State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew...

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State of the Industry August 23, 2017 Seattle, WA

Transcript of State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew...

Page 1: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

State of the Industry

August 23, 2017

Seattle, WA

Page 2: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew

Source: The NPD Group

$0$20,000,000$40,000,000$60,000,000$80,000,000

Cold Weather Underg.Athletic SetsTights/Sheer HosierySpecial InfantswearChildren/Infant SetsApparel AccessoriesSwimwearUnderwearSocks/HosierySleepwearTailored ClothingIntimatesOuterwearDressesSweats/Active BottomsBottomsTops

DOLLAR VOLUME (000)

-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

DOLLAR VOLUME CHANGE (2015 v. 2016)

Page 3: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Channel Share is Shifting to Mass, Off Price, Online.

Source: The NPD Group

$0$30,000,000$60,000,000$90,000,000$120,000,000$150,000,000

National Chains

Department Stores

Mass Merchants

All Others

DOLLAR VOLUME (000)

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10%

DOLLAR VOLUME CHANGE (2014 v. 2015)

Page 4: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Channel Share is Shifting to Mass, Off Price, Online

Source: The NPD Group

$0$30,000,000$60,000,000$90,000,000$120,000,000$150,000,000

National Chains

Department Stores

Mass Merchants

All Others

DOLLAR VOLUME (000)

-10% -5% 0% 5% 10%

DOLLAR VOLUME CHANGE (2015 v. 2016)

Page 5: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

-

2,000,000,000

4,000,000,000

6,000,000,000

8,000,000,000

10,000,000,000

12,000,000,000

China SME _ASEAN SME _CAFTA-DR SME _NAFTA SME _SUB-SAHARA SME

U.S. Apparel Imports (SME)

NAFTACAFTA-DR & Quota Ends

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

Page 6: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

U.S. Apparel Imports (SME) Top 10 Suppliers

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

China50%

Vietnam9%

Bangladesh8%

Indonesia6%

Honduras6%

India5%

Cambodia4%

Mexico5%

El Salvador4%

Pakistan3%

2010

China49%

Vietnam15%

Bangladesh8%

Indonesia5%

Honduras5%

India4%

Cambodia4%

Mexico4%

El Salvador4%

Pakistan2%

2016

Page 7: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

Total Apparel Imports (SME)

41.45%

12.62%

6.92%

4.70%

4.02%

3.88%

3.32%

3.23%

3.04%

2.01%

1.35%

1.07%

0.23%

0.11%

0.01%

0%10%20%30%40%50%

China

Vietnam

Bangladesh

Indonesia

Honduras

India

Cambodia

Mexico

El Salvador

Nicaragua

Guatemala

Dominican Republic

Peru

Colombia

Brazil

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017

-4.40%

3.99%

-2.57%

-2.45%

-2.03%

0.55%

-16.34%

-3.19%

-0.70%

9.33%

2.28%

2.51%

8.25%

-13.04%

-12.51%

-20% -10% 0% 10% 20%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 8: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

M/B Knit Shirts, Cotton

14.91%

9.54%

8.83%

8.40%

8.38%

8.13%

7.89%

6.27%

5.61%

5.29%

4.62%

2.85%

1.03%

0.01%

0%5%10%15%20%

Honduras

China

Haiti

Nicaragua

El Salvador

Vietnam

India

Mexico

Bangladesh

Pakistan

Dominican Republic

Guatemala

Peru

Colombia

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017

0.95%

-2.87%

-13.76%

-3.06%

7.56%

-0.97%

1.58%

-11.77%

-10.98%

-2.30%

-4.45%

-12.40%

-3.60%

73.08%

-20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 9: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

W/G Knit Shirts, Cotton

20.24%

18.41%

9.45%

8.13%

7.91%

7.85%

5.66%

4.60%

3.99%

2.61%

1.70%

1.54%

1.18%

0.97%

0.48%

0.03%

0%5%10%15%20%25%

ChinaVietnamNicaraguaHondurasIndonesiaGuatemalaCambodiaBangladeshIndiaEl SalvadorPakistanMexicoHaitiPeruDominican RepublicColombia

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017

-13.46%

-12.07%

7.96%

0.12%

-14.83%

-14.00%

-22.08%

-7.43%

-1.43%

-14.03%

3.38%

-7.14%

-22.19%

-7.37%

-3.84%

-1.81%

-30% -20% -10% 0% 10%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 10: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

