Solutions along the value chain - Munich Re...2016. Yahoo (500m records) 2018 Marriott (500m...

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Image: chinaface - Getty Images / iStockphoto Our core beats digital. Solutions along the value chain Monte Carlo | 8 September 2019 Torsten Jeworrek • Anthony Kuczinski

Transcript of Solutions along the value chain - Munich Re...2016. Yahoo (500m records) 2018 Marriott (500m...

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Our core beats digital.Solutions along the value chain

Monte Carlo | 8 September 2019Torsten Jeworrek • Anthony Kuczinski

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Global reinsurance landscapeTorsten Jeworrek

A world of risks, a world of opportunitiesTorsten Jeworrek

Solutions along the value-chain – Our core beats digital Torsten Jeworrek • Anthony Kuczinski

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Agenda

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1.5% 2% 3% 3%Total ~€227bn 100%

Europe €73bn 32% 1% 1% 1% 2%

North America €72bn 32% 3% 2% 3% 2%

Asia Pacific €55bn 24% 1% 3% 5% 5%

Latin America €15bn 7% 1% 2% -1% 3%

Africa/Middle East €12bn 5% 1% 2% 3% 3%

RI PI

16–18 19–21 16–18 19–21

Global premium development from 2016–2018/2019e–2021e

P-C RI and PI real growth rates (CAGR)P-C RI: Ceded premiums 2018

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Global reinsurance landscape

Source: Munich Re Economic Research

Moderate reinsurance premium growth expected until 2021, with lower rates than primary insurance premium growth1

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Traditional market Capital base of the reinsurance industry overall stable over the

last years Many reinsurers use dividend payments and share buy-backs to

manage their capital more actively

Non-traditional capacity/Alternative Risk Transfer (“ART”) Total capital employed slightly growing to ~100 bn USD (Q1 2019)1

17/18 loss events resulting in material lock-ins Market has developed multiple forms to unlock and redeploy capital,

so actual capacity reduction from lock-in limited Increasing interest in portfolios with lower concentration risk. Inflows to opportunistic, highly concentrated strategies stalled after

two consecutive years of under-delivering and losses to capital Nevertheless, alternative capacity still concentrated in Florida/U.S.

East Coast Nat Cat and retro market We continue to utilize this capacity source for capital management

Source: AM Best, Guy Carpenter, Aon Benfield, Munich Re1 Sum of reported top 50 fund NAV plus guess on non-reported capital

292320

340 332 345 341 346

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2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E

Traditional RI capital in $bn

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Global reinsurance landscape

Dedicated reinsurance capital Trends

Traditional reinsurance market with stable developmentAlternative capital reevaluating investment case1

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CLIMATE CHANGEDIGITALISATION

NEW FORMS OF MOBILITY

OLD RISKS NEW RISKS

CYBER RISKS

NEW FORMS OF ENERGY

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Challenges we are facing as an industry and we should be dealing with to remain relevant2

TRADE WARS

POLITICAL UNCERTAINTIES

GEOPOLITICAL VOLATILITY

A world of risks, a world of opportunities

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2018: 13% (8)

Image: mdd / Shutterstock.com

9 13%

2018: 15% (7)

Image: Ociacia / Shutterstock.com

7 19%

2018: 10% (10)

Image: think4photop / Shutterstock.com

8 13%

NEW

Getty Images / Hero Images

10 9%

2018: 20% (6)

Image: used under license from shutterstock.com

6 19%

Source : Allianz Risk Barometer 2019 6

Image: used under license from shutterstock.com

2018: 30% (3)

3 28%

2018: 42% (1)

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Image: donvictorio / Shutterstock.com

37%

Image: mauritius images / Masterfile

2018: 21% (5)

4 27%

2018: 22% (4)

Image blackred / Getty Images

5 23%

Loss of reputation or brand valueNew technologies Climate change

Shortage of skilled workforce

2018: 40% (2)

2 37%

Image: mauritius images / Cultura / Andrew Brookes

Fire, explosion

Natural catastrophesBusiness InterruptionChanges in legislation and regulation Market developmentsCyber incidents

Digital transformation demands new solutions from (Re)Insurance industry2

A world of risks, a world of opportunities

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CYBERSOLUTIONS

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2005 2020

Evolution and exponential growth in cyber incidents

2007DDoS on Estonian govt. sites

2011Sony PSN data breach

2013Yahoo!(3bn records)

2014Sony Picturehack

2017WannaCry

2016Yahoo (500m records)

2018Marriott (500m records)

2017NotPetya

2018Google+ (52m records)

2012Dropbox(68m records)

2014Ebay(145m records)

2018Twitter (330m records)

2018Facebook (90m records)

2016LinkedIn (112m records)

2016Bank of Bangladesh attack (estimated $81m stolen)

2017Uber (57m records)

Major cyber incidents

2009DDoS attack on govt./financial websites in South Korea

2010Stuxnet

2011RSA SecurID infiltration

2015Anthem (80m records)

2015US federal1(21m records)

1 Sensitive personnel data stolen from US govt. employees gone through security clearance background checks 8

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Recent market trends and developments Underscore the necessity and potential of cyber insurance

Global IT securityinvestments will further grow: Most new buyers are SMEs

(small sized: <€50m) Top buyers by industry: Healthcare Manufacturing Professional services Financial institutions

Top cover elements: BI (growing importance) Data breach (remaining important)

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Cyber related losses

Growth of digitalbusiness models

The new internet standard 5G

Increasing legislation and internal governance requirements

Board or Senior Management demands

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Workshops, training and client seminars

