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Statistics for Results Facility Catalytic Fund Annual Report May 2016

SRF Administration Unit Development Economics Data Group

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Acronyms and Abbreviations

AfDB African Development Bank AFRISTAT African Statistics Observatory ANSD National Agency for Statistics and Demography (Senegal) ANSP Afghanistan National Statistical Plan

BLS BOP

Bureau of Labor Statistics (US) Balance of Payments

BPM Balance of Payments Manual

CAPI CIDA

Computer-Assisted Personal Interview Canadian International Development Agency

CPI Consumer Price Index

CRVS Civil Registration and Vital Statistics

CSA Central Statistical Agency of Ethiopia

CSO Central Statistical Office of Afghanistan DANIDA Danish International Development Agency DfID Department for International Development (UK) DECDG Development Economics Data Group (World Bank) DFATD Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade, and Development (Canada) DHS Demographic and Household Survey DQAF Data Quality Assurance Framework DRC Democratic Republic of the Congo e-CSA Statistics-on-Wheels Initiative (Ethiopia) EICV Enquête intégrale sur les conditions de vie des ménages (Integrated

Household Survey) ENSAE National School of Statistics and Economic Analysis (Senegal) ENSEA Ecole Nationale Superieure de Statistique et d’Economie Appliquée (

Abidjan) EU European Union FAO Food and Agriculture Organization GDP Gross Domestic Product GFS Government Finance Statistics GIMPA Ghana Institute of Management and Public Administration GIS Geographic Information System GIZ-IS German International Cooperation Agency- International Services GLSS Ghana Living Standards Survey GNI Gross National Income GOPA German consulting firm (twinning partner for Lao PDR) GPS Geographical Positioning System GSDP Ghana Statistical Development Plan GSS Ghana Statistical Service IBES Integrated Business Establishment Survey ICC Index of Construction Costs (Senegal) ICR Implementation Completion Report ICT Information and Communications Technology IDA International Development Association ILO International Labor Organization IMF International Monetary Fund IMIS Institute for the Management of Information Systems INS National Institute of Statistics (DRC) ISCO International Standards for Classification of Occupations

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ISIC International Standards for Industrial Classification JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency KOICA Korean International Cooperation Agency L2A Listening to Africa LSB Lao Statistical Bureau M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MDA Ministries, Departments, Agencies MDG Millennium Development Goals MDTF Multi-Donor Trust Fund (Ghana) MICS Multiple Indicators Cluster Survey NADA National Data Archive NBS National Bureau of Statistics of Nigeria NGO Non-Government Organization NISR National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda NPG National Partnership Group NPoPC National Population Commission (Nigeria) NRVA National Risk and Vulnerability Survey (Afghanistan) NSDS National Strategy for the Development of Statistics NSO National Statistical Office NSS National Statistical System PDO Project Development Objectives PIU Project Implementation Unit PPI Purchasing Price Index RF Results Framework SDC Swiss Development Cooperation SDG Sustainable Development Goals SDMX Statistical Data and Metadata Exchange SITC Standards for International Trade Classification SNA System of National Accounts SPSS Statistical Package for the Social Sciences SRF Statistics for Results Facility SRF-CF Statistics for Results Facility – Catalytic Fund SSA/SSB State Statistical Agency/Bureau (Nigeria) SSMP State Statistical Master Plan (Nigeria) TOR Terms of Reference TP Twinning Partner TSA Tourism Satellite Account TTL Task Team Leader UNDP United Nations Development Program UNESCO United Nations Education, Scientific and Cultural Organization UNFPA United Nations Fund for Population Activities UNICEF United Nations Children Fund USAID United States Agency for International Development USS User Satisfaction Survey WB World Bank WHO World Health Organization WFP World Food Program

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Contents

I. Introduction ................................................................................................................................................. 9

II. Country Progress with SRF-CF Pilot Phase ................................................................................................... 9

Overview .................................................................................................... 9

Project Updates since May 2015 ........................................................................ 11

III. Generic Results Framework ....................................................................................................................... 30

IV. Financial Status of the Catalytic Fund ....................................................................................................... 33

V. Summary Status of SRF Projects ................................................................................................................ 33

ANNEX 1: Snapshot of Key Elements of SRF Projects, by Country ..................................................................... 35

ANNEX 2: SRF – Revised Generic Results Framework, by pilot country ............................................................ 37

ANNEX 3: GHANA Capacity Building Activities, 2014-2016 ............................................................................... 42

ANNEX 4: NIGERIA SRF Project, Outputs by Component .................................................................................. 43

ANNEX 5: AFGHANISTAN Results Framework -- Strengthening the National Statistical System ...................... 47

ANNEX 6: DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO Results Framework -- Catalytic Project to Strengthen the

National Statistical Institute ............................................................................................................................... 48

ANNEX 7: ETHIOPIA: Results Framework -- Statistics for Results Project .......................................................... 49

ANNEX 8: GHANA Revised Results Framework – Statistics Development Project ............................................ 55

ANNEX 9 : LAO PDR Results Framework -- Strengthening the National Statistical System Project (LAOSTAT) . 58

ANNEX 10: NIGERIA Results Framework -- Statistical Development Strategy Implementation Project ........... 60

ANNEX 11: RWANDA Results Framework -- Statistics for Results Project ......................................................... 62

ANNEX 12: SENEGAL Results Framework -- Statistics for Results Project ......................................................... 67

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Highlights

This is the seventh annual report on the Statistics for Results Facility Catalytic Fund (SRF-CF), a multi-donor

supported initiative, which became operational in 2009. This report summarizes the progress made over

the period (May 2015 through April 2016) in the pilot projects of the SRF -CF.

As of April 2016, two SRF projects were completed successfully and fully disbursed, one was closed but

partially completed, and the remaining six were under implementation. The table below presents some

key specifics of these projects.

Key Details of the SRF Pilot Projects, as of April 2016

Country Amount (USD m)

Effectiveness Date Closing Date Disbursement Rate (%)

Afghanistan 14 March 2011 February 2016 33.61

DRC 11.8 January 2015 June 2017 16.1

Ethiopia 10 June 2014 June 2017 33.4

Ghana 10 May 2014 August 2016 89.4

Lao PDR 8 July 2013 June 2017 40.8

L2A 1.8 May 2014 June 2017 59.7

Nigeria 10 June 2011 February 2014 97.7

Rwanda 10 June 2012 June 2015 99.8

Senegal 2.2 July 2014 April 2017 40.1

Progress thus far suggests that, in general, statistical capacity is improving, data is becoming more

accessible, and awareness of the importance of statistics is growing in the pilot countries. This is

particularly striking in Nigeria and Rwanda, where the completed projects successfully met their targets,

generally achieved their objectives, and garnered further support from World Bank operations. In Ghana,

despite a two-year delay in getting Parliamentary approval, the project has made significant strides in

carrying out activities, including a sensitive buyout and redeployment program for statistical staff. The

projects in Ethiopia and Senegal are making progress in preparatory activities, such as training, logistic

support, and project management. In the Lao PDR, the arrival of the twinning partner has led to visible

progress in human resource development and IT activities. In the DRC, activities to strengthen technical

capacities are well underway and the preparation of the cartography for the population census has begun.

Yet, uncertainty revolving around potential difficulties/constraints during preparation of the Presidential

elections in November 2016 in the DRC may delay the carrying out of the fieldwork for the cartography

exercise. In Afghanistan, a series of events outside the control of the statistical office during 2013,

coordination challenges with the twinning partner, the political situation and security issues slowed down

project implementation and led to its scheduled closing, but with the intention of continuing country

support through a Bank-executed technical assistance program, financed with part of the unspent funds

returned by the government of Afghanistan.

1 This rate may be overstated since the unspent amount will be returned by the Afghan government to the SRF TF main account after the grace period of project closing (August 2016).

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As demand for data grows, support to statistics is increasing, within both governments and the donor

community. This is especially visible in Ghana, Lao PDR, and Rwanda.

Progress over the past year

The main achievements of the past year, starting with the more advanced projects, include:

Rwanda: The project closed in June 2015 and was rated highly satisfactory in the Implementation

Completion Report (ICR) of the World Bank, as it met both its project development objectives and

most of its targets (table 8 in the text below presents project achievements by component).

Significant progress is visible in both data development and the implementation of the data-

access policy framework, as reflected in the improved timeliness and frequency of the publication

of key statistics. Access to data has also much improved with the open data portal and the use of

data is receiving special attention, as reflected in the training of journalists. The extension of the

project by one year to June 2015 permitted initial work on the design of the NSDS2, as well as

background work for the establishment of a training center at the National Statistics Institute. The

results of the second user satisfaction survey, carried out from December 2014 to March 2015,

indicated that nearly two-thirds of data users were satisfied with data produced by the NSS and

that nearly 90 percent found their priority needs being met by official statistics. These results

point to a 15% increase in user satisfaction and meeting of user needs from the previous survey

in July-September 2012. The success of the SRF grant contributed to the inclusion of a substantial

statistical component, of roughly US$ 25 million, in the Public Sector Governance Program-for-

Results operation of the World Bank, which is building on the priorities identified in the NSDS2,

with special emphasis on economic statistics, administrative records, key social surveys, and

capacity building within the NSS.

Afghanistan: The project closed at the end of February 2016, as scheduled, but did not implement

all planned activities mainly due to coordination challenges between the Central Statistical Office

(CSO) and the twinning partner, the German International Cooperation Agency (GIZ-IS), during

the last 15 months of the project. Up to December 2014, progress was visible in a number of

areas, particularly in building technical capacity of staff of the CSO, improving data collection and

quality, facilitating data dissemination through an improved website, and strengthening dialogue

between users and producers of data. Since then, however, the CSO suspended all technical

missions from GIZ because of disagreements on the quality and cost of the technical expertise.

The project team tried to resolve these difficulties, a Project Implementation Quality Assurance

Advisor visited Afghanistan in June 2015 to recommend solutions to operational bottlenecks and

ways of enhancing coordination between the CSO and the twinning partner. Despite these

efforts, project implementation continued to be slow, with a large number of project activities

uncompleted and less than a third of project funds disbursed. In view of this, World Bank

management assessed the risks of achieving project objectives too high to consider project

extension, and allowed the country-executed project to close as scheduled. However, given the

importance of building on recent efforts of the SRF project, the project team recommends

continuing the engagement with the CSO through technical assistance in areas, such as data

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production and staff training. A small Bank-executed technical assistance program, utilizing part

of returned SRF funds, is under consideration for mid-2016.

Ghana: The SRF project, jointly implemented with a larger IDA credit, became operational in April

2014, following a two-year delay for Parliamentary signature. Despite these delays, the project

has advanced quickly. To ensure that all project activities are fully implemented, however, the

project was extended from August 2016 to June 2017. Significant achievements are visible in the

areas of institutional reform, including a buyout and deployment program for statistical staff, and

human resource development. Capacity building activities have also received significant focus,

with 31 staff of the GSS pursuing master’s degree programs in economics, statistics, demography

and other relevant studies (6 already graduated), while other staff have participated in a number

of hands-on courses in economic modeling, demographic analysis, sampling techniques, survey

methods, data management, information technology, and other areas. With regard to data

development, the project has supported a number of socio-economic data production and

dissemination activities. These include a post-census cartographic update and digitization of the

enumeration area maps; the Integrated Business Establishment Survey (IBES), including the

production of a business register; a Labor Force Survey; the capture of births and deaths record

from 2009-2012 in electronic form; the 2014/15 school census; and a report on the causes of

maternal deaths.

Lao PDR: Project implementation has accelerated since the arrival of the twinning partner, GOPA,

in July 2015. On data development, the main outputs include the dissemination of the population

census results, the re-benchmarking of GDP, and rebasing of the CPI. With regard to capacity

building, the project supported the preparation of an ICT modernization plan and carried out a

variety of training activities linked to both macroeconomic statistics and IT skills. The project is

presently in the process of procuring IT equipment for the new LSB building and its Data Center.

Timely completion of the LSB building, financed by the government, is critical to ensure proper

installation of ICT infrastructure and related training before project closing. A long-term Human

Resources Development Strategy for LSB is also under preparation (expected by mid-2016).

Ethiopia: Project implementation is progressing satisfactorily. The new headquarters building of

the Central Statistical Agency (CSA) is now operational, while the construction of four branch

offices is underway, with completion expected by the end of 2016. The project has provided

survey tools for data collection for the Agriculture Survey and the Household Consumption

Survey. The CSA has begun an in-house training program to strengthen statistical skills and

improve data quality, and plans to launch a Statistics-on-Wheels Initiative to raise statistical

awareness among the public and improve the dissemination of statistical information. Outreach

activities to disseminate the NSDS2, an activity supported by the project, to NSS stakeholders in

new branch offices are envisaged, once office construction is completed. The baseline User

Satisfaction Survey (2015) showed that 77% of statistical users are satisfied with official statistics.

Senegal: The activities of the SRF project, operational since July 2014, are well underway. The

project has so far provided support for the baseline survey to develop a price index for the

production of services; the calculation of baseline indices of construction costs; employment

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survey; and special surveys for the Tourism Satellite Account. To support the National School of

Statistics and Economic Analysis (ENSAE), the project financed training sessions for third year

students on international monetary economics and micro modelling, is purchasing statistics books

for the school’s library, and planning a language laboratory for English. The results of the baseline

User Satisfaction Survey, conducted in the latter half of 2015, suggest that about two-thirds of

data users were satisfied with official statistics.

Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC): The project became operational in January 2015.

Progress is visible both in the area of strengthening the capacity of the INS and improving the non-

technical environment. The formal 2-year training program with the Statistical School in Abidjan

began in September 2015, with 23 students. In addition, training is underway in thematic areas,

such as survey data collection, data quality control and analysis, and national accounts. The

architectural studies to rehabilitate INS facilities are complete and final steps in the planning for

the rehabilitation are taking place. Preparatory work for the cartography exercise of the

population census and the pilot census is advancing, including the design of data collection tools,

the methodology of the cartography, and the planning of a work program. The project has

recruited a cartographer and a logistics expert, while the hiring of a demographer, jointly with the

UNFPA, is in progress. The upcoming Presidential election in November 2016 could lead to

implementation delays, as enumerators may not be able to carry out their tasks throughout the

country. A new IDA statistics project of USD 32 million to build on the efforts of the SRF grant is

in the final approval stages by the Government and should become operational in mid-2016.

Listening to Africa: This project pilots the collection of household survey data using mobile

phones in four African countries. It will serve to demonstrate the ability of this technological

approach to collect high quality, timely welfare data that is comparable over time and across

countries. The pilot is progressing well: Madagascar is in its second year of surveys; Malawi has

completed 12 rounds of phone surveys, Senegal has completed three rounds, while Togo has

completed its surveys with 10 rounds of phone interviews. Welfare data from the surveys is

contributing to analytical work in these countries from overall country strategy to tracking

poverty. In fact, each country has a dedicated page on its NSO website providing monthly welfare

data. Moreover, the project team is finalizing a Handbook, “Mobile Phone Panel Surveys in

Developing Countries: A practical guide for micro data collection”, which will serve as a resource

or practitioners who are increasingly turning to mobile devices for data collection. The Handbook

should be available in June 2016.

Annex 2 presents the SRF Results Framework populated with country data, to the extent possible, though

some indicators, such as the proportion of government budget to statistics, remain challenging to

measure.

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I. Introduction

1. The Statistics for Results Facility (SRF) is a multi-donor supported initiative, funded by the United

Kingdom and the Netherlands and managed by the World Bank, to strengthen statistical capacity in poor

countries and act as a catalyst in mobilizing new finance from other sources. The ultimate objective of the

SRF and of the Catalytic Fund (SRF-CF) is to support better policy formulation and decision-making through

sustained improvement in the production, availability and use of official statistics. It places a strong focus

on statistical capacity building.

2. This is the seventh annual report issued by the SRF-CF, which became operational in 2009. The

report presents progress of the project activities over the period May 2015-April 2016, with indications of

future activities.

3. The SRF strongly promotes support to a country’s National Strategy for the Development of

Statistics (NSDS), which provides the basis for strengthening a national statistical system and a system-

wide framework to deliver coordinated and harmonized financial and technical assistance. It focuses on

strategic issues and coordination and supports the involvement of line ministries, relying on country

leadership and ownership. At the same time, the NSDS provides a framework for harmonizing donor

support while optimizing capacity building.

II. Country Progress with SRF-CF Pilot Phase

Overview

4. Since February 2010,

the SRF Council has allocated

SRF-CF grants to eight pilot

projects in Afghanistan,

Democratic Republic of the

Congo (DRC), Ethiopia,

Ghana, Lao PDR, Nigeria,

Rwanda, and Senegal. It also

supports an innovative

project, Listening to Africa

(L2A), which aims at piloting

the use of cell phones to

gather high frequent household level data in a number of African countries. As of April 2016, two projects

were completed (Nigeria and Rwanda), another closed (Afghanistan), and the remaining projects under

implementation, as presented in Table 1. Although this report will not discuss the Nigeria project that

ended in 2014, Annex 4 presents key project outputs, by component, for information purposes.