M/B Cotton Shirts, Not Knit31.62%

21.22%

10.76%

9.08%

8.96%

3.23%

2.53%

2.18%

1.63%

1.51%

1.01%

0.79%

0.30%

0.22%

0.05%

0.01%

0.01%

0%10%20%30%40%

BangladeshChinaVietnamIndonesiaIndiaSri LankaMauritiusEl SalvadorNicaraguaMalaysiaMexicoHondurasDominican RepublicHaitiPeruGuatemalaColombia

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017-3.08%

-8.60%

3.06%

-4.02%

9.79%

3.25%

-20.48%

13.02%

2.99%

-21.64%

-15.77%

-14.88%

4.02%

-0.89%

-18.41%

-9.59%

-27.80%

-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 11: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

W/G Cotton Shirts, Not Knit33.85%

22.07%

11.12%

9.81%

8.98%

2.34%

1.86%

1.78%

1.54%

1.37%

0.69%

0.40%

0.24%

0.23%

0.22%

0.21%

0.08%

0.07%

0.04%

0%10%20%30%40%

ChinaIndiaBangladeshVietnamIndonesiaSri LankaPakistanCambodiaThailandMexicoHondurasHaitiNicaraguaDominican RepublicKorea, SouthEl SalvadorPeruGuatemalaColombia

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 20173.62%

-6.96%

15.81%

-12.59%

-8.44%

1.63%

11.85%

-16.08%

-11.29%

21.91%

8.72%

14.25%

19.32%

-34.22%

1029.64%

-5.70%

5.55%

-40.33%

104.88%

-100% 200% 500% 800% 1100%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 12: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

M/B Cotton Trousers/Breeches/Shorts

29.96%19.65%

13.70%

7.90%

3.62%

3.14%

2.97%

2.75%

2.70%

2.11%

1.00%

0.74%

0.31%

0.26%

0.21%

0.07%

0%10%20%30%

BangladeshChinaMexicoVietnamPakistanIndonesiaNicaraguaCambodiaHondurasIndiaEl SalvadorHaitiColombiaDominican RepublicGuatemalaPeru

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 20171.75%

-5.50%

-4.63%

16.18%

-9.82%

-6.25%

1.47%

-11.98%

3.12%

-2.37%

-4.07%

-5.34%

-25.60%

-31.34%

-49.32%

-23.71%

-50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 13: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

W/G Cotton Trousers/Slacks/Shorts36.42%

16.70%

11.25%

10.18%

3.69%

2.59%

2.12%

2.02%

1.85%

1.82%

1.52%

1.33%

1.24%

0.87%

0.70%

0.12%

0.11%

0%10%20%30%40%

ChinaVietnamBangladeshIndonesiaCambodiaPakistanSri LankaIndiaJordanNicaraguaHaitiMexicoEl SalvadorGuatemalaHondurasPeruColombia

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017

-7.33%

3.42%

8.29%

2.51%

-18.37%

-0.97%

-13.06%

-3.77%

-6.18%

-20.92%

27.86%

-7.86%

64.11%

-27.13%

-30.39%

-24.56%

-12.53%

-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 14: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

Cotton Underwear

18.28%

13.48%

12.23%

10.09%

8.10%

7.39%

7.21%

6.68%

4.62%

2.98%

2.80%

1.28%

0.81%

0.14%

0.01%

0.01%

0%5%10%15%20%

VietnamEl SalvadorBangladeshHondurasIndiaChinaThailandDominican RepublicSri LankaPhilippinesHaitiMexicoNicaraguaGuatemalaPeruColombia

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017

-12.02%

1.15%

-7.15%

4.34%

-7.58%

-14.52%

2.63%

16.58%

-15.43%

-5.43%

-24.64%

-0.69%

23.54%

-71.82%

-7.86%

-48.68%

-80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 15: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

M/B MMF Knit Shirts

18.49%

13.16%

11.46%

9.95%

8.44%

8.00%

4.22%

3.62%

3.47%

2.73%

1.29%

0.53%

0.19%

0%5%10%15%20%

Honduras

Nicaragua

China

El Salvador

Vietnam

Mexico

Jordan

Guatemala

Haiti

Indonesia

Dominican Republic

Peru

Colombia

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017

2.12%

30.92%

-8.18%

9.70%

-5.25%

-4.25%

7.74%

18.98%

42.00%

0.51%

6.56%

49.87%

-16.73%

-20% 0% 20% 40% 60%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 16: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