Technical risk assessment support

White-label concept design for cyber products

Threat intelligence sharing and cyber-claims information exchange

Innovative cyber products and co-creation in the cyber network

IT service provider database and third-party services

Advice on “silent cyber” in traditional lines of insurance

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Legal advice and wording analysis

Support for pricing and accumulation control

Post-incident services and solutions

Solutions for cyber in a data driven world3

Cyber challenge accepted – Munich Re’s cyber strategy reflects an active appetite for taking risks and driving innovation

Co-operation and service offerings include

Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

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111 Estimates by Munich Re

0123456789

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2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

in $bnRoW US

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2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

in $mPI RI

Cyber is one of Munich Re’s main strategic growth areas

DigitalisationClaims

Legislation

Cyber insurance market with strong expected growth Munich Re – Cyber reinsurer of the year 2017, 2018 and 20193

GWP global cyber insurance market1 GWP Munich Re cyber portfolio

Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

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3Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

WILDFIRERISK SCORE

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Losses caused by wildfires in California have increased in recent decades

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…mostly due to the increase of values in high hazard areas but probably also due to a changing climate.

1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 20150

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Estimated cumulative forest area burned(millions of acres)

Wildfires with Climate Change

Wildfires without Climate Change

Source: Munich Re Study “Californian Wildfires From A Casualty Perspective“, 2018

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Source: Abatzoglou/Williams 2016, PNAS 113

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External data modified by Munich Re

Big range of proprietary information & data

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We have developed a new wildfire risk score map for California, Colorado and Arizona to support customers and insurance companies managing wildfire risk

We enhanced external data with our claims experience & scientific assessment of the impacts of climate change

Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

3New Munich Re

Wildfire Risk Score MapNew Hazard Zones

Munich Re internal &enriched external data

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… to come up with a new Wildfire Risk Score Map and a more accurate Risk Index

Turning vulnerability into resilience. Smart exposure management and claims control with Munich Re’sHD Wildfire Risk Index

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Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

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Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

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PARAMETRICSOLUTIONS

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Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

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Payment triggered by event occurrence exceeding parametric threshold.

Pre-agreed payment structure based on event parameter or index value.

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Parametric solutions are products designed with a trigger beyond a

tolerable threshold and an according payout mechanism.

Easily verifiable parameters determine the payout, hence the pre-agreed

payment can be swiftly made.

Parametric trigger solutionsAdvances in technology enhance trigger design and loss detection

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For example: Satellite and drone-based gauging of

vegetation or floodingFor example: (smart) machines

overheating For example: Minimum

magnitude within a defined area

Payout is triggered by event occurrence Exceeding parametricthreshold

Operating Temperature

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Earthquake Economic impact of draught and flood

Broad range of applications for parametric triggersNew forms of data analysis and real-time monitoring allow structuring of new solutions3

Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

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CLOSING GAPS

UNPRECEDENTED LEVEL OF

TRANSPARENCY NO DEDUCTIBLES

REDUCED CLAIMS-RELATED

EXPENSES

Previously uninsurable risks

arising from natural catastrophes can be covered. The product is easily customizable

and allows limiting risk in a cost-efficient

manner.

Pre-agreed independent third parties provide the

data needed to trigger the cover – this

information can be accessed immediately

after the event.

Parametric products typically don’t have a deductible, so there is

no financial commitment from your side once all

triggers have been met.

The simplicity of the payout process

substantially reduces administrative costs.

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SPEED

Parametric triggers ensure rapid recovery

thanks to a simple and quick payout

process that provides liquidity when it is

needed most. No physical damage

is required.

Parametric solutions bear beneficial characteristics –But basis risk must not be ignored

Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

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Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

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REMOTEINDUSTRIES

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Challenges you face during a hurricane event3Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

High volume of incoming claims

Difficulties in short-term planning

Improving customer experience in case of loss

Restricted access to affected areas and limited ability to gain on-the-ground insight

Challenges in securing and placement of resources

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Deep Learning Video Inspection Tool

Simple web tool or API

High-resolution aerial imagery

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Automated claims processing from aerial imagery leads to lower claims handling costs, faster reaction times and better fraud detection possibilities

Remote Industries approach – algorithm-based, automated claims processing for natural catastrophes

Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

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How Remote Industries works during a hurricane

Post-hurricane repair identification More accurate underwriting at the UW desk Higher quality of policies renewed Confirmation of repair completion from

storm event

Hurricane claims management Pre-First Notice of Loss awareness in

many cases Faster adjustment of property claims Better claims segmentation/triage Better steering of adjuster resources

Hurricane loss prediction Better loss-aggregate planning Improved planning of inside and

field adjuster resources Pre-storm assistance to

policyholder

pre cat post cat non cat+1d-2d +10d+3d +6m

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Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

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We develop digital solutions to serve our customers in new, smarter, better ways

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Solutions along the value chain – Our core beats digital

Munich Re is investing in digital solutions to extend your reach beyond traditional (Re)Insurance3

At our core, we are in the people business. When the worst happens, our job is to help alleviate human suffering.

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FIRE HURRICANE FLOOD CYBER

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Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on current assumptions and forecasts of the management of Munich Re. Known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences between the forward-looking statements given here and the actual development, in particular the results, financial situation and performance of our Company. The Company assumes no liability to update these forward-looking statements or to make them conform to future events or developments.

Monte Carlo | 8 September 2019Torsten Jeworrek • Anthony Kuczinski