South Sulawesi, Indonesia Provincial Opinion Poll April 19 South Sulawesi... · South Sulawesi,...

South Sulawesi, Indonesia Provincial Opinion Poll

January 12, 2012 - February 1, 2012

International Republican Institute

Lembaga Survei Indonesia

with funding from the

United States Agency for International Development

1

IRI, Lembaga Survei Indonesia South Sulawesi Provincial Public Opinion Survey,

January 2012 2

Methodology

• This survey was designed, analyzed and fielded by Lembaga Survei Indonesia under the supervision of

Fallon Research and Communications on behalf of the International Republican Institute.

• The provincial representative survey was carried out from January 12-February 1, 2012. A sample of

720 South Sulawesi participants were interviewed face-to-face in their homes.

• Multi-stage sampling was used to select villages from South Sulawesi’s 24 districts to be included

in the sample.

• The Kish grid method was used to randomize the selection within households among eligible

respondents. The households were selected using the random route method.

• The sample was distributed at the district level, in rural and urban areas, in 24 districts of South

Sulawesi.

• The response rate was 76 percent.

• The margin of error for the survey does not exceed +/- 3.7 percent with a confidence level of 95

percent.

• Fifty-two interviewers worked on the study, on average completing 10 interviews per PSU. The

interviews were administered using local dialects and conducted by interviewers who are native speakers.

• The survey questions were asked in a different order than the order in which they are presented here.

• Due to rounding, charts may not add up to 100 percent.


January 2012 3

Survey Demographics

Male 50% Female 50%

Urban 31% Rural 69%

Marital Status

Married 87%

Single 9%

Widow/Widower 4%

Education

Less than or equal to primary 50%

Junior high or equivalent 18%

Senior high or equivalent 24%

College/University 9%

Age

Younger than 24 7%

24 to 34 24%

35 to 44 30%

45 to 54 18%

55+ 21%

Monthly Household Income

Up to 400,000 rupiah 38%

400,000 to 999,999 rupiah 27%

1,000,000+ rupiah 35%

Religion

Islam 90%

Christian 9%

Other 2%


January 2012 4

District of Respondents

Selayar2%

Bulukumba5% Bantaeng

2% Jeneponto4%

Takalar3%

Gowa8%

Sinjai3%

Maros4%

Panngkajene Dan Kepulauan

4%

Barru2%Bone

9%

Soppeng3%

Wajo5%

Sidenreng Rappang3%

Pinrang4%Enrekang

2%

Luwu4%

Tana Toraja3%

Luwu Utara4%

Luwu Timur3%

Toraja Utara3%

Kota Makassar17%

Kota Pare-Pare2%

Kota Palopo2%

SOCIAL INDICATORS INDEX

5


January 2012 6

Generally speaking, would you say that things in this

province are headed in the right direction or the wrong

direction?

72

10

1

17

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Right direction Wrong direction No response Don't know


January 2012 7

Why do you think that things in your province are heading

in the right direction? (Closed-ended) Respondents who think things are headed in the right direction, N=516

5

4

11

23

26

33

0 10 20 30 40

No response/Don't know

Other

Economic conditions are good

The general environment is good or improving

There is peace and security

Government governs well/Assisting people


January 2012 8

Why do you think that things in your province are heading

in the wrong direction? Respondents who think things are headed in the wrong direction, N=70

2

13

4

11

12

16

17

25

0 5 10 15 20 25 30


Other

There is instability

Low standard of living

Limited job opportunities

Corruption

Economic conditions are not good

The government is not governing well


January 2012 9

Compared to a year ago, has your personal financial

situation improved, stayed the same or worsened?

35

44

20

1

Improved Stayed the same Worsened No response/Don'tknow

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50


January 2012 10

Thinking about next year, do you expect the economic

situation in your household is going to get better, stay the

same or get worse?

Better 46%

Stay the same 35%

Worse 6%

No response/Don't know 13%

ELECTION INDEX

11


January 2012 12

Did you vote in the April 2009 provincial parliamentary

elections?

Yes 90%

No 9%



January 2012 13

If yes, please tell me which political party you voted for in

the April 2009 provincial parliamentary elections?

Respondents who said they voted in the April 2009 provincial parliament elections, N=650

45

13

6 2 2 2 2

7 5

17

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Golkar Democrat

Party

National

Mandate

Party

Indonesian

Democratic

Party

Struggle

United

Democratic

Nationhood

Party

United

Development

Party

Prosporous

Justice Party

Other No response Don't know


January 2012 14

Which one of the following statements most determines for

whom you vote?

