Specialised lending - PwC
Transcript of Specialised lending - PwC
PwC
January 2021
Benchmarking ‘slotting’
approaches across IRB firms
Specialised lending
PwC
Introduction to slotting approaches
Slotting approaches are being adopted by IRB and Standardised firms
Background
The Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR) specifies the key
factors that should be considered when firms develop ‘slotting
approaches’ for corporate specialised lending. As part of the
wider European Banking Authority (EBA) agenda to reduce
risk-weighted asset (RWA) variability, the EBA has developed
regulatory technical standards (RTS) to specify how these
factors should be considered - including sub-factors and the
interaction of these sub-factors (EBA/RTS/2016/02).
Corporate specialised lending has a number of sub-classes
across project finance, real estate, object finance and
commodity finance. The CRR allows slotting approaches to be
used for these sub-classes where firms are unable to build
reliable and compliant models owing to the scarcity of default
information. Expert judgement forms a fundamental role in
developing slotting approaches that introduces variability.
Purpose of paper
An area of recent EBA regulatory activity, and focus across
firms, surrounds enhancing and developing slotting
approaches for corporate specialised lending. In addition to
meeting Pillar 1 requirements, firms are adopting slotting
approaches for Pillar 2A, stress testing and ICAAP purposes.
Given the spotlight on slotting approaches, the purpose of this
paper is to provide: (1) a summary of current focus areas for
slotting firms; (2) benchmarks of key slotting metrics from the
latest 2020 published Pillar 3s, and (3) key trends of slotting
drivers and outputs over the most recent three-year period as
IRB firms embed the EBA requirements.
Mechanics of slotting approaches
Based on the weightings given to each sub-factor and the
quality of exposure, each exposure is given a slotting category
between 1 and 5, with 1 being the highest quality and 5 being
in default. Firms also leverage internal risk management
practices to perform slotting approach overrides where
necessary.
A risk weight (RW) % is provided by regulation based on
slotting category and residual maturity of the exposure.
An expected loss (EL) % is also provided which is used when
assessing the impact of IFRS 9 provisions and subsequent
capital adjustments (see table 1 for detail).
Current focus areas for slotting firms
A significant focus has been given to the real estate and
project finance sub-classes with firms considering all EBA
sub-factors and amendments following the March 2020 EBA
opinion paper and EC finalisation (see grey box below).
Firms with, or adopting, slotting approaches are working to
meet the CRR, EBA RTS, and Prudential Regulatory Authority
(PRA) SS11/13 requirements for corporate specialised
lending. Such firms are focusing on the following areas:
• Updating exposure classification policies to ensure
corporate specialised lending is defined. To support this,
data collection, systems, model governance and account
management activities are being enhanced.
• Revisiting sub-factor selection and weightings applied to
ensure EBA thresholds are met.
• Fine tuning of category definitions across sub-factors and
better aligning quantitative boundary cuts-offs with risk
appetite. For example, firms are amending credit policies
post COVID-19 and factor thresholds are being revisited.
• The default definition (category 5) is being revisited
to ensure full alignment with the EBA GL/2016/07 and
PRA PS7/19 on default, internal watchlist practices, and
IFRS 9 credit impaired.
• ‘User guides’ are being developed and / or strengthened
to promote consistent application across products in
particular qualitative sub-factors.
• Methodology documentation is being strengthened
through use of expert panels, supporting quantitative
analysis, application of overrides and conservatism.
• Slotting approach monitoring packs are being enhanced
to include metrics such as: category distribution over time;
distribution of quantitative metrics across categories; sub-
factor contribution analysis; and performance of overrides.
• Firms are also developing enhanced validation
frameworks and introducing more quantitative measures.
Regulatory
category
Residual
maturity
RW
%
EL
%
Cat 1 Strong < 2.5 years 50 0.0
Cat 1 Strong >= 2.5 years 70 0.4
Cat 2 Good < 2.5 years 70 0.4
Cat 2 Good >= 2.5 years 90 0.8
Cat 3 Satisfactory All exposures 115 2.8
Cat 4 Weak All exposures 250 8.0
Cat 5 Default All exposures n/a 50.0
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Table 1: summary of RW % and EL % based on slotting
category and residual maturity
EBA Opinion Paper (EBA/Op/2020/06)
In March 2020, the EBA published its opinion on a number
of European Commission (EC) proposed changes to the
RTS on assigning RWs to specialised lending exposures.
The EBA concluded that these proposed changes aim to
provide more flexibility in the slotting framework and do not
significantly alter the existing RTS.
The EC adopted the RTS on 14 December 2020. The
European Parliament / Council now has the opportunity to
object prior to publication in the Official Journal.
Source: CRR Article 153(5) and 158(6)
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Key benchmarks from Pillar 3 analysis
Latest industry risk weights are relatively similar across firms, but expected loss shows
some variability
Benchmarking approach
Our benchmarking approach is based on data gathered from
the Pillar 3 reports published by eight UK IRB firms1 as of April
2020. The slotting exposure amount, RWA, RW %, and EL %
for each of the eight firms is shown in the charts to the right.
For all charts provided, the firms have been presented in order
of total slotting exposure, and corresponding RWAs, per chart
1. From our benchmarking sample, Royal Bank of Scotland
(RBS) is deemed to have the largest total slotting exposure
(£17bn) and associated credit risk RWAs (£11bn), while Co-
op Bank has the smallest (£0.7bn exposure and £0.5bn
RWAs).
Please note that information from any of the sampled firms
that have disclosed Pillar 3 later than April 2020 may differ
from the benchmarks provided. In addition, the Pillar 3
information is provided at ‘slotting’ level so does not
differentiate between real estate and project finance sub-
classes for example.
However, a review of supporting Pillar 3 qualitative
disclosures indicates that the majority of exposure is found
within the real estate sub-class.
Risk weight and expected loss
Our first assessment looks at a breakdown of RW % (chart 2)
and EL % (chart 3) to gain an initial view of the overall outputs
generated by the practices of our sample firms:
• RW %: The range of RW % observed from our sample is
58%-87% with a benchmark simple average of c.75%. Our
analysis shows Principality BS has the highest RW %
(closely followed by Santander UK), whereas HSBC UK
has the lowest RW %. Of note, the four firms with the
largest exposure also have the lowest RW %.
The difference in RW % is primarily driven by the exposure
category distribution and residual maturity profiles of each
firm (see next page).
• EL %: The benchmark simple average EL % is 2.1%,
however there is a higher level of variation in the EL
compared to RW with a range of 1.4%-3.0%.
A key driver of the EL % is the exposure category
distribution, in particular the proportion of assets held
within the highest (riskiest) category 5 as this attracts the
most penal EL %, and to a lesser extent category 4.
The following section helps to explain these divergences
further by breaking down the RW % and EL % into the key
drivers identified above:
a. Slotting category distribution; and
b. Residual maturity distribution.
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3,000
6,000
9,000
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15,000
18,000
£m
Chart 1: slotting exposure and RWA by firm (£m)
Exposure RWA
1 Benchmark considered all IRB firms with slotting approaches. Firm names not
highlighted in report: LBG, Lloyds Banking Group.
2 Co-Op Bank has been removed from the sample as the EL% data is not available from the latest Pillar 3 report.
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0%
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60%70%
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Chart 2: RW % by firm
Bank Benchmark AverageFirm
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
Chart 3: EL % by firm2
Bank Benchmark Average
1. Firm
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Residual maturity distribution
We have also compared the residual portfolio maturity
across firms, with the split specified in the RW and EL tables
from CRR Article 153(5) and Article 158(6) respectively.
The distribution across this split is a key driver of the overall
RW and EL, with shorter residual maturities attracting the
lowest RW and EL % for categories 1 and 2.
The comparison of the residual maturity profile is shown in
chart 5 below:
Our analysis shows that on average the proportion of
exposures with a residual maturity of less than 2.5 years is
45% and the proportion of exposures with a residual maturity
of greater than or equal to 2.5 years is 55%.
HSBC UK has the largest proportion (64%) of exposures with
less than 2.5 years residual maturity. Since the shorter
maturities attract a more favourable RW for category 1 and 2,
this is another driver of HSBC UK’s lower than average RW %
observed in chart 2 on the previous page.
NBS is a negative outlier with a much larger proportion (69%)
of its slotting exposure having a maturity greater than 2.5
years and therefore not benefiting from the most favourable
RWs / ELs for its category 1 and 2 exposures; this is a driver
for the higher RW / EL % reported.
The final section of this report analyses the trends observed
over the last three years by considering the observed average
EL %, RW %, slotting category profile and residual maturity
distribution for our sample of firms since 2018.
Key benchmarks from Pillar 3 analysis
The majority of slotting assets are held in the lowest risk categories (1 and 2) but have
residual maturities greater than 2.5 years
Slotting category distribution
We have compared the final supervisory slotting category
distributions across the sample firms. This comparison is
shown in chart 4 below:
Our analysis shows that the majority of exposures sit
within the lower risk categories of 1 and 2, attracting a lower
RW and EL %. For our sample firms the benchmark
average proportions were 51% and 40% in category 1 and
2 respectively.
From our sample, HSBC UK has the highest proportion
of category 1 exposures (82%); this is likely to be driving
its lower RW % as seen on the previous page.
Principality BS and Santander UK are negative outliers,
with the lowest observed proportion of category 1 exposures
of 1.5% and 6.8% respectively.
The benchmark average proportion of exposures within the
higher risk categories (i.e. categories 3-5) is 9% with an
average split of 5%, 2% and 2% for categories 3, 4 and
5 respectively, with the latter, category 5, representing the
defaulted assets.
On average, our sample firms hold 2.4% of exposure in the
highest risk category 5. Principality BS and Santander UK are
positive outliers holding only a small proportion of their slotting
exposure in category 5 with 0.7% and 0.8% respectively. This
correlates with the below average EL % observed for these
firms in chart 3 on the previous page.
In contrast, HSBC UK, Nationwide Building Society (NBS) and
RBS are negative outliers holding the largest exposure in
category 5 with 5.5%, 3.7% and 3.5% respectively. This
correlates with the above average EL % observed. Of note,
HSBC UK has the lowest RW % but also has the highest EL
% of the benchmark firms.
3 Co-Op Bank has been removed from the sample as the residual maturity
breakdown is not available from the latest Pillar 3 report.
0%
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100%
Chart 4: exposure category profiles by firm
Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 Category 50%
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30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Chart 5: residual maturity by firm3
Exposure < 2.5 years Exposure >= 2.5 years
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Pillar 3 trend analysis
Average slotting exposure and risk weights have remained stable. However, expected
losses have been trending downwards over the most recent three years
Trend Analysis
Our Pillar 3 analysis has also examined the trends observed
over the most recent three-year period from January 2018 to
April 2020. The charts shown to the right summarise the
average slotting exposure, RWA, RW% and EL% observed for
our benchmark sample firms over the last three years of
published Pillar 3s.
Chart 6 shows that since 2018, the overall average slotting
exposure, and correspondingly the average RWAs, have been
trending downwards.
The average slotting exposure has decreased from £9bn in
2018 to £7bn in 2020, a drop of £2bn (c.20%) over the last
three years. The corresponding RWAs have experienced a
similar movement falling by £1.4bn from £6.4bn in 2018 to
£5.0bn in 2020.
Risk weight and expected loss trends
We have also assessed the trends observed for the RW
% (chart 7) and EL % (chart 8) over the last three years.
Based on the averages seen across our benchmark sample
we note the following observations:
• RW %: The average RW% is relatively stable, remaining
between 73%-76% over the last three years.
• EL %: The EL% is trending downwards. Over the last
three years the EL % has reduced by 0.26% (absolute)
from 2.33% to 2.07%. This continues a longer term trend
of a reducing EL %, however the reduction appears to be
slowing in more recent years.
The key driver of this is a reduction of exposure in
category 5 over this period (see chart 9).
The following section explores the trend analysis further by
examining the movements in the average exposure category
distribution and residual maturity profile. 4 Co-Op Bank has been removed from the sample as the EL% data is not
available from the Pillar 3 report.
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4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
2018 2019 2020
£m
Chart 6: average slotting exposure and RWA over last three years (£m)
Exposure RWA
-2.0%▼
1.4%▲
72.0%
72.5%
73.0%
73.5%
74.0%
74.5%
75.0%
75.5%
2018 2019 2020
Chart 7: average RW % over last three years
-0.1%▼
-0.1%▼
1.90%
1.95%
2.00%
2.05%
2.10%
2.15%
2.20%
2.25%
2.30%
2.35%
2018 2019 2020
Chart 8: average EL % over last three years4
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Drivers of trends
At first glance, it could be concluded that slotting exposure
and RWA is on a downward trend potentially representing
a drive for reduced risk for this exposure class. However,
further review of supporting qualitative disclosures
suggests this may not be the case.
Exposure reductions over time have been driven by
securitisation activity, tightening of credit policy and normal
balance attrition at the point of contractual maturity.
However, this is offset by some firms seeing growth across
all years.
As such, continued trends over time will be dependent on
the interplay across the above activities.
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Pillar 3 trend analysis
Industry is seeing an increase in category 1 exposure with offsetting movements across
wider categories, in particular category 5, and a continued move to lower maturity assets
This page considers the changes and trends observed for the
slotting category distribution and residual maturity profile over
the last three years. The charts show yearly averages from
our sample firms (i.e. year on year (YoY) movements).
Slotting category distribution
The change in the average split of exposures across the
supervisory slotting categories has been assessed for the
sample firms, over the last three years. The results are shown
in chart 9 below:
Our analysis shows that the majority of exposure is contained
within category 1 and 2 over the last 3 years. We see an
upwards trend in the proportion of exposure in category 1
offset by a similar reduction in the category 2 (and category 3
and 4 to a lesser extent), highlighting a general shift to higher
quality assets over this period.
The trend for higher quality assets is further supported as the
proportion of exposure in category 5 is trending downwards.
Since 2018 the category 5 exposure has reduced by
approximately a third, with 3.5% of exposure in this category
in 2018 compared to 2.4% in 2020. Category 5 represents
the defaulted assets, attracting a significantly higher EL than
other categories (see table 1).
5 Co-Op Bank has been removed from the sample as the residual maturity
breakdown is not available from Pillar 3 reports.
For 2018, the residual maturity split for HSBC has been extrapolated based
on the split provided in the 2019 Pillar 3 report.
2.1%▲1.4%▲
-0.5%▼-1.5%▼
-1.0%▼ 0.3%▲
-0.3%▼ 0.6%▲
-0.3%▼ -0.8%▼
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60%
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Chart 9: exposure category profiles YoY
Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 Category 5
Residual maturity distribution
We have also assessed the change in the average residual
portfolio maturity for our sample firms across the last three
years. The analysis is shown in chart 10 below:
This analysis shows that in general the residual maturity has
been reducing since 2018. The proportion of exposures with
greater than 2.5 years residual maturity has reduced from
60% to 55% with a corresponding increase in exposures with
a residual maturity of less than 2.5 years.
Our analysis however does suggest that the shift to less than
2.5 years may be slowing. This shift to shorter maturities
provides further support that firms are moving to higher
quality positions.
Collectively, the exposure category and residual maturity
migrations over the past three years are the key drivers to the
downward trend for EL % presented in chart 8.
-4.6%▼ -0.9%▼
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Chart 10: residual maturity YoY5
Exposure< 2.5 years Exposure >= 2.5 years
Continuing trends and the impact of COVID-19
The impact of COVID-19 has the potential to disrupt the trends noted above. As we move into 2021 we are likely to see an
increase in assets migrating towards category 5 (default) which will result in a potential upward shift in RW % and EL %.
However, the eventual impact of COVID-19 may be muted. For example, we are noting some firms tighten their credit policy
and risk appetite (including moving to shorter maturities). We are also seeing some non-IRB firms withdrawing from some
slotting sub-classes (in particular real estate) at the risker end owing to the downturn environment. This may provide further
opportunities for established IRB firms, and IRB aspirant firms, to win greater market share and mitigate the impact.
January 2021Specialised lending
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Our enablers and tools to support you
How we can help – enablers and tools
We have developed a suite of enablers and tools that can be used to support you in the end-to-end implementation of
regulatory products (including corporate specialised lending and slotting approaches), ensuring compliance with the expected
regulatory requirements.
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to achieve IRB status
Strong links across IRB firms
bringing latest insights
Access to a large pool of SMEs
across all relevant IRB disciplines
Strong tools across data,
validation and RWA impacts
Work closely with firms on
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Proven PwC IRB accreditation and
change frameworks used across
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Gap assessments and
accreditation framework
Expert panel and
slotting build
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benchmarks
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delivery
Data and validation
tools
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scenario tool
Contacts
January 2021Specialised lending
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3
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Gemma Shaw
Senior Manager
T: +44 (0)7718 981216
Stefanie Aspden
Senior Manager
T: +44 (0)7483 406519
Stoyan Yotov
Senior Associate
T: +44 (0)7483 423693
Manuele Iorio
Director
T: +44 (0)7718 980479
Jason Benton
Director
T: +44 (0)7894 231008
Craig Luff
Associate Director
T: +44 (0)7889 643501
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