SOUTH AFRICAs CRIME PROFILE November 2010 JOHAN BURGER Crime & Justice Programme INSTITUTE FOR...
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SOUTH AFRICA’s CRIME PROFILE November 2010 JOHAN BURGER Crime & Justice Programme INSTITUTE FOR SECURITY STUDIES
Transcript of SOUTH AFRICAs CRIME PROFILE November 2010 JOHAN BURGER Crime & Justice Programme INSTITUTE FOR...
SOUTH AFRICA’s CRIME PROFILE
November 2010
JOHAN BURGER
Crime & Justice Programme
INSTITUTE FOR SECURITY STUDIES
• Perceptions of crime & victim survey
• Official (SAPS) crime statistics (focus on worrying trends)
• ATM attacks (SABRIC)
• Crime combating model
Presentation Outline
Public & media perceptions of crime in SA
How safe do you feel walking alone in your area after dark?
SA’s feel increasingly unsafe in their areas, despite declining crime levels
The % feeling very unsafe increased by 148% between 1998 and 2007
94/95 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01/02 02/03 '03/04 '04/05 '05/06 '06/07 07/08 08/09 09/100
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
Violent interpersonal crime RobberyProperty crime Other
SAPS: 20 most serious crimes recorded1994/95 – 2009/10
Murder & Attempted Murder trend1994/95 – 2009/10 (rates per 100 000)
94\95 95\96 96\97 97\98 98\99 99\00 00\01 01\02 02\03 03\04 '04\05 05\06 06\07 07\08 08\09 09\100
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
66.9 67.962.8 59.9 59.8
52.5
49.847.8
47.4
42.7
40.3 39.5 40.538.6 37.3
34.1
69.4 68.1 70.8
68.3 70.165.5
64.4
70.2
78.9
64.8
52.6
43.9 42.539.3 37.6
35.3
Murder Att Murder
Trends for Assault GBH & Assault Common1994/95 – 2009/10 (rates per 100 000)
1994/95
1995/96
1996/97
1997/98
1998/99
1999/00
2000/01
2001/02
2002/03
2003/04
2004/05
2005/06
2006/07
2007/08
2008/09
2009/10
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
518.4 521.9503.2
488.3483.5
538.9 569.7
587.7621.6
605.7575
485.3
443.2 413.9 396.1400
558.3565.1 573.8
569.6564.5 608.1 630.2
592.4585.9
560.7535.3
484460.1
439.1 418.5 416.2
Assault Common Assault GBH
94/95 95/96 96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 01\02 02\03 03\04 04\05 05\06 06\07 07\08 08\09 09\100
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
220
196
164177
220230
260 262
279288
272
255267
247 249
230
Aggravated Robbery1994/95 – 2009/10
12%
17%
13%
0%
0%1%
57%
Aggr robbery: Sub-categories
Car hijackingHouse robberyBus robberyBank robberyCITTruck hijackingStreet robbery
2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/100
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
5498
3677 3320
4387
6689
9862
13920
145341469113793
1243412825
1359914201 14915
13902
9063 93519391
10173
12761
14481
1843818786
Business robberies Car hijackings House robberies
Trio crimes2002 – 2009/10
96/97 97/98 98/99 99/00 00/01 '01/02 '02/03 '03/04 '04/05 '05/06 '06/07 '07/08 08/09 09\100
100
200
300
400
500
600
561
463
493
450469
356
127
54 58 59
129144
102 93
359
236223 226
196
238
374
192220
383
467
395
386
358
Bank robbery CIT
Bank & CIT Robberies 1994/95 – 2009/10
ATM Attacks 2004 - 2009
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
30
37
82
368
447
288
SABRIC figures
03\04 04\05 05\06 06\07 07\08 08\09 09\100
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
155
143 137 138140
166
179
120116 116
130136
159172
Shoplifting Com Crime
03\04 04\05 05\06 06\07 07\08 08\09 09\100
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
901 930 829 8921245 1437 1412
3677 3320
4387
6689
9862
1392014534
Truck hijacking Bus robbery
Rates per 100 000
Real figures
Crimes against business2003/04 – 2009/10
2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/100
100
200
300
400
500
600
700645.2
592.8
559.9526.8
497.1 506.5 520.2
139.3 120.3 116 123.3 131.7 143.8 145.5
Res Burglary Bus Burglary
Residential and Business Burglary Trends2003/04 – 2009/10 (rates per 100 000)
Car Hijackings
House Robberies
Business Robberies2002/03 – 2009/10
Att Murder
Murder
2002/03 – 2009/10
Assault GBH
Assault Common
1994/95 – 2009/10
1 3 4 8 5 7
201000
22,7
52,6
Police numbers
Police budget in SA Rand
Relationships & motives relating to
murderPerpetrators known to victims
Perpetrators as relatives, friends, etc
Relatives as perpetrators
81,5% 61,9% 20,1%
Relationships
MotivesSocial behaviour(E.g. arguments, jealousy, other domestic causes, alcohol, drugs, etc)
Criminalbehaviour (E.g. resulting from other crime, self defence, retali-ation, etc)
Groupbehaviour(Gang related, taxi violence & vigilantism)
Accidental killings
65,4% 26,3% 6,9% 1,5%