14

2

11

20

22

31

0 10 20 30 40

Don't know

No response

Other

I usually vote for the same candidate or his localpolitical group

I usually vote for the same political party

I usually don't vote for the same political party orpolitical group and my vote depends upon various

other factors

I usually don't vote for the same political party

or political group and my vote depends upon

various other factors

I usually vote for the same candidate or his

local political group


January 2012 15

People give different reasons for why they vote for one party

rather than another. Which of the following describes your

reason for voting for a particular party instead of another party?

10

1

6

8

16

17

21

21

0 5 10 15 20 25

Don't know

No response

Other

The party had the best candidate in my constituency

The party has the best policies

The party provides assistance

The party's candidate has been working in myconstituency

The party has the best leader

The party's candidate has been working in my

constituency


January 2012 16

Which of the following criteria or characteristics are the

most important to you when selecting a legislative

candidate to vote for ? (First priority) Responses two percent and greater

4

2

2

3

4

5

5

12

12

46

0 10 20 30 40 50


Charisma

Proposed policies

Intelligence

Experience as a leader

The support he/she has from the public

Opposed to corruption

Religious

Close to people

Honesty


January 2012 17

I am going to ask for your level of agreement or disagreement

with the following statement. I would be more likely to vote for

a political party which includes more young people in their

political party.

5 59 23 1 12

0 20 40 60 80 100

Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree No response/Don't know

64% Agree 24% Disagree


January 2012 18

I am going to ask for your level of agreement or disagreement

with the following statement. I would be more likely to vote for a

political party that nominates more legislative women candidates.

3 45 38 3 12

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree No response/Don't know

48% Agree 41% Disagree


January 2012 19

If there are two candidates campaigning for the same elected office

with exactly the same qualifications, but one is a man and the other

is a woman, which one would you be more likely to vote for?

9

49

39

4

Prefer to vote for awoman

Prefer to vote for aman

Gender makes nodifference to me

No response/Don'tknow

0

10

20

30

40

50

60


January 2012 20

If provincial parliamentary elections were held next week,

how likely is it that you will vote?

61

35

1 2 3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not vote at all No response/Don'tknow

ISSUES AND ATTITUDES INDEX

21


January 2012 22

Which one of the following issues is of greatest concern

to you? Only displaying responses of two percent and greater

8

2

2

2

2

4

6

7

8

8

11

14

26

0 5 10 15 20 25 30


Problems of water supply

Increase in level of crime

Low quality and high prices of health care

Solution to housing problems

Quality and accessibility of education

Corruption

Unemployment and threat of losing job

Not a sufficient level of support to small business

Low standard of living and low income

Insufficent support to farmers

Lack of infrastructure (electricity, roads, etc.)

Inflation and price increases


January 2012 23

On the issue most important to you, do you feel that the

provincial government is capable of solving the problem

within the next two years ?

Yes 45%

No 24%



January 2012 24

If you could improve one service or policy in your area,

what would it be? (Open-ended) Only displaying responses of two percent and greater

9

2

2

2

3

3

3

4

5

8

9

41

0 10 20 30 40 50


Economy

Flooding

Housing

Security

Decrease price of basic needs

Employment

Environment and sanitation

Availabilty of clean water

Agriculture (fertilizer, irrigation)

Water drainage

Infrastructure


January 2012 25

In your opinion, how prevalent is corruption within the

government in your province?

17 23 15 9 3 34

0 20 40 60 80 100

Very prevalent Somewhat prevalent Not very prevalent

Not prevalent at all No response Don't know


January 2012 26

Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the provincial

government’s efforts to fight corruption?

2 24 38 9 3 25

0 20 40 60 80 100

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat unsatisfied

Very unsatisfied No response Don't know

26% Satisfied 47% Unsatisfied


January 2012 27

In your opinion, what is the most corrupt institution in

the province? (Open-ended) Responses two percent and greater

70

2

2

2

4

7

7

0 20 40 60 80


Ministry of Public Works

Ministry of Education and Culture

Tax office

Legal institutions

Local government

Parliament/Local parliament


January 2012 28

Turning to a different topic, in the past year has any

legislator or political party member contacted you about

any issue of importance to you?

Yes 7%

No 91%



January 2012 29

In the future, should a legislator or political party member

need to contact you, what is the most convenient way for

you to be contacted? Responses two percent and greater

10

2

2

2

3

6

7

8

9

40

54

0 10 20 30 40 50 60


Radio program

Letter

SMS

Media (e.g. newspaper)

In person/Travel to my office

Through a political party event

Through a non-governmental organization

Telephone

Through a community/Public event

In person/Travel to my house


January 2012 30

Have you ever given money to a political party?

3

96

2

Yes No No response/Don't know

0

20

40

60

80

100

120


January 2012 31

If no, why have you not given money to a political party? Respondents indicating that they have not given money to a political party, N=699

Responses two percent and greater

5

3

6

6

7

8

9

40

54

0 10 20 30 40 50 60


Political parties have too much money

It is not appropriate to give money to politicsalparties

The political party's funding is its business

Not a political party member

Not interested in politcs

Never been asked, but if asked I will contribute

Have other necessities

No funds available to give

It is not appropriate to give money to political

parties


January 2012 32

In your opinion, are people in your province afraid to

openly express their political views or not?

9 17 37 18 20

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Majority are afraid Many are afraid Some are afraid Nobody is afraid No response/Don't know


January 2012 33

What is your opinion about the trend of religious

extremism in your province compared to two years ago?

Has it increased, stayed more or less the same or

decreased?

14 32 24 30

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Increased More or less the same Decreased No response/Don't know


January 2012 34

How concerned, if at all, are you about the rise of

religious extremism in your province these days? Respondents having the opinion that the trend of religious extremism in the province has

increased, N=99

27 34 27 5 7

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Very concerned Somewhat concerned Not too concerned Not at all concerned No response/Don't know

INSTITUTIONAL RATINGS

35


January 2012 36

Now I am going to read various problems, and please rate

the provincial government’s performance on each of the

issues listed below.

23

31

32

35

41

51

52

57

59

61

63

67

71

72

73

23

47

32

26

20

23

16

21

15

14

15

15

11

15

15

29

25

27

30

17

16

19

12

18

18

17

3

13

6

7

25

6

10

9

23

10

13

9

8

7

6

15

4

7

5

0 20 40 60 80 100

Fighting corruption

Inflation control

Employment

Poverty reduction

Housing

Fighting crime

Development of roads and highways

Preserving the environment

Water availability

Water quality

Construction of public facilities schools, bridges, etc.

Gender/Religious/Race/Ethnicity-based discrimination

Availability of electricity

Improving the educational system

Health care

Good Fair Poor No response/Don't know


January 2012 37

I would like to ask you about your impressions on the performance

of the following institutions. How would you rate the performance

of each of the following institutions: very good, good, fair, poor or

very poor?

25

29

34

37

40

42

43

55

58

60

67

81

18

47

22

24

19

22

25

22

20

17

16

11

2

13

10

8

3

6

9

13

7

3

3

1

54

29

34

31

39

31

22

10

15

20

13

8

0 20 40 60 80 100

International non-governmental organizations

Political parties

Courts

Provincial parliament

Domestic non-governmental organizations

Local election commission

Local parliament

Police

Civil service employees

Media

Governor

Religious leaders

Good Fair Poor No response/Don't know


January 2012 38

Are you satisfied or unsatisfied with the quality of work

provided by the provincial legislature?

2 45 27 3 2 22

0 20 40 60 80 100




January 2012 39


provided by the district head in your city/village?

7 62 24 1 1 6

0 20 40 60 80 100




January 2012 40


provided by the governor of your province?

6 64 18 1 1 11

0 20 40 60 80 100



MEDIA INDEX

41


January 2012 42

What are the main sources of political information for

you? Only displaying responses of one percent and greater

21

1

1

1

2

3

3

6

61

0 20 40 60 80


Internet

Religious leader

Radio

Village news board

Village head

Newspapers

Relatives, friends

TV


January 2012 43

How do you rate the credibility of each of these

information sources on a scale of one to five, where one

means very unreliable and five means very credible? Responses of three or higher only

84 82

81 76

71

61

55

41

33 31

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90


January 2012 44

On average, how often do you use the Internet?

8

76

5

1

2

4

4

0 20 40 60 80


Never

Less often

Once a month

Once a week

A few times per week

Everyday


January 2012 45

What do you use the Internet for mostly? Respondents indicating that they use the Internet at least once a month, N=117

1

1

2

2

2

4

6

11

12

14

21

24

30

0 10 20 30 40


Looking for work

Learning

Shopping

Watch videos

Blog

Research

Listen to music

Games

Facebook

Email

Work

Chat


January 2012 46

Where do you most regularly access the Internet? Respondents indicating that they use the Internet at least once a month, N=117

4

2

2

8

27

28

31

0 10 20 30 40


School

Relatives' or friends' home

Work

Cell phone or mobile connection

Home

Internet café

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