2 This rate may be overstated since unspent funds will be returned to the main account of the SRF Trust Fund by the Afghan government after the grace period of project closing (August 2016).

Table 1. Status of Pilot Projects, as of April 2016

Country Amount (USD m)

Effectiveness Date

Closing Date Disbursement Rate (%)

Afghanistan 14 March 2011 February 2016 33.62

DRC 11.8 January 2015 June 2017 16.1

Ethiopia 10 June 2014 June 17 33.4

Ghana 10 May 2014 August 2016 89.4

Lao PDR 8 July 2013 June 2017 40.8

L2A 1.8 May 2014 June 2017 59.7

Nigeria 10 June 2011 February 2014 97.7

Rwanda 10 June 2012 June 2015 99.8

Senegal 2.2 July 2014 April 2017 40.1

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5. In all countries, except for the L2A project, the action plan of the NSDS is the basis for SRF projects.

In general, the projects place considerable emphasis on institutional strengthening, including capacity

building activities, and data development in official statistics, including sector statistics.

6. As recommended by the SRF Charter, all countries have in place a national partnership group that

meets regularly or as necessary. The presence of an in-country donor statistician in Afghanistan, DRC,

Ghana, and Nigeria has proven very effective in facilitating the dialogue between the government

authorities and the donor community and in moving forward the SRF project. The Rwandan government

did not request a statistician. Table 2 presents some distinguishing features of the SRF pilot countries and

projects.

Table 2. SRF Pilot Project: Country Circumstances and Special Features

Country Country Circumstances Special Project Features

Afghanistan Conflict and fragile political situation Twinning arrangement, focusing on training and institutional development.

DRC Conflict and fragile country Support to cartography exercise of the population census (last census in 1984). Introduction of digital technology for data collection. Formal higher education in technical field.

Ethiopia Large economy with traditionally strong government support to statistics

Focus is on modernizing the national statistical system, including strengthening staff capacity. Construction of four provincial offices.

Ghana Decentralization program, including the statistical system, underway

SRF grant coupled with an IDA credit. Institutional reform of Statistical Service with buyout program and formal higher education for staff

Lao PDR Moving from a centrally-planned to a market economy

Fills financing gap of the NSDS action plan. Twinning arrangement.

L2A Countries with recently-completed household surveys Good mobile phone network

“Innovative” approach to collect household survey data via mobile phone in Malawi, Senegal, Madagascar, and Togo.

Nigeria Federal structure with a complex statistical system

Institutional strengthening at sub-national level in 6 pilot states. Key focus on strengthening vital registration statistics. Two implementing agencies (National Bureau of Statistics and National Population Commission).

Rwanda Recipient of significant support to statistical development in recent past

SRF grant part of a basket fund with DFID and EU. Results Framework based on the monitoring and evaluation of NSDS. Emphasis on meeting statistical standards for official statistics and data development

Senegal Francophone country with an independent statistical agency

Focus on supporting data production of non-traditional statistics (construction and tourism) and high frequency employment data.

7. To foster a network of collaboration among the pilot countries, the SRF Administration Unit

organized a fifth meeting of the heads of the statistical offices of the project countries in March 2016 (as

a side meeting to the annual UN Statistical Commission meetings). This meeting focused on each country’s

issues and progress in project implementation. During the meeting, attended by DfID, the participants

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were encouraged to stay on course with the implementation of SRF activities, given that the SRF-CF Trust

Fund will close at the end of 2017. The SRF Administration Unit and DfID are considering the possibility

of extending the SRF Catalytic Fund, so as to allow countries more time to implement project activities

successfully.

Project Updates since May 2015

8. The following section highlights progress made in the pilot projects since the last report in May

2015, as well as challenges encountered during project implementation.

Afghanistan (USD 14 million)

9. The five-year SRF project, executed by the government of Afghanistan closed in February 2016,

with the intention of continuing country engagement through a Bank-executed technical assistance

program. The SRF project did not fully meet its development objectives due to slow implementation

throughout much of the project life. A variety

of events and coordination challenges, some

out of the control of the project team,

particularly afflicted the last 18 months of

project implementation. 3 The biggest

challenge was the coordination and working

relationship between the Central Statistical

Organization (CSO) and the twinning partner

(the German International Cooperation

Agency-International Services – GIZ-IS),

whose mandate began in February 2013.

Despite several efforts to find solutions to

operational bottlenecks and to improve the

cooperation between the two parties,

project implementation remained slow, with

a large number of project activities

uncompleted and less than a third of funds

disbursed. In view of this, Bank management

assessed the risks to achieving the project

development objectives too high for project

extension, and allowed the project to close as

3 The selection of the twinning partner took place two years after the project became operational. Setbacks outside the control of the project during 2013 included the death of the President General of the CSO whose personal support was central to project progress; the resignation of the Project Coordinator, leaving the post vacant until early 2014; and the resignation of the twinning partner’s Team Leader, replaced in May 2014. Moreover, the constant security risks throughout the project life had considerable impact on government operations and institutional development.

Box 1. Afghanistan: Strengthening the National Statistical System

The key development objective of the project was to strengthen statistical capacity by operationalizing the National Statistical Plan (ANSP). The main components of the SRF project in Afghanistan are:

Institutional development and capacity building (USD 5.4): Training, statistical infrastructure development, and data dissemination.

Data collection and analysis (USD 3.8): Household surveys, establishment surveys and analytical studies, and national accounts.

Administrative data systems (USD 0.9): Production of administrative data.

Information and communication technology (USD 1.7): Basic ICT infrastructure and establishment of a Statistical Data Center.

Project management (USD 2.2): Consultancy services for the Project Implementation and Coordination Team and the Monitoring and Change Management Committee.

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scheduled. A World Bank Implementation Completion Report to assess the performance of the project

will be available in the last half of 2016. Box 1 presents a brief description of project components.

Table 3: Afghanistan – Project Outputs, by Component

Component Outputs

Institutional improvement and capacity development

Improved CSO website (easier access and regular updates) in English and local languages

Web dissemination strategy

Outreach events in 7 provinces to raise awareness for statistics

2 high-level Open Data events, with representatives of government, donor community, civil society, and private sector

Digitized Human Resources database

Library for the Statistical Training Center

Undergraduate qualification program for 35 CSO staff ( including 2 women) at local private university

Technical courses on national accounts, industrial classification systems, and data analysis techniques for social statistical surveys

Training on computer skills, English language proficiency, and mathematics (64 staff)

South-South Knowledge Exchange program to Tajikistan and Bhutan

2 study tours to NSO of Malaysia and Thailand for 15 mid-level CSO staff

Training on report writing with Indian Statistical Institute

On-the-job training by experts of twinning partner on national accounts, survey design, data analysis, and data quality systems

Capacity improvement in data collection and analysis

Improved compilation methodology and data sources for GDP

Development of methodology for quarterly GDP estimates

Methodological improvements in national accounts expected to be reflected in GDP when it is rebased in the near future

Expanded coverage of price statistics to all provinces and rebasing the CPI

Implementation of a Business Establishment Survey

Administrative data systems and other statistics from line ministries

MoU with several line ministries for regular data reporting

Workshops on data collection and reporting of administrative data

Improvement of ICT infrastructure

Modernized basic ICT infrastructure in CSO (computing equipment; internet facility in CSO and 34 provincial offices; software packages for GIS and SPSS)

Statistical Data Center – technical specifications and bidding document prepared

10. The first years of project implementation saw progress in a number of areas, particularly in

building technical capacity of CSO staff, improving the quality of data collection and analysis, facilitating

data dissemination, and strengthening the dialogue between users and producers of data. Table 3

presents project outputs, mainly up to 2015. Through technical assistance and training, the experts of the

twinning partner contributed to improving data collection and methodology in national accounts,

providing technical assistance for the design of an Integrated Business Establishment Survey and

developing a preliminary data quality framework for the CSO. Around 550 participants benefitted from

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capacity building activities over the course of the project. The Business Establishment Survey in 2015,

covering 9000 establishments in urban areas, provides estimates on gross value-added and capital

formation for non-agriculture sectors, which should improve the quality of national accounts. The

establishment of a Statistical Data Center, which would modernize data collection, storage and processing

systems at the CSO and link other line ministries to the CSO, was not achieved due to insufficient time

before project completion, but technical specifications and bidding documents were prepared under the

project.

11. The second round of the User Satisfaction Survey took place in May-June 2014, following the first

round in September 2011. The results of the survey show that 62 percent of users were either satisfied or

very satisfied with official statistics. Further, 28 percent of the users indicated that statistics produced by

the CSO responded to their needs and data requirements. Unfortunately, due to a change in methodology

in the second user survey, the results of the two rounds are not comparable. A third survey, comparable

to the second survey, was conducted in September 2015, showing a user satisfaction rate of 77 percent.

12. The sustainability of project outcomes is likely to be maintained in the data collection systems,

namely in the compilation methodology and data sources of the national accounts, the expansion in

coverage of the CPI, and in business statistics. This may not be the case for other project activities, such

as improvements in the CSO website, data dissemination, and internet access for provincial statistical

offices. There is a risk that these activities will not be continued if the CSO does not receive sufficient

resources from the government’s budget.

13. Discussions are underway for a small Bank-executed Technical Assistance program to build on the

achievements made under the SRF project, planned for mid-2016, utilizing part of the unspent SRF funds

returned by the government of Afghanistan. The most likely focus of the TA project would be on national

accounts, price statistics, trade statistics, and data dissemination.

Democratic Republic of the Congo – DRC (US$ 11.8 million)

14. The SRF project became effective in January 2015. Project implementation has moved slowly,

mainly due to frequent changes in leadership at the National Statistical Institute (INS) and changing

priorities. Given the very weak organizational and technical capacity of the statistical system in DRC, the

SRF project focuses on three critical areas: institutional strengthening of the INS, data development, and

improved facilities for the statistical office, as shown in Box 2. These areas are fully in line with the NSDS,

approved by the Council of Ministers in March 2013.

15. Since June 2015, progress is visible in two components: increasing the technical capacity of the

INS and strengthening the non-technical environment. Regarding technical capacity, the formal training

program for a Technical degree in statistics started in September 2015 at ENSEA (Ecole Nationale

Superieure de Statistique et d’Economie Appliquee) in Abidjan. Twenty-three Congolese students were

selected for this two-year program. Moreover, the 2016 work program includes thematic training for

eligible INS staff in the following areas: survey data collection, survey data quality control and analysis,

national accounting tools, the elaboration of sector statistics, and poverty analysis. The training will take

place in regional statistical schools and international training programs. To strengthen the non-technical

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environment, the project hired a consultant for an institutional review and specialists in M&E,

procurement, and financial management, all of whom joined the INS in 2015. The site evaluation of INS

facilities and architectural studies on required rehabilitation are compete. The project will recruit an

international expert to assist the INS in the recruitment of the firm in charge of the supervision of the

rehabilitation works and in the oversight of the firm in charge of the works.

16. The statistical production and

dissemination component continues

to face implementation delays,

especially for the cartography of the

population census, the largest activity

of the project. This activity includes

the design of the cartography

operation and the financing of the

pilot census. Some preparatory

activities, namely the design of data

collection tools, methodology of the

cartography, and work program

planning, have begun. In addition to

government resources, the World

Bank through the SRF (USD 5.74

million) and the Statistics

Development Project (USD 14 million)

and JICA (USD 4.2 million) are

supporting the cartography exercise.

To assist in the cartography, the

project has hired two international

experts, cartographer and logistic

expert, while the hiring of a seasoned

demographer, jointly with the UNFPA,

is in progress. The project plans to

finance the salaries of the

enumerators (roughly 48% of project

funds). Given the complexity of this

operation and the vastness of the

country, the government is

considering recruiting an independent entity to pay the census enumerators – an entity with strong field

presence and experience in handling this type of payment. At present, terms of reference for the

recruitment of such an organization are being drafted.

17. In the first half of 2015, the Census Bureau hired a firm (BECECO) to recruit field staff and

technical experts for the cartography exercise across the country. BECECO supports the INS in the

recruitment of field workers and data entry operators, as well as ensuring the transparency in the

Box 2. DRC: Catalytic Project to Strengthen the National Statistical

Institute

The project development objective is to strengthen the capacity of

the National Institute of Statistics (INS) to generate and disseminate

statistical information. The main components are:

Increasing the technical capacity of the National Statistical

Institute (INS) (USD 0.86 million): Supports formal (study

abroad in degree-granting regional institutions) and on-the-

job and thematic training in statistics for NSS staff (including

survey data collection, quality control and analysis and

national accounting tools).

Strengthening the non-technical environment (USD 2.94

million): strengthens management capacity of the INS

through training in fiduciary issues and other managerial

areas for INS staff, both in Kinshasa and in the provinces. The

training would cover work planning, human resource

management, leadership, project management and fiduciary

concepts; fiduciary training will be accompanied with IT

equipment and on-site technical assistance. Finances an

architectural site evaluation to make recommendations on

rehabilitation or construction options to improve INS’

facilities, as well as the rehabilitation of selected offices

(based on availability of resources).

Statistical production and dissemination (USD7.32 million):

Supports: (i) the census mapping phase; (ii) the

improvement of national accounts by undertaking a census

of businesses and by providing assistance to analyze data and

update national accounts; and (iii) data archiving training and

tools and the development of a statistical dissemination

policy.

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recruitment process. Moreover, in 2013, the government hired a private firm, SINFIC, to work closely with

the Census Bureau in the preparation, collection and processing of census data. A fiduciary assessment

of SINFIC, undertaken in 2015, recommended that SINFIC’s contract and its specific role and

responsibilities in census activities be shared with all partners involved in the census to ensure

transparency and facilitate collaboration.

18. The significant delays faced in the implementation of the cartography exercise reflect the

shortage of adequately skilled staff for planning and managing a complex activity, as well as the lack of

financial resources for complementary tools needed to implement the cartography, mainly IT equipment

and generators. Resolving this financial issue is critical to avoid further delays in conducting the

population census. The possibility of using funds of the Project Preparation Facility from IDA’s Statistics

Development Project for this purpose is under consideration, as the IDA project was not yet operational

as of April 2016.

19. With regard to other statistical products, the project recruited a business census expert in early

2016 to support the INS in finalizing the methodology and questionnaire of the establishment census and

the follow-up annual surveys, to participate in the pilot census, and to train survey-takers. The pilot of the

establishment census is planned for June 2016. At present, the INS calculates a monthly Consumer Price

Index (CPI) for Kinshasa and the “old” provincial capitals. The project will support a study to extend the

CPI on a national basis. Terms of reference for the study are available.

20. The interaction process with the Statistics Thematic Group and donors in general has brought

awareness to both government and donors about the situation in regards to statistics and of the need to

support statistical capacity building efforts. The World Bank approved a new statistics project (USD32

million) to build on the efforts of the SRF grant. The new operation expects to support data production

(such as national accounts, agricultural census, and poverty monitoring) and data dissemination. The

Statistics Thematic Group, led by the AfDB, meets occasionally (most recent meeting in April 2016). Other

members of the Group include DFID, Belgium, the European Union, Japan, UN agencies (UNDP, UNESCO,

UNFPA, and UNICEF), and the World Bank.

Ethiopia (USD 10 million)

21. The SRF project aims at building the organizational, human, and physical capacity of the Central

Statistical Agency (CSA) in order to produce and disseminate reliable, accessible, and timely statistics. Its

key objective is to modernize the CSA’s institutional and data development capabilities and infrastructure

at headquarters and select branch offices, as well as improving data management skills of key line

ministries and agencies (MDA) in the national statistical system. Box 3 summarizes the main elements of

the project. The project became operational in June 2014.

22. Project implementation is progressing satisfactorily. With regard to the organizational

strengthening of the CSA, the new headquarters building is now operational with IT equipment and office

furniture, while procurement of IT equipment and software for the existing data center is underway.

Construction of four CSA branch offices (Ambo, Bahir Dar, Mekele, and Hawassa) began in October 2015,

with completion expected by the end of 2016. The CSA has set up a conference room in its new HQ

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building for use in day-to-day training of administrative staff on basic computer skills. This room is a

temporary measure until the training hall in CSA’s new headquarters office is equipped as a video

conference facility.

23. The project contributed to the

preparation of the NSDS2 by providing

international technical experts and supporting a

series of consultations and meetings with NSS

stakeholders and policy makers. It also facilitated

experience-sharing field visits to Rwanda,

Malawi, and Indonesia on NSDS design and

development. The NSDS2, covering the period

2015-2020, will serve as a road map for the

statistical activities underpinning the Second

Growth and Transformation Plan. It has identified

several data needs and methodological

improvements, of which the SRF project expects

to support the areas of civil registration and vital

statistics and business statistics.4 The NSDS2 is

awaiting the approval of the National Planning

Commission, expected by mid-2016. Outreach

activities to disseminate the NSDS2 to NSS

stakeholders in new branch offices is envisaged

once office construction is completed.

