Statistics for the Health Scientist: Basic Statistics II
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Transcript of Statistics for the Health Scientist: Basic Statistics II
1
Topic 2Descriptive Statistics Continued
Dr Luke KaneApril 2014
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 2
Outline
• Descriptive Statistics – continued!• Recap of BIMODAL Distribution (as requested)– Numerical descriptions of data– Transformation– Prevalence and Incidence
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 3
Bimodal Distribution
• One peak = UNImodal• Two peaks = Bimodal
• Usually means there is a mix of two distributions– But there are examples:– The size of certain species of ant– Hormone levels– Age of lymphoma incidence
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 4
Objectives
• Understand numerical ways of describing data– Including:• Median, mode, mean• Range, interquartile range, standard deviation
• Have a vague understanding of transformation• Calculate prevalence and incidence
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 5
Describing data with numbers• Two characteristics of data can be measured with a single
numeric value: – The value around which the data clusters
• Known as a summary measure of location
– The value which measures the degree of which the data has spread out • Known as a summary measure of spread
• Summary measures of location are: – the mode, the median, the mean and percentiles
• Summary measures of spread are: – the range, the standard deviation
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Summary Measures of Location
• The value around which most of the data falls• Median, mode, mean• Which one you choose depends on type of
variable
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The Mode: Common-ness
• The value which has the highest frequency– i.e. occurs the most often
• A measure of common-nessWeight of pigs at market / kg Number of pigs (Frequency) n =21
≤110 1
111-130 2
131-150 3
151 - 170 3
171- 190 7
191-210 6
≥211 1
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The Median: Central-ness
• A measure of central-ness• Arrange all values in size, median is middle• Half less than, half more than• If two median numbers, average them
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The Mean
• The average • Uses all of the data• Affected by skewness and outliers
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 10
N-Tiles
• n-tiles are percentiles, deciles and quintiles• A way of dividing data into equal groups• Percentiles (1%) divide the data into 100• Deciles (10%) into 10• Quintiles (20%) into 5
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 11
Choosing the Right Measure of Location
Summary measure of location
Type of Variable Mode Median Mean
Nominal Yes No No
Ordinal Yes Yes No
Quant discrete Yes Yes – if skew Yes
Quant continuous No Yes – if skew Yes
• Mode is not suited to quantitative continuous as there may only be one value
• Median not suited to categorical nominal as there is no order to the values
• You cannot average categorical data as it’s not made up of real numbers
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Summary Measures of Spread
• Range, interquartile range, standard deviation• Range– Distance from smallest value to largest
• Interquartile range– The range of the middle 50% of the data
• Standard deviation– Mean distance of all data from overall mean
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 13
Range
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Poem – to help you remember!
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Interquartile Range
• Range is very sensitive to outliers
• Chop off top 25% and bottom 25%– This is the interquartile
range• Ignores 50% of the
data…• Can use an ogive…
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IQR and an Ogive
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An extra chart - Boxplots
• Now we know about quartiles
• Before we talk about standard deviation…
• Boxplots provide a graphical summary of quartile values, minimum and maximum values and outliers
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Boxplots
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Standard Deviation (s.d.)
• Uses all of the data• S.d. measures the spread of individual results
around a mean of all the results• 68 – 95 – 99 rule in normal distribution– 68% of data in 1 sd of mean, 95% 2 sd, 99% 3sd
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 20
Choosing the Right Measure of Spread
Summary measure of Spread
Type of Variable Range Interquartile Range Standard Deviation
Nominal No No No
Ordinal Yes Yes No
Quantitative Yes Yes if skew Yes
• Measures of spread not helpful with nominal categorical data
• Sd not appropriate with ordinal data as it’s non-numeric• Standard deviation goes with the mean• Interquartile range goes with the median
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 21
Transformation
• Normal distribution looks nice– BUT not all data is normally distributed– Real world is more complicated!
• You can transform data to make it more normal
• For example, take the log of the data
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Prevalence and Incidence
• Prevalence is number of cases at a certain time and place
• Incidence is the number of new cases at a certain time and place
• What do we mean by certain time and place?
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Time & Place
• You must always define the time period• You must always define the place– place = specific population– Time = specific period of time• …Cambodian population in 2014• …Plantation workers in Mondulkiri in June-August 2013• …Irish immigrants in America 1850-1950
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Prevalence
• Amount of disease in a specific population at a particular time
• Prevalence is the probability that any one individual in the population has the disease– E.g. 65 cases of a rash in a population of 598 • 65/598 = 10.9%
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 25
Incidence
• New cases– Can think of it as the RISK of getting a disease during a
specific time= new cases/initial population of disease free– Can be risk of death, risk of disease, risk of transmitting
a disease, could even be RISK of winning a lottery• What is the incidence of malaria if there were 176
new cases in a healthy population of 9888 in 2003– 176/9888 = 1.78%, i.e. Risk of malaria is nearly 2%
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 26
Incidence & Prevalence
• Incidence and prevalence are usually expressed as a %
• You can also express them as per 1000 population, as per 10,000 population or per 100,000 population
• Don’t get mixed up!
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Incidence – TB in SE Asia
• Here is a real example of incidence:– This is the incidence of TB per 100,000 in SE Asia
2009-2013 I.e. NEW casesCountry TB Incidence
Cambodia 411
Laos 204
Vietnam 147
Thailand 119
Country TB Incidence
South Africa
1003
Sweden 7Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics
Data from World Bank, 2014. http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.TBS.INCD
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 28
Prevalence & Incidence: Example
• Calculate the proportion of women infected with HIV at each clinic:
• Is this prevalence or incidence?
Clinic Antenatal Clinic women seen in Oct 2013 HIV infected
Phnom Penh 412 5
Battambang 179 3
Siem Reap 264 2
1.21%
1.68%
0.76%
Prevalence
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 29
Summary
• Numerical descriptions of data– Summary measures of location:
• Median• Mode• Mean• N-tiles
– Summary measures of location• Range• Interquartile range• Standard deviation
• Prevalence and Incidence• Transformation
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 30
Questions?
Thank You!
Next lesson:How do we get the data?
Study design, sampling etc. Probability risks odds
Topic 2: Descriptive Statistics 31
References
• Bowers, D. (2008) Medical Statistics from Scratch: An Introduction for Health Professionals. USA: Wiley-Interscience.
• Grant, A. (2014) “Epidemiology for tropical doctors”. Lecture (S6) from the Diploma of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.
• Greenhalgh, T. (1997) “How to read a paper” British Medical Journal. Web, accessed April-May 2014 at <http://www.bmj.com/about-bmj/resources-readers/publications/how-read-paper>