Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what...

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Stephen Bradforth

Transcript of Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what...

Page 1: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

Stephen Bradforth

Page 2: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

*It’s all about the numbers

Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each scenario?

Page 3: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.
Page 4: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

200 billion kWh/yr for entire US population:

= 1.8 kWh/d per person

Page 5: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

MacKay“Without the hot air”conclusion of Ch. 3

Page 6: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.
Page 7: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

*SCE, along with other west coast utilities, was one of the earliest to use Hydroelectric Power for the rapidly growing population in the 1920s onward

*Big Creek Project (SCE)1 GW peak total power to SCE

14 million homes

¼ kW each home = 1.5 kWh/d

Page 8: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

SEGS project in Mojave Desert (350 MW) – 0.5 kWh/d peak

Solar Millenium AG received contract for new 1GW solar farm at Blythe in Sonoran Desert in 2010 but filed for bankruptcy at the end of 2011.

Page 9: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

195 180 kWh/d

Page 10: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.
Page 11: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

Cos

t of p

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ity (

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s / k

Wh) 12

10

8

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Page 12: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

*How many people are regularly on the USC campus?

Numbers from USC web site:

Students: 37,000Faculty 3,300Staff 11,500Outpatients/in patients at USC hospitals?

Page 13: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

The art of estimation

Page 14: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.
Page 15: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.
Page 16: Stephen Bradforth. * It’s all about the numbers Can we do it, can we afford it, and what compromises do each of us, and our society have to make in each.

Solar

*Goal - to increase the electricity generated from solar power to 100%. Is it possible (enough land)? Can the campus (i.e. the student tuition) afford it?