Staying Calm When the Market Goes Wild
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Transcript of Staying Calm When the Market Goes Wild
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7/24/2019 Staying Calm When the Market Goes Wild
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MFS Investment Management
STAYING CALM WHEN THEMARKET GOES WILD
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Today could be one of the best-performing days in the
stock markets history.
Or it could be one of its worst days. No one can say for certain what
will happen. No one has ever been able to, or likely ever will.
However, as a long-term investor, you probably know just how volatile
and unpredictable the market can be. But how does this affect your
portfolio, and what steps, if any, can you take to deal with it?
In our opinion, the best response may be to do nothing if you
already have a sound, long-term plan for pursuing your financial goals.
To help you take periods of market volatility in stride, we have
compiled some facts and a few opinions you may want to consider
the next time you talk with your financial advisor.
STAYING CALM WHEN THEMARKET GOES WILD
Before investing, consider the funds investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. For a prospectus or summary prospectus containingthis and other information, contact your investment professional or view online at mfs.com. Please read it carefully.
NOT FDIC INSURED MAY LOSE VALUE NO BANK GUARANTEE
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
FACTOver the long term, stocks historically have been
the best investment for outpacing inflation.
MFS VIEWU.S. government bonds and U.S. Treasury bills offer investors a government guarantee as to
timely payment of interest and guaranteed return of principal if held to maturity. But, unlike
stocks, guaranteed investments generally do not offer opportunities for growth of capitaland income.
Having a well-planned investment strategy that spreads your assets among stocks, bonds, and
cash may be the smartest approach for pursuing long-term financial goals. Keep in mind,
however, that no investing strategy, including asset allocation and diversification, can
guarantee a profit or protect against loss.
page 1
1Sources:SPAR, FactSet Research Systems Inc. For illustrative purposes only. Results are not intended to represent the future performance of any MFSproduct. Stocks arerepresented by the Standard & Poors 500 Stock Index(S&P 500), which measures the broad U.S. stock market. Bonds reflect performance of theBarclays U.S. Aggregate BondIndex, which measures the U.S. bond market. U.S. Treasury bills are represented by theBofA Merrill Lynch 3-Month U.S. Treasury Bill Index. The principal value and intereston Treasury securities are guaranteed by the U.S. government if held to maturity. Inflation is measured by theConsumer Price Index, a measure of inflation, as reported bythe U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. These indices represent asset types that are subject to risk, including loss of principal. Index performance does not include any investment-related fees or expenses. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
U.S. Stocks
U.S. bonds
U.S. Treasury bills
Inflation
Over the long term, stocks have led the way1
Growth of hypothetical $10,000 investments over three decades
Over time, stocks have
played an important
role for investorsseeking to build and
preserve wealth.
12/141/101/051/001/951/901/85
$10,000
$250,993
$86,147
$32,468
$22,299
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page 2
* Bear market returns are cumulative for each period.
Source:Morningstar, Inc. For illustrative purposes only. Results are not intended to represent the future performance of any MFS product. A bear market is definedas a peak-to-trough decline of 20% or more over a prolonged period. Bear markets are calculated based on month-to-month changes in the S&P 500. A correctionis defined as a peak-to-trough decline of 10% or more but less than 20% over a relatively short period.
FACTMarket declines create opportunity
for long-term investors.
MFS VIEWSometimes corrections which tend to be shorter and less severe than bear markets
are good for the market. That is why optimistic investors often refer to them as buying
opportunities.
It has always been our view that one of the best strategies against market volatility is to
invest in stocks and bonds of fundamentally good companies selling at reasonable prices.When discussing potential investments with your financial advisor, you may want to ask
how they fared in previous downturns as well as in the good times.
