Solarizing Houghton-KRC-March-19-210

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Solar Powering Michigan Abhilash “Abhi” Kantamneni| Michigan Technological University

Transcript of Solarizing Houghton-KRC-March-19-210

Page 1: Solarizing Houghton-KRC-March-19-210

Solar Powering MichiganAbhilash “Abhi” Kantamneni| Michigan Technological University

Page 2: Solarizing Houghton-KRC-March-19-210

Houghton Winters

Source: Mining Journal

Source: Mining Gazette

Source: Michigan Tech Alumni

Source: Mining Journal

Source: boniashburn.com

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OCREA

UPPCO

WEPCO

DTE ELECTRIC

CONSUMERS

CHERRYLAND

THUMBXCEL

AEP

$0.24

$0.21$0.21

$0.16$0.16

$0.15$0.15$0.15$0.14

$0.14$0.14$0.13

$0.11$0.11$0.11

$0.10$0.10

MI Average Residential Electric Rates 2013[$/kWh]

MI Average: $0.14/kWhSource: MPSC Utility Company Annual Reports 2013

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Average Residential Electricity Retail Rates

by State (2013)State Average Price

[$/kWh]Hawaii $0.37

Houghton $0.21-$0.24New York $0.19

Alaska $0.19Connecticut $0.18

Vermont $0.18New Hampshire $0.17

California $0.16New England $0.16

Middle Atlantic $0.16Massachusetts $0.16

New Jersey $0.16Michigan $0.15

Source: www.eia.gov

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Michigan Tech KRC Photovoltaic Research Center

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Location: Tree Cover and Solar Window

Image Source: www.solarfeeds.com

Best Summer Angle: 30*

Best Winter Angle: 60*

Best Average Angle: 47*

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Advantages of High Module Tilt: Albedo

Source: nsidc.org

1 16 31 46 61 76 91 1061211361511661811962112262412562712863013163313463610

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

Solar Irradiation and Albedo

S_Horizontal (W/m^2) Albedo (W/m^2)

Day of the Year

W/m

^2

Source: MTU KRC

Author
As you can see from actual data collected at the KRC, the albedo is very high during the winter months. Therefore, the higher angle also helps capture a larger percentage of albedo from the snow.
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Advantages of High Module Tilt: Snow Shedding

4 188 372 556 740 924 11081292147616601844202822122396258027642948313233163500368438680

20

40

60

80

100

120

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PV System Output Under Snowy Conditions

45* 30* 15*

Hours since 12:00 Am Nov 1 2013

Ener

gy P

rodu

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(Wh)

Shedding from 45*

Source: MTU KRC

Author
As you can see, the panels at a lower angle do not produce any energy due to a combination of being covered by snow and low S_Horizontal component.The highlighted region in red shows that snow has fallen off the 45* panel, but not the other two
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Houghton Average = 3.8 Peak Sun Hours/Day*Energy = 1kW*3.8h = 3.8kWh

Source: pveducation.org

*Source: MTU KRC Data

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Source: pveducation.org

California Average = 6 Peak Sun Hours/Day*Energy = 1kW*6h = 6kWh

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Source: www.nrel.gov

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Source: MTU KRC Data

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Source: MTU KRC Data

Nov-Feb total irradiance = only 8% year total

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Source: Michigan Public Service Commission

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Excess Generation

Excess Consumption

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Simple ROI Calculations for Houghton

•6000 [kWh] (source)Annual Consumption :

•6000/365 = ~ 16.4 [kWh]Daily Consumption:

•3.8 [h]Average Daily Sun Hours

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Houghton Average = 3.8 Peak Sun Hours/Day*Energy = 1kW*3.8h = 3.8kWh

Source: pveducation.org

*Source: MTU KRC Data

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Simple ROI Calculations for Houghton

• Daily Consumption / (Sun Hours * Derate Factor)= 16.4/(3.8*0.8) = 5.4 [kW]System Size

