STEPHEN HARPERSTEPHEN HARPERGLOBAL DIRECTORGLOBAL DIRECTORENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT POLICYENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT POLICY

MAY 2011 MAY 2011

INTELLIGENT SUSTAINABILITY: INTELLIGENT SUSTAINABILITY:

ICT’s Potential ContributionICT’s Potential Contribution

Source: Global Footprint Network

If consumption trends continue, we will need two Earths to support us

Smart behaviors get us here

You Need to Have a Smart SocietyYou Need to Have a Smart SocietyTo Have a Sustainable SocietyTo Have a Sustainable Society

Technology and Carbon EmissionsTechnology and Carbon Emissions

Use Computing to Improve Energy Savings Outside Information and

Communications Technology

98% = The Big Opportunity

Drive Computingto Be More Energy Efficient

~2% Opportunity

Aggregate Demand for Computing AcceleratingAggregate Demand for Computing Accelerating

4

74.5 Quintillion transistors shipped

in 2010

OR

10 Billion transistors

per person on earth

Source: Intel/WSTS

2000-2010:

68% CAGR

80x1018

0

70x1018

60x1018

50x1018

40x1018

30x1018

20x1018

10x1018

Compared to the First Billion PCs InstalledThe Next Connected 2 Billion PCs Will…

…consume half the energy of 1st billion PCs

…deliver 17x the computational capacity

Source: Intel Microprocessor Marketing and Business Planning, and Intel iAG/PCCA Power Initiative team, PBCA-PPM

Compute

Capacity

To Build

Smarter

Societies

20071 Billion PCs Installed Base

20142 Billion PCs Installed Base

151 TeraWatt-hr

1Billion PCsComputeCapacityEnergy

320 TeraWatt-hr

½ Energy

17x

2 Billion PCs

ComputeCapacity

6

The Micro Story at the Microprocessor Level

Source: “A Smarter Shade of Green,” ACEEE Report for the Technology CEO Council, 2008.Source: “A Smarter Shade of Green,” ACEEE Report for the Technology CEO Council, 2008.

AutomobileAutomobiless

Passenger Passenger AirlinesAirlines

AgricultureAgriculture

Steel Steel ManufacturManufactur

inging

LightingLighting

Computer Computer SystemsSystems

40 percent

121 percent

132 percent

167 percent

339 percent

2,857000 percent

19781978 20082008Energy-Energy-

efficiency efficiency ImprovementImprovement

The Micro Story at the System Level

Estimated Annual Energy Consumption

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Unmanaged Pentium® Dual Processor 945

with CRT display

KW

h C

onsu

med

per

Year

(low

er

is b

ett

er)

For system configuration details, please see Appendix on page 49.Performance tests/ratings are provided assuming specific computer systems and/or components and reflect the approximate performance of Intel products as measured by those tests. Any difference in system hardware or

software design or configuration may affect actual performance. This data may vary from other material generated for specific marketing requests.

Unmanaged Pentium® Dual Processor 945

with LCD display

Unmanaged Core™2 Duo Processor E6550

with LCD display

Managed Core™2 Duo Processor E6550 with

LCD display

Managed Core™2 Duo Processor T7700 mobile platform

229

59

GoingMobile

1015

938

655

>17x Reduction

Technology and Carbon Emissions

Use Computing to Improve Energy Savings Outside Information and

Communications Technology98% = The Big

Opportunity- The “macro story”

Drive Computingto Be More Energy Efficient

~2% Opportunity – the “micro story”

“Macro Story” Evidence

American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE) studied this issue and concluded:

– ICT seen as a major factor in improving energy efficiency of US economy during the Internet era

– “For every extra Kwh of electricity that has been demanded by ICT, the US economy increased its overall energy savings by a factor of about 10…” (2008)

The Climate Group and the “Global e-Sustainability Initiative” published a report entitled, “Smart 2020: Enabling the Low Carbon Economy in the Information Age” (2008), concluding:– Smart 2020 concludes that ICT strategies could reduce up to 15%

percent of global emissions in 2020 against a “business as usual” baseline

US Addendum to Smart 2020 report, prepared by Boston Consulting Group indicates that ICT strategies could reduce US carbon emissions by up to 22 percent by 2020 vs. business-as-usual