24. As regards data development, the

project supported data collection for the

Agriculture Survey and the Household

Consumption survey, by providing survey tools,

such as GPS-enabled data loggers, measuring

tapes, weighing scales, and solar panels for

operating survey equipment in remote locations.

The procurement of notepads and other e-survey

tools to modernize data collection and survey methodologies is underway. To strengthen business

statistics capabilities (the design and establishment of a Business Register), the CSA is in the process of

recruiting technical experts and organizing knowledge-sharing activities with Statistics Canada.

25. To strengthen statistical skills and improve data quality, the CSA has begun an in-house staff

training program, which has thus far provided 2-week training to 30 recent university graduates; basic

computer training to 70 administrative and support staff; and financial management/procurement

training to 140 staff. In addition, pilot distance training courses on survey design and methods were held

4 Other data needs identified in the NSDS2 include: a productivity index in terms of labor and capital, type of construction materials, use of soil fertilizers; commodities prices; employment of graduates.

Box 3. Ethiopia: Statistics for Results Project The main components of the SRF project in Ethiopia are:

Organizational and infrastructure capacity development in the NSS (USD4.9 million): strengthening institutional management and logistical capacity at CSA; physical infrastructure (construction and furnishing of 4 branch offices of CSA; and IT infrastructure, systems and tools for data production and management (including data center, video conferencing equipment and infrastructure, and new survey technology and institutional management tools).

Statistical data development and management (USD 1.5 million): Development of business statistics; development of mining, energy, construction and transport sector statistics; support to agriculture census 2014-15; improving coverage and quality of the annual agricultural sample survey; and planning and compilation of vital statistics.

Statistical methodology standards and data quality assurance information dissemination (USD 1.9 million): Statistical methodology, standards and data quality assurance in the NSS (including support to household survey, poverty mapping, and gender statistics); and information dissemination (including development of user satisfaction index, upgrades to CSA library and open web portal, publication of statistical reports and launch of eCSA mobile education office).

[17]

(with the help of WoredaNet5) for 225 government officials (about 20 from each region), of which 15%

were women. The NSS participants included staff from Regional State Bureaus of Finance, Health,

Agriculture, Education, and Water. Since both the participants and CSA’s internal evaluation deemed the

course successful, it will be repeated and expanded. In addition, CSA staff in new branch offices will

receive training on modern IT tools, which should serve as a model for other CSA branch offices (21 in

total). In April 2016, the head of CSA’s IT directorate visited the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) to gain

overall knowledge of the collection, analysis, and dissemination of BLS data. In view of CSA’s efforts to

modernize its IT systems, the visit placed particular emphasis on BLS’ technology for data capture for

surveys and analysis, such as the introduction of tablets and similar tools.

26. In an effort to raise statistical awareness among citizens, improve dissemination of statistical

information and train NSS stakeholders, the CSA is developing a conceptual framework for the eCSA:

Statistics-on-Wheels Initiative, under the leadership of CSA’s Public Relations and Data Dissemination

Directorate. This initiative will enable the CSA to reach out more effectively to economic entities, NSS

stakeholders, educational institutions, and citizens at the sub-national level to promote the importance

of statistics in national and regional development. The CSA plans to launch a pilot program in Addis Ababa

and its surrounding areas, targeting students, woreda associations and other informal public gatherings.

If successful, the program would be extended to two other routes throughout Ethiopia, relying on CSA’s

25 branch offices. A team is reviewing staff training needs and data dissemination requirements in light

of the NSDS2. The project will finance a bus and minivan to support this initiative, expected to be

operational by end-2016.

27. The CSA successfully completed the baseline User Satisfaction Survey, with the help of an

international consulting firm, in late 2015. The survey process took about six months and included

numerous users of official statistics and NSS members, including government, banks and financial

institutions, universities, research and consultancy firms, civil society, and media. The survey indicated

that 77% of statistical users are satisfied with official statistics.

28. The National Partnership Group (NPG), co-chaired by the government and DfID, was set up in May

2012 to provide oversight for the implementation of the SRF project. The Partnership ensures

information-sharing among NSS members and interested development.

5 The National Data Center of the Ministry of information, Communication, and Technology is responsible for the WoredaNet system in Ethiopia.

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Ghana (USD 40 million, of which USD 10 million from SRF-CF)

29. The SRF grant for Ghana of USD 10 million was approved along with an IDA credit of USD 30

million in August 2011 to support implementation of the Ghana Statistical Development Program. Due to

a 2-year delay in Parliamentary approval because of the sensitive buyout program for the staff of Ghana

Statistical Service (GSS), the two projects became operational in April 2014. To make up for this lost time,

the GSS requested an extension of both operations, which was granted in April 2016 – the new closing

date for the SRF grant is June 2017 and that of the IDA credit June 2018. Box 4 presents the components

of the SRF-funded project.

30. The SRF grant and IDA credit give

support to project activities in different

ways. The SRF focusses on equipment for

data collection, processing, and

dissemination, while IDA resources center

on the improvement of statistical

frameworks, training, and data

development and management. However,

because the two operations are

complementary, the project achievements

presented below reflect the efforts of both

operations.

31. Regarding institutional reform and

organizational changes, the new Statistics

Bill is under consideration by the Cabinet

before approval.6 A new organizational

structure of the GSS is operational: (i) 31

staff are pursuing Master’s degree courses

in priority fields, such as economics,

statistics, demography, IT; (ii) 28 staff

integrated into Local Government Service

in the Statistics Department of each

metropolitan, municipal and district

assembly; and (iii) the buyout program is

complete, with 54 staff separated from the GSS.

6 The new Statistics Bill consolidates all laws on statistics in Ghana into one that encompasses the whole NSS. It stresses the independence of the GSS and its role in the coordination of the NSS, as well as clearly defining the role of the Government Statistician and the Governing Board of the GSS. As part of the Government’s Decentralization Program and the integration of statistics into the Local Government System, the Bill includes a clear provision for the establishment of a Statistics Department in each of the District Assemblies. The Bill also highlights the need for the adherence of the 10-year periodicity for conducting censuses and ensuring available resources for its implementation.

Box 4. Ghana: Statistics Development Project The components of the SRF project in Ghana include:

Institutional reform and organizational change (USD 2.9 million): training and redeployment capacity building program; finance for retrenchment should it be necessary (possibly last year of project).

Enhancing capacity (USD 5 million): investment in physical infrastructure and equipment: improving ICT connectivity, resource and data center, management information systems (enhanced data collection tools; ICT skills training; upgrading physical infrastructure of GSS headquarters, regional offices, and statistical units in MDAs).

Data production and dissemination (USD 2 million): data development and management (e.g., the Labor Force Survey, Integrated Business Enterprise Survey and possibly an Industrial and Business Employment Survey); improving economic statistics, including national accounts, producer price index, consumer price index; and communication (creation of a dissemination and resource hub within GSS; strengthening GSS and line ministry public relations and communications functions; training on communications and dissemination of statistics; outreach programs to non-statistical stakeholders; improving official statistics website; release calendar and dissemination policy).

[19]

32. Capacity building activities are also progressing satisfactorily. Training programs have taken place

for staff of GSS in a number of areas, including networking environment software, economics and

microeconomic analysis, modelling and forecasting, the International Standard for Industrial Classification

(ISIC), Android mobile application, and Civil Registration and Vital Statistics. Table 4 shows a sample of

capacity building activities and the number of trainees carried out over the past year, while Annex 3

presents more details of training activities since project effectiveness.

Table 4: Ghana Capacity Building Activities, 2014-2016

Training Activities Date/year Number of Participants

Male Female Total

Master’s Degree programs in relevant courses: statistics, economics, demography, etc.

2014-2016 21 10 31

Data management and statistical analysis using SPSS/STATA

May-Jun 2015 (10 days)

18 2 20

Demographic analysis software programs May 2015 (2 weeks) 14 2 16

Research methodology and report writing: survey methods and data management

Jun-July 2015 (6 weeks)

10 1 11

Survey Program for Sampling Statisticians at Michigan University

Jul- Aug 2015

(2 months)

1 1 2

Fundamentals of macroeconomic analysis (Nigeria) Feb 2016 (10 days) 2 0 2

Computer-Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI) – CsPro Android for intermediate users at US Census Bureau

Jun 2015 (10 days) 2 1 3

Civil Registration: Birth and Death Registration (study tour to UK)

Oct 2015 (2 weeks) 5 1 6

33. To enhance the quality and range of existing statistics collected by the GSS and MDAs, the

project has supported the GSS and MDAs in a number of data production and dissemination activities, as

highlighted in Table 5.

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Table 5: Outputs of Data Production and Dissemination

MDA Outputs

Ministry of Education

Production of a report on the 2014/15 School Census and the publication of the School Statistical Yearbook

Ministry of Health Production of a report on the Maternal Deaths Survey, which attempts to capture community perspectives on maternal deaths and to understand and address inadequacies in the implementation of maternal health policies

GSS and Birth and Deaths Registry

Comprehensive Assessment of CRVS

Strategic Plan for CRVS improvement

Digitized a backlog of over 250,000 entries (out of over 2 million) from 2000-2012

Scaled up Community Population Registers

GSS Integrated Business Establishment Survey (IBES), including a Summary Report and a Job Creation Report

Economic Census resulting in a Business Register, useful for economic surveys

Labor Force Survey: data analysis and report preparation underway

GSS Processing and publication of monthly and annual external trade statistics

Production and dissemination of poverty profile and poverty mapping reports

GSS Post-census cartographic update and digitization of the enumeration area (EA) maps of 2010 Population Census

GSS Dissemination of 216 District Census reports

Established Resource and Data Centre responding to increased data requests from clients

Improved statistical literacy through Africa Statistics Day

GSS Media training prior to dissemination of statistical reports

34. Future SRF activities include the completion of the annual Labor Force Survey, the completion of

Integrated Business Establishment Survey (Phase II), the Living Standards Survey (round 7), rebasing of

the CPI, upgrading of staff to the Master’s Degree level, and a user satisfaction survey for early 2017.

35. The catalytic effect of the SRF/IDA project are evident in a number of ways. Development partners

are aligning with national priorities, reflected in additional resources being allocated to statistical activities

(such as USD 900,000 for the Global Fund for Malaria Survey in 2016 and 1.8 million Euros from the EU

and USD 200,000 from the UNFPA for the Maternal Health Survey expected in 2017). More development

partners are supporting statistics (such as the World Bank, DFID, DANIDA, DFATD (formerly CIDA), JICA,

KOICA, EU, and the UN system). Increased cooperation is also visible between the GSS and other MDA,

resulting in prompt response to data requests from the GSS.

36. This increased support to statistics is largely due to the growing demand for relevant and quality

data to inform decision-making at all levels of development. At the national level, the need to monitor

poverty reduction strategies, including the school feeding program, the National Health Insurance Scheme

and the livelihood empowerment against poverty, has increased requests for data by both national and

international stakeholders. In this regard, the Resource and Data Centre is responding promptly to these

requests.

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37. The government continues to support statistical activities, including partial funding of large

surveys, in collaboration with development partners.

Lao PDR (USD 8 million)

38. The key objective of the SRF project

in the Lao PDR (LAOSTAT), operational since

July 2013, is to improve the capacity of the

national statistical system to produce and

disseminate reliable and timely

macroeconomic and poverty statistics in

accordance with international standards and

in response to user needs. Box 5 presents the

main components of the project.

39. With the recruitment of a twinning

partner and project technical advisor in July

2015, project implementation has gained

momentum and sped up during the second

half of 2015.7 On the data development side,

the main outputs include the dissemination

of the population census results to the mass

media, the re-benchmarking of GDP, and the

rebasing of the CPI. With regards to

strengthening implementation capacity, the

project prepared an ICT modernization plan

and carried out a variety of capacity building

activities linked to both macroeconomic

statistics and IT skills of LSB staff at

headquarters and in the provinces, as well as

improvements in LSB’s administration (such

as the finalization of a Code of Conduct).

Study tours/exchange visits to Thailand and

Japan complemented a number of training

activities. Table 6 presents key project

achievements by component.

7 The Lao Statistical Bureau selected GOPA as twinning partner, in joint venture with ISTAT (Italian Statistical Institute) and Teched Consulting Services (German firm).

Box 5. LAO PDR: Strengthening the National Statistical

System Project (LAOSTAT)

The four-year SRF project focuses on the implementation

of the Lao Statistical Capacity Development Program and

the NSDS for 2010-2020. The main components of the

proposed project are:

Strengthening Macroeconomic and Poverty Data

Development and Management ($3.13 million).

Ensures the generation and dissemination of

macroeconomic and poverty statistics and

services which can respond to the needs of the

planning, monitoring and evaluation of national

development programs.

Improving Policies and Strengthening

Implementation Capacity ($1.16 million).

Supports activities including: i) strengthening the

institutional capacity of LBS and SMA’s Statistical

Units to implement the data development

component; and ii) enforcing policy and

regulations on statistics and eliminating

duplication of responsibilities between LSB and

SMAs.

Improving Data Sharing and Access ($2.68

million). This component, aligned to the fourth

pillar of the SDNSS, aims at ensuring appropriate

data sharing and access to information, backed by

adequate physical infrastructure and equipment.

Supporting LAOSTAT Project Management ($0.8

million). Finances goods, consultants’ services,

training and incremental operating costs including

secretarial support to the LAOSTAT Project

Steering Committee (PSC) and the Statistical

Working Group (SWG).

[22]

Table 6: Lao PDR – Key Project Outputs, March 2016

Component Key Outputs

Strengthening Macroeconomic and Poverty Data Development and Management

Rebasing the national accounts (completion of the supply and use table); and training for Vientiane province (22 participants)

New CPI weight for increased basket of 485 items (using digital tablets to collect price statistics), covering whole country.

Price data collection tested in capital. Consultation workshops on data collection and tabulation (69 participants).

Microdata documentation and dissemination (Living Conditions Survey 4-5, population census 2005)

National training on Government Financial Statistics Manual (63 participants)

Compilation of the macro framework and modeling until 2020 to prepare quarterly and annual macroeconomic updates (in collaboration with IMF)

Study tour on energy and mining statistics management in Japan (Ministry of Industry and Commerce) for 6 top management officers

Study tour on macroeconomic statistics in Thailand (National Social Economic Development Committee) – 18 participants

Knowledge exchange visit to Bank of Thailand on balance of payments, monetary statistics, and data management by Bank of Laos

Improving policies and strengthening implementation capacity

Basic statistics training for provinces and districts (44 participants)

Applied village database training for provinces and districts (70 technical staff)

Manual for collection of industry data prepared by the Ministry of Industry and Commerce. Training on processing manual (171 participants)

Study tour to Japan on data compilation and analysis for CPI, PPI, and GNI (1 participant)

Training on Computer Assisted Personal Interviewing (CAPI) in Vietnam -- using digital solution to collect CPI data (6 participants); one-week hands-on training for developing a new CPI questionnaire for tablets -- final questionnaire expected by September 2016 (6 LSB staff)

Study tour to Thailand on using IT system management to improve Balance of Payments, monetary statistics and data warehousing (4 technical staff from Bank of Laos)

Development of statistical curriculum completed and preparation of Lao Statistics Dictionary, with assistance from National University of Laos, ongoing (first draft discussed in March 2016)

First draft of long-term Human Resources Development strategy for LSB shared with LSB for comments; final draft expected in June 2016

Leadership training on Organization Development tools (100 high-level managers)

Finalization of LSB code of conduct

Study tour to Thai Statistic Centre on human resources and data management (12 middle management officers)

Improving data sharing and access

Launch of 2015 population census results to mass media (75 participants)

Training on basic data analysis (using MS Access) -- 26 participants; installation and website development

Training in graphic and publication design (10 participants)

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40. Key project activities through June 2017 include the completion of the baseline survey on

international investment position (IIP) and of the enterprise survey, the questionnaire design of the

annual household survey, and finalization of the ICT Plan and ICT training plan for the statistical system.

Core ICT activities to be addressed include internet connectivity between agencies, access to the GIS

center of the Ministry of Science and Technology for the analysis and dissemination of statistics, and

procurement of upgraded software for data analysis and data capturing. The Government is financing a

new office building for the LSB, with expected completion in the latter part of 2016. Timely completion

of the new building is critical to ensure proper installation of ICT infrastructure and the necessary training

before project closing.

41. The baseline user survey, conducted during the second half of 2014, showed that roughly 50% of

users were satisfied with official statistics. The survey covered 2500 persons, with a two-thirds response

rate, and adopted a questionnaire method, followed by face-to-face interviews.