• System Size*Cost Per kW = 5.4*$3,500 =$18,900System Cost

• 30% of system costs = $18,900 – 30%*18,900 = $13,448

Federal Tax Rebate

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Simple ROI Calculations for Houghton

•Energy*Rates = 6000*0.21 = $1,260

Annual Savings

•System Costs / Annual Savings = 11 years

Payback Period

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Source: www.nrel.gov

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Utility Fuel Source SummaryFuel Source USA OCREA UPPCO Region

Coal 39.10% 63.80% 54.11% 59.43%

Nuclear 19.18% 23.10% 23.08% 25.36%

Gas 27.57% 5.50% 8.90% 9.77%

Oil 0.67% 0.10% 0.50% 0.55%

Hydroelectric 7.07% 3.40% 9.55% 0.65%

Biofuel 0.00% 0.00% 0.45% 0.49%

Biomass 0.92% 0.10% 0.41% 0.45%

Wind 4.11% 2.80% 2.50% 2.75%

Wood 0.48% 0.10% 0.44% 0.49%

Other 0.71% 1.10% 0.50% 0.44%

Solar 0.20% 0.00% 0.02% 0.02%

Source: OCREA Fuel Mix ReportSource: MPSC Regional Average Fuel Mix Disclosure

Source: EIA Total Power Industry Fuel Sources

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Currently all MI utilities are on track to meet RES Compliance*

Phased integration of renewables 50% cheaper than new coal generation facilities.

*Source: MPSC Report on RES Compliance

*Figure: MIRECS 2009-2013 Credits by Energy Source

Impact of MI PA 295

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Benefits of Renewables Michigan Department of Energy, Labor & Economic Growth

Report on Green Jobs says renewable energy sector job creation = 3% of all private sector employment in state

International Energy Agency Report on Energy Security says renewable energy systems reduce supply disruptions and reliance on imported fuel.

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Actual Quote: “The only green that matters, is the color of my $$$$$”

(Obviously, not a philosopher)

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OCREA

UPPCO

WEPCO

DTE ELECTRIC

CONSUMERS

CHERRYLAND

THUMBXCEL

AEP

$0.24

$0.21$0.21

$0.16$0.16

$0.15$0.15$0.15$0.14

$0.14$0.14$0.13

$0.11$0.11$0.11

$0.10$0.10

MI Average Residential Electric Rates 2013[$/kWh]

MI Average: $0.14/kWhSource: MPSC Utility Company Annual Reports 2013

PV Market Opportunity by Utility Electric Rates

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PV Market Opportunity by Utility Electric Rate Increases

OCREA

UPPCO

WEPCO

DTE ELECTRIC

CONSUMERS

CHERRYLAND

THUMBXCEL

AEP

116%

94%107%

48%

86%

49%73%72%79%

40%42%

76%

29%39%43%61%73%

MI Average Residential Electric Rate Increase 2001-2013

MI Average: 74%

Source: MPSC Utility Rates Summary

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PV Market Opportunity by Average Annual Consumption

MI Average: 8MWh/Year

OCREA

UPPCO

WEPCO

DTE ELECTRIC

CONSUMERS

CHERRYLAND

THUMBXCEL

AEP

4.5 5.1 5.85.46.8 7

.2 7.9

6.48.110.0

8.4

11.611.8

8.0 7.38.3

11.1

MI Average Residential Electric Consumption 2013 [MWH/year]

Source: MPSC Utility Company Annual Reports 2013

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Utility Rank by rates Rank by rate Increase

