Statistics for the Social Sciences Psychology 340 Spring 2005 Prediction.
Statistics for the Social Sciences
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Transcript of Statistics for the Social Sciences
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Psychology 340Spring 2005
Using t-tests
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Outline
• Review t-tests– One sample, related samples, independent samples
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Statistical analysis follows design
• The related-samples t-test can be used when:
– 1 sample
t =D−μD
sD
– Two scores per subject
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Statistical analysis follows design
• The related-samples t-test can be used when:
– 1 sample– Two scores per subject
t =D−μD
sD
– 2 samples
– Scores are related
- OR -
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
€
t =X − μ
X
sX
€
zX
=X − μ
X
σX
€
sX
=s
n
Test statistic
Diff. Expected by chance
€
σX
=σ
n
One sample z One sample t
€
df = n −1
Related samples t
t =D−μD
sD
sD =sDnD
df =nD −1
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Effect Sizes & Power for t Test for Dependent Means
d =μ1 −μ2
σD
estimated d =D−0sD
Remember we don’t know these
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Approximate Sample Size Needed for 80% Power (.05 significance level)
• Using Power and effect sizes to determine how many participants you need
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Independent samples
• What are we doing when we test the hypotheses?– Consider a new variation of our memory experiment example
Memory treatment
Memory patients Memory
Test
• the memory treatment sample are the same as those in the population of memory patients.• they aren’t the same as those in the population of memory patients
H0
:HA:
Memory placebo
MemoryTest
Compare these two means
XA
XB
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Statistical analysis follows design
• The independent samples t-test can be used when:
– 2 samples
– Samples are independent
€
t =(X A − X B ) − (μA − μB )
sX A −X B
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
Estimate of the standard error based on the variability of both samples
€
test statistic =observed difference
difference expected by chance
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
€
test statistic =observed difference
difference expected by chance
Test statistic
€
t =(X A − X B ) − (μA − μB )
sX A −X B
€
t =X − μ
X
sX
One-sample tIndependent-samples t
Sample means
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
€
test statistic =observed difference
difference expected by chance
Test statistic
€
t =(X A − X B ) − (μA − μB )
sX A −X B
€
t =X − μ
X
sX
One-sample tIndependent-samples t
Population means• from the hypotheses
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
€
test statistic =observed difference
difference expected by chance
Test statistic
€
t =(X A − X B ) − (μA − μB )
sX A −X B
€
t =X − μ
X
sX
One-sample tIndependent-samples t
Population means• from the hypotheses
H0
:Memory performance by the treatment group is equal to memory performance by the no treatment group.So:
(μA −μB) =0
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
€
test statistic =observed difference
difference expected by chance
Test statistic
€
t =X − μ
X
sX
One-sample t
€
t =(X A − X B ) − (μA − μB )
sX A −X B
Estimated standard error(difference expected by chance)
estimate is based on one
sample
We have two samples, so the estimate is based on two
samples
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
€
sX A −X B
=sp
2
nA
+sp
2
nB
“pooled variance”
We combine the variance from the two
samples
Number of
subjects in group
A
Number of
subjects in group
B
Statistics for the Social Sciences
s2 =SSn−1
variance
Performing your statistical test
€
sX A −X B
=sp
2
nA
+sp
2
nB
“pooled variance”
We combine the variance from the two
samples
Recall “weighted means,”
need to use “weighted
variances” here
€
sp2 =
SSA + SSB
dfA + dfB
sp2 =
sA2dfA( ) + sB
2dfB( )dfA +dfB
dfA =(nA −1)dfB =(nB −1)
Variance (s2) * degrees of freedom (df)
s2 (n −1) =SS
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
€
sX A −X B
=sp
2
nA
+sp
2
nB
€
df = nA + nB − 2
€
t =(X A − X B ) − (μA − μB )
sX A −X B
€
=(nA −1) + (nB −1)
€
sp2 =
SSA + SSB
dfA + dfB
Independent-samples t• Compute your estimated standard error
sp2 =
sA2dfA( ) + sB
2dfB( )dfA +dfB
• Compute your t-statistic
• Compute your degrees of freedom
dfA =(nA −1)dfB =(nB −1)
This is the one you use to look up your tcrit
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
PersonExp. group
Control
group1
23
4
45
5540
60
43
4935
51
Need to compute the mean and variability for each sample
Dr. Mnemonic develops a new treatment for patients with a memory disorder. He isn’t certain what impact, if any, it will have. To test it he randomly assigns 8 patients to one of two samples. He then gives one sample the new treatment but not the other. Following the treatment period he gives both groups a memory test. The data are presented below. Use = 0.05.
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
PersonExp. group
Control
group1
23
4
45
5540
60
43
4935
51
Need to compute the mean and variability for each sampleControl group
= 50
(45-50)2 + (55-50)2 + (40-50)2 + (60-50)2
= 250
SS =A
Dr. Mnemonic develops a new treatment for patients with a memory disorder. He isn’t certain what impact, if any, it will have. To test it he randomly assigns 8 patients to one of two samples. He then gives one sample the new treatment but not the other. Following the treatment period he gives both groups a memory test. The data are presented below. Use = 0.05.
XA =45 + 55 + 40 + 60
4
XA =50SSA =250
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
Exp. group
(43-44.5)2 + (49- 44.5)2 + (35- 44.5)2 + (51- 44.5)2
= 155
SS =B
PersonExp. group
Control
group1
23
4
45
5540
60
43
4935
51
Need to compute the mean and variability for each sample
Dr. Mnemonic develops a new treatment for patients with a memory disorder. He isn’t certain what impact, if any, it will have. To test it he randomly assigns 8 patients to one of two samples. He then gives one sample the new treatment but not the other. Following the treatment period he gives both groups a memory test. The data are presented below. Use = 0.05.
XB =43+ 49 + 35 + 51
4
XA =50SSA =250
XB =44.5SSB =155
= 44.5
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
€
sX A −X B
=sp
2
nA
+sp
2
nB
€
t =(X A − X B ) − (μA − μB )
sX A −X B
€
sp2 =
SSA + SSB
dfA + dfB
€
=250 +155
3+ 3= 67.5€
=67.5
4+
67.5
4= 5.81€
=(50 − 44.5) − (0)
5.81
€
dfA = (nA −1)
€
dfB = (nB −1)
PersonExp. group
Control
group1
23
4
45
5540
60
43
4935
51XA =50
SSA =250XB =44.5
SSB =155
Dr. Mnemonic develops a new treatment for patients with a memory disorder. He isn’t certain what impact, if any, it will have. To test it he randomly assigns 8 patients to one of two samples. He then gives one sample the new treatment but not the other. Following the treatment period he gives both groups a memory test. The data are presented below. Use = 0.05.
= 0.95
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
Tobs= 0.95Tcrit= ±2.447
€
sX A −X B
= 5.81
€
sp2 = 67.5
Proportion in one tail0.10 0.05 0.025 0.01 0.005
Proportion in two tailsdf 0.20 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.01: : : : : :5 1,476 2.015 2.571 3.365 4.0326 1.440 1.943 2.447 3.143 3.707: : : : : :
€
df = nA + nB − 2 = 6
= 0.05Two-tailed
PersonExp. group
Control
group1
23
4
45
5540
60
43
4935
51
Dr. Mnemonic develops a new treatment for patients with a memory disorder. He isn’t certain what impact, if any, it will have. To test it he randomly assigns 8 patients to one of two samples. He then gives one sample the new treatment but not the other. Following the treatment period he gives both groups a memory test. The data are presented below. Use = 0.05.
€
t =(X A − X B ) − (μA − μB )
sX A −X B
€
=(50 − 44.5) − (0)
5.81
€
dfA = (nA −1)
€
dfB = (nB −1)
XA =50SSA =250
XB =44.5SSB =155
= 0.95
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
Tobs= 0.95= 0.05Two-tailedTcrit= ±2.447
PersonExp. group
Control
group1
23
4
45
5540
60
43
4935
51
€
sX A −X B
= 5.81
€
sp2 = 67.5
€
df = nA + nB − 2 = 6
Dr. Mnemonic develops a new treatment for patients with a memory disorder. He isn’t certain what impact, if any, it will have. To test it he randomly assigns 8 patients to one of two samples. He then gives one sample the new treatment but not the other. Following the treatment period he gives both groups a memory test. The data are presented below. Use = 0.05.
€
t =(X A − X B ) − (μA − μB )
sX A −X B
€
=(50 − 44.5) − (0)
5.81
€
dfA = (nA −1)
€
dfB = (nB −1)
XA =50SSA =250
XB =44.5SSB =155
+2.45 = tcrit
- Fail to Reject H0
tobs=0.95
= 0.95
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Performing your statistical test
Tobs= 0.95= 0.05Two-tailedTcrit= ±2.447
Tobs Tcrit
Compare<
Fail to reject the H0
PersonExp. group
Control
group1
23
4
45
5540
60
43
4935
51
€
sX A −X B
= 5.81
€
sp2 = 67.5
€
df = nA + nB − 2 = 6
Dr. Mnemonic develops a new treatment for patients with a memory disorder. He isn’t certain what impact, if any, it will have. To test it he randomly assigns 8 patients to one of two samples. He then gives one sample the new treatment but not the other. Following the treatment period he gives both groups a memory test. The data are presented below. Use = 0.05.
€
t =(X A − X B ) − (μA − μB )
sX A −X B
€
=(50 − 44.5) − (0)
5.81
€
dfA = (nA −1)
€
dfB = (nB −1)
XA =50SSA =250
XB =44.5SSB =155
= 0.95
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Assumptions
• Each of the population distributions follows a normal curve
• The two populations have the same variance– We’ll return to this next time
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Effect Size for the t Test for Independent Means
• Estimated effect size after a completed study
Estimated d =X1 −X2
sPooled
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Power for the t Test for Independent Means (.05 significance level)
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Approximate Sample Size Needed for 80% Power (.05 significance level)
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Statistical Tests Summary
Design Statistical test (Estimated) Standard error
tcrit =(μA −μB)−(XA −XB)
sXA−XBsXA −XB
=sP2
nA+sP2
nB€
sD
=sD
nD
tcrit =D−μD
sD
sX =sn
tcrit =X−μX
sX
zX =X−μX
σ X
σ X =σ
nOne sample, σ knownOne sample, σ unknown
Two related samples, σ unknown
Two independent samples, σ unknown