42. The Lao Statistical Working Group (the national partnership group under the Macro Sector

Working Group), chaired by the Lao Bureau of Statistics (LBS) and co-chaired by the World Bank and

UNFPA, meets regularly. Active donors in the Working Group include the Asian Development Bank, FAO,

SDC/Switzerland, UNDP, UNFPA, UNICEF, the World Bank, and WHO. Additional donors (Australia/AID,

European Union, GIZ, and Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)) provide support to statistics and

are invited and encouraged to participate in the Group’s regular meetings. The LSB is planning a

stakeholders meeting in May 2016 to present its 5-year action plan and request donor support. At

present, Korea Stats has agreed to provide USD 4.5 million to support the LSB during 2017-2020.

43. The government continues to provide budget support to several analytical and survey activities

carried out by LSB and other line ministries. The LSB and Ministry of Planning and Investment actively

mobilized resources for the 2015 population census. Both staffing and recurrent expenditure on statistics

has increased steadily in recent years – LSB staff at headquarters increased from 60 in 2013 to 160 in

2016.

Listening to Africa (USD 1.8 million)

44. Listening to Africa (L2A) is a multi-donor initiative to collect survey data using mobile phones. The

goal is to produce high frequency statistics that will facilitate real time welfare monitoring and decision-

making. The project is piloting a new way of collecting data, which combines baseline household surveys

with mobile phone interviews, in a number countries over a period of two years. The L2A team works in

collaboration with the National Statistical Offices (NSO) in the pilot countries in order to build their

capacity to implement this new data collection approach and to ensure continuity of the survey at the

end of the pilot phase. The high frequency surveys serve as complements, not replacements, to regular

products of the NSS (census, household surveys, and administrative data). Criteria for selecting pilot

countries are: (i) a strong demand for the new approach; (ii) good mobile phone network coverage; (iii)

the presence of a recently completed household survey requiring a follow-up phone survey; and (iv)

alignment with the NSO’s ongoing work program and its capacity to take on this extra initiative.

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45. All countries use the baseline questionnaire, developed by the L2A team, even in cases where

other relevant survey exist, in order to have comparable country data. After the completion of the

baseline surveys, phone interviews of each household are done by phone on a monthly basis on a specific

topic. The phone questionnaire is country-specific and covers a wide range of topics on welfare, including

nutrition and food security, education, water, labor, and financial inclusion.

46. A call center to carry out the mobile surveys was either set up at the NSO (Malawi, Senegal, and

Togo) or contracted out to a professional call center (Madagascar). Regardless of who operates the call

center, the NSO owns and publicizes the data collected and oversees the implementation of the phone

survey. One lesson learned is that data collection and availability are more likely to follow the schedule

when the call center is outsourced rather that carried out by the NSO.

47. The SRF contribution to this initiative started in March 2013 and will conclude in June 2017. Table

7 presents the status of the L2A countries, as of April 2016. The surveys in Madagascar are now in their

second round and maintaining a response rate of over 90% even in remote areas. Survey results will

provide input for the forthcoming Country Partnership Framework with the World Bank.8. Malawi has

completed 12 rounds of phone surveys, but has faced the issue of a low response rate. To address this

issue, new phones have replaced malfunctioning ones, the call center has additional phone lines, and the

NSO team will provide tighter supervision of the interviewers. Senegal has completed three rounds of

phone surveys. This data is used by the World Bank to track poverty from 2011. Togo has completed its

surveys, with 10 rounds of phone interviews. The results were disseminated at a workshop, chaired by

the Ministry of Planning, to media representatives in February 2016. All countries are posting welfare data

on their respective NSO website.

Table 7: L2A – Survey Status by Country, as of April 2016

Country Baseline Sample

size (no.)

Baseline survey

Dates

Phone interviews

(Number)

Website

Malawi 1500 June-Aug 2014

12 http://www.nsomalawi.mw/component/content/article/2-general/217-listen-to-malawi-12ms.html

Senegal 1500 Nov 2014-Jan 2015

3 http://anads.ansd.sn/index/php/catalog/83

Madagascar 2000 Mar-Apr 2014

18 http://instat.mg/?option=com/content&view=article&id=87&itemid=145

Togo 541 Mar 2014

10 http://www.stat-togo.org/nada/index.php/catalog/19

8 The broader L2A initiative has provided technical support to the Madagascar survey since its inception. Funding for the baseline survey and first 4 rounds of mobile phone surveys came from a government agency (PGDI).

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48. To disseminate and expand the use of survey data, the project team organizes regular

dissemination events to share key findings from the surveys. Participants at these events usually include

local stakeholders, such as government departments, World Bank country teams, other international

organizations, the NSO, researchers, and journalists. Some development partners, such as UNICEF, have

expressed interest in the surveys.

49. Other project achievements are the production of a handbook on experiences learned and the

development of a L2A website, with assistance from the World Bank, to disseminate L2A materials,

including questionnaires, data, and other project documents

(http://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/listening-to-africa). An accompanying blog is found at

https://blogs.worldbank.org/africacan/measuring-the-pulse-of-africa-one-phone-call-at-a-time.

50. In addition to the baseline and mobile phone surveys, the L2A team is finalizing a Handbook

entitled “Mobile Phone Panel Surveys in Developing Countries: a practical guide for micro data collection”,

which will be available in June 2016. The Handbook, a key output of the L2A project, is a resource for

practitioners who are increasingly turning to these mobile devices for data collection. As such, it will be

disseminated widely, including electronic dissemination through approximately 30 commercial and free

channels (including Amazon, Google Books, Apple, OMBC, social reading sites, and other eBook channels).

A draft version of the Handbook was presented at the 60th International Statistical Institute (ISI) World

Statistics Congress in Rio de Janeiro in July 2015. The final book reflects feedback from this conference

and from internal and external peer reviewers. Box 6 lists the chapters of the Handbook.

51. The L2A team has also started to analyze survey data, including those related to methodology of

this data collection approach and data with a gender focus (in collaboration with the World Bank Africa

Gender team). In this regard, the World Bank published a research paper, “Socioeconomic Impact of the

Crisis in North Mali on Displaced People”, in May 2015. More publications, based on the analytical work,

are underway.

Box 6: Mobile Phone Panel Surveys in Developing Countries: A practical guide for micro

data collection

Chapter 1: Rationale for Mobile Phone Panel Surveys (MPPS) and the key issues Chapter 2: Designing a mobile phone panel survey: a concise overview of the main issues for the design of a representative mobile phone survey Chapter 3: Baseline Survey preparation and implementation: a set of questions before carrying out fieldwork of the baseline survey, and details of fieldwork involved in implementing a large scale, nationally representative MPPS baseline survey. Chapter 4: Call round preparations: decisions and necessary steps in setting up a call center for an MPPS. Chapter 5: Conducting mobile phone panel surveys: elements of a typical mobile phone survey round, highlighting those aspects that are specific to mobile phone panels Chapter 6: Data analysis and management: four important components that follow data collection: data analysis, report writing, dissemination of the results and making data available to the public Chapter 7: Budget or How Much Does it Cost: a synopsis of key budget items for an MPPS project, with examples of budgets for some of our projects.

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Rwanda (USD 10 million)

52. The project closed in June 2015, following a one-year extension in August 2013 to allow for the

completion of NSDS1 activities, assistance for the development of NSDS2, and the launching of some

NSDS2 activities, including background work for the establishment of a training center at the National

Institute of Statistics (NISR), and support for administrative statistics on a pilot basis. As confirmed by the

Project Completion Report, prepared by the World Bank in late 2015, the project successfully achieved its

objectives by advancing data development, improving data access, facilitating coordination within the

NSS, and strengthening statistical capacity. Table 8 presents these achievements by project component.

Table 8: Rwanda - Achievements, March 2012-June 2015

Project component Achievements

Data development and management

2012 Population and Housing Census: results disseminated April 2014 Pilot National Agricultural Survey: results April 2014; to be conducted annually Fourth Integrated Household Living Conditions Survey (EICV4): Oct. 2014 Fifth Demographic and Health Survey: 2014/2015 – key findings available First Integrated Business Enterprise Survey and Second Establishment census: July 2014 Consumer Price Index: published on 10th of each month Rebasing of National Accounts to 2011 base year: completed and methodology upgraded to SNA2008 standards – June 2014 Adherence to standards on data quality: (i) classification of Government data according to GFS 2001 manual: completed; (ii) Balance of Payment Manual version 6: 85% implemented; (iii) trade statistics now using SITC Strengthening of administrative statistics: NISR pilot-tested a Civil Registration and Vital Statistics system throughout the country. Analysis of results of the pilot underway; these results will serve as the basis for the national CRVS system.

Information dissemination and services to users

Annual release calendar: execution rate around 80% Deployment of pro-active data dissemination (e.g., SDMX, Rapid-SMS); Rapid-SMS allows subscribers to request any indicator through their mobile phones. Internet-based data dissemination channels (NADA, IMIS, DevInfo): up-to-date; micro data 2013 agricultural survey and 10% of 2012 population census: available by June 2015. Statistical Data Portal: data from surveys and censuses of NISR are available to the public, except for administrative data from agencies and ministries. 3 outreach workshops to promote awareness of the existence of open micro data Enhancement of use of IT survey tools, e-learning, and infographics High-level press conference for public on Africa Statistics Day (2013), hosted by Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning) User satisfaction survey: baseline (July-Sept 2012); second (Dec 2014-Mar 2015).

Coordination of National Statistical System

Completion of NSDS1 (2009-2014) Approval of NSDS2 (2014/15-2018/19) in September 2014 Statistical information dissemination policy approved and NSS information published in respective statistical yearbooks Knowledge sharing with good practice locations on organizational structure for NSS: a study trip to Mexico and one of the EU accession countries (under consideration)

Capacity development (human and physical)

Development of and training in harmonized data collection tools to local staff in 5 sectors: health, education, agriculture, population and macroeconomic/finance Capacity building plan (July 2013-June 2018) approved by Statistics Steering Committee; hands-on/on-the-job training, thematic course, profile upgrading, long-term programs. Training Center at NISR for government officials in NSS: architectural model completed; construction of Center supported by IDA’s Public Sector Governance Program-for-Results. Procurement of computers and application software to all sectors.

[27]

53. The project, pooled in the NSDS Basket Fund, with contributions from DfID and EU, supported the

implementation of the NSDS and placed strong emphasis on data development, coordination of the NSS,

and statistical capacity strengthening of the NISR and other statistical units. The results framework for the

SRF project was part of a coordinated monitoring framework for the overall NSDS and Basket Fund. The

key monitoring indicators are set out in the logical framework of the NSDS program (Annex 11).

54. To monitor the level of satisfaction of data users, the results of the 2012 user satisfaction survey,

published in February 2013 and shared with development partners and other stakeholders, indicated that

slightly over half of users were generally satisfied with the data produced by the NSS. The results of the

second user satisfaction survey, carried out from December 2014 to March 2015, indicated that 66% of

data users were satisfied with data produced by the NSS and that nearly 90% of them confirm that their

priority needs are met by official statistics. These results point to a significant increase in user satisfaction

and meeting of user needs. The survey highlighted that the use of microdata is low, suggesting that more

sensitization and coaching are needed for data users.

55. The NSDS2 (2014-2018), developed with the assistance of the SRF project, has three overarching

objectives: (i) consolidate the progress made during

NSDS1; (ii) strengthen the NSS and administrative

statistics so as to reduce gradually the dependency on

surveys; and (iii) prepare the NISR for different data

requirements, as the economy moves towards middle-

income status. To support the implementation of the

NSDS2, the NISR is receiving support from a World Bank

operation, Public Sector Governance Program-for-

Results, since December 2014. The Program, under the

leadership of the Ministry of Finance, relies on a Statistics

Basket Fund, including the World Bank and other

development partners, to cover the estimated

expenditures of the statistics component, estimated at

about US$25 million. The statistics component supports

the first four strategic objectives of the NSDS2,

enumerated in Box 7. Key data development areas

includes support for a national agricultural survey, a

business enterprise survey, release of microdata of

2013/2014 poverty survey on NADA, and open data

initiative extended to administrative data of a main line

ministry (health or, education).

56. The NISR consults with development partners and government agencies through quarterly

meetings of the Statistics Steering Committee (the national partnership group). The Committee is

proactive and engaged in the activities of the basket fund.

Box 7. Rwanda: NSDS2 Objectives

The key strategic objectives of the NSDS2 are to:

1. Strengthen the civil registration system,

administrative records, surveys and

other sources of data

2. Improve the quality and dissemination of

statistics and raise public statistical

literacy

3. Improve statistical advocacy and

integrate the use of statistics in decision-

making

4. Develop capacity within the NSS, mainly

through strengthened human resource

management and development and

improved ITC infrastructure

5. Consolidate coordination within the NSS

on statistical concepts and methods and

of statistical activities

6. Improve resource mobilization and build

strategic partnerships

[28]

Senegal (USD 2.2 million)

57. The Senegal SRF project, operational since July 2014, is progressing in its activities, despite a few

procurement delays, such as insufficient vehicles to carry out the planned surveys. Box 8 presents the

major project components.

58. Activities under the production of

statistics component are well underway, as

follows:

Development of a price index for the

production of services: the baseline survey

is almost complete (data collection for

non-respondents is ongoing). A workshop

to present the price indices is planned for

the first half of 2016. A study tour to

Statistics Canada to learn from their

experience in this area was conducted for

ANSD staff;

Development of indices of construction

costs (housing and infrastructure): the

calculation of baseline indices for the four

most common types of construction and a

note on the Indices of Construction Costs

(ICC) are available. ANSD staff received

training on the methodology of the ICC

during the latter half of 2015. The results

of the ICC were shared with the principal

actors in the construction and public works

sector during a technical workshop; a

wider dissemination workshop is planned

for the first quarter of 2016;

Quarterly employment survey: results of

the baseline annual survey were

presented at a public conference, presided

by the Ministry of Economy and Finance, in

November 2015, with the participation of

key donor, sector agencies, and other

users. The final baseline survey report is on

ANSD’s website. During 2016, activities

include collection of quarterly

employment data, in-depth studies on

Box 8. Senegal: Statistics Development Project

The Senegal project aims to improve data

production and strengthen the capacity of the

National Statistics and Demography Agency

(ANSD) through the following components:

Production of statistics ($1.1 million):

(i) develop a methodology and

establish a mechanism to produce the

Services Production Price Index on a

monthly basis (this price index tracks

price movements of supply and

demand in markets for services); (ii)

develop a methodology and establish a

mechanism to produce a monthly

Construction Price Index; (iii) develop

methodologies to establish a

permanent mechanism to measure

employment characteristics through a

quarterly employment survey; and (iv)

support the tourism ministry in the

elaboration of a Tourism Satellite

Account. To improve data access, the

project added support to the updating

of ANSD’s IT infrastructure in mid-

2015.

ENSAE-Senegal training ($0.4 million):

support the overall teaching capacity

of ENSAE by strengthening capacity of

trainers, reinforcing bilingualism

(French and English) of trainees,

facilitating the enrollment of women,

expanding the library, and providing

furniture and equipment for its new

location at ANSD.

Project coordination ($0.4 million):

develop methodologies to measure

the evolution of the demand of

statistics through an annual user

satisfaction survey.

[29]

survey results along with main stakeholders in the labor sector, and a study tour to Morocco to

gain experience on quarterly labor force surveys, especially on organization and sampling issues.

Tourism Satellite Account: The methodology for elaborating a Tourism Satellite Account to

measure the economic importance and impact of tourism on national economy relies on two

surveys (tourism demand for low and high season and tourism supply). The baseline demand

survey for the low season is complete, while that for the high season is under preparation. Results

for the demand survey (low season) and supply survey are available.

59. Regarding support to the National School of Statistics and Economic Analysis (ENSAE), the project

supported two training sessions for third-year students: (i) on international monetary economics by a

macroeconomist from AFRISTAT, and (ii) on micro modeling by a professor from ENSEA-Abidjan. To

promote women enrollment and graduation, female graduates will receive a portable computer upon

graduating from ENSAE. Other training sessions planned for 2016 include project management skills, and

macroeconomics. The project is funding a bus to transport students, computer equipment, and office

furniture. As to the expanding of the school’s library, the purchase of statistics books is underway. A

language laboratory to improve English skills of ENSEA students is planned and a consultant will be hired

to design and define its technical specifications.

60. During the latter part of 2015, the ANSD launched an online questionnaire for the baseline User

Satisfaction Survey to 782 entities (over half at the regional level), covering representatives from the

government, private sector, civil society, and academia. The response rate of 16% was very low, mainly

due to frequent difficulties with ANSD’s server and late use of paper questionnaire to follow-up with non-

respondents. The results, nevertheless, indicate that two-thirds of users were satisfied with official

statistics in terms of quality, reliability, timeliness, and relevance. A second survey, planned for April 2017,

will address the issues faced by the baseline survey with regard to collection tools and sample size.

