RESEARCH 101. SOURCES, SOURCES, SOURCES! LET’S PLAY A GAME… What just happened???
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Sources Transport Recipient Systems Resistor Output Visualization Scenarios Decision-Support tool imate change (model output) drological modifications Population change (scenarios) Land use and cover change (models, observations) Archive, provenance, other considerations Q: What are the controls, impacts, and societal responses to atmosphere–land–water transfer of pollutants, and how will they change under multiple, global-change stressors?
description
Q: What are the controls, impacts, and societal responses to atmosphere–land–water transfer of pollutants, and how will they change under multiple, global-change stressors?. Recipient Systems. Sources. Population change (scenarios) Land use and cover change (models, observations). Resistor. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Sources
Sources
Transport
Recipient Systems
Resistor
OutputVisualization
ScenariosDecision-Support tool
Clim
ate
chan
ge (m
odel
out
put)
Hydr
olog
ical
mod
ifica
tions
Popu
latio
n ch
ange
(sce
nario
s)La
nd u
se a
nd c
over
cha
nge
(mod
els,
obs
erva
tions
)
Archive, provenance, other considerations
Q: What are the controls, impacts, and societal responses to atmosphere–land–water transfer of pollutants, and how will they change under multiple, global-change stressors?
Data Needs
• Observations of sources of pollutants - spatially explicit - satellite (e.g., MODIS), aerial imagery (need) - point sources:
• power plant locations• - CAFOs • - wastewater treatment plants
- diffuse sources:• - fertilizers• - auto-transportation• - urban runoff
• Sensor networks• USGS Gauge Network • other sensor networks (need)
• Model output for spatial and time varying transport• CMAQ annual deposition SPARROW water quality model USGS• NASA models of aerosol movement• SMS and Delta3D for sediment transports• CMS for CDOM transport and oil-spills• WRI model for river discharge
• Landscape and habitat models of recipient systems- GIS-based data from recipient systems (e.g., WRI, USGS, MCRMP, ReefGIS )- Spatial data on population/demographic characteristics
• Inputs from models for changing conditions• Climate change model output at various scales• Population projections• Land-use change models
• Modularity: main program with modules (off/on in parameter file)• Flexible I/O:
• OPeNDAP (Open-source Project for Network Data Access protocol); •Storage: flexible output (netcdf, ASCII formats) and data archive system
• Existing pollutant transport models • CMAQ annual deposition Community Modeling and Analysis System (CMAS) Center
• SPARROW water quality model USGS• NASA models of aerosol movement• SMS and Delta3D for sediment transports• CMS for CDOM transport and oil-spills
• Landscape and habitat models (USGS, WRI)
Software Needs for Data & Model Output Synthesis
Perturbations of IC (climate and land-use scenarios)• New transport models: Coupled atmospheric-ocean transport models
- High Performance Computing with multi-processors and MPI capabilities - multi-scale nesting capabilities - hind-cast and near-real time capabilities- stochastic capabilities & ensemble simulations to formulate uncertainties
Output & Visualization Needs•user interface, interactive scenarios •connectivity module linking sources to recipients: where the pollution comes from?•Matlab 2 & 3D animations•R - statistical package