TAKE AWAY: ICT strategies offer huge potential for addressing climate challenge BUT there is a huge gap between actual performance (ACEEE) and potential (Smart 2020) 9

10

Macro Story – Increasing the EE of Other SectorsMacro Story – Increasing the EE of Other Sectors

Industrial Robots

Logistics for Transportation

LEED Certified Buildings

Smart Motors

Smart Power Delivery

Video Conferencing

Online Entertainment

e-Commerce

Paperless Office

Converting Atoms to Bits

On-line Banking

Digital Media Content

AutomationAutomation SubstitutionSubstitution De-MaterializationDe-Materialization

The “Cloud” as an Energy Efficiency Driver

The Data Center and the network is The Data Center and the network is at the center of the “macro story”at the center of the “macro story”

The Carbon Disclosure Project The Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) commissioned Verdantix to (CDP) commissioned Verdantix to examine the impact of a broad US examine the impact of a broad US roll-out of Cloud Computing, based roll-out of Cloud Computing, based on extrapolation from existing case on extrapolation from existing case studies:studies:– Huge CO2 emissions reductionsHuge CO2 emissions reductions– Huge financial savingsHuge financial savings– Strong positive financial ROIStrong positive financial ROI– Indirect benefits from increased Indirect benefits from increased

business process efficiencies and business process efficiencies and organizational flexibilityorganizational flexibility

SOURCE: The Carbon Disclosure Project/Verdantix: Cloud Computing: The IT SOURCE: The Carbon Disclosure Project/Verdantix: Cloud Computing: The IT Solution for the 21Solution for the 21stst Century Century

12 12

Closing the Actual-to-Potential GapRequires Smart Public Policies

The full potential of ICT NOT realized due to a variety The full potential of ICT NOT realized due to a variety of of market failures:market failures:– Lack of information re potential of various technologiesLack of information re potential of various technologies– ““Principal/agent” issuesPrincipal/agent” issues– High upfront costsHigh upfront costs– Perceived small size of individual savingsPerceived small size of individual savings

These failures can only be overcome through smart These failures can only be overcome through smart policies, including:policies, including:– Developing a National Strategy or “Roadmap” to guide policy Developing a National Strategy or “Roadmap” to guide policy

directiondirection– Lead by example – Federal/state governments are the biggest Lead by example – Federal/state governments are the biggest

landowners, employers, vehicle fleet operators, etc.landowners, employers, vehicle fleet operators, etc.– Broadband, broadband, broadbandBroadband, broadband, broadband– Establish incentives and rewards for investments in EE ICTEstablish incentives and rewards for investments in EE ICT

A Few Words About Broadband

The International Telecommunications Union’s (ITU) The International Telecommunications Union’s (ITU) Broadband Commission recently released its report, Broadband Commission recently released its report, “The “The Broadband Bridge: Linking ICT with Climate Action for a Broadband Bridge: Linking ICT with Climate Action for a Low-Carbon Economy”Low-Carbon Economy”

This report highlights the central role of more and faster This report highlights the central role of more and faster broadband to realizing the promise of “Green broadband to realizing the promise of “Green byby IT” or the IT” or the “macro story”:“macro story”:– Climate mitigation via transformational changes in the economy Climate mitigation via transformational changes in the economy

via the dematerialization of physical products and systems (travel via the dematerialization of physical products and systems (travel substitution and e-products and services) as well as smarter substitution and e-products and services) as well as smarter buildings, transport and systemsbuildings, transport and systems

– Climate adaptation via enabling more and better climate modeling, Climate adaptation via enabling more and better climate modeling, weather information and disaster-response capabilitiesweather information and disaster-response capabilities

Water Utility Infrastructure

Leaks, drips and theft cost global water utilities ~$14B per yearLeaks, drips and theft cost global water utilities ~$14B per year Utilities want “neural networks for water”Utilities want “neural networks for water”

sensors, networks, controllers, models, applications & visualizationsensors, networks, controllers, models, applications & visualization

Holy grail for water quality monitoring is general-purpose, in Holy grail for water quality monitoring is general-purpose, in situ, real-time sensingsitu, real-time sensing