61. The overall supervision of NSDS implementation is the responsibility of the multi-sector Technical

Committee of Statistical Programs (CTPS), with ANSD as secretariat. Government support to statistics

appears to be increasing, as reflected in its significant contribution to the 2013 population census, roughly

$27 million, representing around 98% of total costs. The project team is working to combine the second

User Satisfaction Survey and the Country Partner Reporting on Support to Statistical Development

(CRESS). The CRESS, which aims to collect information on government and donor support to statistics on

an annual basis, has not been carried out since 2011.

62. The Working Group on Statistics of the Statistical Master Plan, co-chaired by the AfDB and the

UNFPA, meets regularly. Other key development partners are the World Bank, the IMF, France, USAID,

and UN agencies (FAO, ILO, UNDP, UNFPA, and WFP). The Group acts as a forum for discussion on

statistical activities (e.g., the user satisfaction survey) and an advocacy group to raise funds for statistical

development.

[30]

III. Generic Results Framework

63. An important element of the SRF-CF is to monitor and evaluate the impact of the SRF approach

through the generic Results Framework (RF). The focus of the RF is to measure and monitor two key SRF

principles, namely support to the implementation of the NSDS and partner coordination in implementing

the NSDS. It also follows progress on the catalytic effect of SRF projects, regarding increased financial

support from government and development partners, and the level of user satisfaction with statistical

products and services. Annex 2 presents the generic RF, populated with country information, to the extent

possible.

64. Given the unique characteristics and individual plans of each project, country-specific results

frameworks are presented in Annexes 5-12. The country-specific Results Frameworks have been updated

to reflect the latest information from project supervision visits. To assess the strengths and weaknesses

of official statistics with respect to user needs, the SRF has encouraged pilot countries to conduct a user

satisfaction survey at the beginning and end of a project. The level of user satisfaction generally relates

to the availability, accuracy, timeliness, and relevance of statistics. To improve the performance of the

NSS, the surveys often identify areas requiring improvement in data quality and better response to user

needs. All pilot countries, except for DRC, have carried out a user survey – Table 9 presents a snapshot of

the key features and results of these surveys, as well as dates of second surveys.

[31]

Table 9: User Satisfaction Surveys, by Country

Country First survey Second survey Organizations Contacted

Response rate (%)

(# participants)

Comments

Date Score (%) Date Score (%)

Afghanistan May-June 2014 62 Sept 2015 77 Public institutions NGOs Higher education Int’l organizations Media Large private firms

1st: 84 (206) 2nd: 246

respondents

A user survey in 2011 showed 74% user satisfaction; but methodology was modified for next 2 surveys, so not comparable Method: electronic and paper questionnaires In 2015, data access remained an issue for large number of users

Ethiopia Mid-2015 77 Government Private sector Civil society Banks/fin. Inst. Academia/research Press/media

1st: 92 (323) Method: face-to-face interviews + follow-up at center and 4 sample regions Areas of improvement recommended by users: CSA should play coordinating role in streamlining official statistics with other producers of statistics; raise awareness of existence of micro-data; improve dissemination strategies; help line MDAs and regional states to improve quality and dissemination of their statistics

Ghana Apr 2012 82 Early 2017 Government Business sector Academia/research Civil society Media Int’l organizations

1st 93 (566) Method: face-to-face interviews Users highly satisfied with detail, relevance, frequency of publication, and style of presentation Improvements needed in these areas: timeliness of release of statistics and accessibility of reports and statistics.

Lao PDR March 2014 49 Early 2017 1177 respondents

[32]

Country First survey Second survey Organizations Contacted

Response rate (%)

(# participants)

Comments

Date Score (%) Date Score (%)

Nigeria July-Oct 2011 n/a Feb 2014 n/a Ministries Academia Private sector Media Civil society

Method: workshops at federal level and 6 pilot states

Rwanda July-Sept 2012 51 Dec 2014-Mar 2015

66 Public sector (local governments added in 2nd survey) Private sector Int’l organizations

1st: 58 (665) 2nd: 47 (1012)

Method: paper questionnaire, with follow-up interviews. Users highlighted greatest improvements since 2009 in data accessibility, methodological soundness, and frequency of publications. Highlighted that more focus is required for access and use of microdata.

Senegal Mid- 2015 67 Early 2017 Public admin. Central Bank Financial inst. Int’l agencies Civil society Private sector Press/media Universities Research

1st: 16 (key users responded)

Method: online questionnaire, follow-up with paper questionnaire; want to improve approach for next survey (with launch workshop) Areas of improvement include: employment and agriculture statistics; accessibility of economic statistics and access to their metadata; communication with users of economic statistics

[33]

IV. Financial Status of the Catalytic Fund

65. The United Kingdom (DfID) and the Netherlands have contributed to the SRF-CF. As of May 2016,

donors’ pledged contributions amounted to USD 85.8 million, of which USD 79.0 million (GBP 50 million)

from DFID and USD 6.8 million (Euro 5.25 million) from the Netherlands, were received.

66. Committed expenditures as of May 2016 for the eight SRF pilot countries and the L2A project,

including project preparation and supervision, in-country donor statisticians (the SRF-CF funded the

statisticians in Nigeria and DRC), and SRF Administration, are estimated at roughly USD 86 million.

67. Nigeria completed the SRF project in February 2014, with a 98% disbursement rate, while Rwanda

received nearly 100% of the SRF grant, as of June 2015. The Afghanistan project disbursed only about one-

third of its allocation, mainly due to a slowdown in activities of the twinning partner since December 2014.

Afghanistan will have to return an estimated unspent amount of roughly USD 500,000 to the SRF-CF main

account at the end of the project’s grace period (end-August 2016). With the recruitment of the twinning

partner, disbursements for the Lao project have accelerated and should continue to do so in the coming

year. The L2A project has disbursed over half of the grant, while the DRC has disbursed about 16 percent,

Ethiopia 33 percent, Ghana 89 percent, and Senegal 40 percent.

68. Table 10 presents a breakdown of the financial situation of the SRF as of May 2016.

Table 10: SRF–CF financial situation, May 2016

(USD million)

Pledged/Committed Received/Disbursed

Total Contributions (including investment income)

87.6

Contributions 85.8 85.8

UK/DFID 79.0 79.0

Netherlands 6.8 6.8

Investment income 1.8

Expenditures 86.5 49.9

SRF Grants 77.6 45.7

Project Preparation 0.7 0.7

Project Supervision 2.8 1.3

Donor Statisticians 1.2 0.9

SRF Administration 3.8 0.9

Administration fee 0.4 0.4

V. Summary Status of SRF Projects

Table 11 presents the key project stages and responsible staff of the nine projects, as of April 2016.

[34]

Table 11: SRF Key Project Stages and Responsible Staff, as of April 2016

Project Name SRF Amount

(US$ mill)

Bank TTL In-country statistician (Financier)

Key Project Stages

Comments

Afghanistan: Strengthening the National Statistical System Project

14 Mohammad Omar Joya

Caroline Hoy (DfID)

Allocation approval: February 18, 2010 Project Approval: Oct 2010 Effectiveness: March 2011 Closing: February 29, 2016 ICR: August 2016 (expected)

Twinning arrangement: German International Cooperation Agency – International Services (GIZ-IS) since February 2013 CLOSED

DRC: Strengthening the Statistical System Project

11.8 Franck Adoho Allocation approval: November 23, 2010 Project approval: March 2014 Effectiveness: January 2015 Closing: June 2017

Ethiopia 10 Waleed Haider Malik

Allocation approval: January 2013 Project Approval: May 2014 Effectiveness: January 2014 Closing: June 2017

Ghana: Statistical Development Project

10 Smile Kwawukume Allocation approval: February 3, 2010 Project Approval: August 2011 Effectiveness: April 2014 Closing: June 2017

Lao PDR: Strengthening the National Statistical System Project

8 Somneuk Davading Allocation approval: September 2011 Project approval: April 2013 Effectiveness: July 2013 Closing: June 2017

Twinning arrangement: GOPA since 2015

Listening to Africa: High Frequency Welfare Statistics Using Mobile Phones

1.8 Andrew Dabalen

Alvin Etang Ndip (WB)

Allocation approval: March 2013 Concept Note Approval: June 2013 Effectiveness: May 2014 Closing: June 2017

Pilot countries: Malawi, Senegal, Madagascar, and Togo (Lome)

Nigeria: Statistics Development Project

10 John Ngwafon Alain Gaugris (WB)

Allocation approval: November 23, 2010 Project Approval: May 2011 Effectiveness: June 2011 Closing: February 28, 2014 ICR: January 30, 2015

COMPLETED

Rwanda: Statistics for Results Project

10 Tom Bundervoet Allocation approval: February 18, 2010 Project Approval: December 2011 Effectiveness: June 2012 Closing: June 30, 2015 ICR: December 10, 2015

SRF grant part of Basket Fund (with DFID and EU) Government did not request statistician COMPLETED

Senegal: Statistics for Results Facility Project

2.2 Djibril Ndoye Philip English

Allocation approval: September 2011 Project approval/signing: May 2014 Effectiveness: July 2014 Closing: April 2017

[35]

ANNEX 1: Snapshot of Key Elements of SRF Projects, by Country

Afghanistan DRC Ethiopia Ghana Lao PDR Nigeria Rwanda Senegal

NSDS ANSP 2010-2014

NSDS 2013-17

NSDS1 2009/10-2013/14 NSDS2 2015-2020

GSDP 2009-2013

NSDS 2010-2020

NSDS1 2010-2014

NSDS1 2009-2014 NSDS2 2014/15-2018/19

NSDS1 2008-2013 NSDS2 2014-2019

Data development

National accounts Household surveys Social statistics Open data development initiative

Census cartography Business register Data archiving and dissemination

Business register Data for national accounts (mining, energy, construction and transport) Agriculture census Basis for vital registration systems Open data portal

Labor force survey Integrated business enterprise survey Industrial and business employment survey (maybe) National accounts PPI CPI

Macroeconomic statistics Poverty statistics

Standards and methodologies for the production of: GDP, poverty statistics, CPI, water and sanitation statistics, population census and collection of migration and vital statistics

2012 population census Pilot ag. survey DHS Business survey CPI National accounts Standards on data quality Administrative statistics Open data portal

Price index for production of services Construction cost indices Quarterly employment survey Tourism satellite account

Capacity building

University degree Professional training; technical courses; study tours; on-the job training (e.g. national accounts, survey design, data analysis)

Formal training Thematic courses On-the-job training

Training on (a) organizational change and strategic planning; (b) specialized quality assurance topics

Master’s degree program Hands-on training (e.g., economic stats, analysis and modeling Vital stats Communication & dissemination of statistics

Specific training on poverty data analysis, macro statistics, ICT

Training on survey data management, demographic techniques, compilation of sector statistics (price indices, agriculture, environment), and IT

Harmonized data collection tools in five sectors Hand-on/on-the-job training Short thematic courses Long-term program Training center for government officials

Support to ENSAE: Training of trainers French/English classes Facilitate enrollment of women Library expansion

Technical assistance

In-country statistician (DfID)

In-country statistician until April 2014 Census expert

In-country statistician until end-2013

Twinning partner (GOPA) since July 2015

In-country donor statistician until Feb 2014

[36]

Afghanistan DRC Ethiopia Ghana Lao PDR Nigeria Rwanda Senegal

Twinning partner (GIZ) since Feb 2013

National Partnership Group

Statistics Task Force

Statistics Thematic Group

National Partnership Group

M&E Sector Working Group

Statistical Working Group

Development Partners’ Statistics and M&E Group

Statistics Steering Committee/NPG

Working Group on Statistical Master Plan

Catalytic effect Japan: contribution of digital equipment for census IDA operation under preparation

IDA USD 30 million (ongoing) EU 1.8 million Euros Global Fund for Malaria Survey USD 0.9 million UNFPA USD 0.2 mill for Maternal Health Survey

Korea expressed support of USD 4.5 million to LSB

AfDB support to living conditions survey Statistical component in IDA Public Governance operation

User satisfaction survey

Sept. 2011 May-June 2014 Sept 2015

Not planned Mid-2015 April 2012 (MDTF) Early 2017 (planned)

March 2014 early 2017 (planned)

July-Oct 2011 Feb 2014

July-Sept 2012 Dec 2014-Mar 2015

Mid-2015 Early 2017 (planned)

User outreach Workshops for users of statistics

eCSA Statistics-on-Wheel Initiative: mobile education office for educational institutions and citizens to promote importance of statistics in national and regional development

Outreach program with non-statistical stakeholders

Training for journalists on use of statistics

Training of journalists; annual inter-university infographics competition

[37]

ANNEX 2: SRF – Revised Generic Results Framework, by pilot country

Narrative Indicator Country Baseline Milestone 1 Milestone 2 Target Comment

Adoption of program-based approach for supporting statistical development in grant-recipient countries

1. Existence of National Partnership Group where implementation and status of national statistical development plan status is monitored (additional information to be provided: frequency of meetings, composition and “decision-making” level of meeting participants)

Afghanistan Yes Yes Yes Yes Statistics Task Force (development partners and ISAF) meets quarterly.

DRC Yes Yes Statistics Thematic Group meets regularly.

Ethiopia Yes Yes Yes Yes National Partnership Group meets on as needed basis

Ghana Yes Yes Yes Yes M&E Sector Working Group meets monthly and includes regular updates on statistics. Steering and Technical Committee for GSDP in process of being established and will include Government, academic, civil society and DP representatives.

Lao PDR Yes Yes Yes Yes Statistical Working Group meets semi-annually.

Nigeria Yes Yes Yes Yes Monitoring and Evaluation Support Group on Statistical Development (development partners) met regularly; TORs and priority work plan were developed.

Rwanda Yes Yes Yes Yes Statistics Steering Committee/National Partnership Group meets quarterly and is engaged in activities of basket fund. It includes representatives from government, development partners and civil society.

Senegal Yes Yes Yes Yes Working Group on Statistics of the Statistical Master Plan meets regularly.

Source: Minutes of Partnership Group; progress reports; supervision reports

Increase financial resources for statistical systems

2. Trends in donor funding for statistics (yearly)

Afghanistan Continues to receive donor funding for large surveys, such as household surveys and socio-demographic surveys.

DRC

Ethiopia

Ghana Up Funding for surveys is shared with government budget

Lao PDR

Nigeria Up Up Up Up

Rwanda Up Up Up Up Continue to receive donor funding for surveys, such as DHS and living conditions surveys

Senegal

Source: NPG reports and interviews with key stakeholders

3. Proportion of budget for national statistical system (or NSO) covered by

Afghanistan Domestic resources are limited in Afghanistan. Almost all development budget and about half of recurrent budget funded by foreign grants. While government budget funds CSO recurrent expenditures, donor finance major household surveys.

[38]

Narrative Indicator Country Baseline Milestone 1 Milestone 2 Target Comment

domestic resources, yearly (%)

DRC

Ethiopia Government finances all recurrent spending and a number of routine surveys (e.g., agriculture); relies on partners for any financial gap

Ghana Government finances routine data collection activities; partly funds surveys in collaboration with development partners

Lao PDR Government continues to support several analytical and survey activities. Budget information only available for LSB.

Nigeria Very difficult to measure because the budget allocated to statistics usually different from the budget released for statistics.

Rwanda 41 26 28 Recurrent spending is funded by government; all major household surveys directly financed by donors through non-discretionary grants. Decrease in government contribution (in relative terms) reflects additional donor contribution: 2012/13 to cover population census and 2013/14 unplanned contribution from AfDB to finance living conditions survey (EICV3)

Senegal

Source: Analysis of existing documentation on support and budgets

Improved response of statistical system to national and sector needs

4. % of users satisfied with official statistics

Afghanistan 62 77 Baseline USS conducted in 2011, followed by a second survey in May 2014. Because of methodological differences between the two, the results are not directly comparable. Third survey in Sept 2015

DRC USS not envisaged

Ethiopia 77 First survey in mid-2015

Ghana 82 (2012) +20% User survey planned for early 2017

Lao PDR 49 60 USS conducted in March 2014; second survey expected in early 2017

Nigeria 15.61 20 Results of final USS not received by the Bank

Rwanda 51 66 60 USS in July/Sept 2012; second in Dec 2014-Mar 2015

Senegal 67 First user survey in mid-2015; second expected end-2016.

Source: User satisfaction survey

Improved dialogue and partnership between statistics users and producers

5. Existence of mechanism for users and producers of data (if possible,

Afghanistan No Yes Events for dialogue between users and producers of data not held on a regular basis.

DRC No Yes Ethiopia Statistical stakeholders are actively involved in specific

activities, such as the NSDS process.

Ghana

[39]

Narrative Indicator Country Baseline Milestone 1 Milestone 2 Target Comment

indicate frequency of meetings)

Lao PDR Random and

infrequent meetings

Producer-user annual conference

Functional mechanism in

place

Corresponds to indicator six of Lao’s RF

Nigeria Yes Yes Yes Yes The National Consultative Committee for Statistics (NCCS) meets twice yearly.

