Speed Kills: The Return to Critical Thinking
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Transcript of Speed Kills: The Return to Critical Thinking
Speed Kills: A Return to Critical Thinking
The most important thing about a point of view is to have one.
I started a7ending business conferences nearly twenty five years ago thanks to employers like Deloi7e & Touche and Price Waterhouse. EnthusiasBcally I went to learn (the free lunches were cool too). I remember the themes and topics were very specific and tangible back then. When I started to speak at events a few years later it was for never less than an hour and oEen speaking slots were ninety minutes. Conferences were mini-‐MBAs. Involved, complex case studies were the norm and popular. Conferences have evolved in style and content. When a colleague found out I was presenBng at the Canadian MarkeBng AssociaBon’s NaBonal ConvenBon she asked if I was going to deliver it TED Talks-‐style. I had not thought about it that way. I have spoken at many events and have had only one enduring rule of thumb. That is, present what you would like to hear. Much like the axiom in publishing that goes ‘write the book you want to read’. I was familiar with TED. I knew the talks were slick, brief and premised on storytelling but I decided to dig a li7le deeper into their format. I came across a fascinaBng debate concerning the value and efficacy of TED. The organizaBon is a bigger machine than I realized. TED was founded thirty years ago as a progressive conference and has expanded exponenBally thanks to its different TEDGlobal and TEDx events, online videos, a publishing division and the TED radio hour. TED holds over 1,000 events a year and more than 1,700 TED talks are available free online. An army of volunteers translates each one into 104 different languages. By January 2009, these had been viewed 50 million Bmes. In 2011, that number reached 500 million. Views have now surpassed two billion.
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Ideas Worth Spreading indeed. The pace of consumpBon of TED content is acceleraBng and I am a fan. Chris Anderson, curator of TED, wrote a piece in Harvard Business Review last year called Giving a Killer Presenta5on. I wrote a le7er to the editor in support of what Chris emphasized and the le7er was published in the magazine. InfluenBal organizaBons oEen draw criBcism and TED is no excepBon. TED conferences are seen to be eliBst given the substanBal price tag to a7end and organizers have been accused of picking only popular and less controversial topics. The most fascinaBng and consistently leveled criBcism is TED demands narraBve elegance over substance and rigorous analysis. The Huffington Post wrote that “Every slide, every sentence, has been rehearsed and revised to such a point that no room is leE over for spontaneity and wit.” The New York Times reported, “The process of preparing a speaker is painstaking. Mr. Anderson and his team work for months with presenters.” You really know you are onto something when someone parodies you. In 2012, the saBrical newsmagazine, The Onion, began Onion Talks.The parody presentaBons included Ducks Go Quack, Chickens Say Cluck, What is the Biggest Rock?, Using Social Media To Cover For Lack Of Original Thought, Compost-‐Fueled Cars: Wouldn't That Be Great?, and A Future Where All Robots have Penises. Then late last year, this should come as no surprise, a TEDx speaker used the forum itself to bash TED. TEDx’s are locally licensed conferences and this one took place in San Diego. Benjamin Bra7on, a visual art professor at the University of California said that instead of promoBng his own ideas or a book that he instead wanted to address "TED itself, what it is and why it doesn't work." He told the audience that the TED process simplifies difficult topics so lay people can understand them and that presenter likability outshines the ideas themselves, "making our best and brightest waste their Bme—and the audience's Bme—dancing like infomercial hosts.” Bra7on himself seems to know a good sound bite as he called TED, “Middlebrow Megachurch Infotainment”.
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Making a Decision I share it is because I love the debate. I enjoy looking at issues from different views and angles. TED under the microscope speaks to an ever acceleraBng cycle of change. TED changed how ideas were shared by quesBoning the long accepted conference model. Now the TED model is being tested. This leads to the subject of speed and criBcal thinking. Implied in criBcal thinking is the ability to make a decision. So ask yourself, how do you make a decision? Highly raBonal people may be saying, “Well I consider the informaBon available to me, weigh the respecBve pros and cons, judge the potenBal impacts and arrive at the best possible outcome.” But do you really? Others may be chuckling while thinking of their own personal irraBonality when it comes to making a decision. While more sBll are probably admipng that they never really thought much about it. We all just do it. The most honest answer to how we make decisions is it depends. We make decisions differently based on our experiences, background and biases we develop. We are also influenced by context. The very pressure to make a decision effects how we decide. The fact that we missed our morning coffee can throw us off. A fight with our spouse can distract us. A jerk at work gets under our skin and disrupts us. So much goes into even the most basic decision. Increasingly we are confronted with speed as a big factor that impacts the manner and quality of our decisions.
I will concede the world and business move faster now. You only have to read two or three of the over three hundred books published on speed in the last few years or the scores of blogs and arBcles to buy into that. These writers argue that speed is a compeBBve advantage in business and advocate we should move ever faster. I am not wriBng about faster decisions or slower decisions. I am sharing the creaBng condiBons for making be7er decisions by pupng speed in context. Something happened in the last ten to fiEeen years. “Speed” itself became a business buzzword. Faster is now clearly associated with be7er and that is some of the most flawed thinking of recent Bmes. There are two reasons for this. The first takes place in our daily lives. Sheena Iyengar of Columbia University and author of The Art of Choosing found that we make an average of 70 decisions each day. They range from the mundane such as ‘what should I wear today?’ to bigger bets like ‘what would happen if we doubled our media spend?’ Decisions are done on autopilot and some nearly paralyze in their importance and complexity.
In the past ten to fiEeen years,
“speed” became a business buzzword.
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Think of your mind as an assembly line. It has been set up to process informaBon and make decisions at a manageable speed and generally it does so well. Now imagine if that producBon line was doubled in speed. What happens? You end up with poorer quality decisions in every meaning of that word. It can even lead to breakage or shut down. According to a 2013 IBM study of 1,500 chief execuBves, complexity and speed were the biggest issues facing their companies. The interesBng thing is how businesses react to them. First, we try to address complexity by oversimplifying. Everything today is a tagline, a thirty-‐second elevator pitch or a top-‐ten list. We are spoon fed soluBons. Every book is a how-‐to. Newspapers are dumbed down. We converse in abrupt text and tweets. So much of our current work is spent embracing client complexity and creaBng rich brand stories and markeBng campaigns for them. I advocate celebraBng complexity not tearing it down to the point of irrelevance.
The second way we have reacted to speed and complexity is by pupng ourselves on a treadmill to oblivion by matching speed with even more speed. The result is we have confused simple and faster with be7er. Further we now have the gall to suggest that simple and faster is the only form of innovaBon. Every businesses’ website, markeBng pieces, ads, annual reports claims that they are innovaBve. When you look closer they are really claiming that they are the simpler and faster opBon. Every business is in the business of solving problems. That means they assess and make very important decisions. Swystun CommunicaBons surveyed 3,000 markeBng people on LinkedIn about decision-‐making. We asked three quesBons and 1,769 people responded.
What impacts the quality of your decision-‐making?
Pressure 24%
Urgency 19%
Lack of Time 26%
Team Mates 12%
Other 10%
Inputs 9%
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The first quesBon, what impacts the quality of your decision-‐making? Speed related issues dominated the responses adding up to 67%. There was a secondary story in the responses related to teammates or colleagues. Comments indicated fricBon in company culture and the organizaBon. Colleagues would oEen undermine each other to get ahead. The next quesBon was, what does your company value most in decision-‐making?
Speed is a significant factor which is really no surprise but what is perplexing is other answers with near equal weight. Safe decisions and accurate decisions appear to contradict speed. It is as if the respondent’s organizaBons are telling these markeBng folks to act quickly but don’t rock the boat. They do not want to risk too much, spend too much or upset the company process of decision-‐making. The last quesBon was, what concerns you most about decision-‐making?
