STA Cloud Charts9703

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  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud ChartsDavid Linton MFTA

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud Chart History

    1750s Munehisa Homma - Candlesticks

    1880s Charles Dow Dow theory

    1930s Goichi Hosoda Ichimoku development

    1940s Edwards and Magee

    1960s Hosoda publishes book on Ichimoku

    1980s IFTA East meets West (Murphy)

    1990s Hidenobu Sasaki publishes book

    2000s IFTA Conference Madrid Rick Bensignor

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud elements

    Chart 1-2

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud elements

    Chart 8-1

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud Charts add value

    1. History

    2. Basics of Technical Analysis

    3. Moving Averages

    4. Indicators

    5. Point and Figure Charts

    6. Candlestick Charts

    7. Using Stop-losses

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Dow Theory still rules

    Chart 2-1

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Which Moving Average?

    Chart 3-2

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Overbought versus Oversold

    Chart 4-10

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    How many indicators are there?

    Chart 4-19

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Nothing can replace P&F

    Chart 5-17

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Candles and Clouds

    Chart 6-9

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Stop-losses & Money Management

    Chart 7-11

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Line Construction

    Chart 8-3

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud Chart elements

    1. Turning Line (conversion line) 9 bar midpoint

    2. Standard Line (base line) 26 bar midpoint

    3. Cloud Span A (Span 1) midpoints of lines 1&2, shifted forward 26 bars

    4. Cloud Span B (Span 2) 52 bar midpoint, shifted forward 26 bars

    5. Lagging Line (lagging span) price shifted back 26 bars

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Lines 1&2 v Moving Averages

    Chart 8-6

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud Span A

    Chart 8-7

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud Span B

    Chart 8-8

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud Spans v Moving Averages

    Chart 8-9 *

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Lagging Line

    Chart 8-12

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Lagging Line and Cloud Span B

    Chart 8-13

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Interpreting Cloud Charts

    Chart 9-1

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    Price interacting with Cloud

    Chart 9-3

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Bullish and Bearish Zones

    Chart 9-4

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Trend change

    Chart 9-5

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud Thickness

    Chart 9-8

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Lagging Line and the Cloud

    Chart 9-11

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Lagging Line and Whipsaws

    Chart 9-12

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Later but Safer

    Chart 9-14

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Dealing with temporary breaches

    Chart 9-15

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Turning and Standard Lines

    Chart 9-20

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Clouds are our Roadmap

    Chart 9-22

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud Charts in Sideways markets

    Chart 9-23

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Why do Cloud Charts work?

    Figure 9-1

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Uptrend or Downtrend?

    Chart 10-3

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Multiple Time Frame Analysis

    Figure 10-2

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Whats your Time Horizon?

    Figure 10-3 *

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Japanese Pattern Techniques

    Figure 11-1

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Patterns combined

    Figure 11-2

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Pattern Targets

    Figure 11-3

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Price and Time projection

    Chart 11-7

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Changing time frames

    Chart 11-8

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Intra-day charts

    Chart 11-9

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Can you Optimise 9, 26 and 52?

    Chart 13-2

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Extending the Cloud

    Chart 13-5

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud Width

    Chart 13-8

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Distance from Lagging Line

    Chart 13-17

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Have you Back-tested it?

    Chart 14-2

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Using a Signal Delay

    Chart 14-5

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    Optimising for the shorter term

    Chart 14-9

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Taking the longer term into account

    Chart 14-10

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    Signal delay and weekly cloud filter

    Chart 14-11

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud (LL) Bullish Percent

    Chart 15-7

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud BPC price and lagging line

    Chart 15-8

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Scanning for cloud crosses

    Appendix 1

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Backtest Results

    S&P 500 stocks 5 years index down 7.5%

    Using a signal delay 0-5 days

    33% profit overall 60% of stocks profitable

    Taking the trend into account and a signal delay

    79% profit overall 86% of stocks profitable

  • Society of Technical Analysts - Tuesday 13th April 2010

    Cloud Charts are a work in progress visit:

    www.cloudcharts.com

    David Linton MFTA