An overview of key demographic, economic

and social trends in Stratford-on-Avon District

November 2012

Spencer PayneWarwickshire Observatory

Simon PurfieldStratford-on-Avon District Council

Demographics

• 15% aged 70+

• 18,000 in 2010

• 37,000 by 2035

• More aged 70+ now than aged 20 - 34

Link to data

Warks Avg.

Economic Dependency

• Who will generate wealth in the future?

– In 2010, there were 0.64 dependents (children and older people) for every person of working age in Stratford-on-Avon

– By 2035, the figure will be around 0.92

– The national figure will be 0.69

0.29 children + 0.35 older people

0.31 children + 0.61 older people

0.30 children + 0.39 older people

Job Availability

• Can vacancies be filled?

Occupation Vacancies % Jobseekers %

Managers and Senior Officials 25 1.3 70 7.4

Professional Occupations 25 1.3 35 3.7

Associate Prof. & Technical Occupations 81 4.1 70 7.4

Administrative & Secretarial Occupations 95 4.8 110 11.6

Skilled Trades Occupations 113 5.8 80 8.4

Personal Service Occupations 1,013 51.6 55 5.8

Sales and Customer Service occupations 177 9.0 300 31.6

Process, Plant and Machine Operatives 150 7.6 60 6.3

Elementary Occupations 283 14.4 150 17.9

Housing Affordability

• Can people on low incomes afford to live in Stratford-on-Avon?

Lowest quartile house prices Lowest quartile annual incomes

Stratford-on-Avon in context…

• Will face a challenge competing for resources

Inequalities

Indicator Alcester North/Conway

Harbury

Population 1,420 1,500

Unemployed 35 < 10

Benefit Claimants 100 25

NEET 4 1

At risk of falling into poverty 29% < 5%

Pension Credit Claimant Rate 29% 6%

Anti-social Behaviour Rate 46 per 1,000 pop. 7 per 1,000 pop.

Good GCSEs 70% 100%

Child Poverty Rate 20% 3%

• One district, many different experiences…

Access to Services

Barriers to Housing and Services

(Measures the physical proximity of local services, e.g. distance to GP surgery, supermarket, primary school, Post Office and issues relating to access to housing such as affordability)

Ranked within the top 10% of most deprived areas nationally

195th – Ladbroke & Priors276th – Long Compton836th – Welford900th – Burton Dassett1,434th – Brailes1,874th – Bardon1,894th – Tanworth2,033rd – Claverdon2,051st – Ettington2,220th – Aston Cantlow

Fuel Poverty

LA Name All Households No. of Fuel Poor

Households % of Fuel Poor

Households

North Warwickshire 25,813 5,074 19.7%

Nuneaton and Bedworth 51,961 10,124 19.5%

Rugby 40,714 8,043 19.8%

Stratford-on-Avon 50,714 9,918 19.6%

Warwick 58,464 9,898 16.9%

Warwickshire 227,666 43,057 18.9%

West Midlands 2,245,848 484,870 21.6%

No longer at the bottom of the table …

31% of residents struggle to pay fuel bills, up from 21% in 2010

24% claim the proportion of income & benefits used to pay fuel bills is between 11% and 20%, 17% say over 21%

State of the District Debate

Feedback from State of the District Debate 2012

Major issues• More affordable housing• Level of frequency of public transport• Access to services

Other issues raised• Planning enforcement, wind farms, parking in

Stratford town, grass cutting, street lighting, fuel poverty, flooding, provision of health services

Young People’s ViewsKey Points from SDC Young Peoples

“Have Your Say” Survey 2012 (1)

• In ideal world want a low level of crime (45%), a good health service (43%), good shopping (38%), somewhere to enjoy sports & leisure (38%), activities designed for their age group (38%)

• More satisfied with sports and leisure than adults, but less with parks and open spaces

• More likely to say that anti-social behaviour is a problem than adults

• Feel more unsafe after dark than adults – people taking drugs, not knowing what to expect and people hanging around on streets

Young Peoples ViewsKey Points from SDC Young Peoples

“Have Your Say” Survey 2012 (2)

• 64% have had an alcoholic drink, of whom 40% claim to have been drunk in last 4 weeks

• 12% claim to have taken drugs

• Do not feel have much influence over decisions

• Would like to know more on how tackling anti-social behaviour

• Increasingly feel that people from different backgrounds get on well together

• OVERALL want better job opportunities (62%), better public transport (47%) and more youth facilities (41%)

What’s Next…

Coming Up Soon - we will be rich with new data!

From December 11th more data from the 2011 Census

Autumn 2012 Stratford DC Residents’ Survey

Further information

• Blog: http://warksobservatory.wordpress.com/ • Website: http://www.warwickshireobservatory.org/• Quality of Life in Warwickshire 2012/13:

http://bit.ly/QualityofLifeinWarwickshire• Email: research@warwickshire.gov.uk• Phone: 01926 418066

• Stratford DC Consultation & Customer Insight Unit• Phone: 01789 260118