Modeling & Analytics

Sensors/ Controllers

EMBEDDED DEVICES SERVERS AND SOFTWARE APPLICATIONS

Use and quality data

Remote control

Leak detection

Metering/ Billing

Operations/Maintenance

Planning

Visualization

WaterMatch

Industrial and

Municipal Users log in by providing

brief information

Public can search for WWTPs by

location and distance

15

Large-scale participatory simulation of the Chesapeake Bay watershed as complex system

Players take roles of key stakeholders, such as farmers, developers, watermen, and policy-makers; make decisions based on real-world data; and see the impact of these decisions on each other and the watershed over a twenty-year period

Developed by multi-disciplinary faculty and student team; hailed by federal and state agency, private sector, NGO, and education leaders as the “first of its kind”

Innovative tool for multi-sector stakeholder engagement, capacity building for the collaborative governance of natural resources, and the testing of new policies, products, and services

Now completing Bay Game Global, a generalizable platform for global watershed simulation

www.uvabaygame.org

Digital Energy and Sustainability Solutions Campaign (DESSC)

DESSC is:DESSC is:– Coalition of industry, research organizations, NGOs Coalition of industry, research organizations, NGOs – Advance policies to drive sustainable growth through ICT Advance policies to drive sustainable growth through ICT

enabled energy efficiency and clean energy innovation enabled energy efficiency and clean energy innovation

DESSC affiliates or partners in: DESSC affiliates or partners in: – DESC US DESC US – DESC ChinaDESC China– EU (ICT4EE Forum)EU (ICT4EE Forum)– DESC India DESC India – Japan (Green IT Promotion Council) Japan (Green IT Promotion Council)

Established great website as macro story portal:Established great website as macro story portal:– http://www.digitalenergysolutions.org/

17

DESSC-US Partners

*ITI serves as the host organization for DESC

DESC China PartnersDESC China Partners

19

DESC China report “ICT Promoting China Low Carbon Development” Promotion

• Share with government Share with government agencies, MIIT, NDRC, agencies, MIIT, NDRC, AQSIQ and others;AQSIQ and others;

• Promotion campaign with Promotion campaign with publishing on about 270 publishing on about 270 websites;websites;

• Listed Top in Google and Listed Top in Google and Baidu with searching word Baidu with searching word as “ICT” and “Low Carbon”;as “ICT” and “Low Carbon”;

• Good feedback from multi Good feedback from multi channel.channel.

20

UN Sustainable Energy for All

In 2011, Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon launched a new In 2011, Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon launched a new initiative, initiative, Sustainable Energy for All (SE4All)Sustainable Energy for All (SE4All), which will , which will engage governments, private sector, and civil society to engage governments, private sector, and civil society to achieve 3 major targets by 2030:achieve 3 major targets by 2030:– Achieving universal access to modern energy servicesAchieving universal access to modern energy services– Doubling energy efficiencyDoubling energy efficiency– Doubling energy efficiencyDoubling energy efficiency– Doubling the share of global energy generated from renewable sourcesDoubling the share of global energy generated from renewable sources

SE4All features a heavy emphasis on private sector SE4All features a heavy emphasis on private sector engagement and partnerships across sectors and across engagement and partnerships across sectors and across governments/civil societygovernments/civil society

UN developing ‘best practices’ guidance for different industry UN developing ‘best practices’ guidance for different industry sectorssectors– ICT guidance focuses heavily on implementing Green by ICT and the macro storyICT guidance focuses heavily on implementing Green by ICT and the macro story

Intel Sustainable & Connected Cities Institute

The Opportunity

Create sustainable future city visionCity of London offering test bed accessTwo world-class universities joining forces to lead the initiativePartnership with other fellow travellers

Intel Confidential

The Testbed: London

The World-Class Research Universities: UCL & UCI

The Concept: driving the computing continuumand inventing the city of the future

ISCCI Application Areas

1.1. Compute Continuum & Ubiquitous Information AccessCompute Continuum & Ubiquitous Information Access

2.2. Asset managementAsset managementa.a. Utilities (Energy, Water, Sewage)Utilities (Energy, Water, Sewage)

b.b. TransportTransport

c.c. Services (Police, Fire, Ambulance) Services (Police, Fire, Ambulance)

d.d. EnvironmentEnvironment

3.3. Intelligent Buildings and Urban SpacesIntelligent Buildings and Urban Spaces

4.4. Community WellbeingCommunity Wellbeing

5.5. City Security and Disaster ResponseCity Security and Disaster Response