Rwanda Yes Yes Quarterly steering committee meetings and stakeholder dialogue

Senegal Group exists for NSDS

Source: Reports of NPG and NSO and interviews with key stakeholders

6. Number of events or programs designed to increase the capacity to analyze and use statistics

Afghanistan 1 3 Open data development events and workshops for users of statistics

DRC

Ethiopia Statistical on Wheels Initiative (e-CSA) to promote the importance of statistics at national and regional levels is underway. Proposed Data Center will increase data accessibility and potentially its use.

Ghana Media training prior to dissemination of statistical reports

Lao PDR

Nigeria Project included training for journalists.

Rwanda 6 9 15 23 Project includes training of journalists, an annual inter-university infographics competition to stimulate students’ awareness of the availability and accessibility of statistical data and promote use of data for research and policy purposes.

Senegal

Source: Reports of NPG and NSO and interviews with key stakeholders

Delivering more effective aid

7. Proportion of support to statistics by development partners that is aligned with the national priorities identified in the national statistical development plan

Afghanistan 90 90 No quantitative update is available (Feb 2015)

DRC Two partners, AfDB and Japan, have supported the NSO in line with the NSDS.

Ethiopia Supporters to statistics: DfID, Netherlands, USAID, World Bank, EU, IMF, UNFPA, UNDP, UNICEF, FAO, AfDB.

Ghana 90 90 90 Alignment to NSDS has improved and more development partners are supporting statistics: new members DANIDA, DFATD (ex-CIDA), JICA, KOICA, and EU

Lao PDR

Nigeria 90 95 100 90 Support to statistics generally aligned to development objectives, but not as well coordinated, as it should be.

Rwanda 90 95 100 95 Support to statistics is generally aligned to development objectives and is well-coordinated

[40]

Narrative Indicator Country Baseline Milestone 1 Milestone 2 Target Comment

Senegal 90 90 Support generally aligned to NSDS

Source: Survey of donor activities by Partnership Group or NSO or through bilateral meetings

Capacity (skills) building

8. Number of people trained under the SRF grant by categories (government staff vs. other data users), type of training (formal degrees, professional training, other), and in areas trained (management, ICT, statistical areas)

Afghanistan NA 99 (35) (64)

197 (35: 2 women)

(64) (33) (15) (50)

Na NB: Numbers are annually cumulative Formal University degree Professional training Technical courses Study tours to other NSOs On-the-job training by twinning partner

DRC 10 (30)

0 (0)

140 (28)

0 (0)

629 (28)

7 (28)

991 (28) 12

(25)

Technical training Of which women Graduates (formal training) Of which women (%)

Ethiopia Ongoing needs

assessment in CSA and

MDA

Recommendations of

needs assessment approved

In-house training: 30 university graduates; computer

training (70 staff);

FM/procurement (140 staff)

50% Implemented

Organizational training program (annually) in: organizational change and strategic planning; management and IT; statistical topics

Distance training on

survey design and methods

(225 staff)

70% implemented

Training in specialized quality assurance topics, including EDQAF, survey methods, poverty mapping techniques, gender analysis of household surveys

Ghana 13 36 28

274

31 5

34 20 6

Master’s Degree in statistics-related programs Technical training in basic statistics Technical training in data collection/analysis Training in ITC of statistics Study tour (UK): civil registration

Lao PDR 1075 439 42 (6 study

tours)

CB activities conducted, based on needs of government. In addition to technical courses, statistical staff went on 6 study tours: 2 to Thailand and Japan for macro/sector statistics (25 participants) and 4 for IT-related work to Thailand and Japan (17 participants)

Nigeria 350 350 1150 1150 By March 2013: over 1,150 staff from NPoPC, NBS, line ministries, and state statistical agencies

Rwanda 70 116 132 Capacity building plan for July 2013-June 2018 focuses on hands-on and on-the-job training and short thematic courses for NISR staff. Training center at NISR will provide skills

[41]

Narrative Indicator Country Baseline Milestone 1 Milestone 2 Target Comment

training on data analysis and other practical courses to government officials in the NSS.

Senegal NA 12% NA

Install lab 12%

5

15% 15%

5

30% 18%

5

English Women in ENSAE (formal training) Number of trainers trained

Source: Project supervision reports

Finance from the SRF-CF and from other development partners

9. Catalytic Fund project disbursement rates (%)

Afghanistan 17.5 (3/13) 33 100

DRC 17.7 100

Ethiopia 10.9 (4/15) 36.4 100

Ghana 20 (4/15) 100 100

Lao PDR 5 (3/14)) 40.8 100

Nigeria 20 98 100

Rwanda 56.3 99.8 100

Senegal 14.8 (4/15) 41.2 100

[42]

ANNEX 3: GHANA Capacity Building Activities, 2014-2016

No Training Activity Date of training

Place of

training

Number of Participants

Male Female Total

1 Monitoring and Evaluation in GIMPA 14 June - 6 Sept. 2014 Ghana 2 0 2

2 Monitoring and Evaluation in SETYM International, Canada 11-29 August, 2014 Canada 0 1 1

3 Macroeconomic Analysis 15-23 September, 2014 Gambia 2 0 2

4 Economics of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services 20-22 September, 2014 UK 1 0 1

5 Modelling & forecasting for Policy Analysis 6-10 October, 2014 Nigeria 2 0 2

6 Android Mobile application Development 13-17 October, 2014 Ghana 6 1 7

7 Statistics for Policymaking - Identifying Macroeconomic and Vulnerabilities 17-19 October, 2014 USA 1 0 1

8 Performance Management 29 Oct.-28 Nov. 2014 Ghana 291 133 424

9 UN Statistics Commission (46th Session) 26 Feb. -5 March, 2015 USA 1 1 2

10 Microsoft Lync, outlook and SharePoint (3 sessions) 15 March-10April,2015 Ghana 266 51 317

11 Exports and Imports Data and computation of Terms of Trade Index 29 March – 3 April, 2015 Ghana 22 5 27

12 Economic Census in the US Bureau of Census 2-16 April, 2015 USA 2 0 2

13 Basic Statistics 12-18 Apr. 2015 Ghana 34 2 36

14 Poverty Mapping 19 April-2 May, 2015 Ghana 15 6 21

15 Computer Assisted Personal Interview (CAPI) -CsPro Android for intermediate Users - in the US Census Bureau 15-26 June, 2015 USA 2 1 3

16

Master’s Degree programs in relevant courses: Statistics, Economics, Demography,

etc. 2014-2016 Ghana 21 10 31

17

Demographic analysis software (spectrum, q-five, mortpack and other demographic

spreadsheets) 10-23 May, 2015 Ghana 14 2 16

18 Basic Statistics, Econometrics and Research Methods 11-15 May, 2015 Nigeria 2 0 2

19 Data management and statistical analysis using STATA/SPSS 26 May to 6 June, 2015 Ghana 18 2 20

20

Research methodology and report writing, Data management and survey research

methods -1 June-24 July, 2015 Ghana 10 1 11

21 Survey Program for Sampling Statisticians at the Michigan University Summer Institute, USA 1 July-28 August, 2015 USA 1 1 2

22 Computer Application in Accounting, Auditing and Financial Management 6-14 July, 2015 Nigeria 1 0 1

23 Making Corporate Boards More Effective. (GSS Governing Board Members) 22-25 July, 2015 USA 4 1 5

24 Specialized Report Writing Skills and Presentation Techniques 27 July-4 August, 2015 Nigeria 0 1 1

25

SDGs side event of the UN General Assembly and forum on Global Partnership for

Sustainable Development 23-29 September, 2015 USA 1 1 2

26 Civil Registration - Birth & Death Registration (study tour) 3-17 October, 2015 UK 5 1 6

27 African Symposium on Statistical Development 19-29 November, 2015 Gabon 3 0 3

28 7th International African Population Conference

30 Nov. - 4 December,

2015

South

Africa 1 0 1

29 Trade Ministers Forum 2-4 December, 2015 Gambia 1 0 1

30 Fundamentals of Macroeconomic Analysis 7-19 February, 2016 Nigeria 2 0 2

31 UN Statistics Commission (47th Session) 3-12 March, 2016 USA 2 1 3

[43]

ANNEX 4: NIGERIA SRF Project, Outputs by Component9

Component10 NBS NPoPC Comments

1. Organizational, Institutional and Human Resource Development

1.1 Organizational and Institutional Development at NBS (US$1.41m)

- Procurement of office furniture for 6 SSAs - Consultancy for the design of State Statistical

Master Plan (SSMP) for Bauchi, Edo and Kaduna - Procurement of overhead tank for Anambra SBS - Consultancy for development of an Abridged

Version of the NSDS - Consultancy for the development of Code of

Conduct - 3 meetings of National Consultative Committee

on Statistics - Workshop on survey management for NBS staff

and 6 State Statistical Agencies - Consultancy for the review and update of the

Compendium of Statistical Terms - Consultancy in office of the Statistician General

on various areas of statistical operations

The working environment significantly improved in all participating states -- verified by the ICR mission in the field, to the extent possible. The SMPs drafted by state governments and in some cases approved. The adopted Code of Conduct serves as a guide for the SSAs/SBSs.

1.2 Human Resource Development and Management (NBS: US$0.62m; NPoPC: US$0.85m)

- Training on methodologies for surveys/census and data management (including analysis and reporting)

- Training on project management, target setting, M&E

- Training on human resources management for NBS, MDAs and 6 SSAs

- Training on project management, financial management and procurement for NBS PiU staff

- Training on leadership and management skills for MDS, SSAs, and NBS staff

- Training on management of sector statistics on

- Training in Oracle Database Management System (45 cartographers)

- Training in Demographic techniques at Obafemi Awolowo University (20 trainers)

- Training in demographic techniques & analysis (100 staff)

- Consultancy in design and analysis of complex survey data (50 staff)

- Workshop on report writing (vital registration report)

- In-house training workshop on

A vast domestic training program (more than thousand participants overall) was conducted for both federal and state institutions, with a very positive feedback from the SSAs/SBSs, requesting in some cases longer courses, repetition of basics, and inclusion of new topical training.

9 Source: Nigeria Implementation Completion and Results Report for Statistical Development Project, January 30, 2015. 10 The amount for each sub-component represents the actual amount spent for NBS and the budgeted amount for NPoPC.

[44]

Component10 NBS NPoPC Comments

SQL Database Platform - Training on management of State Statistical

Yearbook on SQL Database Platform - Training on compilation of agricultural statistics - Training on compilation of environment

statistics - Training on effective communication

design and analysis of complex sample survey data (50 staff)

- Training on project management, procurement and financial management (project team/staff)

- Training in research methodology, population dynamics, gender issues, reproductive health and population coordination (45 staff)

- Training in planning and - M&E (40 staff) - Procurement specialist to support

Project Implementation Task Team - Training consultant on project

management, procurement/FM

2. Statistical Framework and Information Technology

2.1 Roll-out of Statistical Template at SSAs (US$0.35m)

- Consultancy for development of e-template for management of statistical yearbooks

- Stakeholders Forum on the MDAs - Consultancy for design of sector statistics

strategy for 18 MDAs - Consultancy for computerization of Computer

Center in Ondo State Purchase of computer software (for all pilot states)

- Consultancy for upgrading and re-engineering of NBS website

2.2 Information Technology at NBS (US$1.24m)

- Workshop on User Satisfaction Baseline Survey at national level and in 6 states

- Training on application of Microsoft Office in statistical production

- Training of MDAs and SSAs staff on SPSS for data analysis and interpretation

- Training on computation and compilation of national accounts

The USS conducted and its results disseminated for the first time on NSS operations.

[45]

Component10 NBS NPoPC Comments

- Training on methodology for computation of price statistics and CPI

- Training of field officers (supervisors and enumerators) on the use of CAPI

- Training in E-accounting for accounting staff of NBS, MDAs and 6 SSAs

- Procurement of ICT hardware, other than computers (scanners, projectors, cameras, etc.)

- SPSS License Renewal - Consultancy for design and implementation of

NBS on-line research data portal - Consultancy for maintenance of NBS website - Consultancy on annual maintenance of research

Data Portal

2.3 Pilot Phase of Electronic Birth and Deaths Registration Centers at NPoPC (US$1.87m)

- Mobile birth and death registration centers

- Security devices for mobile registration centers

- Pilot phase networking implementation

- Motorcycles for data collection - Training on data processing - Consultant for capacity building on

writing codes for scanners - Consultant installation of mini-GIS

laboratories in 6 state offices - Consultant training on Oracle Spatial

Database Management - Consultant training on GIS using

ArcGIS 100 - Consultant training on research

methodology - Consultant training on planning,

M&E

The local staff in participating states demonstrated their performance in GIS laboratories. They stressed that the established centers also accommodate requests from non-participating states, which do not have similar facilities.

[46]

Component10 NBS NPoPC Comments

2.4 Data Development, Management and Dissemination (NBS: US$1.03m; NPoPC: US$1.53m)

- Transport for supervision of data collection (1 per State and 2 for NBS)

- Motorcycles for data collectors - Laptop computers for State Statistical Offices - Desktop computers - Printing of backlog of State Statistical Yearbooks

for 2007-2010 - Other printing (sector outputs from MDAs and

local governments) - Data dissemination tools (Robocalls, SMS) - Consultancy on harmonization of methodology

for production of NBS integrating publications - Consultancy for upgrading of NBS Library to e-

Library

- GIS equipment in 6 states - Desktop computers and other

hardware (NPoPC, 6 states (including MDAs, zonal offices and LGA offices)

- Server hardware and software for internet solutions

- Training in GIS using ArcGIS 10 and Spatial Database Management System (148 cartographers)

- Capacity building in writing CODES for scanner

- Capacity building in CSPro (15 staff) - Vital registration program review

workshop

To the extent possible, the ICR mission witnessed the procured equipment in use in the state statistical offices and NPoPC state branches.

3. Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation, and Statistical Communication (M&E)

3.1 Project Management and M&E at NBS (US$0.27m)

- Adverts in print and electronic media - Monitoring and supervision of SRF-CF project - Courtesy visit to selected states and MDAs for

sensitization on NSDS - Operating costs of Project Unit - External Auditor

3.2 Statistical Communication at NBS (US$0.3m)

- Statistical communication in 6 State Statistical Offices Consultancy on Audio Visual documentary of NSS

3.3 Project Management and M&E at NPoPC (US$0.3m)

- Operating costs and M&E

[47]

ANNEX 5: AFGHANISTAN Results Framework -- Strengthening the National Statistical System

Outcome indicators Baseline Actual Target Frequency Responsibility

World Bank Statistical Capacity Building Score 33 54 (2014) 45 Yearly WB

Number of the ANDS and MDG indicators which are supported by the CSO (and which are clearly sourced as CSO data) Note: Number of indicators in MDG 2008 report clearly sourced as CSO or NRVA

17 (7/10)

24 (2/16)

26

Yearly Survey

CSO (PICT) TBC by

Percentage of users* who say they are satisfied or very satisfied with statistical products and services of the CSO and the statistical cells of line-ministries. (*) Users include line-ministries, donors, NGOs, media, academics, private sectors. A list of selected entities will be developed during design of the User Survey

62 (6/14)

77 (12/15)

Yearly User survey to be conducted or commissioned

by the CSO

Output indicators Baseline Actual Target Frequency Responsibility

Score of capacity delivery of the CSO departments and CSO staff. (*) The specific, repeatable measure needs to be developed. It will rely on assessment of individuals skills and performance (ability to deliver)(composite index for capacity of system) as well as assessment of the ’system’ performance and sustainability (Average competency score of CSO staffs)

33 (Nov 2010)

51 (2/16)

45 Yearly CSP (technical committee)

Number of Government employees at the CSO and in Line Ministries statistical cells who have completed a qualification supported by SRF:

0 205 (2/16)

0 Yearly CSO (PICT)

Growth (quarter on quarter) in number of hits on the CSO website TBC June 2015

5% ( March 2012) CSO (IT department)

Average number of months taken for ANSP surveys* to be published** by the CSO after data collection finish. (*) Surveys included in the ANSP are: yearly NRVA, MICS 2010, HIES 201, HIES 2013; (**) preliminary or final report1

15 (7/10)

13.5 (2/16)

8 CSO (field operations

department)

Indicator of data quality: Number of data with proper metadata (of data collection and of freedom of political interference)

0 4 (2/16)

8 CSO (technical committee)

Percentage of source data for National Account that are developed. 0 Yearly CSO (NA dept.)

