Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu http://www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu/fileadmin/images/content/ D4.1_FourFutureScenarios.pdf

description

Presentation on the foresight report by Demos Helsinki, can be found at http://www.demoshelsinki.fi/en/julkaisut/from-local-loops-to-global-champions-scenarios-for-sustainable-lifestyles-2050-2/

Transcript of Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

Page 2: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy

Endemic technology

Human-centrism

Page 3: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg

Housing: building

2400 kg

Product consumption 2600 kg

Leisure time 1500 kg

Food 7300 kg

Housing:

electricity

3300 kg

Others

900 kg

Page 4: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

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Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg

Housing: building

2400 kg

Product consumption 2600 kg

Leisure time 1500 kg

Food 7300 kg

Housing:

electricity

3300 kg

Others

900 kg

30 000 kg

Page 5: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg

Housing: building

2400 kg

Product consumption 2600 kg

Leisure time 1500 kg

Food 7300 kg

Housing:

electricity

3300 kg

Others

900 kg

30 000 kg

Mobility (daily and tourism)

2800 kg

Food 2500 kg

Housing: building 1300 kg

Others

Housing: electricity 300 kg

Product consumption

Leisure time

300 kg

8000 kg

Page 6: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg

Housing: building

2400 kg

Product consumption 2600 kg

Leisure time 1500 kg

Food 7300 kg

Housing:

electricity

3300 kg

Others

900 kg

20502040203020202012

30 000 kg

Mobility (daily and tourism)

2800 kg

Food 2500 kg

Housing: building 1300 kg

Others

Housing: electricity 300 kg

Product consumption

Leisure time

300 kg

8000 kg

Page 7: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg

Housing: building

2400 kg

Product consumption 2600 kg

Leisure time 1500 kg

Food 7300 kg

Housing:

electricity

3300 kg

Others

900 kg

20502040203020202012

30 000 kg

Mobility (daily and tourism)

2800 kg

Food 2500 kg

Housing: building 1300 kg

Others

Housing: electricity 300 kg

Product consumption

Leisure time

300 kg

8000 kg37 years = one generation

Page 8: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

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Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg

Housing: building

2400 kg

Product consumption 2600 kg

Leisure time 1500 kg

Food 7300 kg

Housing:

electricity

3300 kg

Others

900 kg

20122020203020402050

Mobility (daily and tourism)

2800 kg

Food 2500 kg

Housing: building 1300 kg

Others

Housing: electricity 300 kg

Product consumption

Leisure time

300 kg

Page 9: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg

Housing: building

2400 kg

Product consumption 2600 kg

Leisure time 1500 kg

Food 7300 kg

Housing:

electricity

3300 kg

Others

900 kg

20122020203020402050

Mobility (daily and tourism)

2800 kg

Food 2500 kg

Housing: building 1300 kg

Others

Housing: electricity 300 kg

Product consumption

Leisure time

300 kg

Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable goal

Page 10: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg

Housing: building

2400 kg

Product consumption 2600 kg

Leisure time 1500 kg

Food 7300 kg

Housing:

electricity

3300 kg

Others

900 kg

20122020203020402050

Mobility (daily and tourism)

2800 kg

Food 2500 kg

Housing: building 1300 kg

Others

Housing: electricity 300 kg

Product consumption

Leisure time

300 kg

Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable goal

Page 11: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg

Housing: building

2400 kg

Product consumption 2600 kg

Leisure time 1500 kg

Food 7300 kg

Housing:

electricity

3300 kg

Others

900 kg

20122020203020402050

Mobility (daily and tourism)

2800 kg

Food 2500 kg

Housing: building 1300 kg

Others

Housing: electricity 300 kg

Product consumption

Leisure time

300 kg

Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable goal

Elements of disruptive change

Page 12: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

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Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg

Housing: building

2400 kg

Product consumption 2600 kg

Leisure time 1500 kg

Food 7300 kg

Housing:

electricity

3300 kg

Others

900 kg

20122020203020402050

Mobility (daily and tourism)

2800 kg

Food 2500 kg

Housing: building 1300 kg

Others

Housing: electricity 300 kg

Product consumption

Leisure time

300 kg

Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable goal

Elements of disruptive change

From quantitative decline in resource use to qualitative bits of lifestyles

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Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy Human-centrism

Endemic technology

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy

Endemic technology

Human-centrism

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Pandemic technology

Meritocracy

Endemic technology

Human-centrism

Singular Super Champions

Governing the Commons

Local Loops

Empathetic Communities

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Pandemic technology

Meritocracy

Endemic technology

Human-centrism

Singular Super Championsprice mechanismUpcycling economyDense urban livingCompetition

Governing the Commons

Local Loops

Empathetic Communities

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Pandemic technology

Meritocracy

Endemic technology

Human-centrism

Singular Super Championsprice mechanismUpcycling economyDense urban livingCompetition

Ubiquitous technologiesMultiprofessional careersDigital communities3D printing consumers

Governing the Commons

Local Loops

Empathetic Communities

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Pandemic technology

Meritocracy

Endemic technology

Human-centrism

Singular Super Championsprice mechanismUpcycling economyDense urban livingCompetition

Ubiquitous technologiesMultiprofessional careersDigital communities3D printing consumers

Energy crisesLocal resources, local technologiesLocal professional clusters/guildsService economy

Governing the Commons

Local Loops

Empathetic Communities

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Pandemic technology

Meritocracy

Endemic technology

Human-centrism

Singular Super Championsprice mechanismUpcycling economyDense urban livingCompetition

Ubiquitous technologiesMultiprofessional careersDigital communities3D printing consumers

Energy crisesLocal resources, local technologiesLocal professional clusters/guildsService economy

Economic crises, collapse of nation statesLocal resourcesProduction of food and energy in large role

Governing the Commons

Local Loops

Empathetic Communities

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Pandemic technology

Meritocracy

Endemic technology

Human-centrism

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www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

Pandemic technology

Meritocracy

Endemic technology

Human-centrism

Page 33: Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu