SPACE TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH …...Satellite Navigation Human Spaceflight Space Manufacturing...
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1 SPACE TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH & ORGANIZATION THEORY RESEARCH ENGAGING DISPARATE COMMUNITIES FOR BUSINESS & ECONOMIC RESEARCH IN THE SPACE INDUSTRY Ken Davidian, FAA AST Director of Research, presentation to the HBS Working Group on Business and Economics of Space, 3-4 November 2017 Ken is the sole author and owner of content pertaining to his doctoral research. 1
Transcript of SPACE TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH …...Satellite Navigation Human Spaceflight Space Manufacturing...
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SPACE TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH&ORGANIZATION THEORY RESEARCHENGAGING DISPARATE COMMUNITIES FOR BUSINESS & ECONOMIC RESEARCH IN THE SPACE INDUSTRY
Ken Davidian, FAA AST Director of Research, presentation to the HBS Working Group on Business and Economics of Space, 3-4 November 2017Ken is the sole author and owner of content pertaining to his doctoral research.
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FIRST OF ALL: THE “SPACE” INDUSTRY
Earth Observation Satellite Communications Space Science Launch Services Security Satellite Navigation Human Spaceflight Space Manufacturing Debris Removal INDUSTRY RISK MATRIX
Chakravarthy, B. S. (1985). Business-government partnership in emerging industries: Lessons from the American synfuelsexperience. Advances in Strategic Management, 3, 257–275.
Euroconsult, & GIFAS. (2015). Perspectives Spatiales 2015. Paris, France. Retrieved from http://www.perspectives-spatiales.com/sites/default/files/ckeditor_ files/perspectives_spatiales_2015_-_proceedings.pdf.
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PART 1
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TEN UNIVERSITIES, ASSOCIATE & AFFILIATE MEMBERS
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FOUR RESEARCH AREAS & RESEARCH ROAD MAP
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INTERNATIONAL ACTIVITIES IN INDUSTRY VIABILITY RESEARCH
COE CST “ESIL” Workshops – Game Theory “PARTS” Analysis “$pace is Business” (started in 2012) Winning Papers
Najam, A. (2012). Game theory analysis for the suborbital reusable launch vehicle research market. Yeh, J., & Revay, D. (2014). Price per pound: A poor predictor for future growth in the Commercial satellite
and launch industries. Belingheri, P., & Leone, M. I. (2015). Licensing as a tool to encourage technology transfer from space. Entrena, E.-U. C. M. (2016). Asteroid-COTS: developing the cislunar economy with private-public partnerships.
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INDUSTRY VIABILITY RESEARCH IN THE NEW SPACE JOURNAL
Official Journal of the COE CST
Volume 6 starts in 2018 Editor: Scott Hubbard Editorial Board and
Authors: Many in the room
~28 articles about IP, insurance, market structure, economic impact, banking, etc.
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PART 2
INDUSTRY-LEVEL ACCUMULATION MODEL PROCESSES OF INDUSTRY EMERGENCE
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PHENOMENON
Q: Why do new industries emerge? (A: Certain types of innovation)
Q: What defines a “new” industry? (A: No incumbents)
Q: How (by what processes) do industries emerge?Q: Why do industries take so long to emerge?
Q: How can industry emergence be accelerated?
THIS RESEARCH PROPOSESINDUSTRY-LEVEL PROCESSES TO THE
ACCUMULATION MODEL OF INDUSTRY EMERGENCE
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ACCUMULATION MODEL OF INDUSTRY EMERGENCE
100%
90%
80%
70%
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30%
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0%
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40%
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0%
Proprietary Functions
• Technological Development Functions
• Innovation Network & Resource Channel Action
• Market Creat’n& Consumer Demand
Resource Allocations
• Scientific-Technical Research
• Financial-Insurance
• Human Competence Pool
Institutional Arrangements
• Legitimation • Governance • Technology Standards
Van de Ven, A. H., & Garud, R. B. (1989). A framework for understanding the emergence of new industries. In Research on Technological Innovation, Management and Policy (Vol. 4, pp. 195–225). Greenwich, CT: JAI Press.
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CONTRIBUTING LITERATURE
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RESEARCH CONTEXT: HUMAN SUBORBITAL SPACE TRANSPORTATION INDUSTRY
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HSSTI COMMUNITY NETWORK
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SOLUTIONMethodology Research paradigm:
Scientific realism Qualitative methods Process (not variance) study Inductive reasoning Grounded theory extension Longitudinal case study Historic event analysis Unit of analysis: “event” Level of analysis:
population (industry)
Data Secondary sources Non-gov’t space news aggregator sites ~28,000 space entries (26 April 1999-now)~8,400 suborbital space “incidents” ~600 events
Archival data Press releases, publicly available government documents, conference presentations, news media reports, editorials and commentaries, etc.
Primary sources40 interviews, one-hour each, recorded, transcribed, coded
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THE ORIGINAL ACCUMULATION MODEL CONSTRUCT
Van de Ven, A. H., & Garud, R. B. (1989). A framework for understanding the emergence of new industries. In Research on Technological Innovation, Management and Policy (Vol. 4, pp. 195–225). Greenwich, CT: JAI Press.
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FINDINGS
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INDUSTRY-LEVEL ACCUMULATION MODEL PROCESSES OF INDUSTRY EMERGENCE
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