Step 5: Analysis of Causal Diary
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Step 5: Analysis of Step 5: Analysis of Causal DiaryCausal Diary
Step 5: Analysis of Step 5: Analysis of Causal DiaryCausal Diary
Farrokh Alemi Ph.D.Farrokh Alemi Ph.D.
This research was funded by Grant RO1 HL 084767 from the National Heart Blood and Lung
Institute.
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Step 5: Analysis of Step 5: Analysis of Causal DiariesCausal Diaries
Step 5: Analysis of Step 5: Analysis of Causal DiariesCausal Diaries
Continues from a previous Continues from a previous section section
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Clean Data
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Clean Data
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Get More Data
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Maximum Impact of a Cause
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Making a Cause Unconstrained
Day 3
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Making a Cause Unconstrained
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Making a Cause Unconstrained
Day 14
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Making a Cause Unconstrained
Day 14
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Reducing Universe of Possibilities
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Maximum Impact of a Cause
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Minimum Impact of a Cause
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Day Rain
Plan to commute with
bikePlan to
shower at gym Sleep earlyExercise
pattern kept1 1 1 0 0 02 0 0 1 1 13 0 0 1 1 04 0 1 1 0 15 1 1 1 0 16 1 1 0 0 07 0 0 0 0 08 0 0 1 0 19 0 0 0 0 0
10 1 1 0 1 111 0 0 0 0 012 0 0 1 0 113 1 0 1 0 114 0 1 0 0 1
1=Yes, 0=No
Example
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Unconstrained CausesDay
Plan to commute with bike
Plan to shower at gym Sleep early
Exercise pattern kept
1 0 0 0 02 0 1 1 13 0 1 1 04 1 1 0 15 0 1 0 16 0 0 0 07 0 0 0 08 0 1 0 19 0 0 0 0
10 0 0 1 111 0 0 0 012 0 1 0 113 0 1 0 114 1 0 0 1
1=Yes, 0=No
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Maximum Impact of Planning to Bike to
Work
DayPlan to commute
with bikePlan to shower
at gym Sleep earlyExercise
pattern kept4 1 1 0 1
14 1 0 0 1
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Minimum Impact of Planning to Bike to
Work
DayPlan to commute
with bikePlan to shower
at gym Sleep earlyExercise
pattern kept4
14 1 0 0 1
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Impact of Various Causes
Probability of Success Given the CauseMinimum Maximum
Plan to commute with bike 1 1
Plan to shower at gym 0.80 0.86
Sleep early 0.50 0.67
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Lecture ContinuesLecture ContinuesLecture ContinuesLecture Continues
Step 6: Taking ActionStep 6: Taking Action