Bear markets have not stopped stocks
Tracking the S&P 500 (closing values 1985 - 2014)
Historically, bull
markets have been
prolonged, while bear
markets have beenrelatively short.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results
12/141/101/051/001/951/901/85
BEAR MARKET: 9/00 9/02
-44.73%*
BEAR MARKET: 11/07 2/09
-50.95%*
BEAR MARKET: 9/87 11/87
-29.58%*
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Market leadership is unpredictableAsset class annual returns, best to worst, 2005 2014
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. page 3
Source: SPAR, FactSet Research Systems Inc. For illustrative purposes only. Results are not intended to represent the future performance of any MFS product.2 Bloomberg Commodity Indexis composed of futures contracts on physical commodities. 3 MSCI EAFE Index measures the non-U.S. stock market. 4 FTSENAREIT All REITs Total Return Indextracks the performance of commercial real estate across the U.S. economy. 5 Russell 2500 Indexmeasures small- andmid-cap U.S. stocks. 6 Diversified Portfoliois made up of equal allocations of all segments disclosed herein, excluding cash. 7 Russell 1000 Value Indexmeasures large-cap U.S. value stocks. 8 Russell 1000 Growth Indexmeasures large-cap U.S. growth stocks. 9 Citigroup 3-month T-bill Index is derivedfrom secondary market Treasury bill rates published by the Federal Reserve Bank. 10 Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Indexmeasures the U.S. bond market.11 JPMorgan Global Government Bond Index (Unhedged)measures government bond markets around the world. Index performance does not include anyinvestment-related fees or expenses. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
FACTEveryone wants to be in the
best-performing asset class every year.
MFS VIEWIn our opinion, one of the dangers of not having a sound investment plan is that you may
be tempted to move money into whichever asset class appears to be outperforming at the
moment. The problem with this approach is that by the time a particular area is generally
recognized as hot, you may have already missed some of the best performance.
Even if you get it right, you still never know how long that performance will be sustained.
We would suggest that one way to potentially benefit from swings in the market to
potentially be invested in various asset classes before the market shifts in their favor is
with a broadly diversified portfolio covering several asset classes.
Over the long term,
spreading your
investments among
several asset classes
beats guesswork and
chasing performance.
WORST
BEST
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Commodities221.36%
REITs34.35%
Commodities16.23%
GlobalBonds
12.00%
Large CapGrowth37.21%
REITs27.58%
Bonds7.84%
REITs20.14%
Small/Mid Cap36.80%
REITs27.15%
International314.02%
International26.86%
Large CapGrowth11.81%
Bonds5.24%
Small/Mid Cap34.39%
Small/Mid Cap26.71%
REITs7.28%
International17.90%
Large CapGrowth33.48%
Large CapValue
13.45%
REITs48.29%
Large CapValue
22.25%
International11.63%
Cash1.80%
International32.46%
Commodities16.83%
GlobalBonds7.22%
Small/Mid Cap17.88%
Large CapValue
32.53%
Large CapGrowth13.05%
Small/
Mid Cap58.11%
Small/
Mid Cap16.17%
Global
Bonds10.81%
Diversified
Portfolio26.72%
REITs27.45%
Large Cap
Growth16.71%
Large Cap
Growth2.64%
Large Cap
Value17.51%
International23.29%
Small/
Mid Cap7.07%
DiversifiedPortfolio67.69%
DiversifiedPortfolio15.00%
Bonds6.97%
Commodities35.65%
DiversifiedPortfolio23.08%
DiversifiedPortfolio15.93%
Large CapValue0.39%
Large CapGrowth15.26%
DiversifiedPortfolio13.21%
Bonds5.97%
Large CapValue77.05%
Large CapGrowth9.07%
DiversifiedPortfolio4.92%
Small/Mid Cap36.79%
Large CapValue
19.69%
Large CapValue
15.51%
DiversifiedPortfolio0.13%
DiversifiedPortfolio11.70%
REITs3.21%
DiversifiedPortfolio5.39%
Large CapGrowth85.26%
GlobalBonds5.94%
Cash4.74%
Large CapValue
36.85%
Commodities18.91%
International8.21%
Cash0.08%
Bonds4.21%
Cash0.05%
GlobalBonds0.67%
Cash93.00%
Cash4.76%
Small/Mid Cap1.38%
REITs37.34%
Bonds5.93%
Bonds6.54%
Small/Mid Cap2.51%
GlobalBonds1.30%
Bonds2.02%
Cash0.03%
Bonds102.43%
Bonds4.33%
Large CapValue
0.17%
Large CapGrowth
38.44%
GlobalBonds1.90%
GlobalBonds6.42%
International11.73%
Cash0.07%
GlobalBonds
4.50%
International4.48%
GlobalBonds116.53%
Commodities2.07%
REITs17.83%
International43.06%
Cash0.16%
Cash0.13%
Commodities13.32%
Commodities1.06%
Commodities9.52%
Commodities17.01%
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page 4
PLANNING ANDPREPARATION ARE KEY
We encourage you to discuss these facts and opinions with your financial advisor and then
factor them into your long-range financial planning. Hopefully, whenever the market turns
volatile, you will be confident enough to just sit back and let your plan keep working for you.
