Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light...

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Alternative Energy Solar PV Comparisons

Transcript of Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light...

Page 1: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

Alternative EnergySolar PV Comparisons

Page 2: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

Solar Intensity vs

Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric molecules, dust, and clouds. This includes the climate changing effects (absorption/re-emission) by carbon dioxide, methane, and water vapor.

Page 3: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

Solar Power AvailableTop of the Atmosphere 1366 W/m2 Peak Surface Insolation 1000 W/m2 Typical average 6 kWh/m2 /day

(latitude, weather, hours of sunlight)1 kWh/day requires 0.17 m2

Allowing for PV efficiency 0.85 m2 (20% Si PV)

Page 4: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

Satisfying Total US Electric NeedsTotal Electric energy consumed 15 Quad

4.3x1012 kWh/yr 1.1x1010 kWh/day

Avg power needed 490 GWThe avg US home uses energy at the rate of

750 W 18 kWh/day

This would require 1.9x109 m2 Area covered by solar panels1900 mi2 Percent of total US Land area 0.05 %Percent of Mojave Desert 6 %

Page 5: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

CostsAnnual Electric energy 4.3x1012 kWh/yrElectric Power capacity avg 490 GWA plant averaging 1 GW will produce 8760 GWh/yrCost to build new 1 GW plant $ per W

CF $ investment Solar $3.0 21% $14 billion Wind $1.8 30% $6 billion Natural Gas-fired Turbine $1.0 85% $1 billion Nuclear $6.0 85% $7 billion(US GNP = $13 Trillion / yr)

Cost to produce $ per kWh Annual Cost Solar $0.012 $51 billion Natural Gas Turbine $0.075 $320 billion Nuclear $0.023 $100 billion Wind $0.045 $190 billion

Page 6: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

Key Energy Surprises1. Gasoline delivers 15 times the energy of an equal weight of TNT.2. Coal is 20 times cheaper than gasoline, for the same energy.3. A square mile of sunlight at midday could provide a gigawatt of

electric power – the same as a large coal, electric, or nuclear power plant.

4. A square meter of sunlight delivers about a horsepower (746 W) when it hits the ground, the same as the average electric power used by a US household.

5. Gasoline has 1000 times as much energy as an equal weight of flashlight batteries, and 100 times as much as an equal weight of expensive computer batteries.

6. Liquid hydrogen, the key fuel for a future “hydrogen economy,” has 4.5 times less energy per gallon than gasoline has.

“Physics for Future Presidents” by Richard A. Muller

Page 7: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

Energy Content per poundcompared to Gasoline & Electricity

Fuel x Gas Energy content $ ElecGasoline 1 8.0 kWh/lb$1.01Choc chip cookie 0.5 4.0 $0.50TNT 0.07 0.5 $0.06Natural Gas 1.3 10 $1.26Hydrogen 2.6 21 $2.64Uranium 2M 1.6x106 $200KFusion 6M 4.7x1010 $600KAntimatter 2B 1.6x109 $200M

(Average cost of energy in SLO = $0.126/kWh)

Page 8: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

“Should solar photovoltaics be deployed sooner because of long operating life at low, predictable cost?” By Ken Zweibel Solar Institute, The George Washington University

Fig. 4, The switch in year 20 emphasizes the level of capital cost in each option. The steady-state costs afterward are just fuel and operating costs.

Page 9: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

Fig. 7. Annual electricity cost if there is 3% fuel inflation. This shows the results of possible fuel price escalations. Natural gas, because fuel is its largest cost component, rises the most, followed by coal with sequestration and traditional coal.

Page 10: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

Fig. 8. The levelized cost of electricity of these options assuming 3% fuel inflation and a zero discount rate. Once again, wind and PV retain excellent prices throughout the 100 year period while everything else becomes expensive.

Page 11: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

California Valley PV ProjectsTopaz Solar Farm

550 MW, thin-film PV, operational by 2015 $2 B Opti Solar > First Solar > MidAmerican Energy Holdings (Warren

Buffet)California Valley Solar Ranch

250 MW, PV, operational by 2013 $1.6 B SunPower > NRG

Carrizo Energy Solar Farm 177 MW, solar thermal, Cancelled 2009 $550M Ausra

Currently (Jan 2012) in the US there are 1300 MW of Utility-Scale Solar Projects in operation, with 4,600 more in construction and 24,000 under development.

Page 12: Solar PV Comparisons. Solar Intensity vs Light emitted by the hot photosphere is reduced by light absorbed or scattered by the solar corona, atmospheric.

Silicon PV Band Gap Bandgap Energy Bandgap energy is the amount of energy required to dislodge an electron from its covalent

bond and allow it to become part of an electrical circuit. When light shines on crystalline silicon, electrons within its crystal lattice may be freed. But not all photons—as packets of light energy are called—are created equal.

To free an electron, the energy of a photon must be at least as great as the bandgap energy. However, photons with more energy than the bandgap energy will expend the extra as heat when freeing electrons. So it is important for a photovoltaic (PV) cell to be "tuned"—through slight modifications to the silicon's molecular structure—to optimize the photon energy.

Crystalline silicon has a bandgap energy of 1.1 electron-volts (eV). (An electron-volt is equal to the energy gained by an electron when it passes through a potential of 1 volt in a vacuum.) The bandgap energies of other effective PV semiconductors range from 1.0 to 1.6 eV. In this range, electrons can be freed without creating extra heat.

The photon energy of light varies according to the wavelengths of the light. The entire spectrum of sunlight, from infrared to ultraviolet, covers a range of about 0.5 eV to about 2.9 eV. For example, red light has an energy of about 1.7 eV, and blue light has an energy of about 2.7 eV. Most PV cells cannot use about 55% of the energy of sunlight because this energy is either below the bandgap of the material used or carries excess energy.

Different PV materials have different energy band gaps. Photons with energy equal to the band gap energy are absorbed to create free electrons. Photons with less energy than the band gap energy pass through the material.