W/G MMF Knit Shirts/Blouses34.68%

19.93%

6.98%

5.04%

4.93%

4.47%

3.12%

3.09%

2.65%

2.27%

1.69%

0.62%

0.40%

0.23%

0.01%

0%10%20%30%40%

China

Vietnam

Indonesia

Mexico

Guatemala

Cambodia

El Salvador

Honduras

Nicaragua

Jordan

Haiti

Peru

Dominican Republic

Colombia

Brazil

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017

1.91%

16.84%

-3.06%

8.57%

24.92%

-8.67%

30.18%

49.43%

21.62%

6.25%

76.43%

27.50%

87.75%

6.35%

55.42%

-20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 17: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

M/B Not-Knit MMF Shirts

17.29%

17.18%

12.69%

11.48%

11.22%

8.01%

4.02%

3.57%

2.88%

1.93%

1.26%

0.23%

0.12%

0.01%

0%5%10%15%20%

Honduras

China

Bangladesh

Mexico

Vietnam

Indonesia

Haiti

Egypt

Dominican Republic

Nicaragua

El Salvador

Guatemala

Colombia

Peru

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017

3.69%

-9.61%

-5.29%

6.65%

0.62%

16.15%

0.64%

9.85%

-22.47%

-12.63%

0.86%

45.03%

28.07%

-39.19%

-40% -20% 0% 20% 40%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 18: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

W/G Not-Knit MMF Shirts/Blouses43.25%

17.01%

15.34%

11.61%

2.89%

1.86%

1.38%

0.87%

0.74%

0.74%

0.58%

0.41%

0.25%

0.24%

0.07%

0.04%

0.01%

0%10%20%30%40%50%

ChinaVietnamIndonesiaIndiaBangladeshPhilippinesMexicoCambodiaHaitiEgyptGuatemalaHondurasDominican RepublicEl SalvadorNicaraguaColombiaBrazil

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017-1.12%

4.19%

0.79%

3.27%

108.22%

-16.48%

9.83%

-3.35%

-6.55%

-17.08%

4.08%

-27.95%

-28.46%

-0.30%

-35.57%

-13.55%

9.48%

-40% 0% 40% 80% 120%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 19: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

M/B MMF Trousers/Breeches/Shorts20.42%

19.65%

12.66%

5.97%

5.48%

5.45%

3.93%

3.75%

3.26%

3.04%

3.02%

2.77%

2.02%

1.06%

0.70%

0.08%

0.03%

0.01%

0%5%10%15%20%25%

VietnamChinaBangladeshIndonesiaMexicoEgyptHondurasThailandEl SalvadorCambodiaJordanNicaraguaHaitiDominican RepublicGuatemalaColombiaPeruCosta Rica

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 2017

-1.55%

-20.04%

-16.32%

-6.09%

2.48%

-15.29%

-15.76%

-18.09%

-1.53%

-29.09%

4.15%

13.80%

31.29%

-4.28%

46.48%

29.22%

-24.96%

9.38%

-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 20: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Source: Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA)

W/G MMF Slacks/Breeches/Shorts29.72%

26.21%

8.19%

4.49%

3.54%

3.39%

2.86%

2.76%

1.97%

1.92%

1.50%

1.36%

1.36%

0.36%

0.32%

0.16%

0.02%

0.02%

0%10%20%30%

ChinaVietnamIndonesiaGuatemalaCambodiaJordanBangladeshEl SalvadorLesothoEgyptHondurasMexicoHaitiDominican RepublicNicaraguaColombiaBrazilPeru

PERCENT SHARE YE FEB 20174.44%

19.83%

9.51%

3.20%

-19.65%

7.17%

7.03%

-5.48%

-1.23%

-27.02%

-29.16%

-25.46%

12.82%

-37.39%

-29.03%

69.27%

-18.24%

-29.06%

-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

PERCENT CHANGE V. YE FEB 2016

Page 21: State of the Industry - aapn.memberclicks.net · Total apparel +2.7% in 2016: most categories grew Source: The NPD Group $80,000,000 $60,000,000 $40,000,000 $20,000,000 $0 Cold Weather

Thank You!

• Sources:• The NPD Group, www.NPD.com

• OTEXA, Office of Textiles and Apparel, http://otexa.trade.gov