We also urge you to consider why many investors use financial advisors and mutual funds:
they do not want to worry about their investments every time the market goes down,and they do not want to make a hobby or a second profession out of investing.
Long-term investors simply want their money to work for them so they have a better
likelihood of realizing their dreams.
Keep in mind that all investments, including mutual funds, carry a certain amount of risk
including the possible loss of the principal amount invested.
Asset class risk considerations
Stock markets and investments in individual stocksare volatile and can decline significantly in response to
issuer, market, economic, industry, political, regulatory, geopolitical, and other conditions. Investments in debt
instrumentsmay decline in value as the result of declines in the credit quality of the issuer, borrower, counterparty, or
other entity responsible for payment, underlying collateral, or changes in economic, political, issuer-specific, or other
conditions. Certain types of debt instruments can be more sensitive to these factors and therefore more volatile. In
addition, debt instruments entail interest rate risk (as interest rates rise, prices usually fall), therefore the Funds share
price may decline during rising rate environments as the underlying debt instruments in the portfolio adjust to the rise
in rates. Funds that consist of debt instruments with longer durations are generally more sensitive to a rise in interest
rates than those with shorter durations. At times, and particularly during periods of market turmoil, all or a large
portion of segments of the market may not have an active trading market. As a result, it may be difficult to value
these investments and it may not be possible to sell a particular investment or type of investment at any particular
time or at an acceptable price. Emerging marketscan have less market structure, depth, and regulatory, custodial
or operational oversight and greater political, social, and economic instability than developed markets. Investments
in small-cap companiescan be more volatile than investments in larger companies. Investments in lower-quality
debt instrumentscan be more volatile and have greater risk of default, or already be in default, than higher-qualitydebt instruments. Commodity-related investmentscan be more volatile than investments in equity securities or
debt instruments and can be affected by changes in overall market movements, commodity index volatility, changes
in interest rates, factors affecting a particular industry or commodity, and demand/supply imbalances in the market
for the commodity. Events that affect the financial services sector may have a significant adverse effect on the fund.
Please see the prospectus for further information on these and other risk considerations.
There is no guarantee that these investment strategies will work under all market conditions, and each investor
should evaluate the ability to invest for the long term, especially during periods of downturn in the market.
The investments you choose should correspond to your financial needs, goals, and risk tolerance. For
assistance in determining your financial situation, please consult an investment professional.
Long-term
investors simply
want their money
to work for themso they have a
better likelihood
of realizing their
dreams.
page 4 Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
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MFS Fund Distributors, Inc., Boston, MA MFSP-MRKTVOL-WP-3/15
13725.13
EXPERTISE THROUGH COLLABORATIONSM
We recognize that investors look for investment
managers with the expertise to deliver consistent returns
over the long term. A long-term discipline drives the
way we think, the way we invest and the way we are
rewarded. MFSis an active, global investment manager
with a uniquely collaborative approach that brings you
our best insights and expertise through:
Integrated Research
We analyze opportunities across geographies, across
fundamental and quantitative disciplines and across an
organizations entire capital structure to develop a fuller
perspective on securities we select for our clients.
Global Collaboration
Our people, teams and compensation structure ensure
collaboration so that our clients benefit from a shared,
worldwide view of investing opportunities.
Active Risk ManagementEvery member of our investment team is responsible for
managing risk and delivering to our clients the greatest
possible return within each portfolios risk guidelines.
FOLLOW US
The views expressed are those of the author(s) and are subject to change at any time. These views are for informational purposes only and should not be reliedupon as a recommendation to purchase any security or as a solicitation or investment advice from the Advisor.