Planning in the context of Planning in the context of ggClimate ChangeClimate Changegg

CEPLANCEPLAN

Stefan RaubenheimerStefan RaubenheimerMAPS DirectorMAPS Director

www mapsprogramme orgwww mapsprogramme orgwww.mapsprogramme.orgwww.mapsprogramme.org

•• MAPS is a programme of work to support MAPS is a programme of work to support the development of climate compatiblethe development of climate compatiblethe development of climate compatible the development of climate compatible development plans in selected developing development plans in selected developing countries in Latin Americacountries in Latin Americacountries in Latin America. countries in Latin America.

•• These countries either have current high These countries either have current high ese cou t es e t e a e cu e t gese cou t es e t e a e cu e t gemissions or future high emissions, and emissions or future high emissions, and are all vulnerable to climate impactsare all vulnerable to climate impactsare all vulnerable to climate impactsare all vulnerable to climate impacts

MAPS Collaboration

•• In each country there is a government mandated national In each country there is a government mandated national process currently in progress. process currently in progress. I P thi i ll d CCPlI P thi i ll d CCPl•• In Peru this is called CCPlanIn Peru this is called CCPlan

•• MAPS International will support CCPlan, and creates a MAPS International will support CCPlan, and creates a platform of collaboration with the other countriesplatform of collaboration with the other countriesplatform of collaboration with the other countriesplatform of collaboration with the other countries

CCPlanCli t Ch i t D l t Pl iClimate Change into Development Planning

Building blocks of Climate Compatible d l t th id bdevelopment: the evidence base

• Analysis of climate compatible developmentAnalysis of climate compatible development alternatives

Th S i h• The Scenario approach• Modelling, with a focus on economy-wide impacts g, y p

first +mitigation actions + resilience• Baseline, RBS, and option packagesBaseline, RBS, and option packages

• =Create the evidence base for policy making, set up options for decision makersoptions for decision makers

• Achieve this through consensus

Phase 1 of CCPlan

STAKEHOLDERSTAKEHOLDER DRIVEN

EVIDENCEThat

tPolicy development for a EVIDENCE supports climate compatible economy

RESEARCH BASED

PlanningPlanning

•• Climate Change essentially long termClimate Change essentially long term•• Climate Change essentially long termClimate Change essentially long term•• Planning is normally short term, with some long Planning is normally short term, with some long

te m d i e s (te m d i e s (egeg ene g s stem)ene g s stem)term drivers (term drivers (egeg energy system)energy system)•• Main concerns are developmental: create jobs Main concerns are developmental: create jobs p jp j

and grow the economyand grow the economy•• Inequality still growingInequality still growing•• Inequality still growingInequality still growing•• Two primary CC concerns: impacts and Two primary CC concerns: impacts and

i ii iemissionsemissions

CC Pressures on development

Development WorldLow carbon:P d t d

Carbon

CCImpacts( t )

Products and competitiven

ess

constraint

(water)

Successful Adaptation & Mitigation

New Technology

New low carbon

economy

Finance & Mitigation Action

Time

Global AgreementGlobal Agreement

Th t i t 40% f l b l i i d 73% f d l i t i iThese countries represent 40% of global emissions and 73% of developing country emissions

Global Agreement 2These countries represent 8% of global emissions and 12% of developing country emissions

The future economy

•• New technologyNew technology•• Future of key sectors (mining, agriculture, Future of key sectors (mining, agriculture,

forests)forests)forests)forests)•• What will Peru look like in 2050?What will Peru look like in 2050?