Safety 22%
Costs 20%
Speed 29%
Accuracy 11%
Other 9%
Process 9%
What does your
company value most in decision-‐making?
Impact 22%
Buy-‐in 19%
Account ability 23%
Accuracy 9%
Other 19%
Recog niBon 9%
What concerns you most about
decision-‐making?
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People were very concerned with being held accountable for making a mistake. This fear far outweighs the potenBal of being recognized for a good decision. One respondent said making decisions in her organizaBon was so gut wrenching as to provoke a bowel movement. This is where that secondary story becomes more important. Internal buy-‐in from colleagues and bosses is as much a factor as being held accountable for a decision. People are looking for input and support but frequently get burned by poliBcs. Decision-‐making is scary enough but when you are forced to do it fast then doubts and fears grow. This doesn’t mean we can take all the Bme in world. Tina Fey wrote in her book, Bossypants, “You can’t be that kid standing at the top of the waterslide, overthinking it. You have to go down the chute.” I am the least Zen person but I am going to reference a Zen saying. If you have a glass of dirty water the best way to clear it is to set it on a windowsill and leave it alone. With sBllness the sediment se7les to the bo7om. The thought being that with a clear vision and a sense of direcBon you can focus your energy more effecBvely, be more producBve and make be7er decisions. Many thinkers of late have idenBfied this paradox of needing to slow down to speed up. There is proof that it leads to be7er results. Be7er Results The Economist Intelligence Unit found that companies that chose to go fast to try to gain an edge ended up with lower sales and operaBng profits than those that pracBced criBcal thinking. Firms that “slowed down to speed up” improved their top and bo7om lines averaging 40% higher sales and 52% higher operaBng profits over a three-‐year period.
343 Surveyed
40% Higher Sales
52% Higher Profits
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Neither Fast or Slow I see value in speed but it is not about speeding up or slowing down it is about sound criBcal thinking. And criBcal thinking is neither fast or slow. CriBcal thinking is a strategic and creaBve way of approaching a problem or an opportunity. If pracBced properly the soluBon and decision present themselves. Speed will always be a variable but it should not be the all-‐consuming component. A be7er decision produces be7er returns even if it takes a bit longer to get there. Yet criBcal thinking can also move you along faster when done right. That is the paradox. I am not going to provide a trite prescripBve and oversimplified process instead I will highlight four key components of criBcal thinking to use when you build strategies, craE markeBng plans and make decisions. 1. Be open to insights Insights are delighuully jarring. Each is unexpected. They can be a bit threatening to companies who are programmed to reject surprises. Yet this is their advantage. Coming up with something new or seeing something fresh is key to business success. You cannot meet to have an insight. You cannot schedule an insight. You can be only be open to it. So much of the poor decision-‐making I see in companies is due to seemingly immovable biases. Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow, says that biases can make us blind to the obvious and even blind to our own blindness. I oEen wonder why it took 2,000 years to put wheels on our luggage. The concept of rolling luggage came out of an observaBon and insight in 1974 and then it took another ten years for the product to be properly commercialized. IniBally a buyer at Macy’s department store rejected the idea that consumers would want to pull their luggage.
“Anyone can look for fashion in a boutique or history in a museum. The creative person looks for history in a hardware store and fashion in an airport.” Robert Wieder
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2. Best interests of the customer One component of criBcal thinking in business should be a given but sadly it is not. My first, greatest, and ongoing disappointment with the business world is the magnitude and frequency of decisions not made in the best interests of the customer. One of the best sorBng devices or criteria for sound decision-‐making is to ask how it will impact customers. I was taught many moons ago that if you were in markeBng you were to be a passionate advocate on behalf of the customer. Yet an astonishing amount of decision-‐making takes place without this advocacy. Neulix’s abrupt price changes in 2011 led to an exodus of customers. Lululemon had a legiBmate issue with its sheer pants yet went off brand when the company treated it so seriously that further alienated core customers. Forbes named the launch of Google Glass as one of the worst new product introducBons ever. They cited pricing, promoBon, distribuBon and other issues basically indicBng it on all 4 of the 4ps. Both The New York Times and Fast Company said the biggest difference between Apple and Google is a genius for markeBng and that means Apple knows and advocates on behalf of its customer. I recently spoke at an innovaBon event and was asked why is it that every markeBng book and markeBng conference menBons the same handful of companies? You could play a game of brand bingo at most business conferences and fill up those squares with menBons of Apple, Amazon, Coca-‐Cola, NEST, Tim Hortons. My answer was because the vast majority of businesses in the world are mediocre at best. As Madelaine Albert of Whole Foods put it, “The average work environment isn’t terrible; its average. And consequently, so is everything it does.” Cultures that limit true potenBal and make decision-‐making threatening lead to deflated and dispirited employees. The flipside of that is deflated and dispirited employees will never build anything great.
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3. Tell it as a story Marketers are storytellers. I have found that framing significant decisions in the form of a story not only comes naturally to us but it goes a long way to illuminaBng the issue, entertaining those involved and showing the most advantageous path. Daniel Gilbert, Professor of Psychology at Harvard, says that people tend to overesBmate the impact of future events. We overstate the potenBal magnitude expecBng a more intense and enduring result than what actually occurs. This can paralyze or throw-‐off decision-‐making. A story can put a decision in its proper context with a richer result. What I have shared so far shows that speed heightens our anxiety when it comes criBcal thinking and decision-‐making. It also creates unfair and arBficial expectaBons when we finally get around to selecBng A or B or C. 4. Stop Seeking Perfec=on The final consideraBon for criBcal thinking is to stop seeking perfecBon. We are all smart and well-‐intenBoned and we are all human. We are going to make mistakes. Whatever amount of energy we spend obsessing about potenBal outcomes, missteps we have made, decisions that do not go our way is energy no longer available to add value to our business. Neulix corrected its pricing approach and recently introduced a smart, measured and well thought-‐out price increase. Lululemon eventually added extra material to those sheer pants and sold them at $92 a pair. Google’s Glass announced a partnership with Italian eyewear company Luxopca to embed the technology in the Ray-‐Ban and Oakley brands in hope that people will gravitate to be7er looking frames.
“Great stories happen to those that can
tell them.” Ira Glass
“Perfection is not attainable, but if we chase perfection we can
catch excellence.” Vince Lombardi
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There are risks and trade-‐offs in making decisions in an ever-‐acceleraBng world. OEen we are forced to move fast regardless of a desire to be more deliberate and measured. I only cauBon you never to use speed as an excuse for avoiding the criBcal thinking that produces winning strategies. With speed and the frenzy of acBvity that goes with it we may sacrifice our brand’s reputaBon, the quality of our products and services, our company’s performance. We may lose our relevance. With creaBve criBcal thinking we can take our business to a new place because we remove the fear and biases in our own decision-‐making and our company’s culture. Back to TED TED announced that their 18 minute limit for speakers could be reduced to 12 or even 9 minutes. Pundits will criBcize this move as the further dummying down of complex ideas and they may be right. Benjamin Bra7on that professor who took to a TEDx stage to beat up on TED wrapped up his talk with this thought, “As for one simple take away ... I don't have one simple take away, one magic idea. That's kind of the point.” I do have one take away but it is far from simple. That’s my point. Behind every concept, every idea, every challenge there is complexity. We lose the magic every Bme we a7empt to over simplify. Alfred North Whitehead, the mathemaBcian and philosopher, suggested the pursuit of simplicity was noble but it should be distrusted. Whitehead feared that we would make big mistakes by dismissing or glossing over the intricate and not easily explained. So my take away for you is short and sweet. I ask that you do not make decisions swiEly but once you make that decision then act swiEly.
It is not about speed. It is about be7er.
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Jeff Swystun President and
Chief MarkeBng Officer 416.471.4655