State of Mobile EU5 Webinar June2010
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Transcript of State of Mobile EU5 Webinar June2010
EU5 Mobile Media Landscape and Trends
The State of Mobile
Alistair Hill, Sr. Analyst
June 10, 2010
2© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Agenda
comScore Mobile Data
Mobile Media Trends
Shifting Mobile Media Landscape
Smartphones
Summing Up
3© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
comScore Mobile Data
4© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Ad Metrix Mobile
Plan Metrix MobileMobile Ad Tracking
and Planning Tools
Mobile MetrixSmartphone Meter Panel
Network CensusCarrier Log Analysis
GSMA MMM
MobiLensMarket Tracking via
Intelligent Online Survey
Site + App CensusMobile Web, App
AdNet Tagging
comScore Mobile Data
Complexity and fragmentation of mobile market requires an array of data sources
and methodologies for a 360° view
5© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
MobiLens’ comprehensive suite of measures
Demographics
Age, Gender, Income, Education,
Employment, Household Composition, more
Subscription and Operator Information
Current and Previous Operator, Length of
Ownership, Length of Subscription, Monthly
Plan, Bill Size, Data Plan Status,
Satisfaction, more
Messaging
Chat, Personal Email, Work Email, Instant
Messaging, Photo Messaging, more
Games
Played Games, Type of Games Played,
Number Downloaded, Number Purchased,
Subgenres, Method of Discovery, Method of
Purchase, more
Personalization
Changed or Made Own Ringtones/Graphics,
Purchased Ringtones/Graphics, Quantity,
Ringback Subscriptions, more
Music & Video
Sideloaded Music, Downloaded Music from
Operator, Source of Downloaded Music,
Watched Broadcast TV, Watched On-
Demand Video
Social Media + UCG
Accessed Social Network, Sent Photos to
Phone, Sent Photos to Website, Captured
Video, Sent Video to Phone, more
Content Access Methods
Category, Sub-category and Brand Access
via Mobile Browser, Downloaded
Application, or SMS
MobiLens Database
6© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Mobile Media Trends
7© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Desktop
Mobile
Mobile On Track to Eclipse the Desktop
Source: Morgan Stanley Research
Number of Global Users (Millions)
8© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
34% of Mobile Phone Owners Browse the Mobile Internet, Use
Applications or Download Content (Mobile Media Users)
The number of people who are just using voice has declined 15% year on year
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 69,031
Mobile Media = Connected Media (except SMS only) in MobiLens
28%34%
55%53%
17% 14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Q1 2009 Q1 2010
% M
ark
et
Mobile Segments Q1 09 vs Q1 10
Mobile Media SMS (and not Mobile Media) Just Voice
9© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Growth of the Key Market Enablers Continues
Two of the market enablers (smartphones and 3G devices) are now firmly entrenched in the market.
The most important enabler, unlimited data plans, still has limited penetration in EU5 (6%) however did
grow 71.8% year on year.
In comparison 24% of US mobile users subscribe to unlimited data plans.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 69,031
4%6%
34%
44%
18%
24%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10
% M
ark
et
Growth of Market Enablers
Unlimited Data Plan Subscribers 3G Device Owners Smartphone Owners
10© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Browser
Used App
Mobile Media
Purchased Game
Purchased Ringtone
Made Own Ringtone
Unlimited Data Plan
Listened to Music
Played GamesRingback
Social Networking
30
35
40
45
50
55
28.0 29.0 30.0 31.0 32.0 33.0 34.0 35.0
% F
em
ale
Median Age
Demographics of Mobile Media Activities
The Average Mobile Media User is 33 and 41% are Female
Younger demographics create their own ringtones, use social networking services and listen to music
(web 2.0 type services).
Mobile Internet services (browsing, apps and e-mail) skew 60-65% male.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 69,031
Higher on chart = more female
Further to right = older
Size of bubbles = # of users
11© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Nokia Leads OEM Market for Device Owners and Mobile Media Users
By Some Distance
Although the iPhone gains a large amount of hype, it still only represents 4% of total mobile owners in
EU5 and 12% of all mobile media users. The number of iPhone owners grew 172% YoY.
* Total device owners market share in bold, mobile media market share numbers in red.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 69,031
37%
20%
13%
8%
6%4%
2% 2% 2%
32%
18%
12%
8%
3%
12%
4%
0% 0% 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Nokia Samsung Sony Ericsson
LG Motorola Apple RIM Sagem Siemens
% M
ob
ile M
ed
ia U
sers
% M
ark
et
OEM Market Share for Total Market and Mobile Media Users
Total Market Mobile Media
12© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Shifting Mobile Media Landscape
13© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
The Mobile Content Industry Flat / Declining Industry
Personalization sector showing
Mobile games audience is flat, but there’s much more to the story (we’ll get to that shortly).
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 69,031
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10
% M
ark
et
Mobile Content Trends
Ringtone Purchasers Graphics Phurchasers Games Purchasers
14© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
A Quarter of EU5 Mobile Owners Browse the Mobile Internet
There are over 17 million extra mobile Internet users in March 2010 compared to March 2009, 43%
growth.
Social networking users are showing the highest gains with 98% YoY growth.
12% are using IM and users are growing 37% YoY.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 69,031
25%
12%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10
% M
ark
et
Mobile Internet Trends
Apps (except native games) Mobile Browsing IM Email Social Networking
15© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Communicating & Sharing Drives Mobile Web
40% search, in comparison , 80-100% of PC Internet browsers use search, depending on the country.
The bars in yellow highlight the genres that relate to communicating and sharing with others, the dark
red bars indicate news and weather genres.
The mobile internet is as much about connecting with friends and family as it is about news and info.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 69,031
39.2%
35.2%
34.5%
30.7%
29.4%
27.2%
24.3%
22.6%
20.9%
19.0%
18.8%
18.3%
17.5%
16.5%
15.9%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0%
Search
Social Networking
Personal Email via Browser
News
Weather
Sports Information
IM via Browser
Entertainment News
Work Email via Browser
Maps
Tech News
Photo or Video Sharing Service
General Reference
Stock Quotes or Financial News
Movie Information
% Browsers
Top Genres for Mobile Browsing
16© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Google the Most Popular Mobile Internet Site in the UK
comScore’s GSMA Mobile Media Metrics (MMM) service shows Google gaining the most mobile internet
users.
Vodafone is the leading operator portal.
Product: MMM
Data: February 2010
Country: UK
Total Unique Visitors % Reach Average Minutes per Visitor Average Pages per Visitor
Google Sites 5,793,816 32.7 27.9 106
FACEBOOK.COM 5,674,595 32.0 303.5 420
Vodafone Group 3,547,718 20.0 21.1 32
Telefonica Mobile Networks 3,271,221 18.4 12.7 17
Orange Sites 2,376,524 13.4 22.6 41
BBC Sites 2,146,536 12.1 23.3 40
Yahoo! Sites 2,141,238 12.1 21.1 35
Microsoft Sites 1,702,176 9.6 90.5 66
Deutsche Telekom 1,125,953 6.3 20.1 58
Nokia 1,062,416 6.0 14.2 26
17© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Facebook Usage is Surprisingly Higher on Mobile Compared to PC
mobile users
spend 45 minutes
on facebook per
usage day;
average 43 visits
per month
PC users spend 32 minutes per
usage day; average 35 visits per
month
Product: GSMA MMM & comScore Media Metrix
Data: Feb 10.
Country: UK
18© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Sports Usage Peaks Between 3-6pm at the Weekend
Sports usage is heavily influence by live events, especially football. The average Weekend day in
February saw a peak in users and minutes at the time when most Premiership matches are taking place.
Product: GSMA MMM
Data: Feb 10.
Country: UK
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
6-9 am 9-12noon 12-3 pm 3-6 pm 6-9 pm 9-12 pm
To
tal M
ins
Un
iqu
e V
isit
ors
Weekend Mobile Internet Sports Usage by Day Part
Uniques Mins
19© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Sports Usage in the UK Mirrors the Football Season
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
Un
iqu
e U
se
rs
Sports Usage - UK
Chelsea win
2006
Premier
League title
England
Reach the
world cup
quarter final
Premier
league
season
starts Manchester
United 2007
win Premier
League title
Manchester
United 2008 win
Premier League
title in exciting
finish to season
No summer football
tournament. Sports
users in June down
15% on average
month in 2007
Manchester
United 2009
win Premier
League title
Mobile Sport
Booms as
England
Reach the
???No summer
football
tournament
No summer football
tournament. Sports
users in June down
25% on average
month in 2007
England fail to
qualify for the
Euro 2008
20© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Functionality of Content Determines the Access Method
The type of content determines the popularity of an access method.
For example news and information genres, such as news, are more popular via the browser, whereas
genres that are more involved or more functional, e.g. Games and maps are better suited to applications.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending April 2010
Country: UK - N= 15,567
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
News Social Networking Maps Games
Un
iqu
e U
se
rs
Browser vs App by Content Genre
via App via Browser
21© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Mobile Games Purchasers Flat
With so much hype around mobile applications it is a shock that mobile games purchasers are flat.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 69,031
2% 2%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10
% M
ark
et
Mobile Content Trends
Games Purchasers
22© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Free Business Model Gaining Traction at Expense of Paid
The number of people downloading has risen 40% year on year, however the number of people
purchasing games as risen just 11%.
