spells, i.e. results do not show movements between or within 'downstream' wards; transit areas considered out of hospital wrt discharge; results are intended for management information only
Hour of day
Avg
hou
rly 'd
owns
trea
m' w
ard
(spe
ll) a
dmis
sion
s an
d di
scha
rges
, n
5. Recruitment & Retention strategy now for current, February & August gaps – act now (local, regional & national)
6. Delayed Discharge numbers yes, but also bed days lost to Delayed Discharge and patients awaiting care packages in the community.
GP in & OOH’s Services,
Social Care, NHS 24, SAS, ED,
GP Sub-specialisation
95% TargetHospital
Assessment, treatment,
& admission Joint
anticipatory care ,
frailty models
Site elective & Emergency Demand & Capacity Planning Internal FlowIn Patient Discharge Planning
Effective Integrated Chronic
Disease and Discharge
Management
Alternatives to attendance and
admission Digital health
Appropriately Avoiding long
term care.
Rehabilitation Community Hospitals
Care at Home
Delivery of sustainable Unscheduled Care Performance: A Whole System Target
Acute Care
Community
Primary Care
Sir Muir Gray’s presentation on community based specialty care.
Hospital
“A Place of Safety”
Primary Care
• Alternatives to Admission• “Direct” admission• Anticipatory Care• Hospital at Home
Hospital Specialists
Sector/Practice Teams
(Sub Specialisation and Primary/Community Care Consultants?)
Community Based Health Care
Shared Goals and Teams
Key National Groups
UC Steering Group
Primary Care Strategic Forum
7 Day Task Force
Vision
New Teams
Role Development
Senior Decision Support Model
Clinician/Team Match
Condition/Presentation by time of day