Number of provinces in which price data are collected and included in the national CPI estimate 6 10 Yearly Yearly CSO (NA department)

IT infrastructure coverage index (4 components: full computer number, generator, UPS, internet access; across 45 entities: 34 PSOs + 7 CSO departments) Note: full computer: computer available to all staff that require it as per ICT plan; full generator: all PSOs have functional generators

0 90% Yearly CSO (IT department)

Activity progress indicators* Baseline Midterm Target Frequency Responsibility

Progress index for component A – Institutional and Capacity Development 0

100% Quarterly CSO (PICT)

Progress index for component B - Data Collection and Analysis 0 100% Quarterly CSO (PICT)

Progress index for component C - Administrative Data Systems 0 100% Quarterly CSO (PICT)

Progress index for component D - ICT Infrastructure 0 100% Quarterly CSO (PICT)

[48]

ANNEX 6: DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO Results Framework -- Catalytic Project to Strengthen the

National Statistical Institute

Project development objective (PDO): To strengthen the capacity of INS to generate and disseminate statistical information.

PDO indicators Baseline Cumulative target values Frequency Responsibility

YR 1 YR 2 YR 3 YR 4 YR 5

National surveys using the revised master sample frame (number)

0 0 0 0 1 3 Annual INS DG’s office and Department of General Statistics (DSG)

National accounts produced annually using updated informal sector and industrial estimates

No No No No No Yes Annual INS Department for Economic Analysis (DSE)

Statistical products available on the INS web site (e.g., CPI, national accounts, survey data, methodological reports)

0 9/15

0 0 0

0 1/16

33 Quarterly Departments responsible for IT and for documentation within INS

Intermediate Results

Increasing INS technical capacity

Technical training session beneficiaries 10 140 390 629 806 991 Quarterly INS training department (CFP)

Technical training session beneficiaries, of which women (%)

30 28 28 28 28 28 Quarterly INS training department (CFP)

Graduates financed by the project (scholarship recipients) 0 0 0 0 23 12 Annual INS training department (CFP)

Graduates financed by the project, of which women 0 0 0 0 22 25 Annual INS training department (CFP)

Strengthening the non-technical environment

Unqualified annual audit reports N/A (2011)

0 0 0 0 3 Annual INS Directorate for Administration and Finance (DAF)

Annual budgeted work plan execution rate (%) 29 (2015)

n/a n/a n/a 9 1/16

45 Annual INS Director General’s office and the Directorate for Administration and Finance (DAF)

INS staff working in an improved office (%) 2.5 (2015)

0 0 0 2.5 1/16

60 Annual INS Directorate for Administration and Finance (DAF)

Statistical production and dissemination

Provisional master sample for surveys developed and available in electronic form

No No No No No 1/16

Yes Semi-annual INS Department for Social and Demographic Statistics (DSDS) and the Census Bureau (BCR)

Quality of census mapping (%) 0 0 0 0 0 100 Semi-annual Census Bureau

Availability of the final census documentation No No No No No Yes Semi-annual Census Bureau

Enterprise sample frame revised No No No No No Yes Annual INS Department for Economic Analysis (DSE)

Data sets covered by the dissemination policy (number) 0 0 0 0 0 10 Quarterly INS documentation (DDD) and IT departments (DI) with support from the Director-general’s office (policy aspects)

[49]

ANNEX 7: ETHIOPIA: Results Framework -- Statistics for Results Project

Project development objective: To enhance the capacity of CSA at the organizational, human and physical levels in order to produce and disseminate reliable, accessible and timely statistics.

PDO Level Results Indicators*

Unit of Measure Baseline Cumulative Target Values**

Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2014/15 2015/16 2017/18

Direct Project Beneficiaries (number),

of which female (%)

Direct Project Beneficiaries

Female

0

0%

Targets to be determined with CSA in the formulation of the

project work plans

0 0 Annual Project activity records and reports

CSA and key MDAs

Indicator One: Data Quality: The CSA

applies internationally-accepted statistical techniques and ICT applications in the

collection, compilation and authenticity

verification of data, and carries out key pilot MDAs and validation for data sources and statistical products.

1) Usage of recently

prepared EDQAF manual

EDQAF used

EDQAF manual adopted

MDAs to be trained on EDQAF manual

20% of key MDAs (incl.

MOFED, CSA) manual

50% of key MDAs (incl. MOFED, CSA) manual

Annual

Metadata as published on CSA

and MDAs website.

CSA and key MDAs

2) ICT data collection tools

used

0% Data collection tools for mapping tested and selected; opted to use Microsoft- and

Android-based software for data collection

Additional tools to be tested

once Data Center is developed

Mapping shifted to paperless

data collection system, using ArcGIS mobile

technology.

Expanded use. Annual CSA and MDA reports.

CSA and key MDAs.

Indicator Two: Timeliness: Timeliness

and increased frequency of

publication for key statistics in line with national standards as agreed upon by CSA

and MDAs.

Execution rate of annual statistical

release calendar activities

2014 Statistical Release calendar

57% 65% 75% Annual CSA Release Calendar.

Annual Review

Reports

Head of CSA.

Indicator Three: Data Access:

Data readily available to users through Open Data Portal and eCSA Program on Wheels.

Completeness of portal, including

NADA.

eCSA operational on

pilot basis

User-friendly website in place.

0%

IT Ministry agreed to set up Open Data Portal on CSA’s

website

Specifications for eCSA educational program bus being

reviewed.

Data Center has been set up in

new HQ building and IT

equipment being installed.

Upgrade to Open Data

NADA further expanded

eCSA fully operational

- - Head of CSA, Head of IT Department and Dissemination unit

[50]

Project development objective: To enhance the capacity of CSA at the organizational, human and physical levels in order to produce and disseminate reliable, accessible and timely statistics.

PDO Level Results Indicators*

Unit of Measure Baseline Cumulative Target Values**

Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2014/15 2015/16 2017/18

Portal on website begun

Conceptual

framework for eCSA being prepared

Intermediate Results

Intermediate Result (Component One): Organizational Strengthening and Infrastructure Development in NSS

Intermediate Result Indicator One: Full and timely implementation

of organizational training program measured by the

number of staff from CSA headquarters,

branch offices and the NSS trained annually in:

Organizational Change and Strategic Planning

Management and IT

Statistical subject matters

Number of staff from CSA

and MDAs trained

annually

To be determined based on the on-

going Needs Assessment Study in CSA and MDAs

with 50/50 emphasis on

headquarter and branch offices

Training Needs Assessment approved by the CSA/WB and

Memo of Understanding on the use of Woreda Net being

prepared after successful test of training workshop for CSA staff

in branch offices

Training needs review for MDAs being conducted, expected by

November 2015

MOU on use of Woreda Net for national training program signed by CSA and IT

Ministry. Curriculum and training module

for NSS members

finalized and submitted for

CSA final review.

50% of recommendation

s for 2015 implemented

Annual Training Needs Assessment Report

Integrated Annual

Training Plans

Progress reports

CSA Head and key MDAs

Intermediate Result Indicator Two: Number

of branch offices designed, constructed

and in use with modern tools, transport and

work methods

Number of branch offices constructed

within budget

Initial designs available

Land for construction of branch offices acquired.

Construction to begin in

December 2015

Design for 4 branch offices

completed. Construction

started in mid-October 2015.

Four new branch office buildings

operational

Bi-annual Project progress reports

CSA Head, PIU and concerned branch

office heads

[51]

Project development objective: To enhance the capacity of CSA at the organizational, human and physical levels in order to produce and disseminate reliable, accessible and timely statistics.

PDO Level Results Indicators*

Unit of Measure Baseline Cumulative Target Values**

Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2014/15 2015/16 2017/18

Intermediate Result Indicator Three: IT Data

Center and Video Conferencing Operational

Data center and video

equipment installed

Zero Temporary training room set up; video conferencing tools under

procurement

Woreda Net being used for pilot training of branch staff

Data center moved to new CSA building

Hardware and software

equipment/tools being procured

Woreda Net

being used for pilot training

Video conferencing

used for training

As required Project progress reports

CSA Head and PIU

Intermediate Result Indicator Four: Timely implementation of ICT

pilots for data collection (e.g. using

iPADs)

Extent to which ICT data

collection tools and software

used

Basic understanding of

modern data collection tools

Pilot design for GIS and Cartography completed, after

visits to Cape Verde and Indonesia.

Other Departments hiring

consultant to design surveys (basis for choice of modern data

collection tools)

GIS and Cartography

shifted to paperless data

collection system.

Other

Departments identifying

modern data collection tools.

Use of ICT enhanced

As required Project progress reports.

Knowledge sharing visit reports

CSA Head, IT Director, concerned branch

office heads and PIU

Intermediate Result Indicator One: Full and timely

implementation of surveys and statistical tasks identified in the project work plans for

FY13-17, including those related to

business statistics; mining, energy, transport and construction;

Project performance

0 TOR for expert on Business Registrar prepared;

procurement underway

Recruitment process for expert on Business Registrar

underway.

Mining, energy, transport and construction instruments

design completed

- - CSA and key MDA

[52]

Project development objective: To enhance the capacity of CSA at the organizational, human and physical levels in order to produce and disseminate reliable, accessible and timely statistics.

PDO Level Results Indicators*

Unit of Measure Baseline Cumulative Target Values**

Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2014/15 2015/16 2017/18

agriculture census support, agriculture

sample survey; and vital statistics.

Intermediate Result Indicator One: Number

of CSA and NSS staff trained in specialized

quality assurance topics including EDQAF, survey methods, poverty mapping

techniques, gender analysis of household

surveys.

Number of staff from CSA and

MDAs selected and

trained annually

To be determined based on the on-

going Needs Assessment Study in CSA and MDAs

Training on EDQAF, poverty mapping, gender analysis of

household surveys conducted.

Training needs assessment for MDAs is underway under PBS

project.

Training on survey design and statistical

systems conducted (188

govt. officials from regional

offices in Finance, Health,

Agriculture, Education and

Water)

70% of recommendations for 2015 implemented

Annual Training needs assessment and progress reports

CSA Head and NSS, MDAs

Intermediate Result Indicator Two: CSA

Training Center set up for NSS

Space for the provision of

training rehabilitated

and equipped

with audio visual

equipment

Specialized training program designed

Temporary training room set up.

Consultant hired to design specialized training program.

Design for modern training

and video conferencing

facility drafted.

Audio and visual equipment to be identified once

design is completed.

Training program

implemented regularly

Annual Progress reports CSA Head and management team,

and PIU

Intermediate Result (Component Three Sub-component 3.2): Information Dissemination and User Services

Intermediate Result Indicator One: Level of

users satisfied with statistical products and

services of the CSA

User Satisfaction

Index

Not available Consultants recruited to conduct user satisfaction survey

Final version of survey results

(77% satisfaction rate)

Improvement based on User

Satisfaction Index in 2013/14

- User Satisfaction Survey Index

NSS, DPs and other stakeholder feedback

and Focus Group Survey

Intermediate Result Indicator Two: Launch

of eCSA mobile

eCSA program

Not available Specifications of eCSA bus being reviewed

Design of eCSA bus completed;

As required User satisfaction and focus group

survey

CSA Head, management team

and PIU

[53]

Project development objective: To enhance the capacity of CSA at the organizational, human and physical levels in order to produce and disseminate reliable, accessible and timely statistics.

PDO Level Results Indicators*

Unit of Measure Baseline Cumulative Target Values**

Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2014/15 2015/16 2017/18

education unit on wheels for user

outreach

under procurement

Intermediate Result indicator Three:

Releasing major statistical publications

as per CSA release calendar

Publication of major statistical reports in

elegant format and

venues

Target to be agreed with CSA

Statistical publications only published online. Other modes,

including external publishers being discussed

Statistical publications only

published online. Other

modes, including external

publishers being discussed

As required CSA Release calendar.

CSA Head and management departments

Statistical Information and Microdata Access

Policy and Dissemination

Framework in place for CSA headquarter and

branch offices.

Data access Policy and

Dissemination Framework

Draft Data Access Policy and Dissemination Framework

approved; will be available on CSA website once ICT

department transfers to new CSA building

Data Access Policy and

Dissemination Framework

uploaded on CSA website.

Citizens Charter published in

booklets will be uploaded in new

CSA website

Final Data Access Policy

and Dissemination

Framework available and implemented

-

As required CSA Statistical Release calendar.

Annual Review

Reports

CSA Head and management departments

Data center with adequate server

capacity established in headquarters

User-friendliness

of CSA website design & storage capacity

User friendly website in place

Data center equipment under procurement (delays due to

completion of space upgrading)

CSA data center moved to new HQ building;

necessary equipment/tools being identified

70% of assessment

recommendations fully

Implemented

- - CSA Head, head of IT department, and PIU

Open Data Portal in use Data portal tool

User friendly website in place

Agreement on setting up Open Data Portal on CSA’s website.

Agreement on setting up Open Data Portal on CSA’s website.

- - - CSA Head, IT Director, other department

heads and concerned branch offices

[54]

Project development objective: To enhance the capacity of CSA at the organizational, human and physical levels in order to produce and disseminate reliable, accessible and timely statistics.

PDO Level Results Indicators*

Unit of Measure Baseline Cumulative Target Values**

Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2014/15 2015/16 2017/18

Procurement of equipment and TA being planned

Procurement of equipment and

TA being planned

Intermediate Result (Component Four): Monitoring and Evaluation

Intermediate Result Indicator One:

IDA approved Audit Report submitted six

months after the end of every FY

Quality and timeliness of annual audit

reports

Zero Audit Report, FY14/15 Audit report, FY15/16

Audit reports, FY 17/18

Annual

Finance Reports

CSA Head, Director of Finance and

Administration, and PIU

IDA approved Project M&E Report (complete

with ESMF implementation status and related DP and NSS

tasks) submitted two months after the end of

every 6 month period

Quality and timeliness of

ESMF implementation

reports

Zero ESMF Implementation Progress Report will be done once

construction starts,

Consultants to be hired to draft

first ESMF Implementation Progress Report

FY15/16

ESMF Implementation Progress Report FYs 16/17 and

17/18

Bi-annual Implementation Reports

CSA Head and PIU

CSA project coordination team and

PIU established

Quality and timeliness in

decision making and project

coordination

PIU to be set up before

implementation

Staff, except for ICT expert, hired.

ICT expert hired. Adequate number and skills of staff and control systems in

place

Continuous Progress reports CSA Head and management team

Support for NSDS2 development

Support for stakeholder

engagement and advocacy to

address funding gap

Zero Provision of technical experts and consultation support

Final NSDS2 submitted to

National Planning

Commission for approval; Council of

Ministers needs to approve

Provision of technical

experts and consultation

support

Continuous Progress reports CSA and NSS stakeholders

[55]

ANNEX 8: GHANA Revised Results Framework – Statistics Development Project

Baseline Cumulative target values Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsible for data

collection

Description (indicator

definition, etc.) Actual Target

Project Development Objective (PDO): To strengthen the National Statistical System in the production and dissemination of timely and robust statistics, relevant for evidence-based policy-making and other uses.

PDO Level Results Indicators

Relevance (%) User satisfaction with statistical products and services of the NSS (disaggregated by GSS, MDA, products)

40 (2011) 88.5 (2015) 90 Baseline, mid-term, end-of-project

User satisfaction survey

GSS USS covers internationally recognized elements of statistical quality

Overall quality Statistical Capacity overall score and Disaggregated by:

(a) Methodology (b) Source data (c) Periodicity & timeliness

59 (2012)

50 50 92

66

60 54 87

70

65 65 92

Annual WB Statistical Capacity Indicator

WB/DECDG Internationally recognized indicator

Dissemination of timely and robust statistics Number of months between end of data collection and release of main report for household surveys

Annual School Census

GLSS

Labor Force Survey

3 18 -

2 -

1 6 3

Annual Review of implementation of census and survey plan

GSS Number of months elapsed between end of data collection and release of data for LFS does not exist but introduced in year 1 of project. GLSS is not an annual survey.

Economic statistics produced in accordance with internationally recommended duration of base year (rebased within last 5 years) for CPI and for DGP

No No Yes

[56]

Baseline Cumulative target values Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsible for data

collection

Description (indicator

definition, etc.) Actual Target

INTERMEDIATE RESULTS

Intermediate Result (Component One): institutional Reform and Organizational Change

Intermediate Result Indicator One: % of staff with professional qualifications: GSS MDA statistical units at HQ

39 65

48 65

70 70

Annual Review of staffing profile in GSS and MDA statistical units

GSS and MDAs

Staff with at least Bachelor’s degree in related discipline Intermediate Result Indicator Two: number

of staff (full-time equivalent) employed by GSS

532

385

350

Intermediate Result (Component Two): Enhancing Capacity

Intermediate Result Indicator One (sub-component 2a): Persons trained

50

321

70

Annual Review of staffing profile in GSS/MDA stat units

GSS and MDAs

Intermediate Result Indicator Two (sub-component 2b): use of master sampling frame based on updated cartographic maps for household surveys

No

Yes

Yes

Annual Review of implementation of census and survey plan

GSS

Intermediate Result Indicator Three (sub-component 2c): MDA and regional statistics offices fully equipped and operational with computers, essential equipment and furniture and ICS connectivity (No.)