The vast majority of the growth in games downloads is coming from free games downloads which are
growing 68%.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 69,031
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
4%
5%
5%
Mar-2009 Apr-2009 May-2009 Jun-2009 Jul-2009 Aug-2009 Sep-2009 Oct-2009 Nov-2009 Dec-2009 Jan-2010 Feb-2010 Mar-2010
% M
ark
et
Mobile Games Trends
Downloaded a Game Purchased a Game Downloaded a Game for Free
23© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Steady Growth Continues for Mobile Banner Advertising
Product: Ad Metrix Mobile
Data: March 2010
Country: UK
8,000,000
9,000,000
10,000,000
11,000,000
12,000,000
13,000,000
14,000,000
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
Un
iqu
e N
ew
s a
nd
In
fo B
row
sers
Pro
du
cts
Mobile Browsers vs Products Advertised
Products Advertised Mobile News + Info Browsers Linear (Products Advertised)
24© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Steady Growth Continues for Mobile Banner Advertising
The number of products advertised is not growing as fast as the number of mobile browsers
Product: Ad Metrix Mobile + MobiLens
Data: March 2010
Country: UK
8,000,000
9,000,000
10,000,000
11,000,000
12,000,000
13,000,000
14,000,000
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
Un
iqu
e N
ew
s a
nd
In
fo B
row
sers
Pro
du
cts
Mobile Browsers vs Products Advertised
Products Advertised Mobile News + Info Browsers Linear (Products Advertised)
25© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Ad Spend is Not Following the Consumers Digital Behaviour
The average PC Internet browser generated over £90 per year of advertising revenue for the industry.
The average mobile Internet user generated £2.90 per year
In 2009 the average number of mobile browsers was 33% of the number of PC Internet browsers.
In December 2009 total mobile Internet minutes were between 6%-10% of total PC Internet minutes.
2009 Mobile ad spend is 1% of PC Internet spend.
Source: comScore + IAB UK
Data: 2009
Country: UK
38,597,072
12,832,917
90.7
2.9 0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
140.0
-
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
35,000,000
40,000,000
45,000,000
Internet Users Mobile Internet Users
Ad
Re
ve
nu
e P
er
Bro
ws
er
Ave
rag
e U
niq
ue
Us
ers
PC Internet vs Mobile Ad Spend 2009
Unique Browsers Advertising Revenue Per Browser
26© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
27© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Smartphones
28© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
1 in 4 Mobile Phone Owners in EU5 Now Have a Smartphone
Driving this increase are phones that provide a strong foundation for media consumption
The graph shows the dominance of the Symbian operating system, Apple and RIM’s increasing influence
and the recent emergence of Google Android.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 139,995
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Mar-2009 Apr-2009 May-2009 Jun-2009 Jul-2009 Aug-2009 Sep-2009 Oct-2009 Nov-2009 Dec-2009 Jan-2010 Feb-2010 Mar-2010
% M
ark
et
Growth of Smartphones as a % of Total Market
Symbian Apple Microsoft RIM Google Palm
29© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Although the Total Number of Symbian Owners are Growing they are
Losing Share
Apple and RIM gaining share.
Android starting to emerge.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 139,995
69%59%
8%
17%
16%14%
6%8%
3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Q1 2009 Q1 2010
% S
ma
rtp
ho
ne
Ow
ne
rs
Smartphone Marketshare Q1 09 vs Q1 10
Symbian Apple Microsoft RIM Google Palm
30© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
The Tail of Two Touch Screen Smartphones
There are more people with a Nokia 5800 than there are with an iPhone 3G S
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 139,995
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
Un
iqu
e U
se
rs
iPhone 3G S vs Nokia 5800
Nokia 5800 iPhone 3G S
31© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Smartphone Owners are Over 328% More Likely to Use Mobile Media
than Non-Smartphone Users
The Apple iPhone has revolutionized the market for mobile media, however Google’s Android and RIM’s
Blackberry devices are providing competition in terms of usage behaviour.
Symbian device owners are less likely to use mobile media but are by far the most popular smartphone
OS.
Product: MobiLens
Data: Three month average ending March 2010
Country: EU5- N= 139,995
93%89%
80%
68%
50%
63%
15%9,419
1,404
4,422
7,597
33,026
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Apple Android RIM Microsoft Symbian Smartphone Non-Smartphone
De
vic
e O
wn
ers
(0
00
s)
% P
en
etr
ati
on
Mobile Media Consumption by Operating System
Mobile Media (Connected Media) Used Application (except native games) Used Browser Device Owners
32© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Summing Up
33© comScore, Inc. Proprietary and Confidential.
Summing Up: The Big Picture
Mobile Media Market has fully arrived
– 1/3 of phone owners using mobile media
– Critical mass for publishers with room for sustained growth
Technology enablers continue to grow
– Even faster networks / devices arriving
Growth of key consumer enabler—unlimited data plans—still limited in EU
– US market becoming more advanced due to increased data plan adoption
“Classic” mobile content business—personalization—in decline / flat
Still work to be done to accelerate the large mobile advertising opportunity
The iPhone is not the only smartphone on the market.
– Symbian shows high penetration
– Android users show similar usage penetration
Thank You.
For more information, please contact
comScore Mobile [email protected]
THE GLOBAL SOURCE OF DIGITAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE™