Spatial Justice and the Irish Crisis: Rural Economy - David Meredith

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Distribution of workers and jobs in Ireland Industrial Change and in Ireland: Industrial Change and Issues of Injustice? Issues of Injustice? David Meredith David Meredith

description

Royal Irish Academy Conference: Spatial Justice and the Irish Crisis 23 April, 2013, Academy House The on-going crisis and associated responses to it (political, governance, popular etc.) provides an entry point for a wide-ranging exploration of spatial justice as a theoretical construct and a departure point for empirical analysis. Discourses of justice, equality and fairness remain central to a range of interconnected debates as Ireland seeks to recover from the interrelated collapses of the banking system and property markets and the knock on effects through the rest of society and the economy. Scale is an important dimension in framing and constructing popular discourses concerning issues of justice, e.g. the role of EU institutions in shaping Ireland’s treatment of banking debt or the impact of national budgetary measures on particular places. The focus of this conference is on understanding these spatially connected processes, how they are functioning at different scales, their impact on particular or specific places and spaces, as they give rise to new or evolving social and economic geographies.

Transcript of Spatial Justice and the Irish Crisis: Rural Economy - David Meredith

Page 1: Spatial Justice and the Irish Crisis: Rural Economy - David Meredith

Distribution of workers and jobs in Ireland Industrial Change andin Ireland: Industrial Change and 

Issues of Injustice?Issues of Injustice?

David MeredithDavid Meredith

Page 2: Spatial Justice and the Irish Crisis: Rural Economy - David Meredith

OverviewOverview• Critique of past (current) failure to enact regional / rural development ‘policy’– 1999 White Paper (Neo‐endogenous rural development)– Changing governance arrangementsChanging governance arrangements

• Response to past lack of success– Neo‐liberal fix, i.e. Facilitate the penetration of capital into rural 

spaces

– Focus on initiatives focused on physical (capital) development• Permissive housing policy, both one‐off and large projects  (Residential / Commercial)

• Consequences for the rest of economy• No consideration of on‐going processes of industrial restructuring

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OverviewOverview• The process of investment and disinvestment is a continuous and 

interrelated process This process is driven by the search for surplus valueinterrelated process. This process is driven by the search for surplus value on the part of investors. 

• The combination of all investment – disinvestment decisions made at the• The combination of all investment – disinvestment decisions made at the investor scale results in differentiation in the levels and conditions of development.

– Focus here is on how capital produces and reproduced labour

• Spatial Divisions of Labour

Page 4: Spatial Justice and the Irish Crisis: Rural Economy - David Meredith

Before we begin…Before we begin…• Census of Population 1986 – 2011p

• Census of Population Place of Work Datasets 2006 20112006 ‐ 2011

• The analysis equates uneven development with particular geographical patterns. This(largely) ignores that other dimension of s( a ge y) g o es t at ot e d e s o ouneven development, namely differential growth rates within and between industrialgrowth rates within and between industrial sectors.

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Number of Unemployed / 1000 employedNumber of Unemployed / 1000 employed

350

300

350

250

mployed

150

200

yed pe

r 1,00

0 em

100

No. Une

mploy

0

50

1986 1991 1996 2002 2006 2011

MaleFemale

1986 1991 1996 2002 2006 2011

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Industrial Structure of Male Employment

1 200 000

p y

1,000,000

1,200,000

800,000

mpl

oyed

Other

Professional Services

P bli Ad i i t ti d

600,000

ber o

f Men

Em Public Administration and

Defence

Transport and Communications

Commerce

200 000

400,000

Num

b Commerce

Manufacturing and related industries

Construction

0

200,000

1986 1991 1996 2002 2006 2011

Construction

Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing

1986 1991 1996 2002 2006 2011

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Industrial Structure of Female Employmentp y

1 200 000

1,000,000

1,200,000

800,000

Empl

oyed

Other

Professional Services

600,000

er o

f Wom

en E Professional Services

Public Administration and DefenceTransport and Communications

200 000

400,000

Num

be

Commerce

Manufacturing and related industries

0

200,000

1986 1991 1996 2002 2006 2011

Construction

Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing

1986 1991 1996 2002 2006 2011

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Page 14: Spatial Justice and the Irish Crisis: Rural Economy - David Meredith

Impact of the recession on employmentp p y

150 000

50,000

100,000

150,000

-50,000

0

s em

ploy

ed

200 000

-150,000

-100,000

ber o

f per

son

Job LostJobs GainedNet Change

-300,000

-250,000

-200,000

ange

in n

umb

-400,000

-350,000

Males Females

Ch

Males Females

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Industrial Restructuring 2006 2011Industrial Restructuring 2006 ‐ 2011

150 000

50 000

100,000

150,000

ns e

mpl

oyed

-50 000

0

50,000

ber o

f per

son

-150,000

-100,000

-50,000

hang

e in

num

b

FemaleMale

150,000

Ch

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2006 Average Travel Distance2006 – Average Travel Distance25

20

25

10

15

0

5Male

Female

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2011 Average Travel Distance2011 – Average Travel Distance25

20

25

10

15

0

5Male

Female

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Change in Manufacturing Employment 2006 ‐ 2011

120000

100000

120000

80000

60000 2006

2011

20000

40000

0

20000

Urban RuralUrban Rural

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Age cohort analysis of male l h i f iemployment change in Manufacturing

2000

0

1000

2000

d

-2000

-1000

ales

em

ploy

ed

-4000

-3000

num

ber o

f ma

Net Urban Change

-6000

-5000

Cha

nge

in n Net Urban Change

Net Rural Change

-8000

-7000

20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+

Age as of 2011Age as of 2011

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Age cohort analysis of female employment change in Manufacturing

2000

0

1000

2000

d

-2000

-1000

les

empl

oyed

-4000

-3000

mbe

r of f

ema

Net Urban Change

Net Rural Change

-6000

-5000

Cha

nge

in n

um

-8000

-7000

20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75+

C

Age as of 2011Age as of 2011

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Change (%) in Average Distance to Work: Manufacturing

100 00

80.00

100.00

40.00

60.00

0.00

20.00Male

Female

-20.00

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ConclusionsConclusions• The unequal development of the Irish economy with its extremes of wealth and• The unequal development of the Irish economy, with its extremes of wealth and 

poverty, its rapid pace of urbanization and environmental degradation, has accelerated rather than diminished over the past quarter century. 

• Deindustrialization and regional decline, extended urbanisation or extrametropolitan growth and a new international division of labour, in which Ireland is a highly active player, “are not separate developments but symptoms of a much deeper transformation in the geography of capitalism” within Irelanda much deeper transformation in the geography of capitalism within Ireland (Smith, 2008 P.1).

• These developments are extensions of changing patterns of (uneven) development witnessed within the Eurozone, the EU and globally.

• Though many of the drivers of unequal development operate at surpa‐state scales, the state plays a fundamental role in determining the impacts including spatial ofthe state plays a fundamental role in determining the impacts, including spatial, of these drivers.