Rank by Consumption Aggregate Rank

OCREA 1 1 1 1ALGER DELTA 2 3 2 2

UPPCO 3 2 4 3WEPCO 5 4 6 4

PRESQUE ISLE 4 12 3 5ALPENA POWER 8 9 5 6DTE ELECTRIC 7 8 9 7GREAT LAKES 6 11 7 8CONSUMERS 9 5 11 9

MIDWEST ENERGY 12 6 16 10XCEL 15 13 8 11

CHERRYLAND 11 14 13 12WPS 16 10 12 12AEP 17 7 15 14

TRI-COUNTY 10 15 14 14CLOVERLAND 14 16 10 16

THUMB 13 17 17 17

PV Residential Solar Market Potential

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Utility Rank by rates

Rank by rate Increase

Rank by Consumption

Aggregate Rank

Rank by % Net-Generation

OCREA 1 1 1 1 1ALGER DELTA 2 3 2 2 2

UPPCO 3 2 4 3 4WEPCO 5 4 6 4 11

PRESQUE ISLE 4 12 3 5 5ALPENA POWER 8 9 5 6 6DTE ELECTRIC 7 8 9 7 7GREAT LAKES 6 11 7 8 8CONSUMERS 9 5 11 9 12

MIDWEST ENERGY 12 6 16 10 9XCEL 15 13 8 11 14

CHERRYLAND 11 14 13 12 N/AWPS 16 10 12 12 12AEP 17 7 15 14 13

TRI-COUNTY 10 15 14 14 N/ACLOVERLAND 14 16 10 16 10

THUMB 13 17 17 17 3

PV Residential Solar Market Potential

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Simple ROI Calculation

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PopulationAggregate MW Solar

People

Per Pane

lHought

on 30,000 0.003 2,500Californ

ia 38,041,430 1892.05 5Texas 26,059,203 185.47 35

Florida 19,317,568 93.91 51New

Mexico 2,085,538 151.7 3Arizona 6,553,255 775.59 2

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Removing Barriers : Solarizing Michigan

Q: Does it make

$en$e? A: ‘Solar

Calculator’

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Removing Barriers: Solarizing Michigan

Q: High Installation Costs?

A: Aggregatio

n

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Removing Barriers: Solarizing Michigan

Q: Up front costs? A: Low

Interest Financing

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Large majority of installed net metered customer generation is Solar. Source: MPSC Annual Net Metering Report 2014

Figure: MPSC 2013 Net Metering Program - Installed CapacityFigure: MPSC 2013 Net Metering Program - Installations

Growth of Solar in Michigan

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Cabbages and Solar?

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Cabbages and Solar?

Sell Price: $0.21 each

Buying Price: $0.03 each

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Electric Utility Markets are a “Zero-Sum Game”

Rates = $$Generation + $$Transmission + $$Distribution + $$Administration + $$Return on Equity

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Working Group Recommendati

ons

Expand Net Metering to state wide

50MW

Credit on net generation

Credit on generation

Source: MPSC Solar Working Group Report, June 2014

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(VOS): Value of Solar

VOS proposed by Michigan Utility DTE

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Organic cabbages?

HealthierLocally grownNo new roadsNo large farms

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(VOS): Value of Solar

VOS used in Minnesota

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(VOS): Value of Solar

VOS used in Austin, Texas

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Storage: Generation Shifting

Credit: climatetechwiki.org

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Storage: Load Shifting

Credit: Scientific American

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Reliable, affordable and sustainable energy for all

Goals:

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Source: Solar Energy Industry Forecast: U.S. DOE

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Public Awareness

Technological Maturity

Regulatory Action

Legislative Support

Market Drivers

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How to Bring Change: Homeboy Solar Industries• Increases

Sustainability• Reduced Prison

Recidivism• Saves taxpayer

money

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Husky Pride! Solarize Houghton

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Solar Market Penetration in Houghton

2013:- ~30kW

Summer 2014: 60kW added

Fall 2015: +200kW expected.

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Solarizing Houghton (Summer 2015)

Buying Club

Workshop

Public Seminar

s

DIY Kits

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Contact Information

Abhilash Kantamneni

221 Rekhi HallMichigan Tech1400 Townsend DriveHoughton MI

[email protected]

www.SolarizeHoughton.org

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Source: MTU KRC Data

Nov-Feb total irradiance = only 8% year total

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Summer Production: 77 Sq. miles

Winter Production: 1,732 Sq. miles