Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein [email protected] Web2Expo – Berlin...

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Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein [email protected] om Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008

Transcript of Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein [email protected] Web2Expo – Berlin...

Page 1: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Some thoughts on the European Venture scene

Saul [email protected]

Web2Expo – BerlinOctober 22, 2008

Page 2: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

The weather looks pretty terrible right now

Page 3: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

No wonder Jason was getting depressed

Page 4: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

The Valley is seriously downbeat

Page 5: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Though Dave McClure did shout out a “get over it”

Page 6: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Fact is start ups are really tough

Page 7: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

You have no customers

Page 8: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

No money

Page 9: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

You and your team are fighting an imaginary war

Page 10: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Armed just with some big ideas

Page 11: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

But hey, we’ve fallen from greater heights

Page 12: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Founded IPOVC

Some of the greats started in depressions

Page 13: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

FoundedIPO

VC >> ?

Many major winners started during and after the last bubble

Page 14: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Now the Internet is nearly 6x the size of 2001Hosts

Page 15: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

How we spend our time online has shifted radically

Page 16: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Big 3 Social 14

Minutes 159 bn 141 bnMins/Visitor 5 13Page Views 216 bn 296 bnPages/Visitor 125 583

This shift will have big, long term repercussions

Page 17: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

We’re living in a new technical world order

Page 18: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Firefox has 42% market share!!!

Page 19: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

We now have substantial shared “public” resources

Page 20: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

New platforms are changing infrastructure and distribution costs

Page 21: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Free resources exist to support and educate start-ups

8 hubs 80+ cities

Page 22: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Boulder

Leeds

Utrecht

Helsinki Hamburg

Paris

Belgrade

Page 23: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

We will almost certainly face severe and sustained recessions

- 61% YTD

- 63% YTD

- 49% YTD

- 40% YTD

- 62% YTD

- 56% YTD

Page 24: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

But where the Internet is used has changed dramatically – its not just the US anymore

Page 25: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

There is still a lot of capital to invest in Europe

Page 26: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Capital will look to back people who understand the new reality

Page 27: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Angels will retreat

Page 28: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Focus. Don’t panic.

Page 29: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Bootstrap Like Crazy.

Focus. Don’t panic.

Page 30: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Bootstrap Like Crazy.

Focus. Don’t panic.

Make products people want.

Page 31: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Get Paying Customers.

Bootstrap Like Crazy.

Focus. Don’t panic.

Make products people want.

Page 32: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Get Paying Customers.

Cut costs. Get to break even

Bootstrap Like Crazy.

Focus. Don’t panic.

Make products people want.

Page 33: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Raise enough capital. Stay Strong.

Get Paying Customers.

Cut costs. Get to break even

Bootstrap Like Crazy.

Focus. Don’t panic.

Make products people want.

Page 34: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Whatever works for you use it.

Good luck

Page 35: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Appendix

Some interesting data….

Page 36: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.
Page 37: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Latest figures show European investment is going up

Page 38: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Europe already had three $ bn investment hubs

Page 39: Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008.

Why break-even and capital are important