-

20

20

Annual Review as part of project implementation progress reports

GSS and MDAs

Basic equipment includes desk, chair, computer, access to printer photocopier, and internet connection. Refers to 10+10 regional offices

Intermediate Result (Component Three): Data Production and Dissemination

Intermediate Result Indicator One (sub-component 3a): Economic statistics produced in accordance with internationally accepted standards, including rebased within last 5 years:

Annual Review of quality of economic statistics (supported

GSS These statistics to be rebased every 5 years.

[57]

Baseline Cumulative target values Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsible for data

collection

Description (indicator

definition, etc.) Actual Target

Producer Price Index

Supply and Use Tables

No No

No No

Yes Yes

through IMF EDDI program)

Intermediate Result Indicator Two (sub-component 3b): Communications and Dissemination Policy adopted by NSS Technical Committee

No

No

Yes

Annual (until adopted)

Review of minutes of NSS technical committee meetings

GSS

[58]

ANNEX 9 : LAO PDR Results Framework -- Strengthening the National Statistical System Project (LAOSTAT)

Indicators Baseline (2012)

Cumulative Target Values Data source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data

Collection

Current Target

Project development objective (PDO): To improve the capacity of the national statistical system to produce and disseminate reliable and timely macroeconomic and poverty statistics in accordance with international standards and in response to user needs.

PDO Level Results Indicators

Indicator one: User satisfaction with macroeconomic and poverty statistical products and services of the NSS (disaggregated by LBS and SMA) improved (%)

49 3/14

78

3/17 Baseline user

survey LBS

Indicator two: Macroeconomic and poverty-related statistical capacity score improved and disaggregated:

(a) Methodology (b) Source data (c) Periodicity & timeliness (d) Survey data

50 50 74 83

60 70 90 83

65 65 85 90

WB

Indicator three: Comprehensive macroeconomic framework is developed and used by government for policy-making and planning process

None Developed Available LBS

Intermediate Results

Indicator one: Macroeconomic statistics produced in line with internationally accepted standards.

Poor Ongoing Improved Implementation

reports LBS

Indicator two: Social and demographic statistics (particularly household and poverty data , including sex-disaggregated data) are produced in line with internationally accepted standards

Poor

Survey data processes;

poverty report released faster; int’l standards

used

Improved Implementation

reports LBS/SMA

Indicator three: Internationally accepted standards, classifications and methodologies in macroeconomic and poverty-related data collection, compilation, and validation are in place.

Poor Ongoing Improved LBS

Indicator four: Interagency coordination mechanism

Unclear

Ongoing: new macro

monitoring team, Steering Committee and user-producer

forum

Functional NSDS progress

reports LBS

[59]

Indicator five: Human resource management strategy is in place and LBS and MDA staff trained and maintain their skills

No strategy

Training in place

HR strategy expected by Jun

2016

Strategy & training

program in place

Implementation reports

LBS/MDA

Indicator six: Data user-producer dialogue established and functional Random & infrequent

Annual dialogue

organized regularly

Regular Implementation

reports

LSB/Statistical Working Group

Indicator seven: Dissemination strategy is developed and implemented No policy

Expected in early 2016

Strategy in place

Implementation reports

LSB

Indicator eight: IT plan for LBS and SMA is developed and implemented

None

Draft ICT being discussed; ICT package under procurement

Plans in place & implemented

Implementation reports

LBS/SMA

Indicator nine: LSB web portal improved with increased number of data available Weak Ongoing

Portal improved

LBS

Indicator ten: IT staff trained and their skills retained Limited skills

More IT training

planned in 2016 during

implementation of ICT plans

Skills learned and applied

LBS/SMA

[60]

ANNEX 10: NIGERIA Results Framework -- Statistical Development Strategy Implementation Project

Baseline Cumulative Target Values Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection 2011 2012 2013

Project Development Objective (PDO): Initiate the implementation of the National Strategy for the Development of Statistics (NSDS) by producing reliable statistics in participating states.

PDO Level Results Indicators

Indicator One: Proportion of publications (including press releases) publically available according to release calendar by NBS/NPopC

0 40

40

53

Annual Release Calendar NBS/NPopC

Indicator Two: Number of thematic areas where internationally accepted common concepts are adopted and used by States and NBS/NPopC

0 2 2 6 Annual Implementation reports

NBS/NPopC

Indicator Three: Baseline for level of user satisfaction set and monitored

Baseline survey conducted

Baseline set 2nd survey conducted; analysis

and results compared with

baseline

Annual Baseline survey NBS

INTERMEDIATE RESULTS

Intermediate Results (Component One): Institutional and Human Resources Development

Indicator One: Proportion of professional statisticians against total workforce

8 10 10 15 Annual Staff Nominal Roll NBS/NPopC Human Resources

Indicator Two: Code of Conduct based on NBS/NPopC core values developed and disseminated

0 Code of conduct drafted

Code finalized

Code adopted Annual Implementation reports

NBS/NPopC

Indicator Three: Staff training plan developed and adopted 0 Training Plan developed

Plan finalized Plan adopted Annual Implementation reports

NBS/NPopC

Intermediate Results (Component Two): Statistical, Data Infrastructure and IT Development

Indicator One: State statistical agencies and MDAs have furnished office spaces with desks, chairs, computers by 2013

0 2 4 6 Annual State reports NBS

Indicator Two: Release calendar established and functional at NBS/NPoPC

0 Release calendar developed

Release calendar deployed

Release calendar updated

Annual NBS/NPopC website

NBS/NPopC

Indicator Three: 6 state statistical data integrated into NBS and NPopC data portals

0 Data portal developed

3 6 Annual NBS.NPopC website

NBS/NPopC

Indicator Four: Mapping of state demographic, economic and social statistics

0 1 3 6 Annual NBS/NPopC website

NBS/NPopC

Indicator Five: 6 state information available on NBS and NPoPC website

0 1 3 6 Annual NBS/NPopC website

NBS/NPopC

Indicator Six: Include 5 basic economic statistics in State Statistical Yearbook template

Current SSYB

template

Template restructured

Template finalized

Template adopted and deployed

Annual State statistical yearbooks

NBS

[61]

Baseline Cumulative Target Values Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection 2011 2012 2013

Indicator Seven: Increase in numbers registering at pilot registration centers in the 6 States

569,661 600,000 700,000 1,000,000 Annual State statistical yearbooks

NPopC

Indicator Eight: Increase in number of electronic birth/death data captured

0 0 2,000 50,000 Annual State statistical yearbooks

NPoPC

Intermediate Results (Component Three): Project Management, M&E and Statistical Communication

Indicator One: Increase in incidence of statistics quoted in media 200 300 500 1,000 Annual Quarterly reports NBS/NPopC

Indicator Two: Annual progress reports presented to Technical Committee

0 1 2 3 Annual Implementation reports

NBS/NPopC

[62]

ANNEX 11: RWANDA Results Framework -- Statistics for Results Project

Baseline Cumulative Target Values Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Project Development Objective (PDO): to improve the quality and timeliness of statistical information, as well as making it accessible to users.

PDO Level Results Indicators

Direct project beneficiaries disaggregated by gender (%)

0 Targets to be determined with NISR in the formulation of the project work plans

TBD TBD Annual Project activity records and reports

NISR and key MDAs

Indicator One: Data Quality: Adherence to standards on data quality set by NISR on agreed methods of compilation of statistics relating Government Finance Statistics (GFS), Balance of Payments, and National Accounts through adoption of International Standards for Industrial Classification (ISIC), Standards for International Trade Classification (SITC) and International Standard Classification of Occupations (ISCO)

ISIC3 used Customized ISIC4, ISCO 08 and ISCED 97 manuals drafted and disseminated Granting of survey visas conditional to usage of these manuals 100% (attained)

NISR has started using manuals. 50% (attained)

Upgraded SNA 1993 to SNA 2008; ISCO roll-out started 80% attained

Annual Metadata as published on NISR website

NISR and key MDAs

BPM version 5 Assessment of current BOP status and roadmap towards full implementation of BPM version 6 completed 100% (attained)

20% completion rate of BPM 2006 roadmap 40% (attained)

80% completion rate of BPM version 6

Annual Statistics Compendium published by NISR

NISR and National Bank of Rwanda

GFS 1986 Bridge Table from GFS 1986 to GFS 2001 produced 100% (attained)

40% government data classified according to GFS 2011 manuals 40% (attained) Rwanda Statistics Compendium published

60% 2014 GFS in progress Data quality check framework produced

Annual Statistics Compendium published by NISR

NISR and MINECOFIN

[63]

Baseline Cumulative Target Values Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

100% (attained)

Indicator Two Timeliness: timeliness and frequency of publication for key statistics in line with national standards agreed with NISR and MDAs, namely CPI, PPI, GDP, trade statistics, EICV3, DHS4, Establishment census

2011 release calendar

70% 75 %

80% All economic statistics produced and published on time; DHS4, EICV3, and 2012 population census completed on time 81%

85% All key economic statistics produced and published on time. CPI published 10th of each month. GDP data on time. EICV4 conducted as planned, etc.

Annual NISR release calendar

Head of NSDS Program Coordination Team

Indicator Three Data Access: Data readily available to users through Open Data Portal

Prototype of user-friendly website in place

Revamped website with user-friendly functionalities for greater dissemination (including storage capacity of 10GB) launched 100% (attained)

NADA initiated and access begun 100%

NADA fully operational 100%

- - Head of NSDS Program Coordination Team and head of IT Dept.

INTERMEDIATE RESULTS

Intermediate Result (Component One): Data Development and Management

Intermediate Results indicator One: Full and timely implementation of surveys/censuses identified in the NSDS work plan for FY12-14 (EICV3, DHS4 and Census of Business Establishment, Integrated Business Enterprises Survey and 2012 Population and Housing Census)

Census of business establishments completed and published

DHS4 and EICV3 completed 100% (attained)

Integrated Business Enterprises Survey completed 100% (attained)

2012 Population and Housing Census completed Estab. census started 90%

(attained)

- - NISR and key MDA

[64]

Baseline Cumulative Target Values Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Intermediate Result indicator Two: Routine data/statistics strengthened/ developed in: Local govt. Agriculture Health Education Macro-econ/fin

Situation assessment conducted

Harmonized data collection tools developed and tested through a pilot phase 100% (attained)

Harmonized data collection tools implemented for 2 out of 5 sectors; computers and application software provided to 5 sectors. 100% (attained)

Improved harmonized data collection tools used for the remaining 3 sectors 100% (attained)

- Statistics published by NISR and MDAs and placed on NISR website

NISR and key MDAs

Intermediate Result indicator Three: Economic statistics improvements (especially CPI, national accounts)

Current 2006 benchmark

- - National accounts rebased 2011 100% attained

- -- NISR and key MDAs

Intermediate Result (Component Two): Information Dissemination and Services to Users

Intermediate Result indicator One: Level of users satisfied with statistical products and services of the NISR and MDAs benefiting from the project.

Not available Baseline user satisfaction index 51.1%

Improvement based on user satisfaction index

- User satisfaction survey

NCT and independent survey group

Intermediate Result indicator Two: Bringing out major statistical publication, including basic reports of EICV3, DHS4 and Census of Business Establishment, Integrated Business Enterprises Survey and 2012 Population and Housing Census

Census of business establishments

EICV3 and DHS4 final reports 100% (attained)

Integrated Business Enterprises Survey 100% (attained)

2012 Population and Housing Census 100% (attained)

As required NISR release calendar

NISR

Intermediate Result indicator Three: Statistical Information and Micro-data Access Policy Framework in place

Draft Data Access Policy Framework available and published on NISR website 100% (attained)

Final Data Access Policy Framework available and implemented

- As required NISR release calendar Annual review reports

Head of NSDS Program Coordination Team or head of IT Department

[65]

Baseline Cumulative Target Values Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

100% (attained)

Intermediate Result indicator Four: Server capacity enhanced

Prototype of user-friendly website in place Current website storage 800 MB

Revamped website with user-friendly functionalities for greater dissemination (including storage of 10GB) launched Assessment of user-friendliness of website functionalities and adequacy of storage capacity completed. 100% (assessment completed)

50% of assessment of recommendations implemented 60% (attained)

All assessment recommendations fully implemented 100% attained

- - Head of NSDS Program Coordination Team or head of IT Department

Intermediate Result indicator Five: Open Data Portal in place

Prognoz data portal proof of concept in place

Prognoz data portal customized and adapted for NISR to be integrated with new website 100%

- Update portal with recent surveys

- - Head of NSDS Program Coordination Team or head of IT Department

Intermediate Result (Component Three): Coordination of NSS

Intermediate Result indicator One: Statistical Information Dissemination Policy developed by NISR and agreed with key stakeholders

Not available Statistical Information Dissemination Policy drafted 100% (policy drafted)

10% statistical information produced by key NSS institutions are in line with dissemination policy 10% (attained)

20% statistical information produced by key NSS institutions are in line with dissemination policy

Annual report

Statistical Information Dissemination Policy published by NISR and MDAs and posted on respective websites

Head of NSDS Program Coordination Team or head of IT Department

Intermediate Result (Component Four): Capacity Development (Human and Infrastructure)

Intermediate Result indicator One: Number of staff from NISR and MDAs trained annually in:

To be determined

Training Needs assessment

30% of recommendati

30% of recommendat

Annual Training needs

Head of NSDS Program

[66]

Baseline Cumulative Target Values Frequency Data Source/ Methodology

Responsibility for Data Collection

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

ICT Stat subjects

based on ongoing Needs Assessment Study in NISR and MDAs

recommendations approved by the SC/NPG 0% (firm that conducted the needs assessment delivered unsatisfactorily; new needs assessment carried-out in-house)

ons for 2013 implemented 0% ( capacity building plan adopted; to be implemented)

ions for 2014 implemented

assessment report Integrated annual training plans Quarterly reports

Coordination Team

Intermediate Result (Component Five): Financing and Corporate Services

Intermediate Result indicator One: Audit report acceptable to IDA, submitted six months after end of every FY

Latest audit report, 2008

Audit report, FY11/12 100% (audit report acceptable to WB)

Audit reports FY12/13

Audit report FY13/13

Annual Finance reports

NISR, Director of Finance and Administration

[67]

ANNEX 12: SENEGAL Results Framework -- Statistics for Results Project

PDO Level Results Indicators* Unit of

Measure Baseline

Cumulative Target Values** Frequency Data Source/

Methodology

Responsibility

for Data

Collection

Descrip

tion

YR 1 YR 2 YR3

Project Development Objective (PDO): To better inform public and private sector decision-makers by filling gaps in the statistical knowledge base in the areas of

employment, tourism, construction and services, as identified in the NSDS, as well as build capacity for the production and dissemination of reliable and relevant

data.

User satisfaction with project outputs:

Average % across 4 data sets

ND baseline survey

conducted

67% 80%

Annual

User

satisfaction

survey

ANSD

Share of women graduating from ENSAE

% 12% 12% 12% 15% Annual ENSAE ENSAE NA

INTERMEDIATE RESULTS

Intermediate Result (Component One): Production of Statistics

Intermediate Result (Sub-component One): Service Production Price Index

Methodology adapted Paper NA Available NA ANSD ANSD NA

Sample of providers and services

Data Base NA Available NA ANSD ANSD NA

Service Production Price Index SPPI

Index NA Test Year Final SPPI available

Annual ANSD ANSD See AFRISTAT

Intermediate Result (Sub - component Two): Construction Cost statistics

Methodology Paper NA Available NA ANSD ANSD NA

Baselines survey results Data Base NA Available NA ANSD ANSD NA

Construction Cost Index (CCI) Index NA CCI available (Pilot Year)

Final CCI available Annual ANSD ANSD See AFRISTAT

Intermediate Result (Sub-component Three): Employment and labor market conditions Statistics

Annual survey (SNES) pilot Data Base NA Conducted NA ANSD ANSD NA

SNES Pilot Survey data Data Base NA Available Pilot ANSD ANSD NA

Data on employment Data Base & Index

NA Bi-monthly data available (Pilot)

Quarterly data available

Quarterly ANSD ANSD NA

[68]

PDO Level Results Indicators* Unit of

Measure Baseline

Cumulative Target Values** Frequency Data Source/

Methodology

Responsibility

for Data

Collection

Descrip

tion

YR 1 YR 2 YR3

Intermediate Result (Sub-component Four): Tourism Satellite Account

Tourism Satellite Account Data base NA Draft version TSA available TSA included in National Accounts

Annual Ministry of Tourism and Air Transport

Ministry of Tourism and Air Transport

NA

Intermediate Result (Component Two): ENSAE–Senegal & Training

Students fluent in English (Level 3)

NA NA Laboratory installed

15% 30% Annual ENSAE ENSAE NA

Number of women statisticians enrolled in ENSAE

Number 12% 12% 15% 18% Annual ENSAE ENSAE NA

Number of trainers trained Number NA 5 5 5 Annual ENSAE ENSAE NA